Warmonger Think Tanks


Posted originally on Oct 8, 2025 by Martin Armstrong |  

2025_10_07_08_48_51_Russia_enters_new_phase_of_prep_for_future_war_with_NATO_ISW_analysis_and_77_m

The latest from the Neocon Fake News, ISW (Institute for the Study of War) started by Victoria Nuland’s sister-in-law, is always the same. Russia is weak; it is about to collapse, but at the same time, they are about to attack NATO, so we should invade now. The new line is “ISW specialists suggest Moscow is now likely conducting ‘coordinated preparatory actions as part of a phase aimed at creating physical and psychological conditions’ for possible military emergencies.” 

When I examine the sources promoting World War III, it comes down to three, and none is trustworthy, to say the least. All three put out “opinion” based analysis that is by no means objective.

A Stockholm Institute of Transition Economics (SITE) report prepared for the EU finance ministers argued that Russia’s economy is “only superficially resilient” and that underlying imbalances and structural weaknesses make continued large-scale war spending unsustainable.

Then there is Victoria Nuland’s family venture, the ISW.

Analysts and institutions associated with the Institute for the Study of War (ISW) have noted that weak growth, dwindling reserves, and the strain of sanctions give leverage to Russia’s opponents.

The think tank Bruegel claims its mission is to improve the quality of economic policy with open and fact-based research, analysis, and debate. Bruegel’s membership includes EU Member State governments, international corporations, and institutions. Brugel has argued that Russia’s economic model is “no longer delivering,” citing rising costs of sanctions evasion, loss of export markets, and labor constraints.

Russian Unemployment Y Combined 10 4 25

Everything these pretend think tanks put out is so one-sided, and it is clearly meant to promote war. Why? This is simply about conquest at this point to strip mine Russia to resurrect and save the crumbling EU. The ISW are just warmongers, and what will they do without Russia to hate? When we look at the economic data, Unemployment has declined for 26 years during Putin’s Administration.

McCain Hillary

They will never tell the truth because the attempted regime change of Russia that I was asked to fund and refused back in 1998, will NEVER be investigated because it would expose Hillary and why she even started RussiaGate. It was James Comey who kept me in prison on civil contempt for 7 years with no charges whatsoever. He is the one at the FBI to whom John McCain handed Hillary’s fake dossier to start Russiagate. The people in the deep state will NEVER allow anything to rise to the top, fearing that if they ever did investigate my case, it might expose this whole drive for WWIII and prevent it.

Russia GDP Array Combined 10 7 25

Let’s look at the GDP. This clearly indicates that 2025 is a turning point, and we then observe a sharp rise into 2027, accompanied by very high volatility. This is likely a reflection of a war economy.

Russian Ruble y 10 7 25
Russia Ruble Y Array 10 7 25

When we turn to the Ruble, we see a Panic Cycle in 2027, and this year is a Directional Change. These fake pretend THINK TANKS who are warmongers through and through, will get their way because the press always takes their BS and tells the world Russia is weak, it is a “paper tiger”, and we can walk in and Putin will fall to his knees and the Russian people will cheer and thank them for saving them.

Trump should send the troops into these Tink Tanks and arrest all of them for treason against humanity.

Part II – Covering Up the Biggest Political Scandal in U.S. History


Posted originally on CTH on October 6, 2025 | Sundance 

Friend of the Treehouse John Spiropoulos has put together a series of videos explaining how President Obama, FBI Director James Comey and CIA Director John Brennan constructed a coverup to hide their political surveillance operation. Today there are two video segments that deserve focus. 

RUMBLE Link ONE and Two.  YouTube Link ONE and Two

From the perspective of Obama, Comey and Brennan, expanding Hillary Clinton’s Trump-Russia collusion narrative was the key element to hide the activity of the administration prior to the November 2016 election.  That’s the motive for the FBI and CIA to collaborate on the agenda after the shocking outcome of the 2016 election result; but pay close attention to the activity of the primary “at risk” official, James Comey.

The December ’16 Joint Analysis Report (JAR), and the January ’17 Intelligence Community Assessment (ICA), were fabricated to enhance a spying coverup. Spiropoulos has taken the time to put the deconstruction of the ICA into a simple to follow video format.  Two parts below:

Obama’s Spies & Lies: The Junk Intel Scandal DECLASSIFIED_Episode #2

The next segment is below. Pay particular attention to the person who actually triggered the cancellation of the December 9, 2016, Presidential Daily Brief. It wasn’t Obama, it was James Comey.

Obama’s Spies & Lies: The Junk Intel Scandal DECLASSIFIED_Episode #3

From a risk management perspective, initially the surveillance and spying operation was a low-risk endeavor.  Obama held power and was going to hand off operations to Hillary. The Clinton administration would retain the officials who were doing the surveillance/spying, and no one would ever know.

Donald Trump was not expected to win the election.  When he did, all of the participants were suddenly at risk. President Obama and every member of his cabinet involved in the spying operations, then used Clinton’s “Russiagate” smear to cover up Obama’s “Spygate” activity.

The IRS was used to identify targets 2010 through 2012, until discovered in April ’12.  Suddenly, President Obama has a problem. President Obama then sends his Chief of Staff, Jack Lew, to run the IRS and block discoveries around the IRS weaponization.

From 2012 through April 2016, the Obama administration was spying on their political opposition using the FBI to conduct surveillance through their access to the NSA database.

In April 2016, NSA Admiral Mike Rogers was alerted by the NSA compliance officer who noted the uptick in database access activity by the FBI searching the Republican primary candidate field.

Post April 2016, the Obama administration had a problem. Enter FBI operation “Crossfire Hurricane,” July 2016, in an effort to remove the political risk.

October 2016, the FBI rushes a FISA application through the FISC, circumventing the missing ‘Woods File’, with the Chris Steele dossier as evidence.

October 2016, NSA Director Rogers sends the first official notification of the FBI using the NSA database to the oversight body, the FISA Court.

December 2016, worried about Trump now discovering the NSA database spying, the Obama administration wraps the Clinton smear into official policy, blaming the Russians and validating Crossfire Hurricane. That’s where the Intelligence Community Assessment becomes critical.

May 2017, needing to extend the coverup of the FBI activity, special counsel Robert Mueller then takes over Crossfire Hurricane. All FBI evidence and personnel transfers to Mueller.

April 2019, Robert Mueller operation wraps up, prior activity coverup shifts to Impeachment process.

July 2019, John Durham kicks in extending DOJ/FBI control through 2020 election.

Fall 2020, mail-in ballots triggered to facilitate 2020 election outcome.

January 2021, FBI triggers Operation Arctic Frost, targeting Trump supporters and 2020 election researchers. FBI again using NSA database search queries to identify targeting.

March 2021, FBI Arctic Frost results fed to J6 Committee and DHS. TSA trigger “Quiet Skies” targeting via results from Arctic Frost.

It’s one long continuum of coverup activity within Main Justice and the FBI, supported by all other various agencies who operate in support. What are they covering up? The 2012 through 2016 political spying operation within the Obama administration, as carried out by the same Main Justice and FBI operations.

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Interview: Shaun Newman Podcast


Posted originally on Oct 5, 2025 by Martin Armstrong |  

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Interview: Gold $5K, Dow 65K, & Florida’s New Wall Street — Part 2 Armstrong Unfiltered


Posted originally on Oct 5, 2025 by Martin Armstrong |  

Trump Takes Next Step to Bringing Us to World War III


Posted originally on Oct 4, 2025 by Martin Armstrong |  

Trump advised by NEOCONS

Trump is clearly listening to the NEOCONS, and he may believe their BS that Russia’s economy is collapsing, so Russia can be defeated in three days, as Kinzinger was claiming. Mark Rubio is a Neocon. I believe Trump hired him as a compromise to the Neocons. But he is taking us into World War III in slow motion. Trump is listening to the wrong people, and he had better look unbiased at why Putin is being put into a precarious position. He has insulted the dignity of Russia and reduced it to a meaningless 4th-world country. If Putin is replaced one way or in November, sorry, Europe will not recover. Germany fought against Russia in both World War I and World War II and lost both conflicts. A third time will NOT be the charm.

WSJ Trump providing Zelensky with targeting

The Wall Street Journal and other outlets reported that President Trump signed off on providing U.S. intelligence agencies to supply targeting data to Ukraine for strikes on Russian energy infrastructure (oil refineries, pipelines, power plants). This suggests that now the US will select the target for Ukraine to attack. That is waging DIRECT WAR against Russia. They certainly can provide missiles to Venezuela and provide them targets for Washington, D.C., and put one right up Trump’s ass. I guess that would not be declaring war either.

TWZ Tar4get Critical Energy

However, it is not clear that “providing targeting” means full battlefield coordination, command & control, or direction of operations — most media accounts frame it as sharing intelligence, not taking over targeting decisions.

According to multiple sources, Trump authorized the sharing of targeting intelligence with Zelensky/Ukraine for strikes on specific energy infrastructure. This is the NECON argument: stop the energy sales of Russia, the country will collapse, and they can walk in and carve up Russia like a piece of pie. SO let’s see, Putin could strike and take our Wall Street, the US cannot borrow any more money, the economy would collapse since it is dependent on debt, and he could do the same to the USA.

Neocon Dividing World Economy

NOBODY seems ever to consider that whatever they do to Russia, they could do the same to the USA and Europe. I am concerned that Putin has been restrained. He cannot agree to peace KNOWING that these Neocons want the destruction of Russia and will NEVER accept them into the world economy. They have already divided the world economy between SWIFT and BRICS, and this division is expected to remain unchanged until after 2032. NEOCONS are braindead assholes who NEVER think one step ahead and only act emotionally to what is in front of their nose with myopic vision.

NY Post Calls for Long Range Missiles

The NY Post pushed an opinion advocating sending Tomahawk missiles to wipe out Russia. They said:

“Trump should now follow through by supplying Ukraine with long-range missiles to do the job — and ratcheting up the economic pressure on Russia.”

Again, this attitude assumes that Russia is incapable of launching any retaliation against the United States. Putin might as well just launch everything because there is NO POINT to any peace agreement, for Trump is a fool if he really believes this is just about Ukraine. This is about the destruction of Russia, and if he does not get rid of these advisers who have him isolated, we are sleepwalking into the end of Western Civilization.

3 Front War

There is NO WAY China will allow Russia to fall. These Neocons pushed Russia and China together. They will stand together with North Korea and Iran. These NEOCONS are really stupid. They will never be able to defend Europe, the Middle East, Taiwan, and Korea/Japan all simultaneously.

Venezuela’s International Support

Cuba has been a longstanding ally of Venezuela. Recently, Cuban diplomats in Angola reaffirmed their support for Venezuela against perceived U.S. aggressions. Russia has continued to support the Maduro government, sending troops to Venezuela in March 2019 and helping the government evade sanctions on the oil industry. China has continued to back the Maduro government, offering to help rebuild the national power grid. Iran has also expressed support for Venezuela, especially in the context of U.S. sanctions and military threats. The two countries have engaged in economic and diplomatic cooperation over the years. Both could also provide long-range missiles to Venezuela, just as Zelensky is demanding, so he can level the Kremlin. Russia could do that with Venezuela and target Washington, DC. Trump obviously never heard = what goes around, comes around.

Turkey has maintained a neutral stance but has occasionally criticized U.S. sanctions and expressed support for Venezuela’s sovereignty. Syria has been a vocal supporter of Venezuela, condemning U.S. actions and emphasizing the importance of respecting Venezuela’s sovereignty. Colombia has shown solidarity with Venezuela, especially in the context of U.S. sanctions and military threats. The country’s foreign minister recently renounced her U.S. visa in protest of U.S. actions against Venezuela.

Brazil has refrained from taking sides in the U.S.–Venezuela conflict. While President Lula has expressed concern over the U.S. naval presence in the Caribbean, describing it as a source of regional tension, he has not indicated any intention to intervene militarily on Venezuela’s behalf. However,

Left-leaning / socialist governments (currently or recently): Venezuela, Bolivia, Ecuador (varies over time), and sometimes Argentina and Chile, depending on elections. This is why Trump is supporting Argentina. If they flipped back to the LEFT mainly because of Trump’s war against Venezuela, then we can see turmoil in South America. Focusing strictly on war between South American states, the last significant one was the Colombia–Peru War of 1932–1933, which involved a territorial dispute over the Amazonian town of Leticia. It was resolved through mediation by the League of Nations.

Since then, South America has experienced chiefly internal conflicts (civil wars, insurgencies, and guerrilla movements) rather than interstate wars. Border disputes existed (like between Ecuador and Peru in 1995), but these were short-lived skirmishes rather than prolonged wars. However, Trump’s war with Venezuela runs the risk that, as the economy turns down, we can see a rise in anti-Americanism, and this will impact not just militarily, but also economically, with outstanding debt issues. Specifically, U.S. dollar-denominated debt accounts for approximately 92.6% of South America’s total public debt.

In August 1982, Mexico announced that it could no longer service its debt. This is often considered the official start of the Latin American debt crisis.

Other major South American countries quickly followed this:

Argentina (1982)
Brazil (1983)
Chile (1983)
Venezuela (1983)
Peru (1984)
Bolivia (1984)
Uruguay (1983)

This is the unspoken risk with a conflict with Venezuela, which does have the #1 largest oil reserve of any country on the planet.

Braindead Neocon

These Neocons are BRAINDEAD, for they never consider not just the next step, like taking out Saddam, with no comprehension of what comes next. Still, they fail to feel that they are pushing Putin like he is meaningless, and what if he steps aside in November and hands it to their Neocons, for Russia is NOT going down without a fight. Putin has warned that they have bombs that will get these Neocons in their bunkers.

Demand Elections in Ukraine

Cut Off All Contact With Ukraine. They are a Patsy for NATO

Zelenskyy Johnson
Boris_Johnson_We_are_in_a_proxy_war_against_Russia_

Nobody cares that even one Ukrainian is still alive. Boris Johnson is running the show, instructing Zelensky that he is NOT allowed to have peace. He has already announced that Britain is at war with Russia and Trump expects Putin to surrender? Trump better open his damn eyes, he is being played like a fiddle by the Neocons.

Categories:RussiaWar

The NSA Report No One Has Ever Seen


Posted originally on CTH on September 30, 2025 | Sundance

During the period of Nov 2015 to April 2016, the Obama administration, through the FBI under James Comey and Andrew McCabe, was conducting a political spying operation against all Republican presidential primary candidates using the power of their offices.

The intent was two-fold. (1) Tracking the candidates to identify activity; and (2) conducting opposition research to be fed to the campaign of Democrat candidate Hillary Clinton.

This surveillance activity was happening in concert with Comey, McCabe and a small group inside the FBI, running a defensive operation for the issues surrounding Hillary Clinton’s prior use of private email servers -which included classified information transmission- during her tenure as Secretary of State. SOURCE: DNI

Documentary evidence of the Obama spying operation surfaced as an outcome of the NSA compliance officer discovering the FBI activity.

The compliance officer reported the activity to National Security Agency Director, Admiral Mike Rogers.

The spying operation is not an issue of FISA-702, or any FISA system or process. However, the availability of FBI access to the NSA database is what triggered the discovery of the spy operation.

That FBI access is created under the auspices of FISA, but FISA-702, or any aspect therein, was not the issue. The issue was the spying operation.

FISA, and using the NSA database to conduct the electronic surveillance, was simply the tool to exploit the electronic communication (metadata) of the targets.

The Obama administration was spying on their political opposition and telling the Clinton team the results of their surveillance.

Put another way, the United States government was spying on political candidates for office, in order to control the outcome of the 2016 U.S. presidential election.

After Director Mike Rogers was made aware of the operation, and the exploitation of the NSA database, the NSA Director blocked the FBI from access and began an investigation.

That investigation culminated in Director Mike Rogers informing the regulatory body in charge of protecting the database from exploitation.

FISC SIDEBAR: With the NSA now collecting the private electronic communication of Americans, the FISA Court was assigned the responsibility of oversight; it was intended to protect the growing metadata library and ensure the 4th Amendment provisions to the constitution were maintained.

The FISC oversight was intended to stop the government from reviewing the private records of Americans, the NSA database, without a warrant.

Because the NSA database was used by the Obama administration, the FBI, to conduct political spying operations, the only normal compliance venue Director Mike Rogers had to reveal the spying, was to inform the FISA court (FISC).

NSA Director Mike Rogers was a cabinet member working for President Obama at the time the Obama administration was exploiting the NSA database.

Director Mike Rogers does not appear to have informed congressional oversight. That would have violated the chain-of-command, and the President held absolute power.

Director Rogers could have chosen to inform the congressional Gang-of-Eight of the issue. He did not.

[This is an issue Director Rogers would later address by moving custodial control of the NSA database to Cyber Command (a DoD agency)].

NSA Director Mike Rogers informed the FISA Court of the issue, by detailing who the people were who were searched within the database, and what the results were over the timeframe of Nov ’15 to April ’16.

The compliance officer provided the audit-trail, audit logs showing who was being spied on, who was being searched (queried), how often and how many times. The audit-trail also showed who was logging in to conduct the spy operations, and what FBI authorized workstations they were using.

Director Rogers informed the court he had blocked FBI access and removed part of the functionality for how the system could be exploited.

The internal investigation by the NSA compliance officer and Rogers was completed and sent to the FISA Court in October 2016, with additional information sent in March 2017.

The FISA Court then responded in April 2017, where Presiding Judge Rosemary Collyer outlined the events in a heavily redacted 99-page opinion. Citation HERE.

President Obama conducting political spying operations, through a politically weaponized FBI, against the Republican opposition elements is colloquially called “Spygate.”

Hillary Clinton manufacturing a political dirty trick against Donald Trump, accusing him of a Trump-Russia collusion conspiracy, is called “Russiagate.”

President Obama and every member of his cabinet, that was involved in the spying operations, used Clinton’s “Russiagate” to cover up Obama’s “Spygate.”

The two controversies are distinct and separate.

Within the evidence trail, that documents the Obama spying operation exists: (1) the NSA audit-trail, and, more importantly, (2) the specific document where the NSA notified the FISA Court. Those have never been seen.

While a redacted 99-page response from the court has been reviewed in granular detail, the missing piece of the puzzle; -the evidence that proves the operation beyond any reasonable doubt – is the NSA investigative outcome, the notification to the FISC given by NSA Director Mike Rogers to the FISA Court.

The NSA report to the FISA Court is a specific, actionable, discoverable document. I have been on the hunt for that notification report for 8 years.

Now you know why this position is so important.

Moldova Votes Today – The NATO/EU Influence, and Potential Expanded War With Russia, Hangs in the Balance


Posted originally on CTH on September 28, 2025 | Sundance

It is not hyperbole to think the Moldovan election today may possibly determine whether a NATO war with Russia takes place, or whether the NATO desire for conflict slowly begins to dissolve. {GO DEEP}

The small country squeezed between Romania (the largest NATO super-base constructed) and Ukraine, is located in a critical area. Whether Moldova joins the EU, or whether Moldova remains independently free from Brussels influence, is part of the outcome. The Moldova Parliamentary Elections are today.

The EU/NATO are at a zero-sum inflection point. THIS is the tinderbox.

There are roughly 2.5 million registered Moldovan voters living in Moldova. However, the govt of President Maia Sandu and her EU control agents expect 500,000+ votes from outside Moldova to determine the election outcome.

Of the 3,000 poll watchers, 900 members of the international coalition to influence critical elections (aka western intelligence operatives) are currently active in Moldova providing real-time voter feedback.

The non-pretenders will note the intelligence these operatives return helps western IC determine how many mail-in ballots are needed for EU/NATO success to support President Sandu.

There are 300 polling stations opened across 41 countries. Britain hosts 24 stations, Germany 36, Italy 75, and Russia has two.

Voting in Moldova ends at 21:00 local (9pm)/15:00 ET, but mail in ballots will continue flowing. The first preliminary results should become known around 23:00 (11pm local). [5pm Eastern US.]

Pavel Durov, founder and CEO of Telegram, provides the following context:

“About a year ago, while I was stuck in Paris, the French intelligence services reached out to me through an intermediary, asking me to help the Moldovan government censor certain Telegram channels ahead of the presidential elections in Moldova.

After reviewing the channels flagged by French (and Moldovan) authorities, we identified a few that clearly violated our rules and removed them. The intermediary then informed me that, in exchange for this cooperation, French intelligence would “say good things” about me to the judge who had ordered my arrest in August last year.

This was unacceptable on several levels. If the agency did in fact approach the judge — it constituted an attempt to interfere in the judicial process. If it did not, and merely claimed to have done so, then it was exploiting my legal situation in France to influence political developments in Eastern Europe — a pattern we have also observed in Romania 

Shortly thereafter, the Telegram team received a second list of so-called “problematic” Moldovan channels. Unlike the first, nearly all of these channels were legitimate and fully compliant with our rules. Their only commonality was that they voiced political positions disliked by the French and Moldovan governments.

We refused to act on this request.

Telegram is committed to freedom of speech and will not remove content for political reasons. I will continue to expose every attempt to pressure Telegram into censoring our platform. Stay tuned.”  (source)

Most people think of this Moldovan election as something happening “over there.”  However, the outcome of this election will have ramifications for U.S. policy, up to and including potential war with Russia.

[GO DEEP]

Poland’s False Flag! What Comes if Russia Loses in Ukraine?


Posted originally on Sep 16, 2025 by Martin Armstrong |  

Kellogg Keith

Keith Kellogg’s stupid statement that Russia’s war in Ukraine would end very quickly if Beijing withdrew its support for Moscow. He made the comments at a security conference in Kiev. He called Russia the “junior partner” to China and said it is losing the war in Ukraine. Such a statement is just insane. Like Iraq, nobody ever asked, if Ukraine defeats Russia, what would happen in Russia? This would be like saying What if Mexico invaded the USA and won?

German 1918 Revolution

After Germany lost World War I, there was a revolution that overthrew the monarchy, and the Weimar Republic was born, which then ended in hyperinflation. Even the Russian Revolution of 1917 was enabled by Russia’s disastrous performance in WWI, including massive casualties and economic collapse, which sparked widespread strikes and mutinies. The Tsar abdicated in March 1917, ending 300 years of Romanov rule; the Bolsheviks then seized power in November, leading to civil war and the Soviet Union.

Austria collapsed in 1918 after losing World War I. The empire’s multi-ethnic collapse after defeat led to ethnic revolts and declarations of independence in Hungary, Czechoslovakia, and elsewhere. The monarchy ended in November 1918, fragmenting into nation-states amid famine and military desertions.

The collapse of the Ottoman Empire also took place after World War I. The Turkish War of Independence and the abolition of the sultanate (1919–1923) unfolded. Allied occupation post-armistice fueled nationalist resistance led by Mustafa Kemal Atatürk. The sultanate was abolished in 1922, and the caliphate in 1924, birthing the Republic of Turkey after revolutionary reforms.

Xinhai Revolution (1911) followed the defeat in the First Sino-Japanese War of 1895. Humiliating territorial losses to Japan exposed the dynasty’s weakness, sparking anti-Manchu sentiment and Sun Yat-sen’s republican movement. The last emperor abdicated in 1912, ending over 2,000 years of imperial rule and ushering in the Republic of China.

Franco-Prussian War of 1870 saw the Paris Commune and fall of the empire (1870–1871). Napoleon III’s defeat led to the Third Republic’s proclamation. Radical workers then revolted in the Paris Commune, which was brutally suppressed, but the monarchy was permanently ousted.

These modern historical events illustrate a pattern without having to catalogue all the countless such events throughout human history. Wars drain resources, erode legitimacy, and amplify grievances (e.g., food shortages, casualties), creating fertile ground for revolutionaries. Not all post-war unrest leads to full regime change—e.g., Bulgaria’s monarchy survived WWI initially, only falling later in 1944. Nonetheless, these are clear instances of direct causation between revolution and the loss of a previous war.

Medvedev Dmitry Anatolyevich

In a post on his Telegram channel, Medvedev made the realistic statement that granting NATO members permission to down Russian drones operating in Ukrainian airspace would mean “war between the Alliance and Russia.” His comments followed growing calls in Europe and NATO to intervene in the war, demanding stronger Western action against Russia for its drone incursions while supporting Ukraine to use Western long-range missiles to attack even Moscow. On Sept. 12, Bundestag Defense Committee Chair Thomas Röwekamp urged NATO to begin intercepting Russian drones over Ukraine.

Rally Around the Flag

I have repeatedly stated that the psychological war tactic is that you MUST claim that an adversary has attacked you to get people to sign up. The support hasn’t been this low since 2022. This is why false flags are so important. They are used to claim you have been attacked, and then the common people will sign up to die on the battlefield for a noble cause.

That works on all sides. A new poll made by the independent Russian institute Levada shows that the Russians are growing tired of the war in Ukraine. The poll showed that 66%, or roughly two out of three, of the participants want the Kremlin to engage in peace negotiations with Ukraine. That is the highest number since 2022, when the war began. If NATO attacks Russia using a false flag, this will support the Rally Around the Flag for Russia. Let’s face it. Russians are treated with disdain as were the Jews before World War II. That is not a scenario that implies world peace lies ahead.

Senior military leaders from NATO member states have publicly assessed that the alliance would prevail in a conventional war against Russia relatively quickly due to overwhelming advantages in personnel (over 3.4 million active troops vs. Russia’s 1.3 million), aircraft (22,000+ vs. 4,000), ships (1,100+ vs. 400), defense spending (3.5 times Russia’s), and GDP (20 times larger).

In a February 2024 speech, UK Chief of the Defence Staff Admiral Sir Tony Radakin stated that “NATO would defeat Russia quickly,” citing Russia’s struggles in Ukraine as evidence of its military weaknesses and NATO’s growing strength with the addition of Finland and Sweden. Similarly, analyses from outlets like Al Jazeera and The Week conclude that NATO’s integrated command, superior training, and equipment would lead to a “quick” conventional victory. However, they warn that this could escalate to nuclear risks if Russia faces total defeat. As I have said, if I have a gun and you break into my house and threaten to kill me, I think I may shoot back.

Sensational claims, such as NATO submarines “destroying Russia in 30 seconds,” appear in YouTube videos and informal discussions but stem from hyperbolic speculation about nuclear scenarios, not official statements. Recent X posts echo debates on NATO’s superiority but often tie it to broader geopolitical tensions without referencing its past defeats. Overall, while NATO officials project confidence in deterrence, they prioritize avoiding direct war over public victory projections.

This push for war with Russia leaves out TWO critical factors

(1) China will support Russia because it knows it will be next, as they plainly told Kallas.

(2) This will turn nuclear, and Europe, with all its conventional power, can be turned to dust in minutes, not days.

Ursula New World Order

“Europe is ready to take a step forward. We are ready to take control of the changes that are inevitable. Because we can’t let history push us around. This means that it is necessary to act now. Acting on a large scale is an indispensable condition for speed, scale and strength by 2030 … By 2030 Europe should have a strong European defense structure,” Ursula said.

This drone shot down in Poland from EVERY source I have states that this is a FALSE FLAG and there is no evidence that this every invaded Polish airspace. They desperately need to create a False Flag, get gullible people to sign their own death wish, so these failed EU leaders can keep their pensions. Ursula told the EU Parliament with great theatrics:

“Battle lines for a new world order based on power are being drawn right now,” von der Leyen told the European Parliament in her annual State of the EU address.

So, yes, Europe must fight. For its place in a world in which many major powers are either ambivalent or openly hostile to Europe,” she said.

Uncertainty

Putin is the smartest and responsible world leader at the table today. Remove him, and we will get an emotional leader like Medvedev. Speculating on a post-Putin Russia is inherently uncertain, as the regime’s opacity and Putin’s tight control over security services make a smooth transition debatable. An overthrow—whether via coup, elite infighting, or sudden death—would likely trigger a power struggle among siloviki (security elites), oligarchs, and technocrats, potentially leading to instability or even fragmentation. I would emphasize that no apparent clear heir exists, and the outcome depends on the circumstances: a managed handover (unlikely in an overthrow) versus chaotic removal.

I would list the potential replacements, prioritize loyalty to the current system, hawkish stances on Ukraine/NATO, and control over key institutions like the FSB, military, or economy, which will all come into play. Dmitry Medvedev is indeed a contender due to his proximity to Putin, but he’s not the top pick—his role is often seen as that of a “bad cop” provocateur rather than a unifying leader. Perhaps, but we are looking at an outright statement from the EU that Russia must be defeated and obliterated. We are not talking about just pushing Russia out of Ukraine.

Kaja Kallas, a ruthless Neocon, openly calls for the total destruction and breakup of Russia. This is the total destruction of the country. That is not something that should be taken lightly. That is the justification for nuclear war. Kallas is a greater threat to the EU than Putin.

MY LIST OF CONTENDERS:

Mikhail Mishustin, Prime Minister
Nikolai Patrushev, Deputy Chair, Security Council (former FSB head)
Sergei Sobyanin, Moscow Mayor
Dmitry Medvedev, Deputy Chair, Security Council
Andrei Belousov, Defense Minister
Alexei Dyumin, Tula Governor (ex-bodyguard)
Sergei Kiriyenko, First Deputy Chief of Staff

Medvedev’s name surfaces due to his history (tandem with Putin in 2008-2012) and recent high-profile positioning him as a “nuclear-ready” hardliner who could rally nationalists. X discussions often call him the “natural successor” for stability. However, he’s rarely ranked #1 in expert assessments—his provocative style (e.g., 2025 threats sparking U.S. sub deployments) makes him a Kremlin mouthpiece, not a consolidator. Others see him as a fallback, not a frontrunner, due to reputational damage from past “liberal” image and scandals. In an overthrow, elites might prefer Mishustin or Patrushev for their institutional grip.

Keep in mind that Khruschev was overthrown in a coup, and he was usurped by Bresnev because of his reckless handling of the Cuban Missile Crisis.

Post-Stalin USSR saw infighting; a similar “vicious struggle” would be likely if Russia were defeated in Ukraine, with FSB vs. military clashes. No democratic shift should be expected. Any successor would most likely double down on authoritarianism and anti-West policies, and any hope of world peace will be completely obliterated.

Then, for a coup, any replacement inherits a quagmire; hardliners like Patrushev or Medvedev might escalate, while technocrats like Mishustin seek de-escalation for economic relief.

In summary, Mishustin or Patrushev edge out as most probable for their balance of competence and control, but Medvedev remains a wildcard—loyal enough for continuity, radical enough for drama. Russia after Putin looks more like Putinism 2.0 than reform. This is all upset if NATO pushes its agenda to destroy Russia and break it up, strip mining its assets. This goal, as articulated in part by Kallas, warrants a fight to the death with nukes, and in this case, I would put my money on Medvedev, who has the high-profile that would become more valuable when confronted with the destruction of Russia, not with just pushing it out of Ukraine.

Why the United States is Doomed


Posted originally on Sep 15, 2025 by Martin Armstrong 

Statue Liberty lamentings hiding its eyes

QUESTION: I believe you have said that the United States practices the law of tyrants, conspiracy, which only proves a thought crime, not that you committed a crime. Is this why you say we are doomed, because nobody will do real legal reform?

Wes

ANSWER: Our legal system adopted the tyranny of the king and replaced him with the Department of JUST US. Its combination of the Pinkerton rule, broad federal statutes like RICO, and the strategic, frequent use by prosecutors makes American conspiracy law one of the most potent and expansive in the world. The United States has the most anti-human rights legal system on the planet. For example, under Canon Law used in France, they cannot compel any family member to testify against you. In the United States, they can imprison your children until they testify against you. The only privilege is granted to a spouse or a priest. Then they will use a divorce to get around the spouse rule. Under the Canon law of the Catholic Church, the sanctity of the family unit comes first. Under English Common Law, precedent takes precedent. We had a revolution against the king’s tyranny, replacing him with local tyranny.

They love to call Russia and China authoritarian and communist. But look at the stats. You have a 340% greater chance of going to jail in the United States compared to China. The United States has the highest percentage of its population in prison of any country in the world, so much for liberty. Suppose you lie to a government official; that is perjury, punishable by up to 5 years. If a government official lies to you, that is legal.

Without the rule of law, civilization crumbles. Courts rule in favor of the government. Rarely will you find a judge who will truly defend the Constitution, and good luck in prosecuting a judge or a prosecutor.

Region/CountryIncarceration Rate (per 100,000 population)As a Percentage of the PopulationYear/Source
USA5310.531%2024
Canada1040.104%2023
Japan360.036%2021
Russia3000.300%2023
China1210.121%2018
Europe73 (Western Europe median)0.073%2024
South America3050.305%2024 (calculated from regional data)

JAMES RICKARDS: Nobody Invaded France In The Revolution. Nobody Invaded Russia In 1917. They Collapsed From Within. That’s The Danger We Face Now: The Fifth Column


Posted originally on Rumble on By Bannon’s War Room on: September, 12, 2025