Tag Archives: Mandelbrot Set

Jan 23 2019

Gann – Astrology – Reality


Armstrong Economics Blog/Understanding Cycles

Re-Posted Jan 23, 2019 by Martin Armstrong

QUESTION: Hi Mr. Armstrong,

Do you have any thoughts on Gann and his methods?   It seems his astrological approach provides an interesting insights into cycles as well and was curious on your thoughts about his approach

Thanks
BB

ANSWER: None of the models I have created are based upon any astrological approach or movement of the planets. There are times when our targets may align with Gann’s analysis. That is interesting. Nevertheless, I do not believe that astrology is the SOURCE of cycles in markets. All of my research has been from the perspective of studying the effects irrespective of trying to identify the source.

I have stated previously that I attended a lecture by Sallie Baliunas of Harvard on the results they discovered from ice core samples. She illustrated a chart which showed the 300-year cycle in the energy output of the sun. I was stunned. I then spoke to her and showed her my Economic Confidence Model and how her cycle closely tracked the ECM for the rise and fall of empires. That added some explanation behind mass migrations etc., which I picked up from the data and history. It made sense that weather would impact the economy, especially when employment was 70% agriculture before the 20th century. However, the weather cycles alone were not the answer either, for they would collapse an empire, nation, or city-state ONLY when it was already economically weak. Hence, it too was not possible to explain all of history and the ECM by a single one-dimensional focus.

Therefore, Gann’s work is merely a separate method or approach. It does not confirm WHY cycles exist and it may yet be a coincidence that the results I discovered may align with some astrological conjunctions.

What I believe is that we are all connected. Everything plays its part. It is like a rainforest. There are countless species of plants and insects up to mammals. Take one species out and you set off a chain reaction for something else that is dependent upon that species for fertilization or sustenance. So I am not concerned about trying to link a specific event with a single particular source. I see everything is connected. Lower the interest rates to “stimulate” the economy and you reduce the income of the elderly and set the stage for the failure of pension funds. The system is just so complex; I believe it to be a waste of time. It is absurd to think we can reduce this to a specific cause and effect that boils down to a single relationship.

Jan 9 2019

Rigging the Markets


Armstrong Economics Blog/Understanding Cycles

Re-Posted Jan 9, 2019 by Martin Armstrong

QUESTION: Mr. Armstrong; I really want to thank you. You have opened the door to show that there is a hidden order that the great unwashed are unable to see. Not only did you say the Dow was not breaking out at the October high, but you even got the day of the low on Dec 26 correct and called for a bounce into early January. Do we have to wait for the turn in the ECM now since the Dow did close below 23360 at year end?

JS

ANSWER: That was a minor signal at year end. It served to put us on notice that the slingshot to the upside will be extended. That is very good news for I was concerned that such a move would have peaked by 2020/2021. It appears we have been granted a huge reprieve in that regard and we will be looking at profound events unfolding ahead. I gave the Bullish Reversals for the bounce on the Private Blog. They are capping the market for just now.

I am preparing the 2019 Outlook Report now. We have to look at all the markets and how they closed to catch a glimmer of the future behind that door. The great unwashed, sadly to say, will wake up. We are beginning to see that with the Yellow Vest movement spreading worldwide. There will always be people you just hate me because they have been wrong. They prefer to blame me than open their eyes and actually see how everything is connected. They are idiots and exactly like the bankers who paid bribes to Russian officials to rig the markets and when they collapsed, they blamed me instead of admitting you cannot rig any market to move in only one direction. That is good when they hate me for forecasting. It demonstrates and proves that there is always two sides to a market so no worries about everyone following just one model – that will NEVER happen.