Republics & the Death of Democracy Drowning in Corruption


COMMENT: Martin, The Death of Democracy is alive and well here in Seattle. A statewide initiative I-976 to limit Washington car tabs to $30 has just passed with a large majority. In less than 24 hours Seattle’s mayor Jenny Durkan has already announced a lawsuit against it with support from King County Executive Dow Constantine. Washington governor and former presidential candidate Jay Inslee has also chimed in and halted all statewide transportation projects not underway. Amazing how an initiative that limits the government’s tax revenue is resisted by the government in full force within 24 hours.

The impetus of this initiative was the discovery that our local transportation agency Sound Transit has been illegally collecting excessive taxes through a vehicle valuation depreciation schedule that was more conservative than the one that was listed on the initiative which passed in 1996. In other words, they have been collecting “extra” taxes for more than 20 years and a recent lawsuit against the agency finally brought this fact to light.

I guess if the government steals money from us that’s ok, but when the people pass an initiative to simply stop the crime it is resisted with every resource government has available

Thank You,

Alex

REPLY: This is the problem with career politicians. This is what has to change. We really need term limits, for ONLY then will we achieve a true government for and by the people. Virtually every Republic has mired and drowned to death in their own corruption. The only form of a republic that seemed to work for a while was that of the Republic of Genoa,which was one of the Italian Maritime Republics. The Doge (President) rotated among the top rich families for a period of one year following the ancient Roman tradition of an annual consul. There was no class warfare and they ran the government more like a corporation to compete with Venice and Florence as well as the Republic of Pisa and Amalfi  in the south. During the late Middle Ages, Genoa was one of the major commercial powers of the time and it became a center for merchant banking during the 16th and 17th centuries, which also made it a major financial center in Europe until the Spanish defaults. Christopher Columbus was from Genoa. He donated one-tenth of his income from the discovery of the Americas to Spain to the Bank of Saint George in Genoa for the relief of taxation on foods. There is a splendid monument to Columbus in Genoa even though they refused to fund his voyage.

When the presidency rotated annually, nobody would ever pass a law that would punish themselves when they left the office and returned to private life the following year. This is what we so desperately need to restore. Only because the Doge rotated annually did Genoa truly prosper. Venice also had a Doge but he was appointed for life and the city owned all the ships.

The Rising Tide of Civil Unrest Globally


QUESTION:

Dear Marty , what do you’re models say about the unrest in South America (Chili, Peru, Bolivia, Colombia, Venezuela, Argentinia) .

It looks like the whole continent is on flames.

All the best,

ciao G

ANSWER: I will update the Cycle of War in 2020. As I have stated many times, the computer has correlated both the international war among nations as well as the civil unrest which leads to revolutions. Normally, these two separate models move at different times. When they align, we get the most dramatic changes. This is what is taking place right now on a global scale. We have rising civil unrest around the globe. There is no place that is exempt.

We will see even the US 2020 elections become much more violent. It will be similar to the 1960s, but this is not over race. This time economics is driving the cycle which is being articulated in the battle between socialism v capitalism. Never before in history do we see the losing side simply refuse to accept their loss and move on. This nonsense that Trump is “#NotMyPresident” reflects the rising discontent which will turn to violence next year.

Then the socialists are out to destroy capitalism using climate change. This is also a cleverly orchestrated movement that is political beneath the surface. Shutting down fuel, ending cars and air travel — people have no idea that the agenda is to send society back to the Stone Age and end, not just industrialization, but capitalism.

This is not going to end well. The stupidity of people to ascribe to climate change without looking closely at the proposals is just an illustration of how easily the mob can be fooled. They are being convinced to surrender all their freedoms on the pretense that we face extinction in 12 years.

The Big Bang and the Process Unfolding into 2025


QUESTION:  Hi Martin, I am a long time follower and devoted to your blogs. It’s something that goes well with that first cup of coffee in the morning. In your responses to some people regarding an alternate place to escape from government tyranny, I would suggest that it is not easy for many who have a spouse, family or grandchildren (if if you have the means to do so). Another aspect is how does one assess whether the place they are moving to will have a stable government five years from now or longer, because there is always the threat from another country wanting your resources, workers, strategic land, etc. I don’t think it is easy for anyone to up and move away from family and friends whom they would leave behind – and contact via social media, well, that’s doesn’t work for me.

Thank you.

PP

ANSWER: The cracks in the system will begin to appear next year. This is part of the Big Bang that began 2015.75, and was the PEAK in government confidence. As this unfolds, it will become clearer as to where to go. Keep in mind that the collapse in governments is predominantly in the West. There will be rising separatist movements, so we will see varying pockets of political unrest. We are just too far away from that for me to speak without guessing. It does appear that Asia will be the better place in general. They are not embracing socialism or this insane climate change agenda

Y2K & the Two-Digit Date Systems


 

COMMENT:

Was Y2K a possible problem ?

I was programmer then systems programmer and Senior programmer for several companies in the late 1960’s into mid 1970’s. Indeed our records did have just a 2 digit year in all records.

Of course technology improved and and space would have become less important and history would suggest that the problem was foreseen and handled significantly.

Was that guaranteed ?

Of course not.

REPLY: There were computer systems that were the old system based only on a two-digit date. Those systems were predominantly the problem, but they were exaggerated to make it seem that the entire computer world would crash. So in that respect, I was wrong in not addressing the old two-digit systems. They were the minority

Every Chinese Rocket Design Explained!


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China is now the number one nation in terms of rocket launches, with most of its launchers tracing their design heritage back to the Dong Feng 5 ICBM. This includes the Long March 2, 3 & 4 – all propelled by YF-20 family Engines burning UDMH & NTO The Newer Long March 5,6 &7 all use new cryogenic propulsion systems. Long March 11 is a solid rocket based system. More info at: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Long_Ma…) https://space.skyrocket.de/directorie… http://www.astronautix.com/c/china.html

Will New Glenn be the KING of Heavy Lift Rockets?


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Blue Origin, perhaps the sleeping giant of the aerospace industry, will be going from a tiny suborbital rocket, to one of the biggest rockets ever made… Today, we’re finally going to do a quick rundown on Blue Origin, talk about their upcoming New Glenn rocket and then compare it to some of the other Heavy Lift Launchers it will be competing against. Want sources and a full article about this video? Here you go! – https://everydayastronaut.com/new-gle…

 

SpaceX’s Starship Popper – Starship Mk1 Ruptures Tank During Test


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The partially completed Mk1 Starship at SpaceX’s Boca Chica facility was undergoing tank pressure tests when the top few meters of the rocket exploded off and were propelled about 100 meters into the sky. Footage of the RUD was captured by LabPadre and @BocaChicaMaria1 and it shared here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PF1NE… The failure happened under high tank pressure, the forward LOX tank unzipped along the circumferential weld line, resulting in the bulkhead being propelled upwards while the pressure change propagated downwards and damaged the lower parts of the vehicle. The project is in the process of building other test vehicles with improved fabrication techniques, but this will no doubt result in slowed progress. Images of the event and the aftermath by: https://twitter.com/labpadre https://twitter.com/BocachicaMaria1 https://twitter.com/bocachicagal

Al Gore Was Also Behind the Panic in 2000 – Y2K Was Going to Shut Down the World


QUESTION: Marty, is it true that Al Gore was behind the Y2K scare back in 2000 that all the computers would crash and nothing happened?

JC

ANSWER: Yes. It was Al Gore back then who was behind the hype that the world was going to crash because the computers would all fail when the date turned from 1999 to 2000. I remember those days well. I ran tests on Socrates to see if there would be a problem and nothing happened. In computers, we generally do not use calendars. Instead, we use a Scalar Date System. In Socrates, for example, day 1 is 6,000 BC. All of our data is recorded in this Scalar Date format. In other words, November 18, 2019, is day 2,929,261. In this manner, we can calculate the number of days between events and determine true cycles. We then have algorithms to translate that Scalar Date to the current calendar. We can translate the ancient date based upon whatever calendar they used at that point in history into our Scalar Date system.

So yes, Al Gore was a big proponent of the Y2K Crisis which resulted in billions spent on a problem that did not exist. Computer do not store dates in calendar format. So yes. He is at it again crying that the entire world is going to crash, again, but this time because of CO2.


Here is Al Gore Speech on Year 2000 Conversion.
Date: July 14, 1998.
Source: The White House, Office of the Press Secretary.


REMARKS BY THE VICE PRESIDENT
AT YEAR 2000 CONVERSION EVENT

National Academy of Sciences
Washington, D.C.

THE VICE PRESIDENT: Thank you very much, ladies and gentlemen. Thank you, thank you very much. I didn’t know I was going to get that kind of build-up, Bruce. Thank you. I do come over here a lot, and I appreciate all the kind words. And, Dr. Alberts, I want to thank you and all of your staff and team here for all of the help that you’ve given to the President and me, and to the administration, and to the Congress, and for the role that you play in our country.

It’s a great pleasure to be here with so many distinguished guests. And on behalf of the President, I’d like to spend just a moment acknowledging the folks who are on stage with us here. Before I do that, I want you to know that there are several members of the President’s Cabinet who are present here today, including the OMB Director, Jack Lew, who plays such a prominent role in this issue; and, of course, John Koskinen, who is Chair of the President’s Council on the Year 2000 Conversion. And we want to thank John for all the work that he’s done on this. Having been a part of the effort to persuade him to come back out of retirement and take this on, I want to really lay it on thick because he’s done a great job. Why don’t you stand up, John. We appreciate what you’re doing.

Also, let me point out that the Secretary of Labor, Alexis Herman, is here; and the Acting Secretary of Energy, Betsy Moler is here; Deputy Secretary of Labor Kitty Higgins and Deputy Secretary of Transportation Mort Downey; Deputy at SBA, Fred Hochberg; also, FCC Commissioner, Michael Powell; and others in the administration — Janet Abrams is the Executive Director of the Year 2000 Council; Morley Winograd with the Partnership for Reinventing Government.

And from the — I probably should have started with the members of the Senate and the House — I want to say a special word of acknowledgment to Senator Bob Bennett and his partner, Senator Chris Dodd — the two of them are leading the charge on the Senate side to create a very thoughtful, bipartisan forum for addressing this issue that faces our country and the world. And on the House side, I want to especially acknowledge Congressman Steve Horn of California and Congressman Dennis Kucinich of Ohio, Congressman John LaFalce of New York and Congressman Jim Turner of Texas.

Now, behind me here on stage are some distinguished Americans who are hard at work on the issue, and the President will be referring to some of them. But I want to acknowledge Erle Nye, a CEO of Texas Utility Corporation; Stephen Wolf, CEO and Chairman of the U.S. Airways Group; John Pasqua, Vice President for Y2K at ATT; Peter Turner, who is the COO at Torrington Research Company; and Sandra Wells who is in charge of Y2K for Torrington; and Ed Brown who is Vice President for Internet Services with First Union Bank.

Now, I took notes, Dr. Alberts, of your comments about me and technology, and I was recalling a magazine article — one of these airline magazines. And they had a list a few years ago of 31 signs that technology has taken over your life. I’ll just read a few of them: If you know your e-mail address, but not your Social Security number; if you rotate your screen saver more than your tires; if you have never sat through a movie without having at least one device on your body beep or buzz.

Now, here’s the point. My personal favorite was number 23: If Al Gore strikes you as an intriguing fellow. I don’t understand that. Why is that? But technology is, without question, a vital part of our everyday life, and we constantly face the challenge of making sure that we’re on top of it and mastering it instead of letting it take control of our lives and master us. And we’re here today to discuss what we all need to do to ensure that technology continues to be a path to prosperity and not a source of new problems, especially on the day when the calendar turns on the year 2000.

I’m speaking, of course, about the so-called year 2000 problem which, as everybody knows — well, unfortunately, not everybody does know it — but as many people know, and certainly everyone in this auditorium knows, it could cause serious problems for commerce and communications all over the world if we’re not serious about fixing it.

This is a story of conscious decisions by people years ago that led to completely unintended consequences. Back in the 1960s and ’70s, managers and programmers tried to save money by saving on memory. At that stage of the computer revolution memory was at a premium and they were trying to avoid using any unnecessary space in the memory storage areas. And so they came up with the notion of representing the date with only two digits, instead of four. So 1965 became just 65. And it saved millions of dollars, but it also created one whale of a problem.

The software assumed that every year began with 19, and it wasn’t programmed to read the year 2000. The programmers assumed, of course, that the early versions of software that they were using would quickly become obsolete, so they really didn’t think about it that much. But software has turned out to be a different kind of technology from toasters or cars — when you get a new version you don’t just throw away the old software, or at least when you develop a new version they didn’t throw away the earlier version, they built upon it and added to it.

And software began to evolve in ways that are not completely dissimilar to the evolution of life forms in the sense that the new forms recapitulated some of the earlier evolutionary steps. And without spending much time considering it, the software writers continued to think, well, we’ll soon replace this and if we fix the numbers, well, they’ll have to go back and fix it all over the place. And so they fell into a pattern of denial and it didn’t really seem to them to be a problem.

But as a result the flawed programs were replicated by each successive generation. And over time they built up and today we have hundreds of millions of computers and devices and tens of billions of imbedded chips that will not accurately read — many of which will not accurately read the year 2000. When you have that many of them, if only a small percentage of them don’t accurately read the date, then the world has a problem. And unless the old lines of code are fixed, the problems, of course, will be serious. And that means that if somebody gets a bill in December ’99 and doesn’t send a check until January of 2000, if that company’s computer isn’t fixed it might not register your payment because it will think the check is from 1900. And that would be the least of the problem. So it has to be fixed.

And this is a challenge that exists on four different levels. First of all, it’s a challenge to the federal government. With more than 7,000 mission critical systems at the federal level, carrying out functions ranging from Social Security payments to air traffic control, it is critical that our electronic systems run effectively and efficiently.

Secondly, it’s a challenge to state and local government. States use computers to run vital public health and safety systems, from Medicaid to unemployment insurance to water treatment plants.

Third, it’s a special challenge to the private sector. Virtually every American business, both large and small, has a stake in our information economy and ultimately has to take personal responsibility for fixing their own system. The people who are with us on stage today, to whom I referred earlier, have taken a special leadership role on this issue and we want to hold them up as examples, and they’re working with us to solve the problem. And private businesses are really doing a wonderful job, in most cases — we’ll talk about some of the others.

Now, fourth, it’s an international challenge. In a world with hundreds of different languages, the way in which our computers speak to one another across national boundaries drives our markets, our jobs, and our future.

The President will talk more broadly about all four of these areas in just a moment. Let me take just one minute to focus on the federal role. The federal government has been working very hard to ensure that our critical computer systems will in fact run smoothly when the date changes. Earlier this year the President established the President’s Council on the Year 2000 Conversion, and appointed John Koskinen, as the highly respected former Deputy Director of Management at OMB, to head up this effort.

Along with John, I met with the President’s Management Council to make clear that their number one job was to meet this challenge. And I joined in the Cabinet meeting when the President laid down the law and went to each Cabinet Department and set in motion efforts to make sure that every Cabinet member understands this is priority number one.

And today, over 30 Executive Branch, independent and regulatory agencies have representatives on that Council and great progress is being made. At the Social Security Administration, for example, more than 90 percent of critical systems are already year 2000 compliant. There are areas where extra attention is being devoted, I assure you, and we know very well that we have serious work ahead of us and we have to remain diligent.

Our goal is to have 100 percent government-wide compliance not by December 31, 1999, but by March of next year. And John Koskinen really is a tireless and talented manager with a stellar record, and I know that together we will continue to make good progress toward meeting that goal.

And we want to thank our colleagues in the Legislation Branch of the government for approaching it with the seriousness of purpose and dedication that they have brought to this task. This can be a model of partnership and, in fact, one of the lessons that businesses are learning is that some of the instinct for conflict or to take advantage of some competitor’s problems have to be submerged into a common effort to make sure that everybody in a particular industry sector is solving the problem, because it will affect everybody if that’s not stopped. And the same thing is true where the federal government is concerned.

Our Office of Personnel Management is currently working to make sure that every agency has the talent and the personnel needed to address this issue. Last March OPM issued a memorandum that will enable us to bring back retired government programmers to meet this challenge without requiring them to give up their retirement benefits.

After all, much of the work that needs to be done involves computer languages that were en vogue 30 years ago, but are not as prevalent today. And some of these languages even have dialects that can throw you for a loop if you haven’t been conversant in them personally. And these programmers have the training and the skills that are greatly needed right now.

So we’re doing our part, and part of the message today is that everybody has to do his or her part. Let me be clear about one thing in closing. The year 2000 problem is a management challenge and a programming challenge. It must not be a political football. We need bipartisan cooperation to solve the year 2000 problem, not political rhetoric. More than anything else, the year 2000 problem has revealed how interconnected and interdependent we have become. As software has evolved, so has our society. We’re all in this together and we must solve it together.

Ladies and gentlemen, there is no person who understands that better than President Bill Clinton. Over the past five and a half years, no person has worked harder or done more to give our families and communities the tools that they need to make technology work for them and to make it a pathway to a brighter future. And, of course, we see the results in all of the great economic news in most parts of our country — 16 million new jobs, new records for small business creation every year now, 78 percent of America’s schools wired to the Internet, and the biggest increase in education opportunity in a generation.

The President is here today to talk about how the United States of America can keep this progress going and continue to address the year 2000 problem today. It is my great honor to present to you, ladies and gentlemen, the President of the United States, Bill Clinton.

 

Replacing Judges with AI


The corruption in the Rule of Law is the #1 cause of the decline and fall of nations. One major step would be to replace judges with AI. Lawyers already use AI to research legal positions that junior staff once did. It is only a matter of time before courts can be replaced with AI, which would then ensure that judges will not rule in favor of the bankers or governments. Prosecutors make the decision as to who should be indicted and that too is entirely discretionary. The FBI, which never exonerates anyone, just did so claiming Hillary did not intentionally violate the law. That was clearly an intentional effort to boost her for running in 2020. When the Rule of Law is controlled politically, that is when governments begin to decline and eventually collapse. It is the Rule of Law that enables civilization to form. Without the Rule of Law, you end up with total chaos. It is about time we move toward something that is desperately needed to save society.

Artificial Intelligence v Sophisticated Analytics


QUESTION:

Socrates vs Aladdin

I would like to start by saying thank you for all the knowledge in an altruist way you provide to the world. Reading your blog is part of my daily activities for years now. And what i difference it has made in opening my mind.

I would like if you could comment in which way is different Socrates’ capabilities to Blackrock Aladdin. Since they state exactly what Socrates stands for, unbiased worldwide analysis.

On another topic, read a far fetch theory the other day, that are about 8 to 8.5k people worldwide that control the BIS, making them the lords of all this chaos and nonsense of economic imbalances we live in (life of constant debt). If you find convenient, could you please elaborate on your words of knowledge on the topic.

Many thanks and best regards

PG

ANSWER: Blackrock Aladdin® is only an operating system for investment managers. It does provide information which is the typical standard money management tool. It involves the standard array of sophisticated risk analytics used in portfolio management. It is not Artificial Intelligence that writes an analysis on its own. It is a platform with tools where the manager must still make informed decision-making and use effective risk management.

Here is the screen on the NASDAQ. What you see is a number of tools you can look at. The Global Market Watch pinpointed the 18th as a “Potential Key High,” which was based upon true AI. The difference is the computer is providing its conclusion. The rest of the tools are there for your personal informed decision-making. Then Socrates writes a report on each level of the market as well and provides a summary overview. This, again, is AI.

Providing an algorithm that is a tool like a stochastic is standard in the world. We have the standard risk models you can look at as well. All of that is NOT Artificial Intelligence for you are making the decision based upon a standard tool. The tool is not telling you its conclusion. There is nothing out there that writes a report after analyzing the entire world.

As far as the BIS is concerned, that is just a conspiracy theory. Even the Kenneth Rogoff told Bloomberg: “A joke, which I have been telling since the last meeting in Davos, culminates in the fact that the predictions made in Davos are always wrong… No matter how unlikely, the most likely event is the one that is the opposite of the Davos consensus.” In fact, he may have said it was a joke, but it is true. They have never made a single forecast that was correct at any of these gatherings. They lack the tools of the global economy and ONLY someone who has actually traded in the markets can possibly understand the true capital flows.