Tag Archives: Bikini Atoll

Sep 5 2018

Typhoon Jebi Hit Japan with Amazing Force


Armstrong Economics Blog/Japan

Re-Posted Sep 4, 2018 by Martin Armstrong

 

Sep 4 2018

UPDATE: TS Gordon Approaches Mississippi Coastline – Anticipated Landfall at Hurricane Strength….


Re-Posted from The Conservative Tree House on September 4, 2018 by

Gordon is anticipated to strike the Mississippi coast as a category one hurricane. Current wind-speeds are 65mph, with strengthening anticipated.

[National Hurricane Center] At 100 PM CDT (1800 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Gordon was located near latitude 28.9 North, longitude 87.3 West. Gordon is moving toward the northwest near 15 mph (24 km/h), and this general motion is expected to continue until landfall occurs tonight along the north-central Gulf coast. A northwestward motion with some decrease in forward speed is expected after landfall, with a gradual turn toward the north-northwest and north forecast to occur on Friday.

On the forecast track, the center of Gordon will move across the northern Gulf of Mexico today, and will approach the north-central Gulf Coast within the hurricane warning area late this afternoon or evening, and move inland over the lower Mississippi Valley tonight and early Wednesday.

Reports from an Air Force Reserve Unit reconnaissance aircraft indicate that maximum sustained winds remain near 65 mph (100 km/h) with higher gusts. Some strengthening is expected later today, and Gordon is forecast to be a hurricane when it makes landfall along the north-central Gulf Coast. Rapid weakening is forecast after Gordon moves inland. (link)

Sep 4 2018

11:00pm Gordon Advisory – Fast Moving Storm Expected To Reach Hurricane Strength…


Re-Posted from The Conservative Tree House on September 3, 2018 by

Louisiana Governor declares state of emergency. Coastal Mississippi and Alabama should be on alert and prepared to finalize storm preparations by noon Tuesday.

[National Hurricane Center] At 1100 PM EDT (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Gordon was located near latitude 26.9 North, longitude 84.3 West. Gordon is moving toward the west-northwest near 17 mph (28 km/h). A west-northwestward to northwestward motion with some decrease in forward speed is expected over the next few days.

On the forecast track, the center of Gordon will move across the eastern Gulf of Mexico tonight and Tuesday, and will approach the north-central Gulf Coast within the warning area late Tuesday afternoon or evening, and move inland over the lower Mississippi Valley on Wednesday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 60 mph (95 km/h) with higher gusts. Gradual strengthening is expected during the next 24 hours, and Gordon is forecast to be a hurricane when it makes landfall along the north-central Gulf Coast. Rapid weakening is expected after Gordon moves inland.  [more from Hurricane Center]

Sep 4 2018

Head’s Up: TS Gordon – Coastal FL Panhandle, Alabama, Mississippi, Louisiana…


Re-Posted from The Conservative Tree House on September 3, 2018 by

Tropical Storm Gordon is anticipated to move into the warm Gulf of Mexico this afternoon and then strengthen while taking a West-northwest path toward the Alabama, Mississippi and Louisiana coast.  High probability will make landfall as a hurricane.

This storm will move fast while simultaneously strengthening. Residents in coastal west-FL Panhandle, Alabama, Mississippi and Louisiana would be well advised to be proactive, watch closely and begin initial hurricane preparation.

[Hurricane Advisory] At 200 PM EDT (1800 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Gordon was located near latitude 25.8 North, longitude 81.9 West. Gordon is moving toward the west-northwest near 16 mph (26 km/h) and a west-northwestward to northwestward motion is expected over the next 72 hours. On the forecast track, the center of Gordon will move farther away from the southwestern coast of Florida this afternoon and move across the eastern Gulf of Mexico tonight and Tuesday.

The center of Gordon will approach the coast within the warning area along the central Gulf Coast by late Tuesday or Tuesday night, and move inland over the lower Mississippi Valley on Wednesday.

Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 50 mph (85 km/h) with higher gusts. Additional strengthening is forecast during the next 36 hours, and Gordon is expected to be near hurricane strength when it makes landfall along the central Gulf Coast.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 45 miles (75 km) from the center. [Link to NOAA Hurricane Center]

Aug 19 2018

Short-term v Long-term Forecasting Earthquakes


Armstrong Economics Blog/Nature

Re-Posted Aug 19, 2018 by Martin Armstrong

There is a site that is doing short-term Earthquake forecasts who has a very good track record known as Dutchsinse. He has a very good track record for forecasting events near-term. Of course, this is still not mainstream. It is very strange when people can improve on forecasting they are just ignored. Our models are not designed to give a specific target for an earthquake on a daily basis. We have plotted the long-term historical records and correlate that with the global economy.

There are countless earthquakes every day.  We do not seek to duplicate what Dutchsinse provides. We are more concerned with targeting important events that will alter the economic trends either short or long-term. Here is our database on Japan. These are the earthquakes back to 694AD. In this case, there have been 86 important quakes for Japan. This is the entire country and not just Tokyo which has been destroyed three times – the last being 1923.

We identify periods where activity should appear even years in advance. This is completely different from short-term forecasting specific targets as has been the case with Dutchsinse. There are numerous quakes around the world every day. Most people will never feel them. Some will run deep and others shallow. Some will produce tsunami events that can be catastrophic as was the case in the 1923 Tokyo event.

Our models are more focused on the correlation with other events. Obviously, a 1923 style earthquake and tsunami in Tokyo today would impact the global economy as Japan is the third largest economy and debt market. The ripple effect in global markets, both currency, and equity would be very significant as well as the debt markets. Here we strive for long-term forecasts to provide institutions time to shift portfolios that could never be accomplished in 24 hours or less.

Aug 19 2018

Second Earthquake in One Day Hits Lombok, Indonesia


Armstrong Economics Blog/Nature

Re-Posted Aug 19, 2018 by Martin Armstrong

 

Another earthquake hit now in Indonesia but this was a 6.9 and much shallower. It has resulted in a landslide from Mount Rinjani after another earthquake hits Lombok. It really would be nice if we simply realize that everything is connected cyclically. We have now had two quakes hit the very first day our computer projected a correlation would intensify in August. There are studies that need to be done and knock off the political BS that supports research like Global Warming that produces taxes and divert it to something more practical that can actually save lives now.

Categories: Nature
Aug 19 2018

Fiji Earthquake 8.2 – More to Come?


Armstrong Economics Blog/Nature

Re-Posted Aug 19, 2018 by Martin Armstrong

COMMENT: Ok, this time you were wrong. A major earthquake hit Fiji on the 19th, not the 20th and CNN reported it 3 hours ago which followed your post 8 hours ago. Your slipping!

Cheers

Keep up the great work

PF

REPLY: Well, I never bothered to try to hone in on earthquakes to the day. It was a deep quake at 8.2. Such deep quakes can later trigger more shallow quakes of similar magnitude days or weeks later. But in reality, this week began today the 19th. I am a trader so I label the weeks with the first trading day being Monday 20th. Yet, what I do find most interesting is how everything seems to be correlated together be it nature or markets. I am still trying to figure that one out. I put all of this together because it became clear from ancient times onward, that natural disasters had profound economic impacts.

 

It was the great fire of Rome that necessitated the creation of money. Nero was the first to slightly debase the silver denarius reducing the silver content from 97.5% to 93.5%. He needed more money to pay for the reconstruction of Rome and his new palace.

When Pompei was destroyed by the eruption of Vesuvius, once again we see that money was needed for the relief effort. Titus was forced to reduce the silver content from Nero’s level of 93.5% to 92.5%. Of course, the San Francisco Earthquake of 1906 contributed to the Panic of 1907 and the regional capital flow crisis that eventually led to the creation of the Federal Reserve with branches throughout the nation.

You cannot forecast the economy and markets without taking into account all factors and that includes NATURE!

Aug 19 2018

Earthquake & Volcanoes for August/September 2018


Armstrong Economics Blog/Nature

Re-Posted Aug 19, 2018 by Martin Armstrong

QUESTION: Mr. Armstrong; In Singapore who warned that there would be continued volcanic activity in the Pacific and that the peak in 2018 appeared to be coming into play August/September. Is that timing still on track?

GH

ANSWER: Yes. That seems to actually begin this coming week 8/20 and goes into the week of 09/10. This is just a cyclical period but it is not catastrophic so no need to run and hide under the desk. This is a trend that should continue for several years. However, we are entering a period where we can see an increase in activity cyclically speaking. It is just that 2018 was the beginning and we have seen quite a few volcanoes erupted so far this year. It tends to correlate with the downturn in the energy output of the sun

Aug 17 2018

Immortality: Breakthrough Reverses Aging


Published on Aug 16, 2018

Scientists may have found a recipe for immortality, but if you live long will you prosper? What would you do with an extra 300 years? Bill Whittle hosts Scott Ott and Stephen Green to explore the benefits of virtual eternal life, and the hazards. ‘Right Angle’ is brought to you by the members at http://BillWhittle.com Subscribe and become a patron producer spreading the message of liberty around the world, in an entertaining way. Other topics on this week’s Right Angle include Omarosa’s new Trump book and why journalists treat it as fact, what killed off Homo erectus, and a look at “How we’re doing” as a country. Members get an extra episode each week, plus a Backstage video pass to our pre-production meeting. Bill Whittle, Stephen Green and Scott Ott have produced a three-man news commentary and humor show for about nine years, every week. Your topic ideas always welcome in the comments at http://BillWhittle.com Follow the Right Angle Facebook page: https://www.facebook.com/RightAngleTV/ Join the Right Angle MeWe group: https://mewe.com/join/right_angle
Aug 16 2018

Amazing videos of tornadoes and the Destruction that they do


This is a series of videos clips pieced into one short movie that is the best I have ever seen showing the destruction that tornadoes can cause.