It’s nice to know this and know what is going on down in the slime and muck but I would hope that Trump and his staff also know all this so it can be put to good use. Trump needs to win so my prediction of his delegate count is accurate. See link below…
Tag Archives: New Hampshire
Inside Political Baseball – Visible Signs of Cruz Campaign Strain…
Money the mothers milk of politics, and if Cruz is running dry then he really is in trouble. Ted probably needs more money than other campains because of the way he is running his campaign with hi tech marketing methods already described here and the kind of message he is using which will not work in most of the states East of the Mississippi.
Radical Left-Wing Thugs Block Road To Trump Rally – Donald Trump Becomes America’s Free Speech Hero…
I doubt whether any of these protests will hurt Trump, in fact, I would bet they actually help him. My prediction is that Trump will get 1386 votes on the first vote 149 more than he needs.
My Prediction for the delegate counts between today and the start of the July Convention
There are 50 States, Washington DC, Puerto Rico and 4 other territories that are authorized a total of 2472 delegates to the Republican Convention to be held in Cleveland during the week of July 18th to the 21st of 2016; and 1237 votes are needed to win on the first ballet. If no candidate has 1237 votes the convention goes into an open convention where all the candidates try and get the support of others to change their votes and at agreed to times votes are taken until a candidate gets over 1237 votes. If no candidate that has been in the primaries can get the required 1237 votes other names can be presented for nomination the only requirement is that a person must have 1237 votes to be the presidential candidate for the party. At this point it appears that the front runner Donald J. Trump is not well liked by the party elders and donors which is creating a contentious situation where Supper PAC’s, with tact support of the RNC, are running negative ads against Trump to stop him.
Trumps base of middle class America who are losing their jobs to a wave of illegal immigration and trade policies that move the production (higher paying jobs) out of the country and see their way of life being destroyed. This group of disenfranchised citizens is very supported of trump and is a movement with a life of its own pulling in citizens that have not voted before and from other faction which would not normally vote Republican. Since trump is self-funded he is not beholding to the power and money brokers and so the citizens see that as a plus and the party sees that as a negative so there is the real potential for the party to split in two and from a new party as was done prior to the civil war where the Democrat party split off those that disliked slavery and they formed the Republican party and elected Abraham Lincoln. Today this could create a three party system with a Right wing party (old remains of the Republican Party) a Centrist party (formed from the middle/working class from both parties) and a Left wing party (old remains of the Democrat party).
By the end of March Trump will have 788 delegates and 21 states or territories, Cruz will have 523 delegates and 14 states or territories and Kasich will have 166 delegates and one state (we’ll ignore the rest of those with delegates till the end).
By the end of April Trump will have 1028 delegates and 27 states or territories, Cruz will have 584 delegates and 15 states or territories and Kasich will have 174 delegates and one state (we’ll ignore the rest of those with delegates till the end).
By the end of May Trump will have 1313 delegates and 29 states or territories, Cruz will have 694 delegates and 20 states or territories and Kasich will have 178 delegates and one state (we’ll ignore the rest of those with delegates till the end).
By the end of June Trump will have 1386 delegates and 32 states or territories, Cruz will have 899 delegates and 23 states or territories and Kasich will have 187 delegates and one state. The 184 delegates and 3 states or territories from the other 6 candidates were apportioned to the three remaining ones.
I predict Trump the winner with 149 votes more than required and even if Kasich gave all his votes to Cruz he would still be short 151 votes. Kasich has shown no ability to win outside of Ohio and even there he was under 50%. Cruz basically winds in the Midwest but those states don’t have the votes required to offset the east where Trump is strong as that is where the jobs have been lost.
Donald Trump, Hillary Clinton, John Kasich and Raphael Cruz Will Appear on CNN Presidential Forum…
The worst one the bunch is when the Feds use the media to drive news that is nothing other than full blown propaganda! This is right in line with the following post on my blog.
How did we get from the world of the early 60’s to where we are now?
Mitt Romney Endorses Ted Cruz…
The RNC/GOPe is delusional if they really think that all these negative ads and endorsements from failed candidates will help Cruz.
Emerson College Poll New York – Donald Trump 64%, Ted Cruz 12%, John Kasich 1%…
I love it, I’ve been running alternatives with the remaining primary states and to be honest I can’t see how trump does not get over 1237 delegates. And then Hillary has no chance at all she will be slaughtered in the General Election.
The Affluenza UniParty – DC Chattering Class Disconnected From National Sense…
Very Good clip here, there might actually be a minute number of annalists that get it it. And I do mean only a few even Rush doesn’t fully get it and no one else is even close.
2017 will be the Year from Political Hell
Armstrong Economics Blog
Re-Posted Mar 17, 2016 by Martin Armstrong
We are entering a period of major political change. This is being driven by the economy and this is what has driven our forecasting models. This is by no means a personal opinion or a desire on my part to see some sort of upheaval. The entire purpose of providing this type of forecasting is to PROVE that when you mess with the economy, you create chaos that can lead to revolution domestically as well as international war.
The US press have adopted a new agenda. There were quiet phone calls being made that complained they created Trump by giving him too much attention. So what we say in headlines for Super Tuesday was this precise shift in the press away from Trump and to lead the story with Hillary. It will not be until June when we reach the California primary where it is a winner take all battled for 172 delegates.
In Germany, the right wing has captured the popular vote. The leader of Germany’s right wing Alternative for Germany Party (AfD) is Frauke Petry and she is celebrating huge gains in three regions. This is the beginning of the end for Chancellor Angela Merkel following the refugee crisis.
In Britain, the get out of the EU (BREXIT) is moving into high-gear. People are out and about handing out leaflets that basicly say if you want to be part of the EU, then cross the channel and join them.
BREXIT is right on schedule. Britain only joined in 1973. The interesting aspect has been that people are pointing to Switzerland as the example that you can be outside the EU and not just survive, but flourish.
Of course, not even the Swiss people are away that their political leaders had filed a petition to join. Why not. They surrendered all sovereignty to Brussels over banking, ending their secrecy laws that were imposed because Hitler had also made it a crime to have money outside of Germany like FATCA does to Americans. So ever so quietly, Switzerland’s National Council voted to withdraw an application to join the EU.
So we are indeed just 4 elections away from complete chaos. (1) BREXIT, (2) US Presidental Election, (3) Germany Election, and (4) the French elections.
Labor Union Leadership “Freaking Out” as Membership Supports Donald Trump…
Trump knows what is wrong with the country and it is the political class in Washington DC! There are only out for themselves and don’t care a hoot about the common man. Since I have a degree in Economics I can tell you more then one way to quickly stop the unfair trade imbalances with most of the world. I’ve been meaning to write something on that subject and so i guess now is a good time to do so.
Centinel2012 