GERMANY has just closed its borders within Europe and that includes France. The free movement of goods should remain secured. Commuters can also continue to cross the borders, but they are also trying to stop panic buying which actually is the first step in reigniting inflation.
I have been doing my own investigation using REAL DIRECT sources who do suggest that the death rate caused by the flu is higher than reported and in that case, the numbers may be understated, but that does involve the elderly in particular. Hence, the death rate here with the Coronavirus may really be on par. That is just a numbers game that is not substantially different.
While the conspiracy people love to paint everything as the end of the world, the threat has nothing to do with the mortality rate of the Coronavirus. It may be slightly higher, but it is in the 1-3% range and this comes from people on the front line. The real problem is that there was not enough testing available and it was restricted to those who traveled. That is what Trump addressed to expand the ability to test based upon symptoms rather than limited to travel.
After speaking to friends in the infectious disease specialty, they explained that the real problem created by this panic is that they make people who have only the flu think they are going to die and then they rush to urgent care centers or doctors unnecessarily. That overburdens the system which only makes things worse. Only if you have a fever should you go! Otherwise, stay at home for 2 weeks.
Americans tend to go to work even when they are sick. It is a cultural thing. That you should not do. This is teaching people more about being able to work from home. Universities are switching to online classes and this may actually be an event that furthers that trend long-term.
The primary issue is that this is a parallel outbreak that is similar to the flu but different. This tends to require respirators and hospitalization at a higher rate than the flu. The real crisis is just that there can be a shortage of beds. One healthcare provider questioned if these conspiracy people are deliberately trying to reduce the population for climate change. I suppose that is yet another counter-conspiracy, conspiracy.
Anyone with young children knows when they are under the age of 10, they tend to bring home every possible version of whatever is running around. Parents will go through those years that often seem as if they have a cold that never goes away. It may make sense to keep the little ones home if you can.
Consequently, these people who are spreading such absolute panic are the very people who are endangering lives. They are sending people into doctors who should not be there worried that they are going to die. These people are the real threat to society for they are acting unprofessionally for some personal issues. They have done everything possible to claim the numbers are fake, 50% will die, it is laced with aids, a biological weapon unleashed by China or by the US on China. The spin seems to be endless. If if it was a biological weapon, it is a dud on that score and it has subsided in China and South Korea showing it is just a virus. So what’s the difference?
We have staff in China. It has subsided there as any normal virus does. We were in direct contact with our hotel in Shanghai since we had planned to have a WEC there in May. There is always a peak and then it fades away. However, it may reappear in a slightly different version 2.0 for the next flu season, unlike SARS, etc. This is because it spreads differently. We will cross that bridge when it comes. If this mutates into a flu-like disease that reappears each year in parallel, that will put a lot of strain on the entire system.
The economic impact of this panic fueled by these individuals is amazing. In Canada, a coffee shop refuses to accept paper money. We have Apple and Nike closing stores. This all seems to be overkill since they do not do that for the flu. But these types of actions will send the economic numbers down very hard for the first quarter and our model shows the low will not come until the early second quarter.
The conspiracy people who have been using this in their hatred of Trump desperate to overthrow him are unleashing a surge in authoritarianism never witnessed in modern history. Spain has issued a curfew people cannot leave their homes. Economically, the damage is profound. The German finance minister has already proposed just NATIONALIZING companies. That means investors lose everything. I can’t think of another reason for a dollar panic high better than that as all investment capital flees to the dollar.
Using this panic to justifying nationalizing companies is precisely the agenda of Greenpeace. This does not seem to be a coincidence. The conspirators behind this Coronavirus are on this same agenda, are either too stupid or they are using this for the same end goal. Some of the proposals being floated are strangely the same as Greenpeace – seize industry to save the planet. Anyone pushing this panic, I suggest you investigate their connections. They are either fools, or this is yet another clever ploy like using a 16-year-old girl as a climate expert. They seem to be cheering on millions of people who will die like they can’t wait. The 1968 flu did kill 3 million. That must be their dream-like Greenpeace – reduce the population.
The Big Apple is about to get very interesting… A dense, mostly liberal population, all bound up in close proximity, now instructed by executive order and forced mandatory compliance, to essentially shut down. [Link to NYC Press Releases]
New York Mayor de Blasio – “Our lives are all changing in ways that were unimaginable just a week ago. We are taking a series of actions that we never would have taken otherwise in an effort to save the lives of loved ones and our neighbors.
Now it is time to take yet another drastic step. The virus can spread rapidly through the close interactions New Yorkers have in restaurants, bars and places where we sit close together. We have to break that cycle.”
Effective tomorrow, March 16, New York City schools will close.
“Tomorrow, I will sign an Executive Order limiting restaurants, bars and cafes to food take-out and delivery. Nightclubs, movie theaters, small theater houses, and concert venues must all close. The order will go into effect Tuesday, March 17 at 9:00 AM.”
“This is not a decision I make lightly. These places are part of the heart and soul of our city. They are part of what it means to be a New Yorker. But our city is facing an unprecedented threat, and we must respond with a wartime mentality.” (read more)
White House trade and manufacturing advisor Peter Navarro discusses the administration effort, a possible executive order, to shift U.S. dependency for critical health sector and pharmaceutical products back to domestic production. [Important Discussion]
The White House COVID-19 task force led by Vice President Mike Pence will be holding an update on coronavirus mitigation efforts at 5:00pm. Livestream Links below:
UPDATE: Video Added
WH Livestream Link – Fox10 Livestream Link – PBS Livestream Link
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Based on increasingly panicked statements from local officials, yesterday it became more likely that government officials were going to take extreme measures.
Moments ago Illinois Governor J.B. Pritzker held a press briefing and announced the mandatory closure of all restaurants and bars across the entire state.
“I am ordering all bars and restaurants in the state of Illinois to close to the public as of the close of business, Monday night, March 16th through March 30th.
We are working with restaurant owners and food delivery services across the state to see if restaurants can safely keep their kitchens open so the restaurants can keep the food delivery to people at their homes. Additionally, we are allowing drive-through and curbside pick-up for restaurants to serve the public through this period”… (link)
Earlier this afternoon President Trump and Vice-President Mike Pence held a teleconference with a who’s-who of executives within the U.S. grocery supply chain.
[Per the White House] “Today, President Donald J. Trump held a telephone call with more than two dozen grocery store and supply chain executives from across the country. The President thanked them for the work they have already done to meet the needs of the public and for their continued commitment to the communities they serve.”
“All of the executives are working hand-in-hand with the Federal Government, as well as State and local leaders, to ensure food and essentials are constantly available. The President reminded the participants that this is an all-of-America approach and each of their stores and the stores they support can help Americans feel calm and safe when shelves are stocked with the items they need.”
“Supply chains in the United States are strong, and it is unnecessary for the American public to hoard daily essentials. The President thanked the executives for their close partnership and pledged to stay in close communication.” (read more)
Trump Administration: President Donald J. Trump, Vice President Mike Pence, Secretary Steven Mnuchin, Department of the Treasury; Secretary Sonny Perdue, Department of Agriculture; Larry Kudlow, Assistant to the President and Director of the National Economic Council; Tim Pataki, Deputy Assistant to the President and Director of the Office of Public Liaison
♦ Dave Clark, Senior Vice President, World Wide Operations, Whole Foods Market
♦ Mark Clouse, CEO, Campbell Soup Company
♦ Brian Cornell, CEO, Target
♦ Mike Duffy, CEO, C & S Wholesale Grocers
♦ Randy Edeker, Chairman, CEO, and President, Hy-Vee
♦ Geoff Freeman, President and CEO, Consumer Brands Association
♦ Greg Ferrara, President and CEO, National Grocers Association
♦ Grant Haag, President and CEO, Winco Food
♦ Jeff Harmening, CEO, General Mills, Inc.
♦ Jason Hart, CEO, Aldi USA
♦ Kevin Holt, CEO, Ahold-Delhaize USA
♦ Kevin Hourican, President and CEO, Sysco
♦ Anthony Hucker, President and CEO, Southeastern Grocers
♦ Craig Jelinek, CEO, Costco
♦ Todd Jones, CEO, Publix Super Markets
♦ Laura Karet, President and CEO, Giant Eagle, Inc.
♦ Rick Keyes, CEO, Meijer
♦ Donnie King, Group President and Chief Admin Officer, Tyson Food
♦ David MacLennan, Chairman and CEO, Cargill, Inc.
♦ Rodney McMullen, CEO and Chairman of the Board, The Kroger Co.
♦ Doug McMillon, CEO, Walmart
♦ Miguel Patricio, CEO, The Kraft Heinz Company
♦ Gregg Roden, Senior Vice President, PepsiCo North America Supply Chain
♦ Vivek Sankaran, President and CEO, Albertson’s
♦ Leslie Sarasin, President and CEO, Food Industry Association
♦ Steven Spinner, Chairman and CEO, United Natural Foods, Inc.
♦ Peter Van Helden, CEO, Stater Bros. Markets
♦ Todd Vassos, CEO, Dollar General Corporation
♦ Rob Vitale, President and CEO, Post Holdings, Inc.
♦ Colleen Wegman, CEO, Wegmans
Dr. Anthony Fauci appears on Fox News to discuss the latest administration efforts to mitigate the impacts of the coronavirus. As soon as the interview begins Fox News Chris Wallace makes a startling claim about Americans returning from abroad:
“You can see them here, in close proximity, coming back from Europe, some of them carrying the coronavirus“…
Really? Chris Wallace criticizes the administration over every granular word assembly; yet, amid his pathological need to hype fear and panic, Wallace seemingly has no self-awareness about his own statements. Again, more ridiculousness.
If taken at its purest presentation (and it shouldn’t be)…. If what Wallace claims is correct, doesn’t the appearance of infected people at U.S. airports by itself explain the need for the screening he is criticizing?
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Additionally, it is becoming increasingly clear Dr. Fauci has entered a psychological phase where he’s become addicted to his own sense of importance. His need to appear on all media everywhere, is now a detriment to the administration effort.
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Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin appears on ABC news where Jonathan Karl demands the U.S. Treasury Secretary should collapse the economy. Pathetic and desperate Mr. Karl wants a recession almost as much as he wants the job to replace Stephanopoulos.
This interview is a case study in TDS. The media are addicted to selling a resistance narrative. Coronavirus is to media like crack cocaine is to an addict.
Instead of taking the opportunity with the Treasury Secretary to explain what measures are in place to help businesses deal with financial assistance, and have Mnuchin outline what procedures are in place for them to follow, the media waste ten minutes constructing their anti-Trump narrative for an audience. It is ridiculous.
Right now, today, the retail food supply-chain is trying to recover from previous panic buying. Across the nation grocery stores are wiped out. Warehouses are emptying trying to replenish the stores. The upstream suppliers are trying to resupply the warehouses.
Supermarkets are closing early and opening late while trying to stem panic and fulfill customer demand. Now is exactly the wrong time to limit food choices and push more people into those retail food stores.
No advance notice. No time to prepare or plan… just an immediate order.
Imagine what will happen tomorrow morning in Ohio and Illinois at grocery stores.
Notice these orders from short-sighted governors are in effect almost immediately. Meaning no-one has had the time to prepare for this type of a disruption in the total food supply chain.
These governors do not have any experience, policy framework, or previously established state-wide systems (having been tested through experience) for a process of rapid food distribution as a result of a state emergency. They are flying by the seat of their pants, and taking advice from the wrong people with the wrong priorities and the wrong frame-of-reference.
A government cannot just shut down 30 to 50 percent of the way civil society feeds themselves, without planning and advanced preparation for an alternative. Those who AREthe alternative, the retail food grocers, need time to prepare themselves (and their entire logistical system) for the incredible impact. Without preparation this is a man-made crisis about to get a lot worse.
Some states have emergency food distribution and contingency plans. Those states are hurricane prone states; and those states have experienced the intense demand on the food distribution system when restaurants are closed and people in society need to eat.
Those states have, by necessity, developed massive logistical systems to deal with the food needs of their citizens. These current short-sighted states are not those prepared states.
Any governor who shuts down their restaurant industry without a civil contingency plan is being incredibly, catastrophically, reckless. It really is a terribly dangerous decision.
Any policy that drives more demand, when demand is already outpacing supply, is a bad policy. This is the food supply chain we are talking about. This is not arbitrary stuff being discussed. This supply chain is critical.
People freak out about access to food.
For the past 20 to 30 years there have been exhaustive studies on the growth of the restaurant sector. It has been well documented that as the pace of society increased, as efficiencies and productivity increased; and as less of the population learned how to cook and prepare meals; approximately 30% of retail food growth dropped.
Multiply the impact of lower food shopping over all those years. More Americans eat at restaurants now. Depending on the area, there are estimates that fifty percent of all food consumed is from “dining out” or “food consumed outside the home.”
Most of the current panic shopping is because people are preparing by buying weeks worth of food products. Closing restaurants will only magnify that panic shopping.
If state officials are going to make these decisions, they need to coordinate closely with the retail grocers and food outlets in their states. The decision to shut down restaurants must be very closely coordinated and timed with a civil society need for alternatives. Those providing the alternatives need time… not much time…. but they need time.
This is exactly the wrong time to shut restaurants and put additional pressure on a national food supply chain that is trying to meet overwhelming demand.
Either these officials are intentionally trying to create civil unrest, or they are just inexperienced politicians without the ability to think through the logical conclusions to their mandated orders. I’m not sure which it is. However, regardless of intent or stupidity, these types of knee-jerk decisions will harm more people than the virus itself.
Drive-thru and curbside services will not work. Yes, McDonalds and similar do and can provide drive-thru services… but they are not designed for exclusive “drive-thru” services. Approximately eight percent of all daily fast-food comes from McDonalds imagine a line of cars a mile long for a drive-thru hamburger. Then imagine that car, after waiting four hours in that line, orders a month’s worth of hamburgers…. and then that supply chain collapses…. See, it ain’t that simple.
These decisions create the snow-ball effect…
Most restaurants are not not set-up for immediate delivery…. Yes, all of these challenges can and will be overcome; restaurants will limit their curbside products, fast food will put a limit on orders, kitchens will modify to adjust to the work-flow, etc. However, it takes a time to prepare for these necessary shifts and changes.
A more prudent step would be for state officials to provide mitigation directives, simple and prudent changes, during a phase that allows restaurants to adapt:
These types of dining out measures can be prudent and allow for the mitigation of the virus without spreading wide-scale panic that only worsens the issues for alternative options.
Arbitrarily shutting down restaurants, effective immediately, is not a good idea and will only increase the panic and anxiety…. Then again, maybe that’s the goal.
Courtney Holland@hollandcourtney
I was just at the Target in Boca Park in Las Vegas and the food shelves are empty.There was plenty of produce, cereal, and snack foods available but most essential items were out of stock.
I have created this site to help people have fun in the kitchen. I write about enjoying life both in and out of my kitchen. Life is short! Make the most of it and enjoy!
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