Record Early Voting in Georgia as Major Primary Race Takes Place Next Week


Posted originally on the conservative tree house on May 21, 2022 | Sundance

May 21, 2022 | Sundance | 209 Comments

The early voting in Georgia is breaking all state records.  According to the GA secretary of state office statement yesterday, “through Wednesday, May 19th, over 565,000 people have early voted in Georgia—a 189% increase from the same point in the early voting period in the 2018 primary election and a 153% increase in the same point in the early voting period in the 2020 primary election.  This represents a voting scale 3x the rate of the 2018 mid-term election.

Obviously, Georgia voters are enthusiastic to vote in this primary.  The GA SoS reports party votes as, “Republican: 353,161, Democrat: 258,200, Nonpartisan: 4,017” through May 18th.  Yes, republican voters are far outpacing democrat early voters, but that shouldn’t be too surprising given the top of the ticket on the Democrat ballot is an uncontested primary race to install Stacey Abrams as the 2022 Democrat governor candidate.

Despite being in an uncontested race, the team behind Stacey Abrams is working hard to drive out their voter base.  As the Washington Post noted, Abram’s group ‘The New Georgia Project’, is working diligently to help Georgia Democrats make the right ballot selections.  Additionally, another allied group called ‘Black Voters Matter’, is using the ‘Souls to the Polls‘ strategy to make sure black voters get the primary outcome that matters most to them.

Against all of this extra emphasis on early voting success in Georgia there is a weird dynamic on the Republican side of the equation.  According to most general reporting from the media, there is a lot of enthusiasm on the GOP ballot to keep Brian Kemp as governor; however, oddly enough, it seems like Georgia Secretary of State Brad Raffensperger is being positioned for defeat.  At least that’s the perspective of Politico and other similarly minded media.

Traditionally, if the historic pattern of republican ballots was used as an example, if the incumbent governor (Kemp) wins, then generally the incumbent secretary of state (Raffensperger) would win.  However, in this 2022 Georgia mid-term that’s not the narrative being established ahead of next Tuesday’s outcome.

The MSM political perspective is that republican Brian Kemp will easily win the primary for governor, but Brad Raffensperger will lose a primary challenge to republican Jody Hice, a Trump endorsement.   It would certainly be unusual for a Trump endorsed top of ticket candidate David Perdue to lose, and the Trump endorsed office on the next line to win – but that’s the general narrative and they are sticking to it.

The Trump-endorsed David Perdue camp is hoping to keep establishment Governor Brian Kemp under 50% and force a run-off special election.   However, the Trump-endorsed Jody Hice camp is looking for an outright victory in their secretary of state race.  Funny that.

DATA POINTS:

♦ Early voting in Georgia is setting records.

♦ Democrats have uncontested top of ticket candidate Stacy Abrams.

♦ Despite being uncontested, Stacey Abrams is pushing a massive voting effort.

♦ Black Votes Matter and The New Georgia Project are working earnestly.

♦ Republican Governor Brian Kemp is very confident of victory.

♦ Republican Secretary of State Brad Raffensperger is not so confident.

If one were to be a deep weeds political walker, you might suspect the data points could all be reconciled if the New Georgia Project was actually coordinating an effort for Democrats to vote for Brian Kemp, because the primary race is open to cross party voting.  However, that’s crazy conspiracy theory.  I’m certain it’s something else.

We will find out the outcome next Tuesday.

AUGUSTA, Georgia — Republicans in Georgia still seething about the 2020 presidential race say they would rather sit out the election in November if Trump’s candidate, former Sen. David Perdue, loses an upcoming GOP gubernatorial primary than ever support incumbent Gov. Brian Kemp.  

The animosity towards Kemp, whom several MAGA Republicans described as a “Judas” and “betrayer” for certifying Joe Biden’s win in 2020, is unlikely to affect the outcome of the May 24 primary. But it may hurt Kemp’s chances this fall in an anticipated rematch with presumed Democratic nominee Stacey Abrams, the woman he narrowly beat in 2018 — with Trump’s support. (read more)

Ultra MAGA Candidate Kathy Barnette is Surging in GOP Pennsylvania Senate Race


Posted originally on the conservative tree house on May 9, 2022 | sundance

With eight days to go before the republican primary in Pennsylvania, ultra-MAGA candidate Kathy Barnette is surging.  In a recent republican-leaning Trafalgar Poll {SEE DATA HERE} Barnette has shot to second place with 23.2%, only 1% behind Dr. Mehmet Oz who is at 24.5%.

President Trump has endorsed Dr. Oz, however, a considerable number of people in the grassroots MAGA base do not trust Oz, view David McCormick as an establishment candidate, and they are going strong with support for Kathy Barnette {WEBSITE HERE}.

A victory is within reach for the candidate who says “Now more than ever, America requires strong, authentic Republican voices to stand up and defend the U.S. Constitution and the rights we hold dear. I will be that voice — for Pennsylvania and our great nation.”

After winning the Pennsylvania straw poll in April, Barnette has continued to gain momentum and increased attention.

Ballotpedia: “Barnette worked as a political commentator and in corporate finance after serving in the United States Army Reserves. Barnette identifies herself as an America First candidate, a term often associated with the platform of Trump and candidates who say they support Trump’s agenda. In response to Trump’s endorsement of Oz, Barnette said, “MAGA does not belong to President Trump . . . although he coined the word, it belongs to the people. Our values never shifted to President Trump’s values. It was President Trump who shifted and aligned with our values.” (link)

Jill Biden Goes to Ukraine – Not Joe


Armstrong Economics Blog/Ukraine Re-Posted May 8, 2022 by Martin Armstrong

They are calling it a first, for this is the first time a First Lady has ever been sent to a war zone. This illustrates the crisis in Washington. Biden’s mental capacity is in serious decline and they fear his gaffs may even start a nuclear war (LOL). The scuttlebutt in DC is that if Joe even tried to push the button, assuming he could find it, those around him will not allow him to do it. The restraints are on and as they say – Houston. We have a problem.

NBC Presents the 2022 Political Abortion Question that CNN Already Answered


Posted originally on the conservative treehouse on May 8, 2022 | sundance 

The recently demoted Chuck Todd, who’s daytime show is now only on stream, ponders the great curiosity for his sheltered audience about whether abortion will swing the 2022 election in favor of the communist, left-wing, collective agenda.

Chuck Todd doesn’t have any actual data to frame his fairy tales, but fortunately CNN did a poll a few days ago of the exact questions puzzling NBC.

CNN did an extensive poll on this question of young people voting – [pdf here]

CTH pulled all the poll data into one easier to read infographic of the responses by age (below).  The 18-to-34-year group are not single-issue voters.

31% of that age group say a candidate MUST agree with them on abortion, while 69% say abortion is only one of several factors or not much of a factor.

The 18–34-year group is also reasonably pragmatic. If Roe v Wade overturned, 21% say abortions likely to be banned where they live; 31% say likely harder but not banned; 26% say it wouldn’t make a difference; and 22% not sure what would happen where they live.

{pdf Data Available Here}

Abortion is just not the winning issue Democrats had hoped it was…

Sunday Talks, Michigan Attorney General “Politicians Do Not Belong in Doctors’ Offices” – Unless, of Course, Politicians are Forcing Experimental Vaccines


Posted originally on the conservative tree house on May 8, 2022 | sundance

Michigan was one of the most aggressive states to limit freedom and bodily autonomy during their COVID-19 mitigation effort.  The state governor and state attorney general decreed unilaterally the rules for Michigan citizens without representative voice, to include vaccine mandates.

Today, during responses to the possibility that national abortion laws will revert back to the states, Michigan Attorney General Dana Nessel now says, “politicians do not belong in our doctors’ offices,” and that if Roe v Wade is overturned by the Supreme Court, in Michigan “women are going to die.” WATCH: 

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Sunday Talks, Eric Holder Says AG Garland Should use J6 Investigation to Indict Donald Trump


Posted originally on the conservative tree house on May 8, 2022 | sundance

In this interview former U.S. Attorney General Eric Holder, a man of highly corrupt character, is asked about current Attorney General Merrick Garland and the January 6, 2021, DC insurrection witch trials [06:49 prompted].

Holder gives the game away behind the J6 effort, a collaboration between a corrupt congress and a corrupt justice dept, when he states that Donald Trump should be indicted by Merrick Garland later this summer.  “Given what we have learned, I think he has to be held accountable.”  WATCH:

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The intention of the J6 committee is to create a legal path to interfere in the 2022 mid-term election and simultaneously target Donald Trump (and others) for prosecution, in order to keep him/them out of office.  The J6 effort is lawfare in its purest form.

When they see 10,000+ people show up to every single MAGA rally and event, the political operatives in both wings of the UniParty in DC know they must take action.  The system rulers are attempting to protect themselves from the people they claim to rule.

Sunday Talks, Lockheed Martin CEO Says Business Booming Under Biden Administration, Expecting Increased Conflict in Europe, North Korea, Iran and Tiawan


Posted originally on the conservative tree house on May 8, 2022 | sundance 

This is one of those interviews that will likely not gain much attention; however, if you listen carefully to how Lockheed Martin CEO James Taiclet describes the need for expanded operations throughout their facilities you get a good perspective on the scale of anticipated foreign intervention by the crew behind Joe Biden.

Joe Biden recently traveled to Alabama to thank Taiclet and his company for increasing production of Javelin missiles.  In this interview the weapons manufacturing CEO states the timeline to increase production is a few years and he anticipates the Ukraine conflict will be ongoing throughout.

Additionally, due to the Biden foreign policy James Taiclet happily anticipates conflicts beyond Ukraine, in Tiawan, Iran and North Korea.  The CBS stenographer Margaret Brennan doesn’t even pause as she asks questions about how fast more of these wonderful bombs and missiles can be made available. Not a moment of reflection amid the gleeful war drums. Quite remarkable.  WATCH:

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Lying Biden


Armstrong Economics Blog/Politics Re-Posted May 8, 2022 by Martin Armstrong

Biden has been lying to the public since he entered his political career decades ago. Yet, he allegedly received more votes than any US president in history. Trust no one.

Mexican President Calls Out Hypocrisy of Biden Sending $33 Billion to Ukraine While Doing Nothing to Support Central America Which Would Stop Illegal Migration


Posted originally on the conservative tree hose on May 7, 2022 | Sundance

Mexican President Andres Manuel Lopez-Obrador (AMLO) is not wrong on this one.  AMLO is calling out Joe Biden for sending $33 billion more to Ukraine, while doing nothing financially in central America which would alleviate the migration pressure.

The article, as written, and general tone from President Lopez-Obrador, are expressed from the perspective that Biden has his foreign policy problem solving emphasis on the wrong syllable.

Put that level of subsidy into support within Central America and the migration issue would correct.  Unfortunately, as more people are becoming aware, the location of Biden’s financial emphasis is a feature of the White House plans, not a foreign policy flaw.

Ukraine is viewed as a priority because the DC politicians and corporations gain financial benefit from Ukraine spending.  If Biden were to drop $30 billion in central America, it would impede the White House agenda to keep the southern border crisis going.  The border collapse is a goal of the White House, not a mistake.

López Obrador criticized American officials sharply for being quick to send billions to Ukraine, while dragging their feet on development aid to Central America.

On his first stop in neighboring Guatemala, López Obrador demanded U.S. aid to stem the poverty and joblessness that sends tens of thousands of Guatemalans north to the U.S. border. The Mexican leader had been angered that the United States rebuffed his calls to help. (read more)

Poll, 65 Percent of Americans See Current Inflation Problem Lasting a Year or More


Posted originally on the conservative tree house on May 7, 2022 | Sundance

Fox News conducted a poll last week [Data Here] asking about views on the economy overall.  As would be expected the majority of Americans see the economy as the #1 issue right now.

When asked for their view on how long the issue of rising prices are likely to remain a problem, 65% of the respondants said a year or more, while 29% had a more short-term view.

It is very hard to see a short-term end to inflation, accepting the status of energy prices and the looming issue of much higher food prices later this summer and fall.  In both the energy sector and the food sector the upward pressure on prices remains incredibly strong; perhaps the strongest ever predictable scenario for much higher prices yet to follow.

Fox News – […] Three-quarters say recent price increases pose a financial hardship for their family.  And increasing numbers say they are a “serious” hardship.  Higher grocery prices are a serious problem for 44%, up from 36% in February. Same story on gas prices:  44% serious hardship, up from 35%.  (more

♦ Where are we now?   There are two sub-sets:

• Inflation on durable goods should now be nearing the apex.  The durable goods price flatlines right now as all production costs are embedded in the cost of the product.  The prices of finished goods are now set; inflation has caught up to production; the prices of on-shelf and inbound deliveries are higher, but stable.

Now, we enter the phase where consumer demand becomes the dominant factor in price.  Simultaneously, demand is contracting because the higher rate of inflation in highly consumable goods (energy, utility costs, housing, gasoline, food) is now a spending priority for consumers and eating a larger portion of wages.   As a result, the price of durable goods is now dependent on the ability of the consumer to pay for them.

Sellers of durable goods are going to be chasing a smaller customer base who can afford them.  Durable goods prices will remain static, and now durable goods prices will likely become part of the competitive equation.  The businesses within the durable goods sector are going to have to find customers in order to stay in business.  Incentives will show up this spring/summer as businesses need customers.   If you are a wise, careful and smart shopper for durable goods you will find deals

• Inflation on consumable goods is not yet at the apex.  It’s likely close to production parity, but prices pressures are still volatile in the upward direction. The price of gasoline and transportation overall will be a big factor in current prices of highly consumable goods.  We should see oil, gas and energy prices stabilize first.

Rents will likely increase for another three to six months, then stabilize (and, in my opinion start to fall late summer).

Housing overall is far more challenging as mortgage rates are climbing.  Refinancing as a method to bridge the income gap between wages and expenses is a big problem now in this phase.  There is going to be a period of massive fluctuations and instability in the housing market depending on region and employment stability as the recession phase of the total economy is going to bite hard.

For most regions with mixed blend underlying economies (products and services) macro housing prices have peaked in the last 15 days.  For ordinary housing purchases, not institutional investments, we should start to see price decreases again as the customer base for high prices shrinks.  Obviously, this is driven by inventory and regional specifics; however, I am talking in the aggregate within the macro housing situation.

Food prices still have some upward pressures through Memorial day.  Then a period of stability will settle, before the third wave of food inflation hits later in the summer/fall of this year; that’s when the increases in farming costs will reach the fork.

Late summer and fall food prices will likely be 15 to 20 percent higher than current prices at the supermarket.  The fresh foods will be on the upper side of the future price wave, and the processed foods on the lower end; however, both will increase.

The last factors in the food price are far more challenging to predict….  Supply?   Any problems within the food production cycle that impacts supply will drive prices, beyond what we already expect.  If there are major shortages, the prices will go even higher.

This food environment is unfortunately the best time for Big Agriculture, the Wall Street multinationals, to make the most profit.  The Big Ag multinationals will exploit every possible angle within inventory, supply and harvest controls to maximize their profit equation.  There are a great deal of unknown global variables right now that could impact U.S. food prices later this year.  The only certainty is that prices will further increase.

Joe Biden sucks.

As CNN painfully noted: “Even within the Democratic Party, just 7 in 10 approve of Biden on the economy (71%) and helping the middle class (71%), considerably lower than the 86% of Democrats who approve of his performance overall. Fewer than half of Democrats say Biden has improved the nation’s economic standing (45%), down from 58% in December.” (article link)

Remember, and emphasize as much as needed for importance, the U.S. government (Biden administration) needs inflation in order to sustain debt.

That’s why we are seeing a Ukraine spending package ($33 billion), the next round of COVID spending ($22 billion), and now a demand for a college loan bailout ($900 billion).  Combined the three massive spending packages generate another $1 trillion in artificial money, designed to keep inflation high.

The Fed (monetary policy) and White House (fiscal policy) are working together to try and manipulate the economy.  You can identify their intent by noticing both actions, raising interest rates -&- massive spending, work to counteract each other.

Right now, our U.S. economy is a game of musical chairs, and they are trying to keep the music playing.  However, the record is slowing (economy is contracting), and the music sounds weird.   Inside the economy the activity is slow to non-existent. Consumer spending is only high because ordinary stuff costs more; the overall U.S. economy is not generating any additional value.

If this isn’t “stagflation” I have no idea what it would be.

FUBAR