Posted originally on Jun 26, 2025 by Martin Armstrong
Russia is increasing production of its Oreshnik missile system as NATO pledges an additional $40 billion to Ukraine. The nuclear-capable Oreshnik missile is a powerful system with the capacity to travel 3,415 miles, effectively enabling Russia to strike anywhere in the West from Europe to the United States.
“Serial production of the latest Oreshnik medium-range missile system is under way,” Putin told a graduating class of military cadets in televised comments. The system became operational on November 21, 2024, and used in an attack whereby it carried multiple independently targetable reentry vehicles (MIRV) payload and six warheads that were each capable of releasing submunitions. The first use of the system involved dummy warheads that still caused destruction due to hypersonic kinetic energy. It is widely believed that the first use of the Orsenhnik system was more of a psychological move than an actual strike. In fact, Moscow notified Washington 30 minutes before deploying the missile. Moscow wanted to reveal to the world that it is ready to employ this new lethal technology.
This technology effectively intimidates the West with its long-range capabilities, although Moscow states it is only ramping up production of its mid-range missile system. Moscow needs the West and NATO to know that it has the capacity to attack if cornered. Putin has claimed that this weapon cannot be intercepted and has the capacity to evade missile defense systems. Traveling at 3 km per second, existing defense systems simply would not have the time to act. The Oreshnik can also be controlled mid-flight through aerodynamic control surfaces or gliding warheads, which masks its route. Putin has also stated that this system has the power to ruin underground targets without using nuclear payloads.
It remains to be seen whether the Oreshnik missile system is “impossible to intercept,” as Putin claims. The weight behind the increased production is a clear indicator that Russia is preparing to defend itself against NATO if needed. These weapons would benefit Russia in a global conflict and are not necessarily strategically necessary for its current battle in Ukraine.
Posted originally on CTH on June 25, 2025 | Sundance
Presidential envoy Steve Witkoff deserves a great deal of credit for what followed in the aftermath of President Trump’s final elimination of the Iranian nuclear threat. Throughout the 12-day war, Witkoff maintained a diplomatic connection to the Iranian delegation in order to position a ceasefire upon conclusion.
The Trump administration is now taking a more firm stance toward who in Iran they will accept negotiations with. As noted by Secretary Rubio, the use of intermediaries has exhausted its usefulness. While Qatar may play a role as an interlocutor to bridge the two sides, the time has come for direct face-to-face discussions with Iranian officials.
With the potential of a peace agreement and increased stability throughout the region, there is an opportunity for an expanded investment and economic zone throughout the middle east, not just in Iran. As CTH noted regarding the threat to close the Strait of Hormuz, technically it is not the Iranian government who closes the strait, but rather the maritime insurance companies who refuse to underwrite an enlarged risk. The same concept applies when the absence of conflict becomes the norm. Steve Witkoff draws attention to this background context within his remarks.
An ancillary benefit in the Russia-Ukraine conflict comes from a very public display of FAFO outcomes. None of the principle characters within NATO, the EU, the U.K nor Ukraine or Russia want to face the Godzilla FAFO strategy that President Trump is willing to deploy.
The reason why the NATO partners responded with great deference to President Trump in the Netherlands is no global observer wants to face Godzilla in FAFO mode, militarily or economically. Even before the dust settled from 70 tons of massive ordnance detonation deep underground in Iran the leaders of the world knew things would be different now.
How different? We saw the outcome at the Hague.
He flew eight B-2 stealth bombers halfway around the world, undetected into Iran in the middle of the night and dropped 70 tons of high explosive deep underground into hardened nuclear sites, with another ten tons on another upstream site just for good measure…. Then turned them around, brought them home safely and brokered a ceasefire before bed.
Posted originally on CTH on June 25, 2025 | Sundance
President Trump will be delivering remarks and answering questions as he departs the NATO summit in Netherlands. The anticipated start time is 9:30am ET / 3:30pm Local. Livestream Links Below.
Posted originally on CTH on June 25, 2025 | Sundance
President Trump and his national security team held a meeting with NATO Sec.-Gen. Mark Rutte during the 2025 NATO Summit in the Hague, Netherlands, and took questions from the media.
Interestingly, NATO Secretary Mark Rutte emphasizes the new commitment from Canada repeatedly. As one of the worst offenders to adhere to their NATO obligations, and against the backdrop of tariffs and targeted trade negotiations, obviously Canada is trying to position themselves against the Trump economic agenda.
Secondly, the emphasis is again on the damage assessment from the U.S. bombing of the Iran nuclear facilities. This is critical for President Trump to break free of the intelligence community control over U.S. foreign policy expanded in the next outline. WATCH:
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