Iran has launched a drone attack on Israel that appears to be testing Israel’s defenses. The IDF has stated that it would take hours for the drones to even reach the country. Benjamin Netanyahu said Israel was prepared for a ‘“direct attack from Iran.” Tehran confirmed the action, with Iranian state TV reporting: “A significant drone operation by the IRGC against targets inside occupied territories has started.” Biden was called back from Delaware where he hides 40% of the time.
These Iranian drones are slow-moving. Iran’s defense ministry announced the start of mass production of drones in 2018, named the Mohajer-6 tactical and combat unmanned aerial vehicle. Their drones began back in the 1980s, but they were used for surveillance at that time.
This appears to be a test of Israeli’s defenses rather than a serious attack since they are slow-moving and would provide Israel with ample warning.
QUESTION: Marty Socrates was the only one to forecast the trend change in Israel in 2021. With tensions rising over Iran, the forecast for a dollar rally into 2025 seems to be on point. My question is, I assume the 2021 low is a major low, and how high will the dollar go?
Thank you so much for Socrates. It is the only analysis that is ever unbiased.
HS
ANSWER: The 2021 low was the target on the array and our Bifurcation models. This currency elected a Yearly Bullish signal at the end of 2022, and that confirmed that the 2021 low would be a major low. It is interesting that when Israel withdrew from Lebanon in 1983, the dollar rose for 19 years. It was 2021 when the Israeli-Palestine Crisis started to catch fire. Once again, you see that the dollar rises from the threat of a Middle East War.
The volatility was due to rise the first week of April but this appears to be escalating into the week of April 22n
Posted originally on the CTH on March 23, 2024 | Sundance
Unfortunately, as expected the death toll in the Crocus City Hall theater attack has doubled. Russian authorities now put the death toll at 140, with hundreds more injured. The death toll is still expected to continue climbing as rescue workers continue working to find bodies amid the rubble.
This story is a matrix of horror and terrorism. The originators and the motive behind the attack presents as a network of extremely sketchy actors. Do not rush to judgement. Allow the data to surface. Expanded discussion after the facts as presented.
The four terrorist gunmen responsible for the attack were tracked as they fled Moscow and captured in the Bryansk Region of Russia. They were traveling by car southeast away from Moscow toward the border with Ukraine. According to interrogation video {LINK} two of the suspects claimed to be from Tajikistan and were recruited by an unidentified entity in Turkey to carry out the attack.
The claim is they were living in a hostel near north Moscow and were paid $5,000 each (500,000 rubles) to carry out the attack. They were provided the weapons in the Moscow suburb, with instructions to drive southeast to Ukraine for safe harbor after the attack. If accurate and/or truthful, each of these elements creates a datapoint for the Russian intelligence apparatus to identify the source.
The fact that they were captured alive, indicates the people/entity who organized and directed their terror mission wanted them to be captured alive. The fact they were instructed to head to Ukraine, indicates the people/entity who organized their terror mission wanted them to be intercepted en route to Ukraine.
In an address to the country on Saturday, Russian President Vladimir Putin said 11 people had been arrested, including four gunmen suspected of carrying out the attack. President Putin linked what he called a “barbaric terrorist attack” to Ukraine in a carefully worded statement released Saturday. President Putin expressed deep condolences and declared Sunday a National Day of Mourning for those lost.
The terrorists, he said, had “tried to hide and move towards Ukraine, where, according to preliminary data, a window was prepared for them on the Ukrainian side to cross the border.” The Russian President vowed to hold those responsible for the “barbaric terrorist act” to account.
“All the perpetrators, organisers and those who ordered this crime will be justly and inevitably punished. Whoever they are, whoever is guiding them,” Putin said.
“We will identify and punish everyone who stands behind the terrorists, who prepared this atrocity, this strike against Russia, against our people.”
Unfortunately, there are a myriad of mutually aligned interests who would benefit by provoking Russia into the type of retaliation that can provide them benefit. That’s why we should wait to assemble more information.
The primary geopolitical players who might organize and benefit from the terror attack would be, USA, Ukraine, Turkey and Israel, or a combination therein. Each nation has an independent motive that aligns with the larger objective to draw Russia into a bigger conflict with the “West.”
Whoever told the terrorists to seek safe harbor in Ukraine, wanted to give Russian President Putin the publicly pressuring impression that Ukraine was involved. This is a big datapoint that must be overlaid against the interests of those who organized the attack.
While the Muslim Brotherhood does not like Vladimir Putin at all, the organizer of this attack was not likely to be ISIS-K as the media keep saying.
Approximately 4 to 5 heavily armed men, with long rifles and explosive devices, opened fire earlier today in a Moscow theater. The initial casualty estimations put the number of dead around 40 60 with hundreds more wounded. However, based on footage of the events captured by terrified victims, we can expect that number to increase significantly.
…”The attack followed a statement issued earlier this month by the U.S. Embassy in Moscow that urged the Americans to avoid crowded places in the Russian capital in view of an imminent attack”… ~AP
(Sky News) – […] At least 40 people are dead and more than 100 others have been injured following a mass shooting at a concert hall in Russia’s capital.
According to witnesses, between three to five gunmen dressed in camouflage stormed into Moscow’s Crocus City Hall on Friday night and opened fire on concertgoers.
Horrifying footage shared to social media showed hundreds of people ducking for cover as multiple gunshots echoed through the 7,300 capacity venue.
According to the Federal Security Service (FSB), 40 concertgoers are dead and more than 100 others have been injured in the attacks. It is feared that number will rise.
Russia’s top investigative agency, the Investigative Committee, said they are probing the events as a “terrorist attack”, according to the Associate Press. (more)
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Emergency services vehicles rush to the burning Crocus City Hall in suburban Moscow which was set ablaze after gunmen opened fire at a rock concert in the Russian capital, according to Russian news agencies. At least 40 people were killed, and more than 100 injured in the attack, according to Russia’s Federal Security Service.
Dear God, bring these grieving families to Your throne of comfort. Their pain is unimaginable as they anguish the loss of their wives, husbands, children and loved ones.
Father of mercy and comfort wrap Your loving arms around them. Help them to breathe and overcome the choking knot of despair in their throat. Please provide strength for their continued faith in You even through this unfathomable pain. Lavish them with Your love and fill the void in their crushed and broken hearts.
In Jesus’ powerful name, I believe and pray.
Amen.
Дорогой Господь, приведи эти скорбящие семьи к Своему престолу утешения. Их боль невообразима, поскольку они переживают потерю своих жен, мужей, детей и близких.
Отец милосердия и утешения, обними их Своими любящими объятиями. Помогите им дышать и преодолеть удушливый узел отчаяния в горле. Прошу Тебя, дай им силы для их непоколебимой веры в Тебя, даже несмотря на эту непостижимую боль. Одари их Своей любовью и заполни пустоту в их раздавленных и разбитых сердцах.
Posted originally on Feb 13, 2024 By Martin Armstrong
Our Global Market Watch cautioned that Israel was at risk of a monthly decline in February. For the first time in the nation’s history, Moody’s has downgraded Israel’s credit score amid the war in Palestine. Israel has seen numerous conflicts over the years such as the Second Intifada or war with Hezbollah, and even then Moody’s did not see a decline in Israel’s credit worthiness. Moody’s cited the war with Hamas as the main reason for downgrading Israel from A1 to A2.
Moody’s is now forecasting a negative economic outlook for Israel. “While fighting in Gaza may diminish in intensity or pause, there is currently no agreement to end the hostilities durably and no agreement on a longer-term plan that would fully restore and eventually strengthen security for Israel,” Moody’s noted, as there is no certainty when or how this war will end.
The Bank of Israel predicts it will cost around 255 billion shekels (~$69,710,245,119.30 USD) to fund the war until 2025, and it believes 13% of GDP will be spent on the conflict. Moody’s is not concerned about the economic health of Israel as much as it is concerned about the direction of this war with Palestine as it only seems to be escalating four months after Hamas launched their attack. The credit agency explained that “ the ongoing military conflict with Hamas, its aftermath and wider consequences materially raise political risk for Israel as well as weaken its executive and legislative institutions and its fiscal strength, for the foreseeable future.”
Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu attempted to quell fears by saying he believes the conflict will be over in a few months. Meanwhile, Israel launched a series of airstrikes over the weekend that claimed the lives of over 100 people in Rafah, and the public perception of the war is beginning to change. The US, Israel’s main donor, has asked Israel not to attack Rafah without a plan in place to protect civilians.
Secretary of State Antony Blinken even addressed the situation while speaking in Jerusalem, “Israelis were dehumanized in the most horrific way on October 7th…But that cannot be a license to dehumanize others.”
Fitch will release its rating for Israel at the beginning of March, and Standard & Poor’s data will be released in three months. This war is unlike any the nation has fought in the past and the markets are beginning to feel the volatility.
Posted originally on Jan 4, 2024 By Martin Armstrong
The Supreme Leader of Iran, Ali Khamenei, clearly understands the game at foot. He is aware that the Neocons want to engage Iran, for that would force Russia to defend them as well and turn the heat up in the Middle East. Ali Khamenei has reportedly ordered IRGC Military Commanders to LIMIT their ongoing Attacks on U.S. and Coalition Forces within Syria and Iraq. Khamenei Has made it clear that Iran must Avoid any Direct Military Confrontation with the United States at all Costs. The comment I am getting from the Middle East is the perception that Israel is trying to compel the US into war with Iran. In truth, it is the American Neocons pushing Israel.
Posted originally on the CTH on January 4, 2024 | Sundance
White House National Security Council Coordinator for Strategic Communications, John Kirby, previously pledged that Iran would be limited on how they could use the $6 billion in funds we gave them through the Qatari bank.
Iran has made withdrawals of the funds, and today John Kirby was asked about what Iran is doing with that money. Here is his response: WATCH:
Posted originally on Dec 29, 2023 By Martin Armstrong
Egypt has attempted to remain neutral amid the Israel-Palestine war. The nation was one of the first in the region to secure its own border and deny refugees. But now Egypt is requesting an end to the death and destruction and has proposed a truce to Hamas.
Nations historically rarely accept peace deals offered by a foreign state until they’re completely decimated by war. In the case of Hamas, they are jihadi soldiers who will never surrender their holy war. Egypt requested that Hamas step aside and allow the Palestinian people to elect a new parliament. In return, Israeli forces would leave Palestine and commit to a permanent ceasefire.
Now, Israel NEVER agreed to this deal. Netanyahu, sounding like Nikki Haley, said, “We finish them. No less than that.” Hamas flat out rejected the deal as well, but said they would be open to negotiating with the lives of the 100 Israelis they are holding captive. Hamas would never permit a free election – it simply would not happen.
Egypt has every reason to fear an Israeli victory. Russia has been investing heavily in Egypt since 2014, and is currently pouring $4.6 billion into Egypt’s Suez Canal zone to create “Sun City,” an industrial zone covering 2,000 hectares. Russia poured $7 billion into Egypt in 2021 to create the Russian Industrial Zone (RIZ), the nation’s first industrial zone outside of Russia. Egypt is Russia’s stronghold in North Africa. Egypt has managed to maintain diplomacy with the West despite its close alliance with Russia.
The Ben Gurion Canal Project will take place after Israel declares victory. I explained this in depth in the report “Israel & Its Future,” which was provided to WEC attendees. Egypt has a grip on nautical trade, as about 20% of all world trade moves through the Suez Canal. The Ben Gurion Canal would start by the port city of Eilat in Israel through the Gulf of Aqaba, crossing the Jordanian border and flowing through the Arabah Valley before entering the Dead Sea before heading north around the Gaza Strip. The West would no longer need to maintain diplomatic relations with Egypt as trade would be redirected to this new canal.
Egypt likely expected Hamas to reject the peace deal but extended the olive branch to maintain its neutral posture.
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