Posted originally on Jan 27, 2026 by Martin Armstrong |
China’s President Xi Jinping praised India for its friendship as India celebrated its 77th Republic Day. Xi exclaimed that China-India relations are of “great significance for maintaining and promoting world peace and prosperity,” as he praised their alliance, adding, “dragon and the elephant dancing together.”
The two nuclear powers share a 2,400 mile border that has been the culprit of disputes over the years. In 2020, a heated fight at the border led to the deaths of 20 Indian and four Chinese soldiers. Both sides increased their military presence along the Himalayan border, but after five years, the nations realigned based on trade, the great peacemaker.
India is not Europe. It is not beholden to a centralized power source. India still thinks in terms of nationhood, sovereignty, and survival. That is why it is rising. It will not destroy itself to satisfy some international bureaucrat or climate agenda. That puts India in a unique position in the emerging multipolar world.
China also understands something Europe does not–you cannot fight on too many fronts. We have countless historical examples. Napoleon did not lose because he lacked courage. He lost because he expanded too far, opened too many fronts, and logistics collapsed. Empires do not die from one battle. They die from overstretch, internal division, and loss of confidence. China does not want a major escalation with India while it is already managing Taiwan tensions, trade wars, and internal economic strains. China does not need another neighboring enemy.
India will benefit from this shift because it is being viewed as an alternative manufacturing base and a political counterweight. That does not mean India is “anti-China.” It means India is becoming strategically indispensable. China does not want India firmly locked into the Western sphere, and India is benefiting from remaining neutral.
Posted originally on Jan 27, 2026 by Martin Armstrong |
QUESTION: The Kremlin refuses to end the war in Ukraine unless the Donbas region is surrendered. Zelensky has previously stated he will not hand over the Donbas region to Moscow. This looks like what you have said. No resolution. Are we headed into more warfare in February/March?
DG
ANSWER: Zelensky is a piece of shit and that’s a complement since he is far worse than that. He does not represent Ukraine and he takes his orders from the EU and NATO. Czechoslovakia and Yugoslavia broke apart according to ethnic regions. The Minsk Agreement was the answer and I will remine everyone that Ukrainians hate the Russian people no different than Hamas vs Israel or Iran.
In May 2014, precisely on target, the Ukrainians began to attack Russians on the street, beating them and killing them. They wanted all Russians dead, and the Western Press turned a blind eye. The hatred in Ukraine of non-Ukrainians goes back to the ethnic cleansing they engaged in when they were Nazis. They hate Russians, along with all other minorities they hate and do not trust. The Donbas moved to separate after the Ukrainian were killing ethnic Russians on the street. If Russia surrendered the Donbas to Zelensky, they will carry out a massive genocide. He has already outlawed their religion, their language, and ordered that Christmas will no longer be in January. The Western press refuses to tell the truth and as such, they are paid to ensure we get war.
When we look at the blood war between Ukraine and Russia, we will reach a very critical turning point June 13th, 2026. Dmitry Medvedev said that Russia was very close to considering to nuke Ukraine last December when Zelensky attempted for a 3rd time to assassinate Putin.
President Trump has responded to the threats by Iran to kill him personally. As he said, such an act would warrant the total obliteration of a country that violated international law. Zelensky sent drone to try to kill Putin when flying in his helicopter. He knows that would set in motion World War III. Yet Zelensky continues to assassinate Russians whenever he get the chance and NATO cheers him on as they cannot wait to start war.
The target on NATO Agression is September 2nd, 2026. NOBODY seems to want peace. That is simple, Ukraine MUST honor the Minsk Agreement it signed, allow the people of the Donbas to vote on their own future. They surely will not want to be part of Ukraine which has been the mother-country of ethnic cleansing.
It was Kiev that started this war NOT Russia. They declared everyone in the Donbas to be a terrorist because they moved to separate after the Ukrainians were slaughtering Russians in Odessa. Anyone who thinks this is being a Putin supporter, grab your gun, go to Ukraine and defend the people would support.
The EU signed a peace deal and lied to Russia never intending to honor it. Merkel admitted that publicly that they would buying time for Ukraine to build an army to start World War III.
Before Russia crossed the border to defend the Donbas, he told Zelensky to his face that honoring the Minsk Agreement was paramount.
Our computer has gone flatline on Ukraine. It will NOT survive as we know it. Zelensky is lining his pockets and is sacrificing Ukraine at the direction of the Neocons. The Ukrainian people are just pawns on a chessboard for NATO. Nobody gives a second thought about the Ukrainian people.
Why Trump’s Art of the Deal Cannot Work in a Blood Feud
Trump thinks he’s negotiating a real estate deal. He sees territorial disputes over the Donbas, security guarantees, and NATO membership as “very thorny issues” that can be resolved through compromise. Get both sides to give a little, split the difference, shake hands, move on. The problem is you cannot negotiate with a Ukrainian. Sorry, I have tried. I even had two employees in Ukraine one on each side. You cannot reason. If you brought a bottle of vodka to dinner in Kiev and it was Russian, they regarded that as an insult and you were lucky if they did not smash it over your head and this was all before 2014.
This isn’t a real estate negotiation. This is even more than a regime survival. This is a deeply engrained blood feud. This has escalated to the point that the West does NOT appreciate the seriousness here. Putin isn’t fighting now just for the Donbas. He’s fighting to stay politically alive. Accepting a peace deal that leaves Ukraine in control of the Donbas invites WWIII. If Putin were forced out of Ukraine, this will be Coup #3 and then you will get a Russia Neocon who would have no problem engaging in WWIII knowing this is not about Ukraine, this is about the destruction of Russia. Coup #1 took place in 1964 after Khrushchev was forced to backdown after the 1962 Cuban Missile Crisis. Then Coup #2 was against Gorbachev after fears he might accept the deal to join NATO. Putin is NOT a hardline Neocon nor is he a Communist. That is why Boris Yelstin turned to him for the Communists had filed a motion to impeach him trying to stage Coup #3 to take Russia back to the USSR.
It is amazing to me how the press keep cheering the idea of defeating Putin. They cannot see the big picture nor can they contemplate what would be the next step. Russia does have Moscow ringed with Neutral Missiles. For those who do not know that a Neutron bomb is, let me explain it. A neutron bomb is a type of nuclear bomb, but it’s a special design that optimizes one effect (radiation) while minimizing others (blast and heat). Even if you are in a bunker, a neutron bomb generates such intense radiation that it would penetrate shelters, buildings, and even reach into a bunker killing the people inside without causing major damage to the structure. However, what this would also do is actually neutralize an incoming nuclear missile. It would fry all electronics.
Besides Russia’s hypersonic missiles, it also has the Shkval (VA-111 Shkval) rocket torpedo. It travel inside a bubble within water. The “bubble” is the key to its incredible speed. This is known as Supercavitation. Instead of trying to move through dense water, the Shkval creates a giant, continuous gas bubble (a cavity) around its entire body. This reduces the friction with a Gas Generator. The nose of the torpedo has a cavitator. As it moves, a gas generator (usually burning fuel) expels hot gas through this nose, creating and maintaining the bubble.
Inside this bubble of gas, the torpedo experiences dramatically reduced hydrodynamic drag—essentially, it’s flying through a gas envelope rather than plowing through water. This allows it to reach speeds impossible for conventional torpedoes. It is know to have Reported Speeds of 200 knots and possibly greater (approximately 230 mph or 370 km/h). This is 4-5 times faster than a standard Western torpedo (which typically travels 40-50 knots). Its propulsion instead of a propeller is a solid-fuel rocket engine for its initial sprint, then a liquid-fuel ramjet for sustained speed in later models.
The Western press make it sound that Russia is weak, and we can take them with zero causalities with one arm tied behind our back. Putin is NOT a Neocon. Replace him and you will get a Neocon who will be as irresponsible our our Neocons who have no regard for human life. They think this is a video game of Maro Brothers and they have to win at all costs, which is everyone else’s children – never their own.
Posted originally on Jan 20, 2026 by Martin Armstrong |
The Board of Peace was established in November 2025 to champion the Gaza-Israel ceasefire. Donald Trump will act as the first chairman and has begun inviting nations to join, including Russia. The headlines are reacting as if this is some radical, unprecedented concept.
I have said repeatedly that the real objective for decades has never been “defense.” It has been control. NATO was transformed from a Cold War alliance into a political weapon, and once you turn something into an instrument of power, you can no longer negotiate honestly because your entire structure depends upon having an enemy. That is why every peace proposal gets attacked by the very people who claim they want peace. Their careers, budgets, and political relevance depend on conflict.
Here is what the press will not tell you. Russia was asked to join NATO in the 1990s. I have seen the declassified documents from the Clinton Administration and provided them in my book, The Plot to Seize Russia. Russia was offered the chance to join NATO. That was viewed internally as a surrender to the United States, and it fueled political backlash inside Russia. Yeltsin standing on the tank was not some Hollywood moment. It was the turning point where Russia’s internal struggle over its future collided with how the West was positioning itself behind the scenes.
The West had a window where it could have ended the Cold War properly. Instead, it pivoted into expansion, not because it was “necessary,” but because it was profitable and politically useful. They wanted a unipolar world. They wanted Russia down permanently. They wanted Europe locked into dependence. And now they stand there shocked that Russia will not play the role of obedient subordinate.
The Board of Peace is a public relations attempt to manage a crisis that has spiraled beyond anyone’s control. The bankers, the politicians, and the bureaucrats are all trapped. Europe is collapsing economically, and war has become the only policy tool they have left to distract the population from the failure of their fiscal mismanagement, their censorship, their energy suicide, and their endless taxation.
Trump’s instinct here is not wrong: peace comes from aligning interests, not moral posturing. If you want to stop wars, you have to remove the incentive structure that rewards war. Bringing Russia into a broader security framework is not a “gift” to Russia. It is a way to remove the excuse for escalation. It is what should have happened decades ago. But the Neocons cannot allow that because the moment there is peace, the public starts asking where all the money went, why their standard of living is falling, and why government debt has exploded to levels that cannot be sustained.
Europe claims Russia is the threat, yet they have been pushing NATO to Russia’s border for decades while pretending it was “defensive.” If Russia had placed a military alliance on the US border, Washington would have responded the same way. This is not complicated. It is human nature and geopolitics.
The world is moving into a Sovereign Debt Crisis. That is the real backdrop to all of this. Governments are desperate because they cannot fund themselves honestly anymore. They will use war to justify capital controls. They will use war to justify surveillance. They will use war to justify anything. That is why the trend is becoming far more hostile globally. This is not about one man, one country, or one election. It is the cycle of government itself. Confidence rises and falls, and when confidence collapses, governments always reach for force.
If Trump is serious about a new peace structure, it will not be popular among the establishment because it threatens the entire war machine. And if Russia joining NATO is even discussed, it will expose the biggest lie of the last 30 years — that this was ever about defense rather than domination. They had the chance in the 1990s. They rejected real peace then, because peace did not
Posted originally on Jan 20, 2026 by Martin Armstrong |
Trump is requesting that Board of Peace member states pay $1 billion for permanent membership. This kind of blunt, transactional policy is misread by those who believe peace should come without a price tag, but it exposes the core hypocrisy that has infected NATO and the entire post-war alliance structure.
For decades, Europe has behaved as if the United States is some endless ATM that exists to underwrite its defense, its bureaucracy, and its political fantasies. They lecture the world about morality, human rights, and “shared values,” while simultaneously refusing to pay their own bills. NATOhas become the perfect example. The United States supplies the overwhelming share of the money, the hardware, the logistics, and the risk, while Europe holds press conferences and tells America what it “must” do. That is not an alliance.
The press will portray this $1 billion idea as extortion. There is no such thing as collective security without collective contribution. If a country wants a seat at the table permanently, wants access to intelligence, protection, diplomacy, crisis response, and the prestige of being “in the club,” then they should have skin in the game. Otherwise, what you get is what we have now where countries demand war because they know someone else will pay for it.
Members can participate for three-year stints without the lump sum, but a lifetime membership is bought at a fixed price. That is far more honest than the current arrangement, where membership becomes a permanent entitlement, and the bill gets dumped on the United States through political pressure. At least this is transparent. Pay for permanence or rotate in and out.
The real issue here is that NATO was never designed to be a welfare system. It was created in a very different era, and like every bureaucracy, it evolved into something that exists for its own survival. Once an institution has payrolls, pensions, contractors, and political status, it will find reasons to continue forever. That is why NATO has expanded rather than dissolved after the Cold War. That is why there is always a new “existential threat.” If there is no enemy, there is no justification for the budget.
Trump treats alliances like contracts. Contracts require terms, enforcement, and payment. The Europeans want the benefits of an American security, but they do not want the obligations. That is why they always scream “America First” as if it is some crime to defend your own national interest.
But Europe cannot pay. That is the underlying reason for the entire crisis. They are sinking under socialism, overregulation, and endless taxation. Their energy policy has been economic suicide. Their debt is rising while their economies stagnate. Their demographic trend is collapsing. They have built a model where productive people are punished to subsidize bureaucracies and political promises that can never be honored. And the establishment now seeks war because it distracts the people, justifies emergency powers, and provides an excuse for confiscation.
The media will claim this makes diplomacy exclusive or pay-to-play. But diplomacy is already pay-to-play. It always has been. The difference is that now the payment is explicit rather than hidden through backdoor pressure, debt issuance, and American taxpayers financing Europe’s defense while Europe spends money on welfare programs and lectures America about climate taxes. When an alliance becomes a one-way street, it will not last. Trump is simply forcing the accounting that everyone else has refused to do.
Posted originally on Jan 20, 2026 by Martin Armstrong |
QUESTION: Marty; Do you intend to endorse anyone for the midterm elections?
ER
ANSWER: No. The Neocons have their fangs very deep into Congress. I cannot in good conscience endorse anyone. Even if the actual candidate may not be on board with the Neocons, they install plants who give bad advice to support the Neocons, even when the candidate is unaware that they are being manipulated. I have tried my best, but it just is not good enough.
Europe’s Delusion: The Sixth March to Moscow The cycle of history reveals a pattern so consistent it borders on the absurd: Europe, clinging to memories of empires that no longer exist, repeatedly attempts to reassert dominance through the conquest or subjugation of Russia. We are now witnessing what may be the sixth iteration of this fatal attraction, and like all previous attempts, it is destined to fail—not because of Russian military superiority, but because Europe fundamentally misunderstands the nature of power in the 21st century and refuses to accept its own diminished position in the global order.
The cycle is clear. Europe’s time as a dominant force in world affairs ended 80 years ago. The sixth invasion of Russia is merely the final proof that Europe’s political elite class never accepted this reality. By the time the current crisis resolves, that acceptance will no longer be optional. The world is moving on, and Europe is being left behind—frozen in the Russian winter of its own making, one final time.
The idea that the Eurozone’s larger GDP would automatically make the euro defeat the dollar as the world’s dominant reserve currency was a popular hypothesis in the early years of the euro (late 1990s/early 2000s), but it has proven to be an oversimplification. This has always been about rising to the top of the world once again living in the glow of past memories of greatness.
The newspaper that famously claimed the “Pound’s days are numbered” and would decline because the UK was not joining the euro was The Independent. On June 5, 2000, The Independent ran a front-page headline stating “Pound’s days are numbered”, with the article arguing that the pound was doomed to fall sharply in value if Britain stayed out of the euro. This came during a period of intense debate in the UK about whether to adopt the single European currency.
The problem always stems from the failure to understand what is the backbone of a reserve currency that the Eurozone lacks. In times of global crisis, investors still overwhelmingly flock to U.S. dollar assets. The capitalization of just the NYSE is greater than all of European exchanged combined. Political & Military Power has always been key from ancient dats of Athens, Alexander the Great, to Rome and even Venice during the Middle Ages. The dollar’s role is underpinned by U.S. geopolitical influence and security alliances, which the EU does not match as a unified entity.
The prediction, however, turned out to be incorrect in the medium term. Instead of declining, the pound actually strengthened significantly against the euro for much of the following decade, reaching a peak in the mid-2000s. The journalists and economists who confidently declared the “pound’s days are numbered” in 2000 were catastrophically wrong. Yet most faced no professional consequences for such spectacular predictive failure—they simply moved on to the next confident prediction.
This is why I have consistently argued: ignore the consensus, follow the cycle, and question anyone who claims certainty about complex systems reduced to a single explanation. The euro prediction debacle is a textbook case of how political ideology, groupthink, and institutional bias can produce wildly inaccurate forecasts that are presented as inevitable economic truth.
This headline is often cited as a classic example of media misjudgment on major economic and political issues. A significant strand of argument in parts of the London press did claim that adopting the euro was a French-led project designed to challenge, and ultimately “defeat,” United States economic and geopolitical dominance. That dream failed for the Eurozone could not turn away from the Marxist Agenda.
The Neocons are working overtime telling their plants to inform their candidate not to listen to our forecasts. I have encountered this before and this time they are going all out. I find it strange how every intelligence agency wants this info, but members are Congress are being told to keep you distance. This obviously intended to make sure they get their World War III. We will be issuing an update to the Cycle of War for 2026. We will let you know when it shall be released.
Posted originally on Jan 19, 2026 by Martin Armstrong |
Peace was never an option. The Russia-Ukraine war was plotted out over a decade ago by people unassociated with either nation. The Plot to Seize Russia explains everything in detail. Yeltsin handed Putin the reins to protect Russia from the oligarchs. The West installed Zelensky to quietly control Ukraine and position it for battle. Former German Chancellor Angela Merkel admitted that the Minsk Agreement was a lie, an appeasement to pass time to allow Ukraine to build its military.
World leaders continually declare that Russia shows no signs of accepting peace. “What we’ve seen is the huge commitment to work being done by Ukraine, with the US and supported by Europe to draw up plans for peace including security guarantees,” Britain’s Foreign Secretary, Yvette Cooper said. “But so far, I don’t see the evidence that Putin is yet willing to come to the table, or yet willing to have discussions.”
“Most importantly, we want peace and harmony to reign in Ukraine, and we are ready to work together with other countries to do everything to facilitate and support such a development,” President Putin stated on March 17, 2014, during his reunification speech.
“For eight years, for eight long years, we have done everything possible to resolve the situation by peaceful political means,” Putin said on a televised address on February 24, 2022, when Russia began its “special military operation” in Ukraine. Moscow was prepared to honor the Minsk Agreement, but Europe was not. The Minsk Agreement is paramount. Putin has repeatedly called for peace over the past four years.
“We are set on serious negotiations with Ukraine. Their aim is to eliminate the root causes of the conflict and to achieve a long‑term lasting peace for a historical perspective,” the Russian President said in May 2025 when he discussed a potential ceasefire. Dmitry Peskov, Kremlin spokesman, reiterated readiness for “a peaceful settlement to end the war.”
The headlines continue to spit out propaganda—peace is not an option. Peace IS an option for Russia, and perhaps Ukraine, but the neocon elite simply will not allow the war to end. Zelensky seemed willing to accept a peace deal in 2022, but the UK’s Boris Johnson promptly talked him out of accepting the deal.
I submitted my peace proposal to Washington in November 2025. The Trump Administration, perhaps with the guidance of my proposal, created a strategy for peace that only one side was willing to accept.
War is a great way to default on debts. You get to form a new government, and they always disavow the debts of the previous government. Europe has been committing economic suicide. Between the COVID-19 Lockdowns, the NET-ZERO Climate Change, and then the sanctions on Russia that doubled their fuel costs, you could not ask for a more brain-dead group of politicians who have ZERO comprehension of even how the economy functions.
Posted originally on Jan 16, 2026 by Martin Armstrong |
Thread: Ukraine’s Troubling Conscription Tactics
1/ Ukraine’s war effort depends on forced conscription, but its methods are alarming. Over 1M men drafted since 2022, now targeting ages 25–60. The government’s coercive tactics are undermining trust and morale. 🧵👇 pic.twitter.com/DsgJcsj1ok
Zelensky is forcing a generation to perish in this endless war with Russia and NATO. Recent reports indicate that 200,000 soldiers have gone AWOL (absent without leave), and for perspective, that is more soldiers than the entire UK military. Ukraine’s new Defense Minister Mykhailo Fedorov warned that the government is hunting down two million Ukrainians who are wanted for evading mobilization.
“Today, we cannot fight with new technologies, with an old organizational structure,” Fedorov said in a televised warning. “Our goal is to change the system, carry out army reforms, improve the infrastructure on the front, to eradicate lies and corruption, to instill leadership, and a new culture of trust.”
The age of conscription was lowered from 27 to 25 back in April 2024. Zelensky has demanded that men from 25 up to 60 years of age join mobilization efforts. Ukraine has a population of 40 million, and 2 million evaders represent a significant portion of men, but only six months ago, reports indicated that 6 million menwere wanted for evading the draft.
Everything comes with a price tag in Ukraine. The alleged cost for organized desertion begins in the $7,000 rage, and some reports have stated individuals were able to remove themselves from wanted registry lists for $3,500. Men have attempted to flee to neighboring Belarus, Romania, and Hungary. Romania reportedly detained over 10,000 attempted evaders in 2025 alone. There is little room for escape; everyone must comply with Zelensky’s death orders.
BRUTAL SCENES IN UKRAINE: Watch as a man fights back against forced draft—only to get beaten down by troops in broad daylight!
With massive front-line casualties, draft-dodging and illegal border runs have ballooned into a MULTI-BILLION $ underground empire
The punishment for going AWOL during wartime is five to 12 years imprisonment, but the Defense Ministry needs those men on the battlefield. Europe is eager to step in once Ukraine decimates a generation of men and permanently alters its demographic. The men in Europe have no say on the matter either. Governments can temporarily rely on the economic downturn to attract new recruits, but there simply are not enough men available to play in the neocon war games. Drafts will happen worldwide once World War III breaks out.
Conscripts receive two weeks of training before battle. The government has resorted to “busification” or kidnapping to force men to comply with the draft. Soldiers are expected to fight until they are killed to too badly injured to continue fighting. Reports state that there is little rotation from the frontlines as Zelensky has simply run out of men and plans to use the remaining troops as cannon fodder.
Sentiment is quite different when people believe in cause. The current war has dragged on for four years, no progress has been made on peace deals or treaties, and the scope has widened significantly due to the globalist neocons who have been patiently waiting to join the battle. The elites demand destruction from the safety of their glass castles while millions live in fear, hiding from the death and destruction that awaits them.
Posted originally on Jan 16, 2026 by Martin Armstrong |
Nothing causes capital to flee offshore faster than an incoming war. US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent warned that Iranian officials are rapidly moving capital out of Iran ahead of US intervention.
“As Treasury who carries out the sanctions we can see is we are now seeing the rats fleeing the ship because we can see millions, tens of millions of dollars being wired out of the country, snuck out of the country by the Iranian leadership,” Bessent said in an interview with Newsmax. “So they are abandoning ship, and we are seeing it come into banks and financial institutions all over the world,” the Treasury Secretary added.
Bessent said that the US is closely following the money trail. Over $1.5 billion was transferred to Dubai within 48 hours, with the majority of transfers happening through cryptocurrency. Potential successor Mojtaba Khamenei and the current Supreme Leader’s own son are believed to be involved in these money transfers.
It becomes harder to freeze and sanction funds once offshore, but governments will find a way. The UAE has applied UN Security Council resolutions against Iran, allowing it to freeze bank accounts of targeted individuals and groups. Mutual Legal Assistance Treaties (MLATs) require governments to share banking information and permit one another to freeze or transfer assets by leveraging tax treaties (TIEAs).
Cryptocurrency is not off the grid. Using crypto may make the task a bit more difficult for intelligence agencies, but there is a reason that the US immediately knew where the funds were sent. The US tracked the money from Iran to Dubai and will continue to trace the blockchain until they can safely confiscate the funds. Tools like Chainalysis Reactor, TRM Labs, and Elliptic allow track crypto transactions across various blockchains and provide information on transaction dates, price amounts, and wallet addresses. That information is then integrated into systems that cross-check the accounts with sanctions lists to map illegal capital flows.
Back in September 2025, two Iranians were sanctioned by the US for transferring $100 million in crypto through oil sales. Separately, the Revolutionary Guard was caught moving $1 billion through a UK-based crypto exchange. US Treasury Official Miad Maleki commented that “the $1 billion figure over two years demonstrates that digital currencies are becoming a financial channel for Iran’s shadow banking apparatus.”
The largest crypto freeze in history also involved Iranian funds. In July 2025, 42 addresses with exposure to Iranian exchanges were traced and frozen with the help of virtual asset service providers (VASPs).
Governments tolerate cryptocurrencies because they still retain control over them. Neither crypto nor Iranian officials will be able to flee US intelligence authorities. Iranian state TV broadcast an image of Trump’s assassination attempt at his campaign rally in July 2024. “This time it will not miss the target,” the media outlet ominously warned. Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei has lost control. The entire nation turned its back on the regime. It reached the full extent of authoritarianism and then murdered over 12,000 citizens in cold blood; there is absolutely nothing that Khamenei can do to restore the confidence of his people or allies. A US strike is imminent.
Posted originally on Jan 12, 2026 by Martin Armstrong |
President Trump’s announcement that he wants to push the U.S. defense budget to $1.5 trillion in 2027 is being framed as a necessary response to “very troubled and dangerous times” and a way to build what he calls a “Dream Military.” He claims that tariff revenues generated by his trade policies can help fund the increase and even allow for debt reduction while maintaining economic growth. There is a reason that Washington wants to increase its budget drastically, and the timing aligns perfectly with our computer model.
The proposal represents a roughly 50% increase from the $901 billion defense budget approved for 2026. The massive increase in funding represents a country preparing for a major geopolitical event. America stands alone. It can no longer trust the neocons in NATO, besides, America was the one primarily funding the organization. All of America’s allies are on the fence in terms of continued support, with the majority showing intense disapproval for recent military ventures.
Europe’s involvement in the Russia-Ukraine war cannot be ignored. Protests have erupted in France and Germany to declare that the people do not wish to die for Ukraine, but they have no say. The EU is run by neocons who are eagerly awaiting their turn to enter the conflict directly. China, the Middle East, South America, and Europe—conflicts are emerging in every corner of the globe, and unsurprisingly, America has been at the forefront.
An additional $500 million ensures the United States retains its reputation for having the most advanced military in the world, one would hope, but Chinahas been rapidly advancing its military capabilities in preparation for a grand-scale conflict. Russia has been testing nuclear missiles, some powerful enough to create toxic radioactive tsunami waves that can wipe cities off the map.
We are approaching a critical turning point in the Economic Confidence Model. Confidence will continue to decline as war nears, and capital will continue to seek refuge in private assets. When confidence declines, politicians turn to external enemies to justify internal failures. War becomes a tool to distract from fiscal mismanagement and to consolidate power. The 2026 panic cycle aligns with a historic pattern in which sovereign debt crises and geopolitical conflict converge. This is not the beginning of war; it is the escalation phase.
Posted originally on Jan 7, 2026 by Martin Armstrong |
Syria has agreed to create an intelligence network with the United States and Israel. Syrian President Ahmed al-Sharaa, a former Sunni jihadist and known terrorist, became a CIA asset after he was captured while fighting for Al Qaeda in Iraq. I explained on numerous occasions that he was compromised and installed into his position by the CIA; Syria’s new alignment with Israel should not come as a shock.
Steve Witkoff, Jared Kushner, and Tom Barrack represented the US envoy for Syria during the Israel-Syria meeting in Paris this week. Washington reported that the meeting went as intended, with Israel and Syria agreeing to a “fusion mechanism” by which they will share intelligence, diplomatic engagement, military de-escalation, and commercial issues.
For decades, Syria and Israel have technically been at war. That hostility has been useful politically for both sides. It justified military budgets, internal repression, and foreign alliances. This development reiterates what the computer has warned: the Middle East is fragmenting into blocs, and the old Cold War alignments are collapsing.
Reports have emerged that Iranian officials are seeking to assassinate al-Sharaa. Al-Assad’s former military intelligence chief, Major General Kamal Hassan, is building a militia among Syria’s Alawite minority community, according to a December 2025 Reuters report. The ousted dictator’s billionaire cousin, Rami Makhlouf, has been financing Hassan’s efforts. Feared special forces commander Suhail al-Hassan, known as “The Tiger,” has been recruiting thousands of men to oppose al-Assad and retake control.
Syria is no longer beholden to Iran as its new financiers are from the West. Russia is no longer policing the region and the US has a stronghold over Syria. This alignment is temporary and a precursor to a larger regional conflict on the horizon.
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