Harmeet Dhillon Gives a Pragmatic Legal Perspective on Supreme Court Ruling


Posted originally on the conservative tree house on June 24, 2022 | Sundance

Ms. Harmeet Dhillon appears on the Tucker Carlson show to discuss the Supreme Court ruling that sends the issue of abortion back to the individual states for determinations of legal issue by the legislative bodies closest to the people.  {Direct Rumble Link}  Dhillon provides a clear-eyed and pragmatic review of the Roe -vs- Wade case nuance overall.  WATCH:

French President Macron and Canadian Prime Minister Trudeau Denounce the U.S. Supreme Court


Posted originally on the conservative tree house on June 24, 2022 | Sundance 

Quite a remarkably telling situation when the foreign leaders of France and Canada begin to think they have some political responsibility to deliver their opinions on decisions within the United States government.

Yes, their pronouncements are fraught with stupidity considering their own national laws on abortion were/are much more stringent than the United States, but that belies the point of their insufferable arrogance.  The globalist outlook is structured around their own sense of importance.

The protestations from Macron are particularly ridiculous since France has a legal limit of 14 weeks for abortion [LINK].

Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau, the same man who forced all women in Canada to undergo a vaccine requirement or remove themselves from society, took the hypocrisy of his own “women’s health” policy one step further than Macron.

It is worth noting, “there are currently no Canadian laws that explicitly guarantee access to abortion as a right,” [LINK] putting the recent U.S. Supreme Court ruling in the exact same place as the Canadian government position on the issue.

However, Canadians more than 23 weeks into their pregnancy cannot get abortions in Canada.  Instead, according to CTV they travel into the United States to get the procedure.

“According to a study published by Action Canada for Sexual Health and Rights in 2019, no providers in Canada offer abortion services more than 23 weeks and six days into a pregnancy. Those who are this far into their pregnancy and looking for an abortion often travel to the United States for the procedure instead, which would be in jeopardy should Roe v. Wade be overturned.” (more)

Democrat Rep Maxine Waters Promotes Insurrection, Says Rulings from the Supreme Court Should be Defied by Opposition


Posted originally on the conservative tree house on June 24, 2022 | Sundance

The same representative who advocated for violence against President Trump cabinet members, appeared in front of the Supreme Court today to advocate for defiance against the constitutional limitations on government power.

Maxine Waters (California CD-43) represents the outlook of the radical leftists in her emotional reaction to the Supreme Court ruling that lets states decide what laws should be in place to limit the killing of unborn babies.   Ms Waters specifically cited and called for the defiance of “black women” in opposition to the ruling.  Her proclamations make evil and twisted sense from the perspective of the abortion industry, as unborn black babies are disproportionately killed by abortion providers.  WATCH:

The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) documented in its Abortion Surveillance report for 2015 – released on Nov. 23, 2018 – that while black Americans comprise 13.4% of the U.S. population, they accounted for 36.0% of the abortions in 2015.  Black women have three times the rate of abortion as white women, and that higher abortion rate is consistent even after you filter the control data to remove income from the issue {link}.

The number one customer for abortion services are young pregnant black women.  This was also the target audience identified by Margaret Sanger the founder of Planned Parenthood and an avowed racist.  The racial roots of Planned Parenthood go back to the founding.

Angry Biden Lashes Out at Supreme Court, Declares Abortion is on the Ballot This Fall


Posted originally on the conservative tree house on June 24, 2022 | Sundance

With the advanced leak of the Supreme Court abortion ruling, the White House had two months to prepare for the political use of the issue.  Today, the installed occupant of the oval office, was immediately thrust to the microphones to read the prepared remarks. [Transcript Here]

Within seconds of his script an angry and cognitively unstable Biden declared, “with Roe gone, let’s be very clear: The health and life of women in this nation are now at risk.”  The pre-scripted hyperbole continued, “the Court’s decision to do so will have real and immediate consequences.  State laws banning abortion are automatically taking effect today, jeopardizing the health of millions of women, some without exceptions. So extreme that women could be punished for protecting their health,” he exclaims.  WATCH:

[…] “This fall, we must elect more senators and representatives who will codify a woman’s right to choose into federal law once again, elect more state leaders to protect this right at the local level.  We need to restore the protections of Roe as law of the land.  We need to elect officials who will do that. This fall, Roe is on the ballot.  Personal freedoms are on the ballot.  The right to privacy, liberty, equality, they’re all on the ballot. ” (read more)

In addition to the Supreme Court affirming federalism and the rights of individual states to make their own decisions on abortion, there is another downstream benefit to the Roe decision.  Leftists are less likely to migrate to Red states.

[Full Transcript of Remarks Here]

Hopefully the most radical leftists will now self-isolate and stop migrating to regions where traditional American values are being retained.  This would be a natural outcome if the actions of the left-wing democrats were to match their rhetoric.  Unfortunately, I fear the abortion issue is not as big a political issue as the megaphones in media would like to believe.  Recent polling has shown very little political benefit in/around the issue of abortion.

It would be a good outcome if overturning Roe resulted in democrats stopping their migration away from their own left-wing policy madness; however, I’m not sure the abortion issue will overcome their desire to live outside of their insanity.   Leftists are ultimately the best representatives of cognitive dissonance when it comes to living up to their own ideological standards.

Democrats have long been known as “Blue Locusts” because they flee the totalitarianism and consequences they create; then seek to destroy the abundance they desire to have around them.  Modern leftists are dangerous in the destructive outlooks they carry.

If the Roe decision resulted in these leftists self-isolating away from conservative states, this would be of great benefit.  Alas, I doubt they are as committed to the issue as they claim.

President Trump Releases Statement Following Supreme Court Roe Decision


Posted originally on the conservative tree house on June 24, 2022 | Sundance

Following the Supreme Court ruling, President Donald Trump released the following statement.

“Today’s decision, which is the biggest WIN for LIFE in a generation, along with other decisions that have been announced recently, were only made possible because I delivered everything as promised, including nominating and getting three highly respected and strong Constitutionalists confirmed to the United States Supreme Court. It was my great honor to do so!

I did not cave to the Radical Left Democrats, their partners in the Fake News Media, or the RINOs who are likewise the true, but silent, enemy of the people.

These major Victories prove that even though the Radical Left is doing everything in their power to destroy our Country, your Rights are being protected, the Country is being defended, and there is still hope and time to Save America! I will never stop fighting for the Great People of our Nation!” (link)

Supreme Court Reverses Roe, Overturns Constitutional Right to Abortion and Returns Abortion Law to the States


Posted originally on the conservative tree house on June 24, 2022 | Sundance 

The 213-page Supreme Court ruling in Dobbs -v- Jackson (Mississippi case) is FOUND HERE.  The ruling in the Dobbs case was 6-3 in favor of allowing Mississippi to place limits on abortion after 15 weeks.   However, in combination with the Dobbs decision the court has overturned (by a 5-4 vote) the 1972 Roe -vs- Wade decision that created a constitutional right to abortion.

Chief Justice John Roberts joined with the majority on the Dobbs decision (Mississippi) but said he did not agree with the decision to overturn Roe. The vote to overturn Roe was 5-4. Justices Clarence Thomas, Neil Gorsuch, Brett Kavanaugh, and Amy Coney Barrett joined Justice Samuel Alito’s opinion.

Due to an unprecedented leak in the Alito draft opinion in May, the Roe decision was anticipated.  The leaked draft opinion showed that a majority of the justices were privately poised to remove a constitutional right for abortion; today that step was taken.

SCOTUS BLOG – […] Alito began his 79-page opinion by observing that abortion “presents a profound moral issue on which Americans hold sharply conflicting views.” But the Constitution does not refer to abortion at all, Alito stressed, and nothing in the Constitution implicitly protects the right to an abortion.

Although the Supreme Court’s decisions in Roe and Casey established such a right, Alito continued, those decisions should nonetheless be overruled despite the principle of stare decisis – the idea that courts should not overturn their prior precedent unless there is a compelling reason to do so. Noting that some of the Supreme Court’s other landmark decisions, such as Brown v. Board of Education, rejecting the “separate but equal” doctrine, had overruled precedent, Alito emphasized that Roe was “egregiously wrong and deeply damaging” and – along with Casey – should not be allowed to stand. Instead, Alito concluded, the issue of abortion should “return … to the people’s representatives.” (read more)

Abortion rights activists and politicians have been preparing for this moment for two months.   Immediately after the decision to overturn Roe was released all of the far-left activists, media stenographers and politicians began reacting.

This supreme court ruling will lead several news cycles and opposing it will form the cornerstone of the 2022 Democrat mid-term election campaign in every state.  The media have been polling this abortion issue since the draft leak in early May.

CNN did an extensive poll on the abortion issue of young people voting – [pdf here]

CTH pulled all the poll data into one easier to read infographic of the responses by age (below).  The 18-to-34-year group are not single-issue voters.

31% of that age group say a candidate MUST agree with them on abortion, while 69% say abortion is only one of several factors or not much of a factor.

The 18–34-year group is also reasonably pragmatic. If Roe v Wade overturned, 21% say abortions likely to be banned where they live; 31% say likely harder but not banned; 26% say it wouldn’t make a difference; and 22% not sure what would happen where they live.

(original pdf available here)

DNC Lowers Fundraiser Prices Amid Harris’ Low Approval Ratings


Armstrong economics Blog/Politics Re-Posted Jun 23, 2022 by Martin Armstrong

Kamala Harris has done nothing to improve the lives of Americans during her time as vice president. It comes as no surprise that her approval rating is between 39% and 35.5%, depending on what poll you view. Harris is so unpopular that the Democratic National Committee (DNC) had to postpone their Women’s Leadership Forum that Harris was due to headline because they did not sell enough tickets. This indicates Harris is falling out of favor with her main support base — Democratic women.

Furthermore, Democrats expected people to shell out $15,000 to take their picture with the vice president. After some self-reflecting, the DNC will charge only $5,000 for a photo op with the unpopular vice president.

At least twelve staff members have left her office in the past two years after describing Kamala as “abusive” and “toxic.” Some former staff members said they are “terrified at the thought of her becoming president.” Her abusive treatment of staff members matches the apathy she shows to the American public in her interviews. One staff member said that being around Kamala left them with “a sense of paranoia in that office that you never knew when she was going to snap at you.” Biden may be losing his mind, but Kamala does not seem mentally stable either.

Manufacturing Index Drops Far Below Expectations – Biggest Single Month Drop Since 2020 Pandemic Impact


Posted originally on the conservative tree house on June 23, 2022 | Sundance

U.S. inflation was/is driven by supply side impacts as a result of policy (Build Back Better).  The U.S. recession was/is now driven by demand side impacts that are the result of increased supply side costs.  This is the natural economic truth being denied by all levels of political leadership.

Joe Biden policy makers, specifically the U.S. treasury secretary and the federal reserve chairman, have claimed -falsely- that current inflation was/is being driven by demand. In essence, and ironically, their position means consumers are to blame for high prices.  This has been their story and they have stuck to it.  However, remember monetary policy can only impact the demand side of the economy.  Monetary policy cannot impact the supply side, that aspect is led by Joe Biden policy.

The Federal reserve, having denied (pretended) the supply side causation, has effectively raised interest rates (0.75%) into an economic environment where consumer demand was already contracting.  CTH has been asserting this fundamental position all year.   Here is the evidence:

US Manufacturing PMI fell dramatically to 52.4 in June 2022 from 57 in May.  This drop is well below the market and economic expectations of 56, and now points to the slowest growth and steepest drop in factory activity in almost two years.  Contractions in output and new orders are pushing the index down.

Production and new sales declined for the first time since the depths of the pandemic in mid-2020 driven by weak consumer demand.  Inflation and a drop in wholesale and retail purchases have lowered purchase orders.  The gears inside the economy are slowing to a halt.

Look at the PMI trendline and you can clearly see what we have been discussing on these pages since March of 2021.   Consumer demand has been dropping in direct proportion to the dramatic rise in inflation (consumer prices).

At the exact moment that U.S. inflation began spiking in housing, energy, fuel and food, consumer demand for non-essential purchases, durable goods, started dropping.  This is a natural outcome that mirrors your own experience in checkbook economics.

When food, fuel and energy cost you more, you stop buying stuff and start prioritizing.

Following the path of the “build back better” agenda, the U.S. version called “Green New Deal,” meant the Biden administration had to continue denying that any demand side contraction was taking place.   However, it is clear from the indexes under the control of purchasing managers that orders for factory goods have been dropping.

The same is true on the services side of the PMI.  Demand for services are being prioritized, and demand for non-essential services are dropping.

The U.S. economy is contracting.  Denial abounds.

FXStreet – The S&P Global Manufacturing PMI plunged to 52.4 (flash) in June from 57 in May, missing the market expectation of 56 by a wide margin. This report revealed that the business activity in the manufacturing sector expanded at a much weaker pace in early June than it did in May.

Further details of the publication revealed that the Composite PMI declined to 51.2 from 53.6, compared to analysts’ estimate of 53.7.

Commenting on the data, “the pace of US economic growth has slowed sharply in June, with deteriorating forward-looking indicators setting the scene for an economic contraction in the third quarter,” said Chris Williamson, Chief Business Economist at S&P Global Market Intelligence. (more)

The White House will blame Russia.

Unemployment Expected to Rise


Armstrong Economics Blog/Economics Re-Posted Jun 23, 2022 by Martin Armstrong

Jerome Powell recently admitted that combating inflation will lead to rising unemployment. Powell admitted that to establish price stability, the labor market will need to take a hit. “I would characterize that, if you were to get inflation down to, YOU KNOW, on its way down to 2 percent and the unemployment rate went up to 4.1 percent, that’s still a historically low level. We hadn’t seen-we hadn’t seen rates, unemployment rates below 4 percent until a couple years ago for, we’d seen it for like one year in the last 50. So, the idea that 3.6 percent is historically low in the last century. So, a 4.1 percent unemployment rate with inflation well on its way to 2 percent, I think that would be, I think that would be a successful outcome. So, we’re not looking to have a higher unemployment rate, but I would say that I would certainly look at that as a successful outcome,” Powell admitted.

The Fed Chairman said that they would “love” to return to the labor market that we experienced pre-pandemic when unemployment was at a historic low of 3.5%, and wage growth surpassed inflation. That is but a dream. “We’re not, again, we’re not, we don’t seek to put people out of work, of course, we never think too many people are working and fewer people need to have jobs, but we also think that you really cannot have the kind of labor market we want without price stability,” he admitted. The pandemic and COVID restrictions has ruined the US job market for many years to come.

Former Treasury Secretary Larry Summers weighed in on the topic recently but was blunter with his message. “We need five years of unemployment above 5% to contain inflation – in other words, we need two years of 7.5% unemployment or five years of 6% unemployment or one year of 10% unemployment,” Summers said while speaking in London.

That would indicate an immediate 1.4% decline in employment within the next few months on the low end of his estimate. Another 75 basis point rate hike is not off the table for July as the Fed has become hawkish in reversing its failed policies. Regardless, the US workforce is expected to take a big hit in the near future due to fiscal and policy mismanagement. The cost of basic necessities is rising, housing is unaffordable, and countless people will lose their jobs. The worst is yet to come.

The Fed v Congress


Armstrong Economics Blog/Inflation Re-Posted Jun 23, 2022 by Martin Armstrong

Powell addressed Congress on Wednesday to curb inflation fears. The Fed is stuck between a rock and hard place right now as some must lose in order for the situation to improve. Not one to mince words, Sen. John Kennedy said, “We got a hell of a mess right now. You’re the most powerful man in the United States, maybe in the world.”

As I have mentioned, the Federal Reserve cannot combat inflation on its own. During his testimony, outspoken Elizabeth “Pocahontas” Warren indicated that she is utterly clueless about how government policy is damaging the economy. “Rate hikes won’t make Vladimir Putin turn his tanks around and leave Ukraine,” Warren uttered. Rate hikes also won’t prevent the US government from spending billions of dollars on a proxy war in Ukraine. “You know what’s worse than high inflation and low unemployment? It’s high inflation with a recession and millions of people out of work,” Warren stated. “I hope you consider that before you drive this economy off a cliff.”

The Biden Administration has already driven the economy off a cliff. The central bank is merely trying to heal an already injured economy with a limited medical kit. Elizabeth Warren and other “progressives” touted lockdowns and cheered as the unemployment rate rose to historical highs. They forced businesses to close, many permanently, but now suddenly seem concerned that unemployment will rise once again.

Powell admitted that rate hikes will not combat the soaring costs of groceries and gas. The Biden Administration reversed all measures that made America energy independent, and the supply chain problem is also completely out of the hands of the Fed. The situation will not improve until the US government aligns its objectives to support domestic policy, and that is something I do not foresee happening under a Democratic leader.