Nigel Farage – Coming American Civil War


Armstrong Economics Blog/Civil Unrest Re-Posted Aug 23, 2023 by Martin Armstrong

Former NY Gov Predicts Mass Uprising Over Migrants


Armstrong Economics Blog/War Re-Posted Aug 23, 2023 by Martin Armstrong

Ex-NY Gov. David Paterson (D) admitted that he sees revolt as the only solution to the migrant crisis. The Democrat and former governor said he does not understand the open border policy. “The federal government just decided they are sending the people in, and we should just be happy. I don’t know what it is that they expect. They sent really no money,” Paterson said. “It could in some ways backfire when other cities have the same problem as New York City. There might be a kind of city-vs.-country revolt — which we probably need at this point.”

This is on target with our models that say 2024 will be an ugly year for democracy. The cost of living is unsustainable, and instead of proposing solutions, we see our leaders sending our funds to Ukraine and focusing on transexuals and controlling the weather. Biden’s vast corruption is blatant and ever staunch liberals cannot deny that he has interests elsewhere. His tone-deaf response to Maui and repeated stumbles show that he is incapable of managing even a bubble gum machine. But now, as poverty rises with the declining economy, people will not stand to see outsiders reap the benefits of government aid at their expense. Again, the borders were strategically opened as our government permitted a mass invasion.

All of the blue sanctuary cities are declaring a state of emergency over the number of migrants that continue to arrive. They have no solutions and their brain-dead proposals are leaving Americans vulnerable as undocumented unknown aliens, mostly military-aged men, roam the streets. Notice how tons of these undocumented aliens are not even from South America, but that is merely how they entered. Lone young men from around the world have infiltrated our society and are crippling our cities economically.

The virtue signaling and pandering of the far-left has serious repercussions. The White House thinks they are controlling the chaos, but the people are at a breaking point. Inflation and the migrant crisis are the only extremely heated bipartisan issues that everyone agrees on. As I said recently, Rome had peace for 1,000 years because everyone benefitted. No one is benefitting from the corrupt political environment we have today, and people are finally realizing they do not live in a real democracy.

M A interview with, Man in America


Armstrong Economics Blog/Armstrong in the Media Re-Posted Aug 19, 2023 by Martin Armstrong

Thought Crimes


The Charlie Kirk Show Posted Originally n: Aug 17, 8:07 pm EDT

Rigging Elections – Open Your Eyes


Armstrong Economics Blog/Politics Re-Posted Aug 17, 2023 by Martin Armstrong

COMMENT: You are just a Trump supporter. The 2020 election was not rigged. Get over it.

WH

ANSWER: I’m sorry you refuse to look at it objectively. I was asked to put in $10 billion, and they were rigging the 2000 Russian election. I said no, and I paid the price. Here is a tape of former CIA Chief James Woolsey admitting that the CIA has rigged elections. As he says: “Only for a very good cause. In the interest of democracy.” He also refused to say they no longer interfere in foreign elections. If you think for one second that the 2020 election was fair, you are a fool. The Neocons got rid of Trump and immediately began to wage wars. They took out Kennedy because he, too, was against the war. Johnson took us right into Vietnam.

I will be shocked if Biden does not win in 2024. They Want this War at all costs.

They are attacking RFK as well – this is NOT just about Trump.

The Neocon Robert MacNamara apologized for being WRONG, and 58,000 Americans died then, and how many millions of Vietnamese? He admits it was a civil war, the same as Ukraine. Russia is supporting the Donbas, and we support Kiev. These Neocons have never won a single war since WWII. They have lied about every last war to get us involved. I feel sorry for you. You have been subjected to their brainwashing, and eventually, you will open your eyes and realize this is all about their power and preventing outsiders from coming to Washington to play in their sandbox. I understand when you are part of the herd, you will never listen to others. You have to open your mind and cross that boundary voluntarily. You cannot be forced.

Look at the movie Oppenheimer. You will see what they did to him.

Nothing has Changed

President Trump Cancels Monday Press Conference on Georgia Election, Citing Lawyers Who Want to Use Evidence in Court Motions


Posted originally on the CTH on August 17, 2023 | Sundance 

Writing on Truth Social, President Trump has cancelled the Monday conference:

[Source]

Meanwhile in the DC case, “Citing extraordinary amounts of evidence — including a tranche of 11.5 million pages that prosecutors handed over earlier this month — Trump lawyers John Lauro and Todd Blanche said in court papers filed Thursday that a 2.5-year delay before picking a jury would properly factor in the complexity of the case.” (link)

President Trump Discusses the Georgia Case and the State of the Economy With Larry Kudlow


Posted originally on the CTH on August 17, 2023 | Sundance |

President Trump sat down for an extensive interview with former National Economic Council Chairman Larry Kudlow from Fox Business News. {Direct Rumble Link}

Within the interview President Trump first starts talking about the Fulton County, Georgia, prosecution by Fani Willis, then shifts to discuss the current state of the economy and the outcomes of Bidenomics.  WATCH: President Trump part 1

Part 2 President Trump part 2

.

Fortunately, we do not have to guess which candidate has the right path.  We have President Trump’s actual economic policy results to look at and see how the expansion of the economy was creating the type of growth that would sustain Social Security and Medicare.  This was/is MAGAnomics at work.

…. Make America Great Again!

We know it works, because we have the results to cite.

It was the Fourth Quarter of 2019…..

Right before the pandemic would hit a few months later…. Despite two years of doomsayer predictions from Wall Street’s professional punditry, all of them saying Trump’s 2017 steel and aluminum tariffs on China, Canada and the EU would create massive inflation, it just wasn’t happening!

Overall year-over-year inflation was hovering around 1.7 percent [Table-A BLS]; yup, that was our inflation rate.  The rate in the latter half of 2019 was firmed up with less month-over-month fluctuation, and the rate basically remained consistent.   [See Below]  The U.S. economy was on a smooth glide path, strong, stable and Main Street was growing with MAGAnomics at work.

A couple of important points.  First, unleashing the energy sector to drive down overall costs to consumers and industry outputs was a key part of President Trump’s America-First MAGAnomic initiative.  Lower energy prices help the worker economy, middle class and average American more than any other sector.

Which brings us to the second important point.  Notice how food prices had very low year-over-year inflation, 0.5 percent.  That is a combination of two key issues: low energy costs, and the fracturing of Big Ag hold on the farm production and the export dynamic:

(BLS) […] The index for food at home declined for the third month in a row, falling 0.2 percent. The index for meats, poultry, fish, and eggs decreased 0.7 percent in August as the index for eggs fell 2.6 percent. The index for fruits and vegetables, which rose in July, fell 0.5 percent in August; the index for fresh fruits declined 1.4 percent, but the index for fresh vegetables rose 0.4 percent. The index for cereals and bakery products fell 0.3 percent in August after rising 0.3 percent in July. (link)

For the previous twenty years food prices had been increasingly controlled by Big Ag, and not by normal supply and demand.   The commodity market became a ‘controlled market’. U.S. food outputs (farm production) was controlled and exported to keep the U.S. consumer paying optimal prices.

President Trump’s trade reset was disrupting this process.  As farm products were less exported the cost of the food in our supermarket became reconnected to a ‘more normal’ supply and demand cycle.  Food prices dropped and our pantry costs were lowered.

The Commerce Dept. then announced that retail sales climbed by 0.4 percent in August 2019, twice as high as the 0.2 percent analysts had predicted. The result highlighted retail sales strength of more than 4 percent year-over-year.   These excellent results came on the heels of blowout data in July, when households boosted purchases of cars and clothing.

The better-than-expected number stemmed largely from a 1.8 percent jump in spending vehicles. Online sales, meanwhile, also continued to climb, rising 1.6 percent. That’s similar to July 2019, when Amazon held its two-day, blowout Prime Day sale. (link)

Despite the efforts to remove and impeach President Trump, it did not look like middle-class America was overly concerned about the noise coming from the pundits.   Likely that’s because blue-collar wages were higher, Main Street inflation was lower, and overall consumer confidence was strong.  Yes, MAGAnomics was working.

Additionally, remember all those MSM hours and newspaper column inches where the professional financial pundits were claiming Trump’s tariffs were going to cause massive increases in prices of consumer goods?

Well, exactly the opposite happened [BLS report] Import prices were continuing to drop:

[Table 1 – BLS report link]

This was a really interesting dynamic that no-one in the professional punditry would dare explain.

Donald Trump’s tariffs were targeted to specific sectors of imported products.  [Steel, Aluminum, and a host of smaller sectors etc.]  However, when the EU and China respond by devaluing their currency, that approach hit all products imported, not just the tariff goods.

Because the EU and China were driving up the value of the dollar, everything we were importing became cheaper.   Not just imports from Europe and China, but actually imports from everywhere.   All imports were entering the U.S. at substantially lower prices.

This meant when we imported products, we were also importing deflation.

This price result is exactly the opposite of what the economic experts and Wall Street pundits predicted back in 2017 and 2018 when they were pushing the rapid price increase narrative.

Because all the export dependent economies were reacting with such urgency to retain their access to the U.S. market, aggregate import prices were actually lower than they were when the Trump tariffs began:

[…]  Prices for imports from China edged down 0.1 percent in August following decreases of 0.2 percent in both July and June. Import prices from China have not advanced on a monthly basis since ticking up 0.1 percent in May 2018. The price index for imports from China fell 1.6 percent for the year ended in August.

[…]  Import prices from the European Union fell 0.2 percent in August and 0.3 percent over the past 12 months.

[Page #4 – BLS Report, pdf] – BLS press release.

So yes, we know President Trump can save Social Security and Medicare by expanding the economy with his America First economic policy.  We do not need to guess if it is possible or listen to pundits theorize about his approach being some random ‘catch phrase’ disconnected from reality.  Yes folks, we have the receipts.

This was MAGAnomics at work, and this is entirely what created the middle-class MAGA coalition.  No other Republican candidate has this economic policy in their outlook because all other candidates are purchased by the Wall Street multinationals.

America First MAGAnomics is unique to President Trump because he is the only one independent enough to implement them.

That’s just the reality of the situation.  They hate him for it… 

Author’s note as said in 2016: “If I absolutely did not believe this economic model was doable, I would never expand the concept and place advocacy upon it. I am an absolute believer that we can, as a nation, reignite a solid manufacturing base and generate an expanding middle class.”  Yes, I bet on Trump, and he was right.

The Collapse of the Rule of Law


Armstrong Economics Blog/Rule of Law Re-Posted Aug 16, 2023 by Martin Armstrong

COMMENT: Marty,
I hear Trump is to be arraigned, this time the first with a mugshot that will certainly go viral worldwide, on Aug. 25th. This is immediately after the BRICS summit on Aug, 22-24 with discussions of a new non-dollar trading currency. I can’t believe these lunatics are going to prove to the world America is now a banana republic at such a critical juncture of time. They just can’t help themselves can they? Your De-Dollarization report released this month couldn’t have been timed better.

Regards, Rob

REPLY: Our computer had this week for a Directional Change and next week as a target for a turning point. Then we have a Panic Cycle the week of September 25th. Our February Monthly AI Timing Array, published on the private blog, showed that August was a key turning point. There was a Direction Change in April and a May low. June suddenly rallied and closed above the May high. August has been a key target, and the volatility will rise afterward.

We have a severe Constitutional Crisis. All of these prosecutions against Trump are to interfere with the 2024 election, which violates everyone’s constitutional rights. But worse still, they have all coordinated their attacks and conspired together. This is destroying our legal system. This will now be unrestrained about the legal system, for Republican prosecutors are now free to indict Hillary, Pelosi, and down the line. State prosecutors can now indict all the Democrats, and the DOJ, firmly in control of the Neocons, cannot order a state prosecutor to stand down. All of these indictments against Trump when he is the lead candidate for the 2024 election signals to the entire world that this is the end of the United States experiment in Liberty & Justice for All. It is simply all over. The abuse of the law will now become a free-for-all. Mark Meadows has already moved to transfer the case from the crazy prosecutor to a federal court.

The intent expressly stated in the Constitution recognized that there could be a situation where they would charge a Senator or Congressman and prevent them from voting in order to pass an unpopular bill. Even the founding fathers never anticipated that they would use the law to prevent someone from running for office. This violated everybody in this country’s fundamental substantive due process of law.

U.S. Constitution Article I. Legislative Branch Section VI Clause I

The Senators and Representatives shall receive a Compensation for their Services, to be ascertained by Law, and paid out of the Treasury of the United States. They shall in all Cases, except Treason, Felony and Breach of the Peace, be privileged from Arrest during their Attendance at the Session of their respective Houses, and in going to and returning from the same; and for any Speech or Debate in either House, they shall not be questioned in any other Place.

There is such a thing as the Supervisory Power of the Supreme Court. Because Trump is now charged in three separate states, plus the notorious District of Columbia, this calls for a petition directly to the Supreme Court under their Supervisory Power because each court pretends that Trump is not the leading candidate. Here we have this ethically corrupt judge in DC who refuses to even acknowledge that Trump was the president calling him Mr. Trump in court. This demonstrates her bias.

Before Justice Barrett joined the Supreme Court, we commented on the Supervisory power of the Supreme Court.

The Supervisory Power of the Supreme Court

The Supreme Court’s relationship to inferior federal courts is not a matter on which the Court typically reflects in any depth. Nevertheless,
the Court in Dickerson recently expressed great confidence in at least one aspect of that relationship: its authority over inferior federal court
procedure, even outside the confines of the statutorily authorized federal rulemaking process. As Dickerson suggests, the idea that the Supreme
Court possesses supervisory authority over inferior court procedure is well
entrenched in its cases.

Dickerson v. United States 530 U.S. 428, 437 (2000)

Each of these courts is out to interfere with the 2024 election. The prosecutors have coordinated these indictments, and as such, they have CONSPIRED against all the civil rights of every person in the United States. I am NOT writing this as a Trump supporter. If the Republicans did this to a Democratic candidate, the law would be the same. I fear that this has now become the NORM, and as such, NO ethical person will ever dare try to run for office if his family is assaulted, and he would be criminally charged for nonsense because a powerful group does not like his policies. EVERY Democrat in Congress should now demand that Biden pardon Trump, for if they do not, the United States will be torn apart, the Republicans will retaliate against Democrats, and the rule of law will collapse.

On June 25, 2020BEFORE the election, we posted that the election would be manipulated and that Trump should have won. Still, our computer was warning he would probably lose since our geopolitical models showed it could not be Trump starting wars. I warned that historians recorded that the election of 53 BC in Rome was so corrupt that all the bribing got so out of hand that interest rates virtually doubled to pay all the bribes. Given that interest rates before the election of 53 BC had stood at 4% and in post-election years 8%. That corruption undermined the economy, and interest rates rose further during the peak of speculation before the crash stood at 12%.

It was a Debt Crisis that forced Julius Caesar to cross the Rubicon in 49 BC – not a thirst for power. The people cheered Caesar, and it was the senators who fled Rome and ran to Asia, for the people would not support them. The negative image of Caesar was fake news spun by Cicero, who was only of the corrupt oligarchs. I wrote for the conclusion of that June 25th, 2020 post:

“So buckle up. The election of 2020 is going to be the most corrupt, manipulated, and outright fraudulent election in American history. There is a lot at stake. This is a major effort by Marxists to take control. The election of 53 BC was the precursor to civil unrest which began just 3.14 years later when Julius Caesar (100-44BC) crossed the Rubicon on January 10-11, 49 BC. Interestingly enough, it will be four years to the peak of this Economic Confidence Model – 2024.”

We will not even make it to the November 2024 elections. This corruption will lead to a turn in the entire world economy post-May 7/8th, 2024. The 2020 election took place on November 3rd, 2020 (2020.841). Our Rubicon today may very well be 2023.981 – December 24th. Perhaps this will be our political Christmas gift to the world so they see America as not much different than a banana republic. Maybe that is why Biden is flooding the country with illegal aliens with their hand out for welfare.

In 1985, we took the back cover of the Economist for three weeks in July. We announced the peak in the dollar and the end of deflation. Our AI computer, which has the longest track record of anything in the world, was correct then, and we forecasted the Age of the Takeover Boom.

We published these charts back then, demonstrating that the US share market was grossly undervalued. The low in the book value from the Great Depression occurred in 1977. That is what happens in a Public Wave – private assets become cheap. You could buy a company, sell its assets, and triple your money. We had forecast that the Dow would rise from 1,000 to 6,000, and many thought we were nuts back then.

Yes, we attracted the takeover players who used our model to make a lot of money. Alan Bond used it to create Bond University in Australia.

The point here is straightforward. I have warned that our computer has been so negative on the 2024 election even Zero Hedge reported that I was warning, “We may not even have an election in 2024…”

Our computer projected that Trump would win the 2016 election against all the biased polls. Three out of four of our models’ projected that Trump would win, and one was a tie.

Our computer was the ONLY forecast that Nigel Farage would win with BREXIT. Nigel came and spoke at our Rome WEC in 2019 and said just that – we were the only ones to forecast his victory. He had to come because we were the “alternative to Davos.”

When we look at the computer forecast for the popular vote for 2020 compared to 2024, we have warned that the 2020 election would be very close. Our six model group was split 50/50 for the 2020 election. Now turning to the 2024 election, we have four models projecting a Republican win, but look at two of the projections – 61% and 59%. This is absolutely incredible. The only such victory that reached 61% was that of 1920 and FDR in 1936, which is eerily similar.

To Judicial Watch – if you are really interested in defending the Constitution, I urge you to petition the Supreme Court under its Supervisory Power to intervene since we have four proceedings intending to prevent Trump from being elected. The Neocons KNOW they are in trouble, and if Trump won, he now knows the same, and he would drain the Swamp this time. That is why they cannot let him in the White House, and I fear if they cannot block him with prison, they will assassinate him.

The Neocons MUST stop Trump at all costs, for they intend to create World War III.

  There will NEVER be a Fair Election Ever Again!

The Trump Florida Indictment Violates the Constitution


Armstrong Economics Blog/Rule of Law Re-Posted Aug 15, 2023 by Martin Armstrong

QUESTION: What is your legal opinion of former AG Barr and this judge in Florida? Barr seems to trash Trump with every breath he takes, and the media seems to emphasize that Trump appointed this judge, so she is biased over the whole grand jury issue. It would be great to hear your perspective.

Thanks

FG

ANSWER: Former AG Barr, I believe, is one of the Swamp creatures. I would not trust a single word he ever says he is protecting the Swamp. As for a legal mind, he is avoiding the very intent behind the Constitution. As for this “Donald Trump-appointed judge” overseeing the criminal case into his handling of classified documents in Florida questioning special counsel Jack Smith, she is correct. If Smith tries to appeal anything with that regard, I would take this matter, shove it down his throat, and go to the Supreme Court ASAP.

The entire Sixth Amendment was constructed on this very type of abuse of power by the former king. He would indict you in England and then arrest you in America, transport you to his selected jury who was anti-America. You were always found guilty for political purposes. I would add that at the time of the American Revolution, there were about 240 felonies, and they all carried the death penalty. It is critical to look at both the 5th and 6th Amendments, and you will get a sense that what Smith is doing is circumventing the Constitution by indicting Trump in Washington using a pro-government jury. Still, he has to prosecute him in Florida under the 6th Amendment.

Amendment VI

In all criminal prosecutions, the accused shall enjoy the right to a speedy and public trial, by an impartial jury of the state and district wherein the crime shall have been committed, which district shall have been previously ascertained by law, and to be informed of the nature and cause of the accusation; to be confronted with the witnesses against him; to have compulsory process for obtaining witnesses in his favor, and to have the assistance of counsel for his defense.

You cannot be prosecuted in California for a crime in Florida or out of state. That is the Venue clause to be tried where the crime was committed, NOT the most favorable place to win a conviction. What Smith is doing is UNCONSTITUTIONAL, and it is treason. He is doing what the king used to do only because the Sixth Amendment does not expressly state that the grand jury must also be where the crime is committed. Up to now, I have never heard of getting indicted in one state and prosecuted in another. The reason also implies that, in many instances, state law also applies. The Erie Doctrine is a binding principle where federal courts exercising diversity jurisdiction apply federal procedural law of the Federal Rules of Civil Procedure but must also apply state substantive law.

To explain this principle, the Erie Doctrine stems from the landmark U.S. Supreme Court case, Erie Railroad Co. v. Tompkins 304 US 64 (1938). Then you have the Rules Decision Act of 1789 (28 U.S.C. § 1652), which established the very foundation for how federal courts were to function under such a diverse jurisdiction providing that the “laws of the several states” apply in federal court. I fail to see how you can indict someone in one state under the governing state laws and then prosecute someone in another. That would be like taking a California law saying it is child abuse not to inform your child they may change their gender and then prosecute them in Texas, where the law is precisely different using a California indictment. This is a clever scheme Smith has pulled off, and anyone who sees no problem with this is politically biased.

Amendment V

No person shall be held to answer for a capital or otherwise infamous crime, unless on a presentment or indictment of a grand jury, except in cases arising in the land or naval forces, or in the militia when in actual service in time of war or public danger; nor shall any person be subject for the same offense to be twice put in jeopardy of life or limb; nor shall be compelled in any criminal case to be a witness against himself, nor be deprived of life, liberty, or property, without due process of law; nor shall private property be taken for public use, without just compensation.

Now let us turn to the Fifth Amendment requiring a grand jury indictment. It does not state one district v another because the Constitution under Article III only created the Supreme Court – NOT the distinct Courts. They are all the creation of Congress by statute, and Congress has no power to shut down the Supreme Court or really to even regulate it. Therefore, the Grand Jury Clause did not consider multiple districts, for there were none at that time. The indictment was to be where the crime was to be charged. Any other interpretation would be a constructive amendment of the Constitution which cannot be done by any prosecutor and not even Congress without the complete Amendment Process of the states.

Procedural & Substantive Due Process of Law

No State shall make or enforce any law which shall abridge the privileges or immunities of citizens of the United States; nor shall any State deprive any person of life, liberty, or property, without due process of law; nor deny to any person within its jurisdiction the equal protection of the laws.

That said, Due Process requires that the procedures by which laws are applied must be evenhanded. No individual is to be subjected to the arbitrary exercise of government power, which Smith has clearly done. There is no precedent for his actions. A fundamental threshold issue in Due Process is whether the government conduct being examined as criminal determines whether the procedure is offensive to the concept of fundamental fairness. Smith has abused his power, and if I were on the Supreme Court, I would have to vote for dismissing the indictment with prejudice — meaning that terminates the case because of his abuse of power.

In U.S. v. Carolene Products, 304 U.S. 144 (1938), the Supreme Court indicated that substantive due process would apply to: “rights enumerated in and derived from the first Eight Amendments to the Constitution, the right to participate in the political process, such as the rights of voting, association, and free speech, and the rights of ‘discrete and insular minorities.’”  Following Carolene Products, the U.S. Supreme Court has determined that fundamental rights protected by substantive due process are those deeply rooted in U.S. history and tradition, viewed in light of evolving social norms.

If I were Trump’s lawyers, I would file a motion to dismiss based on a Substantive Due Process of Law violation.

Criminal Indictment Released Against President Trump and 18 Coconspirators


Posted originally on the CTH on August 14, 2023 | Sundance 

The Fulton County clerk of courts has uploaded a 98-page criminal indictment against President Trump and 18 alleged coconspirators. [PDF HERE]

First thing to notice, the released indictment is identical to the one the clerk said was not accurate earlier today.  Meaning, two things: (1) the indictment was generated before the “special grand jury” voted; and (2) the Fulton County clerk of courts lied.   Nice way to start the review, huh?

Defendants include, Donald Trump, Rudy Guiliani, John Eastman, Mark Meadows, Jeffrey Clark, Jenna Ellis, Sidney Powell and a host of villainous villains who did allegedly perpetrated villainy in the Peachtree state.

[read 98-page indictment at this link]

I’ll follow up. I’m reading it now.