Posted originally on Jun 9, 2025 by Martin Armstrong
QUESTION: Marty, with so many markets all showing sharp rises in volatility of panic cycles in 2026, ahead of what appears to be a significant turn in 2027, the rumor is that your computer will be correct. According to my military sources, Ukraine is expected to fall by August or by 2026. They say the real numbers are suppressed and that the kill ratio is more like 20 Ukrainians to one Russian. The fake propaganda comes from Ukrainian intelligence, and the Biden Administration instructed the US intelligence not to contradict Ukraine to keep the propaganda flowing. I was told that Ukraine is imploding. The attack on the airbases in Russia has not changed the game. It was a desperate attempt to pretend Ukraine is winning. Russia is in no hurry for peace because this is a war of attrition that they are winning. The West is out of patriot missiles, artillery shells, and tanks. Ukraine has gone through everyone’s stockpiles, leaving NATO incapable of war with Russia before 2027, which seems to be what Socrates is saying. They are probably taking Socrates’ for real projections of time, based on what I hear.
Do you agree with these statements?
PC
ANSWER: Ukraine is essentially on fire, and Russia is in no hurry to negotiate peace, for Ukraine will burn itself out. This is a war of attrition, and Russia is outlasting Ukraine and all of NATO. Russia has expanded its military and its arms production, and it is far superior to NATO; it is laughable. The politicians of Europe are being misled by the NEOCONS who have never won a single war since WWII.
There were three main objectives of Russia that the West has constantly ignored. (1) Ukraine does NOT enter NATO, (2) Ukraine is not militarized, and (3) Ukraine must be de-Nazified. That third objective I can only see being possible by just killing all the Nazis in Ukraine, but honestly who are lurking behind smiles like Kaja Kallas, who has come out and said the EU will not honor any peace deal that Trump negotiates. She is the daughter of Siim Kallas, a former Prime Minister of Estonia, and Kristi Kallas, a physician. However, her family has a history of political involvement, which is the source of the problem.
Her mother and grandmother were deported to Siberia during the Soviet occupation because of her family’s ties to the Nazis. I should emphasize that her grandfather, Johannes Kallas, was investigated post-war but never prosecuted, for he served as a deputy chief of police in Tallinn under the German occupation (1941–1944). He was not formally a member of the Nazi Party. This role was collaborating with Nazi Germany. Kaja Kallas herself or her immediate family held Nazi sympathies. Many saw the Nazis as liberators from the Soviets.
Her personal hatred of Russia was because her mother and grandmother were sent to Siberia. Estonia was occupied by the Soviet Union (1940–1941), then Nazi Germany (1941–1944), and again by the USSR (1944–1991). In 2021, she stated:
“I cannot be held accountable for the choices of my grandparents’ generation, just as young Germans today are not responsible for what happened during WWII.”
Nevertheless, as Prime Minister of Estonia, she came out and said that Russia was too big and should be broken up. That was a deeply biased personal view, and this is the problem with this de-Nazification demand of Putin. It is hard to imagine how that will be possible when people like Kallas hate the Russian people for the very sins of previous generations who were communists. As a Russian or Chinese, if they want to return to the glory days of Communism, 99.9% will say no way. People like Zelensky and Kallas refuse to let go of this hatred of the Russian people for the days of Lenin and Stalin.
The hatred of the Russian people for the days of Stalin, who was a Georgian and not a Russian, is just overwhelming. Merkel deliberately lied to Putin and signed a peace deal only to allow Ukraine to build an army and thereby militarize. Then you have the EU that wants to bring Ukraine into NATO to create war with Russia. Sorry, but the computer warns that Russia will win, and this will be the third loss for Europe.
Just about every intelligence agency tunes into Socrates because it is not based on personal biases or opinions. In times of war, the truth is rarely ever reported. This is when an AI machine can offer the best advice, as there is no human interaction to influence the outcome.
Posted originally on CTH on June 8, 2025 | Sundance
According to most media estimates, there are over a million illegal aliens in the greater Los Angeles area with many of them currently in a state of uprising against the United States government. President Trump has authorized the Defense Department and Dept of Homeland Security to take any and all measures to protect the life and property of American citizens now held hostage within the conflict zone.
The U.S Northern Command is prepared to deploy additional troops and approximately 500 active-duty marines if needed.
PETERSON SPACE FORCE BASE, Colo. – By direction of Secretary of Defense and in coordination with U.S. Northern Command (USNORTHCOM), approximately 2,000 California Army National Guard soldiers have been placed under federal command and control in a Title 10 status to support the protection of federal personnel and federal property in the greater Los Angeles area.
As USNORTHCOM’s land component command, U.S. Army North stood up Task Force 51, with a two-star general, as the ground command and control element over the Title 10 forces. At this time, there are approximately 300 members of the California Army National Guard’s 79th Infantry Brigade Combat Team deployed at the following locations in the greater Los Angeles area: Los Angeles, Paramount, and Compton, California.
Additionally, approximately 500 Marines from 2nd Battalion, 7th Marines at Twentynine Palms, California, are in a prepared to deploy status should they be necessary to augment and support the DoD’s protection of federal property and personnel efforts. [LINK]
Being put on a plane and flown back to your country is the most benevolent and humanitarian punishment for violating our laws and illegally entering our country.
Posted originally on CTH on June 8, 2025 | Sundance
After agreeing to pay $15 million to President Trump from a previous lawsuit, apparently ABC executives are not in the mood for more anti-Trump bias revelations within their ranks. ABC News has suspended Senior White House Correspondent Terry Moran for a Twitter rage against President Trump and Deputy Chief of Staff, Stephen Miller.
Moran sent the following Tweet last night, which -subsequent to the sunlight it contains about his bias- he apparently deleted. However, not before several people noticed it, including the White House Press Secretary.
ABC Responded to the mask dropping by suspending Terry Moran for not concealing his bias.
WASHINGTON DC – Veteran ABC News correspondent Terry Moran was suspended Sunday after he posted a highly critical assessment of President Donald Trump and Trump’s deputy chief of staff Stephen Miller on the social media platform X.
In the missive, which was posted shortly after midnight, Moran said both Trump and Miller are “world-class haters.” For Trump, he said, hatred is “only a means to an end, and that end is his own glorification. That’s his spiritual nourishment.”
For Miller, on the other hand, “hatreds are his spiritual nourishment,” Moran charged. “He eats his hate.”
Moran — who landed a rare Oval Office interview with Trump in April — later deleted the tweet and didn’t post anything further.
On Sunday morning, Trump administration officials condemned Moran and said the post reflected poorly on ABC News as an institution. White House press secretary Karoline Leavitt publicly pushed ABC to discipline Moran.
[…] About one hour later, the news division said Moran, its senior national correspondent and former “Nightline” anchor, had been suspended.
“ABC News stands for objectivity and impartiality in its news coverage and does not condone subjective personal attacks on others,” a spokesperson said in response to CNN’s inquiry about Moran. “The post does not reflect the views of ABC News and violated our standards — as a result, Terry Moran has been suspended pending further evaluation.” (MORE)
The most important fact about Terry’s full public meltdown is what it shows about the corporate press in America. For decades, the privileged anchors and reporters narrating and gatekeeping our society have been radicals adopting a journalist’s pose. Terry pulled off his mask.
An ABC journalist @TerryMoran posted this absolutely vile smear of Stephen Miller. It’s dripping with hatred. Remember that every time you watch ABC’s coverage of the Trump administration.
As it happens, I know Stephen quite well. And he’s motivated by love of country. He’s… pic.twitter.com/hX93zKTWjy
Posted originally on Jun 8, 2025 by Martin Armstrong
QUESTION: Mr. Armstrong, this feud between Trump and Musk has caused me to wonder about Musk. Then, all of these forecasts are using tools you warned do not work because they rely solely on linear analysis. The Tax Foundation said Trump’s bill would result in a $2.6 trillion increase in the deficit. The University of Pennsylvania’s Penn Wharton Budget Model claimed that the bill would raise deficits by $2.8 trillion. Then Yale’s Budget Lab claimed that over a 30-year window, the bill would add $10.8 trillion to the national debt. None of these organizations even understands that there is a business cycle. I find all of this chatter is no different from the climate change projects, as you said, one degree up this year means that will continue forever, and we will all die in 50 years.
Does Socrates have any view that is more reliable than these fake academic prognostications that are never right even once?
Rich
ANSWER: These forecasts are totally worthless. The CBO’s projections for the federal budget deficit were about $900 billion in 2019, and it was expected to exceed $1 trillion each year beginning in 2022. The deficits for 2020, 2021, and 2022 were $3.1 trillion, $2.7 trillion, and $1.3 trillion, respectively. They are incapable of forecasting. How many millions do these fake forecasts cost? We will do it for 10% of their budget. They are all based not just on linear analysis, but on the classic assumption that all things remain equal. They NEVER understand that there is a natural inherent business cycle.
Socrates examines everything, and nothing ever remains the same. We have a Directional Change in the annual budget in 2026, and then you see the big target is 2027. Just looking at the French government, which is in its 5th Republic. France changes government like the Biden Administration changed the definitions of a woman from women’s rights for abortion to his appointment of Jackson to the Supreme Court, who said she could not define what a woman is. The French government is expected to fall in 2027, potentially taking the EU with it.
When you look at the chart for the annual budget deficit, we peaked with the COVID-19 pandemic in 2020. Look at the 1998-2002 period. We had a balanced budget. I was asked by the Wall Street Journal to write about how this was accomplished. In sum, the manner in which President Clinton (1993-2001) was able to balance the budge was (1) the economy recovered in 1994 with capital pouring into the United States as it fled South East Asia resulting in the Asian Currency Crisis in 1997, (2) US Interest rates rose sharply in 1994 attracting huge capital inflows including those from Japan, and (3) Clinton shortened the maturity of the debt funding it short-term to cut interest expenditure.
The National Debt rose from $4,064.6 billion in 1992 to $5,807.5 billion by 2001. The shift in funding slowed the rate of growth. Interest rates at the Fed dropped by 6.5% in 2000 to 1.75% in 2001. When Clinton took office, the Fed Discount Rate stood at 3.5%. The rise began in 1994, which helped to attract foreign capital, especially from Japan, and it peaked in 2000 with the Dot Com Bubble on the heels of the 1998 Long Term Capital Management debacle that followed the collapse of Russian debt.
However, because Clinton shifted from long-term to short-term, which reduced the interest expenditures, now look at how the debt exploded when the rates went back up to 6.5%. This is what I mean by the Fed can no longer control inflation, for the biggest borrower is the government.
Posted originally on CTH on June 7, 2025 | Sundance
Anyone who was following politics in 2007 and 2008 knows exactly what role the SEIU (Service Employees International Union) played in supporting candidate Barack Obama.
As Obama and Hillary Clinton battled for control of the Democrat apparatus, Barack made a deal with SEIU President Andy Stern. If the purple orcs would activate -violently if needed- on Obama’s behalf, when he became President Obama would remove the healthcare liability from the union retirement by creating nationalized healthcare, Obamacare.
Andy Stern agreed to the deal, marshalled his orcs and that was the army the Chicago machine used to defeat the Clinton machine. It was a bloody battle, and in the aftermath the PUMAs were born (Public Unity My Ass). SEIU President Stern became the #1 White House visitor to see Obama in 2009 and 2010, and the rest as they say is history.
The Chicago machine behind Obama is deeply enmeshed with classic communist objectives. In descending level of ideological severity, you will note: SEIU, AFSCME, AFL-CIO and the UFCW. All of these labor organization are open borders activists, radical leftists with severe ideological leadership who know how to weaponize their membership to act as ‘shock troops’ within the U.S. political system.
That’s the background for the SEIU to align with La Raza and attack the Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) officials on Los Angeles yesterday and today.
With Democrats out of power in DC all the foot soldiers have once again been activated to achieve political objectives. ICE is the convenient target, but the larger objective is to create street level crisis similar to the BLM riots in 2020 and get back into power. Violence is once again accepted in order to achieve their political goals. The media runs cover for the violence, continually downplaying it – even as it gets worse.
CALIFORNIA – Service Employees International Union California President David Huerta was injured and detained while documenting an immigration enforcement raid in downtown Los Angeles Friday, labor union officials said — prompting protests and calls for his release.
Huerta, 58, was treated at a hospital and then transferred to the Metropolitan Detention Center in downtown L.A., where he remained in custody as of 5:30 p.m., according to a spokesperson for the labor union. Protesters spray-painted the center with messages such as “F— ICE,” “Burn Prisons” and “Abolish ICE.”
“What happened to me is not about me; This is about something much bigger,” he said in a statement from the hospital. “This is about how we as a community stand together and resist the injustice that’s happening. Hard-working people, and members of our family and our community, are being treated like criminals. We all collectively have to object to this madness because this is not justice.” (READ MORE)
This is history rhyming repeatedly. These are the same communist foot soldiers behind Occupy Wall Street in 2012. These are the same foot soldiers who attacked Donald Trump supporters in 2016 (San Jose). These are the same foot soldiers behind the Minnesota riots in 2020. A mixture of Black Bloc radicals, Anarchists, ANTIFA, and radical race-based activist groups like BLM, La Raza and CAIR. The organization and funding comes from the labor unions atop them.
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