this slight downward trend matches my model exactly and if i am right will continue for 15 more years before it turns up again.
this slight downward trend matches my model exactly and if i am right will continue for 15 more years before it turns up again.
Does the truth even matter today?
2nd Highest Antarctic Sea Ice For This Day – 1 million above the 1981-2010 mean. – Above 2 standard deviation.
15th Highest Global Sea Ice For This Day – Above the 1981-2010 mean.
Arcticno longer a record low for the day. So far 45 days in 2015 have been record lows. 2006 has 79 record lows. 2012 has 127.
After over 30 years of it being drummed into us the the planet was going to melt and kill all of us we have lost the battle the under 45 people most all of them think we are crazy for not believing what we are being told. very few under 45 people i know think Al Gore is wrong and they will not believe anything to the contrary even when you show them Charts like these. I am told that I made them up when i try! Like this insane trade deal (which will pass) COP21 will result in an agreement!
The Arctic was the last remaining hope of the climate criminals to maintain any credibility, and that story has completely collapsed.
As we approach mid-summer, southern Greenland is still covered with snow. This is a land where Vikings farmed 1,000 years ago.
The melt season on Greenland is the slowest on record. Normally about 30% of Greenland is melting by now, but this year less than 10% is melting.
Greenland’s surface has gained more than half a trillion tons of snow and ice since September.
Near the midpoint of the melt season, Arctic sea ice is closely tracking 2006. That was the year with the highest summer minimum of the past decade.
Arctic sea ice is the thickest it has been since 2006.
Ahead of the Paris conference…
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I believe that this is a good part of the reasons I would long had the there is a 10,000 year cycle that reverse the Winter and Summer in relationship to Aphelion and perihelion which matters because of the uneven distribution of land and water.
It would seems to me that the “smart” money is on coal!
Looking back 4 or 5 thousand years there appears to be a cycle of ups and downs ranging around 1,000 to 1,100 years with a swing in temperatures of around 1.3 to 1.4 degrees C. Then there is a shorter cycle of 60 to 70 years with a swing of temperature of .3 to .4 degrees C. Lastly there is warming from CO2 which when modeld properly using a logistics curve (sensitivity value of around .7 to .9 C per doubling of CO2) will give an increase in temperature of between 1.1 and 1.2 degrees C from a base of 270 ppm We are now at 400 ppm so we have already realized about a 1/3 of that amount so CO2 can only add .75 additional degrees C even at CO2 levels well over 1000 ppm.
When these three items are properly alined, based on historic data going back 2,000 years, a model that matches NASA-GISS month values using a running 12 month average very closely can be constructed and it shows there will be a slight pause that will last until 2035 when a different alignment of the cycles will again cause temperature to go up. The model uses 1650 AD as the base year with a world temperature estimated to be around 13.5 degrees C back then. The model works because it correctly uses the three observed movements in global temperature.
Unfortunately since these movements greatly exceed human life times they can be ignored by politicians that use the hysteria that they generate to get laws that give them power over the people.
The primary determinant of global temperature is the “observed” 1,000 year cycle which started moving up in 1650 AD and will peak around 2150 AD; at that point no matter what level CO2 reaches we will see a drop of global temperatures for the next 500 years.
Joseph Goebbels a master of propaganda tells us, “If you tell a lie big enough and keep repeating it, people will eventually come to believe it.”
By Alan Caruba ~
On Thursday and Friday, June 11-12, there will be a gathering of some of the nation’s and the world’s leading climate change “skeptics” in Washington, D.C. and joining them will be members of Congress and their staffs. The Tenth International Conference on Climate Change will occur and the odds are that the mainstream media, as it has done for all the previous conferences, will do its best to ignore it.
In attendance as well will be scores of scientists, economists, and policy experts for a conference being held just two blocks from a White House in which the President of the United States resides while lying about “climate change” as the greatest threat to the planet.
In March, the Gallup Poll revealed that “Although climate scientists have been in the news describing this winter as a strong signal that global warming is producing more extreme weather…
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I think this one is different and they will have a deal. Obma has even got the Pope to agree with climate change and look at all the new junk coming out that this is the hottest years even in history, of course they got the by making the past colder. I can be wrong but will all that is going on now I’d say that it will happen, if for no other reason than this is the last change for Obama to get this.
Paris climate conference – get ready for this
Scottish Sceptic has an amusing piece about the forthcoming climate charade in Paris, which looks like being as full of hot air as it is empty of credible substance:
There’s a boringly familiar pattern to these climate talks in Paris. The rhetoric is all about making deals, but the reality is that everyone is backpedalling furiously behind the scenes trying the darnest to prevent any serious deal getting made. But what is different this time is that if anything the parties are being far more open in their desire not to come to any deal this time than all the previous clown fests from Jokenhagen onward.
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George Orwell got it right, “Who controls the past controls the future. Who controls the present controls the past.”
The frequency of hot days in the US has plummeted. The frequency of days over 90 degrees and over 100 degrees has plummeted since the 1930’s
Climate alarmists lie about this endlessly, in order to push political agendas.
Unfortunately the truth does not matter — Climate work is now being done at Dream Works and their ilk not Cal Tech or MIT or any of the government agencies.
The melt season in Greenland continues to be record slow, after a long winter which has brought half a trillion tons of new ice. Normally about 30% of the island is melting by now, but this year only 5%
Government experts will ignore this, because they are paid to produce propaganda for the White House – not do actual science or tell the truth.
Meanwhile, Arctic sea ice continues to track 2006, the year with the highest summer minimum of the past decade.
Polar Bears are doing fine. Scientists who are lying about the Arctic – not so much.
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