Posted originally on Nov 14, 2025 by Martin Armstrong |
QUESTION: Mr. Armstrong, there are a lot of people who seem to take your track record and pretend that they have made calls on all sorts of things but lack the data or the computer to back up their claims. They then run some infomercial and go on an on before they tell you what they are selling. The latest scam is how everyone will be displaced by AI and be left destitute unless you listen to them. If they are selling weight loss to financial news, they produce long winded videos that are tiring and its the same formula to sell something. You don’t do that. Is there a great displacement coming because of AI?
DP
ANSWER: Yes, but what is the definition of “great” that they like to scare people with. The Industrial Revolution’s displacement impact was catastrophic for many in the short term. People absolutely had to learn new ways of working, but this “retraining” was an informal, often brutal process of economic Darwinism—adapt or face destitution. Every new technology has displaced the work force. In 1860, 53% of the civil work force was employed in AGRICULTURE. The Industrial Revolution is what inspired Karl Marx and gave birth to Communism because people suddenly worked for a capitalist and he profited from the real wealth which was labor. By 1900 that 53% had declined to 41% and by 1980 it was 3%. Go back to the 18th century and that is when Adam Smith wrote his Wealth of Nations in 1776 which was a counter-argument against the French Physiocrats who claimed that the wealth of a nation was only agriculture and a blacksmith lived off the wealth of the farmer like a parasite.
So, will AI displace people? Of course, as EVERY technological innovation has done since the Romans invested the aqueduct. This is a complicated subject and it is too extensive for a blog post. We will be covering this at the WEC and we will may the AI report available after the conference.
Posted originally on Oct 31, 2025 by Martin Armstrong |
QUESTION: Since you are probably the first to develop a real AI computer decades before anyone heard of AI, what is your opinion of the future of AI? You have been silent on this trend.
ANSWER: Look, there is a difference between the short-term from a trading perspective and the long-term. ChatGPT is a language-based model like the others. It is capable of amazing things, but when you pull back the curtain, there is still a significant difference between human intellect and machine learning.
Nvidia became the first company to surpass a $5 trillion valuation, as the firm continues to profit handsomely from the AI boom. However, the world’s largest company has seen its stock skyrocket by more than 44,000% over the last decade—and its record-setting net worth is greater than Germany’s entire 2024 GDP. That said, there is the risk of a short-term high in November. That is set in motion by human emotion – not long-term fundamentals.
I believe language-based models can replace judges and courts, and it would be a vast improvement to replace politicians who like to play with economics as a socialist tool to punish anyone who has more than they do. Riisevelt won with class warfare during the Great Depression, and they have not changed that formula, which is why we are witnessing the decline and fall of the Democratic Party, which has fallen into the trap like Hitler, who demonized the Jews, pushing the conspiracy theory that communism was a Jewish agenda.
The limitations of AI are very stark. This technology is not capable of original discovery. That happens to be reserved for human intellect. When I designed Socrates, I understood this. I had to code how I would think, trade, and actually train Socrates to replace myself. This was not an easy task. However, this was possible only because the field was limited. It was not going to search the Web to find the name of Lady GaGa’s French Bulldog.
They did that at IBM with Big Blue. They thought it would find the cure for cancer – it failed. There is something more that makes our brain function. It is NOT just a neural net; consciousness somehow emerges from all the connections. Granted, they try to mimic the brain and look upon us as simply a biological lifeform without actually understanding that there is something much more profound.
IBM Watson faced significant challenges in the healthcare sector, ultimately leading to its sale in 2022 after a series of failures to deliver on its promises. Despite its initial success on the quiz show Jeopardy!, the application of AI in healthcare proved to be more complex and problematic than anticipated. The difference between Jeopardy and Original Research/Discovery is that the AI Language-Based Models can only uncover what is known. They cannot discover something previously unknown.
Socrates is fundamentally different because I taught it how to discover, not what to discover. IBM failed because it assumed that throwing a pile of data into the system would make it become conscious. That is an excellent plot for a movie, but it is not reality. Perhaps I could do something in the medical field. But it would take me sitting down with real researchers to understand the process of discovery in such a field. Just because I was able to construct a system that monitors the entire world and comprehends how everyone will act in their own self-interest, does not mean I could accomplish the same in medicine.
When we are talking about the rule of law and politics, AI could help eliminate the constant biases and mistakes that cause history to repeat over and over again like Greek tragedy, but the actors merely change – not the plot.
Posted originally on Aug 22, 2025 by Martin Armstrong |
The most human of experiences has been automated as China unveiled a new AI robot that is capable of carrying a fetus to full term, replicating the entire pregnancy process from conception to birth. Kaiwa Technology in Guangzhou plans to release these robots in 2026 for $1,400, or a small fraction of what couples pay for surrogates. Has science gone to far in the quest to play God?
These “pregnancy robots” are vastly different from traditional incubators that are utilized for premature or at-risk newborns. The fetus develops within the robot’s artificial womb in synthetic amniotic fluid. Scientists have developed artificial placentas equipped with a tube system operated by AI, which can feed the baby oxygen and nutrients during gestation. Humans have never procreated through an artificial womb nor has a robot replicated the whole gestation process.
Surrogacy was deemed unethical, and the Chinese government banned the practice in 2001. The government prohibited the trade of ova, sperm, embryos, and other related reproductive items. If not outright banned, most nations have a complicated legal framework surrounding surrogacy and parental rights. The Chinese government believes gestational surrogacy exploits women in poverty, and the law recognizes the birthing mother as the legal mother. Still, repealing the one-child policy and infertility have caused a spike in interest.
Some believe this technology will be a breakthrough for couples suffering from infertility. Outside China, same-sex couples could also benefit from AI-driven surrogacy that costs a fraction of the price. Women may not be exploited for their wombs, but what about the babies born to non-human figures?
The mother-child relationship is the genesis of life and creation. The age-old debate of nature v nurture always concludes that both are essential. Scientists conducted a number of unethical studies during the last World War to see what would happen if a baby were deprived of nurture. Naturally, these studies could never be replicated again.
The Third Reich was keenly interested in eugenics and expanding the Aryan race. In 1935, Heinrich Himmler implemented selective breeding programs for “racially pure” women. Lebensborn homes were developed to discreetly provide unwed women the opportunity to procreate. The Christian society villainized unwed mothers, and so the program operated in secrecy. After birth, biological parents were forced to surrender all parental rights to the German government who assumed full parental guardianship. Thousands of children were born under this program that lasted nine years and expanded to all Nazi-occupied territories.
As a reportfrom the Ministry of Justice stated: “Leaders of the [League of German Girls have] intimated to their girls that they should bear illegitimate children; these leaders have pointed out that in view of the prevailing shortage of men, not every girl could expect to get a husband in future, and that the girls should at least fulfill their task as German women and donate a child to the Fuhrer.”
Newborns were deprived of maternal bonding and nurturing, a crucial factor that the Nazis failed to consider. “Racially and genetically valuable” babies experienced severe cognitive issues. Some of the children were placed in mental facilities for the remainder of their lives. Children showed signs of impaired memory, attentional deficits, emotional dysregulation, and delayed learning. Countless children experienced intense trauma regarding their true identities.
Obviously, there has never been a study to determine development within an artificial womb. Animal studies have shown that maternal hormones such as prolactin (PRL) are excreted during late pregnancy and activate neural brain circuits responsible for the biological nurturing response for both the mother and newborn. The biochemical communication between the mother and child determines fetal outcomes. Could an artificial placenta create the same experience?
Developmental issues are one major area for concern. Countless dystopian tales discuss what could happen if governments could control the population. The Nazis may have attempted to expand the Aryan race, but what could other governments do with this same power? Governments and globalist entities are constantly determining ways to control the population. The majority of developed nations are experiencing a severe decline in birth rates coupled with an aging population. The government could create a subset of humans to act as future soldiers, workers, or worse. Scientists need a human egg and sperm for these devices, and those born to robotic mothers would be humans. Bad actors could easily hide their misdeeds by pretending robot-born humans are AI. We may need to not only prove our identity but our actual existence as sentient homo sapiens in the future.
I have created this site to help people have fun in the kitchen. I write about enjoying life both in and out of my kitchen. Life is short! Make the most of it and enjoy!
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