Donald Trump absolutely crushed Cruz taking all five states including Pennsylvania and Maryland. Hillary Clinton won Pennsylvania, Maryland and Delaware but Bernie may walk away with two states. The fact that Trump and Bernie are there shows that the public is really fed up with politics as it stands. It is looking more and more like Hillary v Trump. But as they say, it’s not over ’til the fat lady sings.

Who we elect for President rarely makes a difference. Obama did everything Bush did after promising he would bring “change you could believe in”. After getting the Noble Peace Prize, he tried to invade Syria. Who takes the helm rarely makes a difference because it is the bureaucracy who runs everything anyway beginning with Bush, Jr. People get so fired up as if electing one career politician will really change their lives no less the direction of the economy. Nothing ever happens except government always gets more power in the end.

Who wins in November is still a coin toss for it depends on the Republican elite and if they try to deny Trump the nomination which will split the party if not destroy it. Under normal conditions excluding a third party run, the odds favor a Republican victory. However, we are a lifetime away from November and how this shakes out is not yet decided if we will have only a two-party run or a strong third party. Two of our model project a landslide with Republicans exceed 60% – very rare. One shows a dead heat and the other 55% v 51% for the Republicans. So despite the fact that Hillary is the media favorite, something else may be waiting in the wings.

Our computer models project a sharp rise of anti-establishment for the 2016 election. That forecast given back in 1985 appears to be on point. We have warned that it is typically the Republican Party, which always splits. Some people wrongly believe that the Republican Party can do as it likes with its rules. While the primaries are electing delegates rather than a person, once they created the right for the people to vote, they cannot then ignore that vote and do as they like for that would violate 18 U.S.C. § 241. The idea that they can do as they like AFTER giving the right to vote to the people even for delegates is rather absurd. It would clearly violate the § 241.

So where we go from here will be interesting. It would be far better if Hillary wins for then the “establishment” cannot say see what happens you you elect a non-politician. On the other hand, the government forecasts itself that everything goes bust next year. A career politician would just sign us away and here comes much higher taxes to kill the economy. If Trump became President, does he conform so much because he wants to act presidential surrendering to Capitol Hill. Time will tell. It really does not matter who is elected, it all turns down any how.