Posted originally on the CTH on November 8, 2023 | Sundance
While the ‘first-loser’ debate takes place in Miami, Florida, a few miles up the road President Donald Trump will be holding a rally in Hialeah. The venue is the Ted Hendricks Stadium at Henry Milander Park and President Trump is scheduled to deliver remarks at 7:00pm ET.
Posted originally on the CTH November 7, 2023 | Sundance
The University of North Florida [DATA HERE] shows President Donald Trump with a solid 60% of the primary vote ahead of Wednesday’s debate among ‘first-loser’ candidates.
The question consistently posed is why any Republican candidate would continue trying to undermine the clear leader of the Florida voter. The answer is quite simple, the remaining field is not trying to win the GOP nomination, but rather to undermine, damage and work on behalf of their multinational donors to block Trump – no matter the consequence.
(UNF POLL) – A new poll from the University of North Florida’s Public Opinion Research Lab asked likely Republican primary voters across Florida their preferences in the 2024 presidential primary. When given a list of possible candidates, 60% of respondents indicated a vote for Donald Trump, followed by 21% for Ron DeSantis in a distant second place. Nikki Haley came in third with 6%, followed by Chris Christie with 2%, and Vivek Ramaswamy with 1%. The remaining candidates each received less than 1%. Eight percent of respondents said they do not know or refused to answer. For the full list of candidates in the answer choices, please see the survey crosstabulations.
When asked to choose between DeSantis and Trump in a hypothetical head-to-head race, 59% of respondents said they would vote for Trump, with 29% for DeSantis, and 12% who don’t know or refused. (read more)
Clearly, Florida voters continue to see through the charade represented by Ron DeSantis since his May announcement to enter the race. There is clear voter backlash in the state toward DeSantis that was not anticipated by the handlers of the Florida governor.
The backlash is related more to the Florida Republican base increasingly identifying the background motive of DeSantis that was visible long before he made his announcement. For DeSantis to be losing his own state by such a margin reflects the ability of the Florida voter to see through the astroturf and manipulation that was carried out as part of the operation.
President Trump has chosen not to engage in the debate Wednesday; instead he will be holding a rally in Hialeah.
We can anticipate that Nikki Haley and Ron DeSantis will be desperate to achieve the coveted first-loser position.
Posted originally on the CTH on November 6, 2023 | Sundance
Much is being made of the New York Times/Siena poll of background states [Full Poll DATA HERE]. Indeed, the professional Democrats are apoplectic with the results, and the deeper you dig into the poll the worse it looks for Joe Biden.
(NYT) – Trump leads Biden in five of the six states — Pennsylvania, Arizona, Georgia, Nevada and Michigan — which would likely be enough to give him the 270 electoral votes needed to win. Biden leads in the sixth state, Wisconsin. Trump leads by at least four percentage points in each of the other five states:
Extending the results, if the election were held today, President Trump would win over 300 electoral votes. However, lesser discussed is the structure of the race that is specific to MAGAnomics and President Trump. Within the poll, President Trump is carrying the largest coalition of support amid black Democrats (22%) and Latinos (40%) in Republican history. This is very unique to President Trump and not transferable to any other Republican candidate.
Within that reality, you find the reason for Politico [SEE HERE] and David Axelrod [SEE HERE] to sound the alarms. “Not ‘bed-wetting,’” but legitimate concern, Axelrod wrote, as he simultaneously suggested that Joe Biden drop out of the race. Axelrod says, “the stakes of miscalculation here are too dramatic to ignore. Only @JoeBiden can make this decision,” he continued. “If he continues to run, he will be the nominee of the Democratic Party. What he needs to decide is whether that is wise; whether it’s in HIS best interest or the country’s?”
[…] They’re not outliers in showing Biden in peril: A CBS News/YouGov national poll also released on Sunday showed Trump leading Biden 51 percent to 48 percent — a reversal of Biden’s 51 percent to 47 percent victory in the 2020 election.
The poll results have already prompted tons of handwringing among prominent Democrats within half a day of their release. But it’s not just the topline numbers that should make the party wary of next year — and potentially uneasy about the off-year elections this week.
It’s also what’s buried in the crosstabs and the other questions — specific areas of weakness for Biden on policy, personal attributes and among key segments of the electorate central to his bid for a second term. (read more)
What the poll indicates is that President Trump is carrying a more broad and diverse coalition of support than any Republican politician in modern political history.
If the election were held today, former President Donald Trump would easily beat President Joe Biden with over 300 electoral votes, according to a new swing state poll from The New York Times and Siena College. https://t.co/4at08MgkQ8
"76% of adults in this poll say the country is headed in the WRONG direction. Only 23% — less than a quarter of the country — say that we're headed on the right track." pic.twitter.com/O4rYaNKZnL
After another round of brutal polling for Biden, the ABC panel is openly discussing Biden stepping aside:
"They don't know who that Democrat would be right now — I don't think that people look at Kamala Harris and feel like she is ready…" pic.twitter.com/XmusjSdpgc
Posted originally on the CTH on November 5, 2023 | Sundance
This should not come as a big surprise, after all, President Donald Trump has an actual record of accomplishment on the two metrics that CBS/YouGov are polling, peace and prosperity.
According to the CBS/YouGov Poll, American voters view President Donald Trump as the better presidential candidate to create peace globally and specifically make their financial future more positive. Both of these points are exceptionally important.
CBS – With views of things in America continuing to be bad and now hitting their most negative marks of the year, one might expect an incumbent president to trail in a pre-election poll — as Joe Biden does in this one. But that’s only half the story. The other half is that Donald Trump holds distinct advantages in his own right when voters look forward: More voters think they’d be better off financially if Trump wins in 2024, and more voters think it’s Trump who can keep the U.S. out of a war, if he wins. (link)
We do not have to guess which candidate has the right path. We have President Trump’s actual economic policy results to look at and see how the expansion of the economy was creating the type of growth that would sustain Social Security and Medicare. This was/is MAGAnomics at work.
…. Make America Great Again!
We know it works, because we have the results to cite.
It was the Fourth Quarter of 2019…..
Right before the pandemic would hit a few months later…. despite two years of doomsayer predictions from Wall Street’s professional punditry, all of them saying Trump’s 2017 steel and aluminum tariffs on China, Canada and the EU would create massive inflation, it just wasn’t happening!
Overall, year-over-year inflation was hovering around 1.7 percent [Table-A BLS]; yup, that was our inflation rate. The rate in the latter half of 2019 was firmed up with less month-over-month fluctuation, and the rate basically remained consistent. [See Below] The U.S. economy was on a smooth glide path, strong, stable and Main Street was growing with MAGAnomics at work.
A couple of important points. First, unleashing the energy sector to drive down overall costs to consumers and industry outputs was a key part of President Trump’s America First MAGAnomic initiative. Lower energy prices help the worker economy, middle class and average American more than any other sector.
Which brings us to the second important point. Notice how food prices had very low year-over-year inflation, 0.5 percent. That is a combination of two key issues: low energy costs, and the fracturing of Big Ag hold on the farm production and the export dynamic:
(BLS) […] The index for food at home declined for the third month in a row, falling 0.2 percent. The index for meats, poultry, fish, and eggs decreased 0.7 percent in August as the index for eggs fell 2.6 percent. The index for fruits and vegetables, which rose in July, fell 0.5 percent in August; the index for fresh fruits declined 1.4 percent, but the index for fresh vegetables rose 0.4 percent. The index for cereals and bakery products fell 0.3 percent in August after rising 0.3 percent in July. (link)
For the previous twenty years, food prices had been increasingly controlled by Big Ag, and not by normal supply and demand. The commodity market became a ‘controlled market’. U.S. food outputs (farm production) was controlled and exported to keep the U.S. consumer paying optimal prices.
President Trump’s trade reset was disrupting this process. As farm products were less exported, the cost of the food in our supermarket became reconnected to a ‘more normal’ supply and demand cycle. Food prices dropped, and our pantry costs were lowered.
The Commerce Dept. then announced that retail sales climbed by 0.4 percent in August 2019, twice as high as the 0.2 percent analysts had predicted. The result highlighted retail sales strength of more than 4 percent year-over-year. These excellent results came on the heels of blowout data in July, when households boosted purchases of cars and clothing.
The better-than-expected number stemmed largely from a 1.8 percent jump in spending vehicles. Online sales, meanwhile, also continued to climb, rising 1.6 percent. That’s similar to July 2019, when Amazon held its two-day, blowout Prime Day sale. (link)
Despite the efforts to remove and impeach President Trump, it did not look like middle class America was overly concerned about the noise coming from the pundits. Likely, that’s because blue-collar wages were higher, Main Street inflation was lower, and overall consumer confidence was strong. Yes, MAGAnomics was working.
Additionally, remember all those MSM hours and newspaper column inches where the professional financial pundits were claiming Trump’s tariffs were going to cause massive increases in prices of consumer goods?
Well, exactly the opposite happened [BLS report] Import prices were continuing to drop:
This was a really interesting dynamic that no one in the professional punditry would dare explain.
Donald Trump’s tariffs were targeted to specific sectors of imported products. [Steel, Aluminum, and a host of smaller sectors etc.] However, when the EU and China respond by devaluing their currency, that approach hit all products imported, not just the tariff goods.
Because the EU and China were driving up the value of the dollar, everything we were importing became cheaper. Not just imports from Europe and China, but actually imports from everywhere. All imports were entering the U.S. at substantially lower prices.
This meant when we imported products, we were also importing deflation.
This price result is exactly the opposite of what the economic experts and Wall Street pundits predicted back in 2017 and 2018 when they were pushing the rapid price increase narrative.
Because all the export dependent economies were reacting with such urgency to retain their access to the U.S. market, aggregate import prices were actually lower than they were when the Trump tariffs began:
[…] Prices for imports from China edged down 0.1 percent in August following decreases of 0.2 percent in both July and June. Import prices from China have not advanced on a monthly basis since ticking up 0.1 percent in May 2018. The price index for imports from China fell 1.6 percent for the year ended in August.
[…] Import prices from the European Union fell 0.2 percent in August and 0.3 percent over the past 12 months.
So yes, we know President Trump can save Social Security and Medicare by expanding the economy with his America First economic policy. We do not need to guess if it is possible or listen to pundits theorize about his approach being some random ‘catch phrase’ disconnected from reality. Yes folks, we have the receipts.
This was MAGAnomics at work, and this is entirely what created the middle class MAGA coalition. No other Republican candidate has this economic policy in their outlook, because all other candidates are purchased by the Wall Street multinationals.
America First MAGAnomics is unique to President Trump, because he is the only one independent enough to implement them.
That’s just the reality of the situation. They hate him for it…
Posted originally on the CTH on November 4, 2023 | Sundance
President Trump attended the Florida Freedom Summit in Kissimmee today. After dismissing Chris Christie and those running for first loser status, the republican audience went wild when President Trump came onto the stage. WATCH:
Posted originally on the CTH on November 4, 2023 | Sundance
The Florida DeSantis operation is based on political leverage to punish any GOP member who does not support the Florida governor. As noted throughout his campaign, the people in control of the DeSantis operation have a vicious and vindictive GOPe streak in alignment with the character of their candidate.
It was reported earlier today [link], in advance of the GOP “Freedom Festival” convention, that seven Florida lawmakers were going to endorse President Donald Trump. Five of those endorsements are retractions from prior support of Ron DeSantis. We can all be certain the attacks against Trump supporters by the DeSantis campaign are going to get much more vicious as the Iowa primary date gets closer.
FLORIDA – Seven more Republican Florida legislators are endorsing Donald Trump’s presidential campaign – including five defections from Ron DeSantis – underscoring the former president’s momentum and the subtle erosion of the governor’s influence in their home state.
The seven endorsements, unveiled Saturday at the Florida’s GOP’s “Freedom Summit” and shared first with The Messenger, follow Florida Sen. Rick Scott’s decision Thursday to back Trump and they come 10 days after one of DeSantis’s former top allies in the Florida Legislature, Rep. Randy Fine, defected to Trump.
[…] State Rep. Jessica Baker, who switched her endorsement from the governor to Trump, indicated she was following her constituents’ interests.
“As instability grows around the world and economic uncertainty takes root here at home, folks across my district tell me constantly they want to see President Donald Trump back in the White House and Gov. Ron DeSantis back on the job here in Florida, finishing the work he promised to do less than a year ago,” Baker said in a written statement.
State Sen. Debbie Mayfield, who also switched her support from the governor to Trump, praised the former president’s leadership in uncertain times.
“It’s time to unite our party behind Donald Trump, prepare for the year ahead and work together to prevent another four years of Joe Biden’s disastrous policies from destroying this nation that we all love so dearly,” she said.
Also leaving DeSantis for Trump: state Representatives Webster Barnaby, Alina Garcia and Kevin Steele. State Representatives Mike Beltran and David Borrero, who had been neutral in the race, joined them Saturday in endorsing Trump. Trump’s longtime ally, state Sen. Joe Gruters, has been with Trump since 2016 and Trump also counts the support of Senators Ileana Garcia and Ana Maria Rodriguez as well as Representatives Juan Porras and Fine. (read more)
KISSIMMEE, Fla. — In the state where Gov. Ron DeSantis ranks the most powerful GOP official, he faced a homecoming at a Republican Party gathering on Saturday that was upstaged by an effusive reception for 2024 presidential rival Donald Trump.
Many audience members donned Trump-themed apparel and the former president held the most prominent speaking spot at the event billed as the “Freedom Summit” in the Gaylord Resort and Convention Center. And seven Florida state lawmakers are expected to endorse Trump at the event, including five who had previously endorsed DeSantis, according to a person familiar with their plans who spoke on the condition of anonymity to describe decisions that had not been announced publicly. The Messenger first reported the news of the endorsements.
[…] While home-state endorsements typically have little bearing on the outcome in early nominating contests, the moves were seen in Republican circles Saturday as another blow to DeSantis’s campaign. Trump, who spends the winter months at his Mar-a-Lago resort in Palm Beach, has sought to cultivate relationships with some local Republicans as he seeks the presidency.
Speaking to reporters after the news of the defectors broke, DeSantis dismissed the endorsements as politics as usual. And his campaign pointed out that DeSantis still outpaced Trump in state legislative endorsements in Iowa and New Hampshire and still holds a far greater number of endorsements in Florida. (more)
In the first loser race, the problem for Ron DeSantis is not Donald Trump. The problem for Ron DeSantis is that Nikki Haley has passed him as the favorite candidate of the “non-Trump” donors.
At the request of the Wall Street donors who control the club mechanisms, the RNC is structuring the debate qualification rules to narrow the field.
(Politico) Republican presidential primary contenders will have to meet higher polling and donor thresholds to qualify for the fourth debate in the race, the RNC said on Friday.
To qualify for the fourth debate, scheduled to take place on Dec. 6 in Tuscaloosa, Ala., candidates will need to poll at least 6 percent support in either two national polls or in one national poll and two separate early state polls — a slight increase from the 4 percent marker previously needed to qualify.
The presidential hopefuls will also need to pick up 80,000 unique donors, a tick upward from the 70,000 needed to qualify for the third contest.
At least four candidates will take the third debate stage next Wednesday in Miami: Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis, entrepreneur Vivek Ramaswamy, former South Carolina Gov. Nikki Haley and former New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie.
But the race’s far-and-away frontrunner, former President Donald Trump, will skip the event — and he will almost certainly not attend the fourth debate as well. Trump’s campaign has repeatedly called for an end to the events given his sustained polling lead.
Sen. Tim Scott (R-S.C.) said he has qualified for the third debate, but the RNC has yet to confirm to POLITICO whether he has fully met the polling criteria. (read more)
Posted originally on the CTH on November 2, 2023 | Sundance
Former governor and now senator, Rick Scott, is well aware of the sentiment amid the Florida electorate. Florida Governor Ron DeSantis is a toxic political commodity who will not even come close to winning his own state. Senator Rick Scott endorses President Donald Trump.
Tampa, FL – Today, Senator Rick Scott announced his endorsement of President Donald Trump. If Republicans want to beat Joe Biden and rescue America from the mess he’s created, Republicans must nominate the strongest candidate. President Trump has a proven track record of strong leadership. During his presidency, America’s economy was booming, the border was secure, and China was being held accountable. It’s time for Republicans to come together and unite behind President Trump.
“It’s time for the Republican Party to come together, behind one candidate, and declare with one voice that we are united in our efforts to defeat Joe Biden and rescue America.
I know most of the candidates running for president, and I respect their decision to put themselves through this very difficult process. They’ve made their case to voters, laid out their agendas and their plans, and told their stories. Make no mistake: every single one of them would be a better president than Joe Biden. But Republican voters are making their voices heard loud and clear. They want to return to the leadership of Donald Trump.
President Trump will be our nominee because America was safer and more prosperous when he led our nation. Our economy was booming, and we were achieving energy independence. He took on Communist China and stood up to dictators in Latin America. He did more for Israel than any other president in our history, bringing stability and peace in the Middle East through the Abraham Accords, while Joe Biden is undoing all the work his administration accomplished.” (read more)
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