Trump Demands Gulf States Pay $5 Trillion to Fund War


Posted originally on Mar 21, 2026 by Martin Armstrong |  

2026_03_21_10_55_17_Trump_Demands_5_Trillion_From_Gulf_States_Over_Iran_Policy

It is being reported that Trump has delivered an ultimatum to the Gulf States that “If you want the war to continue – 5 trillion dollars. If you want it to end – 2.5 trillion dollars.” Omani journalist and international relations researcher Salem Al-Jahuri, on BBC Arabic, confirms reports of US pressure on the Gulf Cooperation Council states to make them pay, regardless of the circumstances. According to the leaks to which Al-Jahuri refers, Trump demands from Middle Eastern states either 5 trillion dollars to continue the war, or 2.5 trillion dollars as a payment for its termination, presenting this as a payment for “what has been achieved.”

I am still trying to verify this through independent sources.

What the US has lost in this war is not measured in casualties or the number of placed blown up. The USA has lost the respect they once had in the Middle East. This is a war started by Netanyahu getting Trump to come in to fund his war against Iran and if you recall the ’70s, the whole OPEC oil crisis back then was because the USA was supporting israel against the Arabs. Claiming Iran has nukes and this is a preemptive strike still makes the USA and Israel the aggressors. This has unleashed a Middle East conflict that is not confined to Iran and now the USA wants the Gulf States to pay for the war against Iran?

Beware the next two weeks. Netanyahu wants to escalate dramatically knowing that Trump does not have the support of the American people in an election year no less. Historically, when the president lacks the support of the people during a midterm election, his party typically loses. This much the people on the Hill know for they look at the stats. We will do a report on the Midterms.

Gold has declined as some Gulf States have been selling covertly as cash is king. The safe haven has again been the dollar. But while everyone is watching gold, stocks, and inflation, they are not paying attention to the yield curve which is screaming very loudly but nobody is listening.

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Trump, London, Netanyahu, & Neocons


Posted originally on Mar 12, 2026 by Martin Armstrong |  

Netanyahi Runs Washington

QUESTION: Do you think Trump has been subjugated by the Neocons and Israel?  Socrates picked the low on the Feb 26 before the low, five days later Lloyds cancels the insurance to spike oil higher. It peaked precisely on March 9 as Socrates forecast and then the next day was a Panic Cycle when Crude crashes. Was this all orchestrated for the London houses to make a fortune again?

FG

CRUDE D Tech 3 5 26

ANSWER:  It has been alleged that Trump is subservient to Netanyahu and that the Neocons were attempting to make a fortune on the oil market by instigating war with Iran. I do believe that Netanyahu will take the blame for this war that I fear may be unwinnable life Afghanistan because it also is religious. It has further been alleged that Lloyds of London killing the insurance on shipping to send oil prices to the Moon. The truth is that the International Group of P&I Clubs and its members (like Gard, Skuld, and NorthStandard) are NOT part of Lloyd’s of London. They are two entirely separate and distinct institutions in the London insurance market, though they have a close and long-standing working relationship.

CRUDE D Array 3 11 26

The 26th was the low and crude began yielding buy signals two days in advance. Yes, Socrates picked the high and the crash with the Panic Cycle on the 10th. The computer clearly picked up in advance that the capital was flowing in anticipation of war in the Middle East. There was a Direction Change on the 25th, the day before the spike low ahead of the attack on the 28th.

Bolton 2015 Bomb_Bomb_Iran_The_New_York_Times

The Neocons in the USA are not rejoicing for Trump suddenly becoming a warmonger. Killing the Ayatollah has been on Netanyahu’s wish list for probably longer than Trump has every thought of becoming President. This no doubt Netanyahu’s war but that does not make it antiemetic. As I said, Netanyahu went to school in Philadelphia and hung out with the Kristols when in fact Irving Kristol is the godfather of the Neocons. This is an op-ed from John Bolton in the NY Times from 2015 Before Trump was president and it advocated bombing Iran.

That said, Bolton and other Neocons are not so happy because Trump is not actually listening to them and he is not using their playbook. There is another twist here and that is the businessman coming into this theatre.

Trump tells Israel Stop_Hitting_Oil_Infrastructure 3 10 26

Trump has told Netanyahu to stop targeting Iran’s oil infrastructure. Why? Trump is planning ahead despite what Bolton is saying. Trump knows with the hote of a regime change, he wants Iran to be able to enter the world economy and supply oil. That will be an economic incentive to replace the government. But more than just that, China gets about 80% of Iran’s oil. Taking out that capacity may invite China into the mix for their national security perspective.

Mojtaba Khamenei Empire

It has been reported that the ne Ayatollah has been the man behind a major property  investor including house on Billionaire’s Row in London. He seems to have tried to hide his name directly but this goes back at least as far as 2011. The ties to London among the Islamic organizations have been there for decades.

Antiwar 1

Indeed, Trump keeps shifting his argument for why the war is happening, and how long it will last. Meanwhile, he understands that this can become a proxy war against the United States a drain our military assets rapidly. He is forced to into lifting sanctions on Russian oil and has said that he is defending the Strait of Horuz for everyone, including China, which is the largest oil importer and it takes about 80% of China’s oil.

China.Russia.Putin_.Xi_

The greatest danger here is not just that Iran causes a Middle East War with sleeper cells and proxies, but that Russia is also ready providing tactical info to Iran as the USA has been doing with Ukraine, and on to of that, destroying the Iranian infrastructure clearly runs the risk of bringing in China and even Pakistan.

Russian gives Targets yo Iran

IRAN into 2027


Posted originally on Feb 1, 2026 by Martin Armstrong |  

IRAN ECM

QUESTION: Do you still see the risk of a Middle East War by 2027?

HF

ANSWER: Unfortunately, yes. I will do a Report on the Middle East for 2026.

The Paradox of a Regime That Can’t Afford Peace

Let me start with the question everyone’s asking wrong: “Will Iran start another war with Israel?”

Wrong question. The right question is: Can Iran’s regime survive WITHOUT war?

The answer is no. And understanding why reveals everything about what’s coming in 2026 and beyond. Iran is facing its worst domestic crisis since the 1979 Revolution. As we have witnessed, starting December 28, 2025—just six months after the war—massive protests erupted across all 31 provinces. What began as economic demonstrations over hyperinflation and currency collapse rapidly evolved into demands for wholesale regime change. This isn’t like 2009’s Green Movement or 2022’s protests after Mahsa Amini’s death. This is different.

The economic devastation from sanctions, war damage, and decades of mismanagement has severed the social contract even with traditional regime supporters—the Bazaaris (merchant class) who helped bring Khomeini to power in 1979. When you lose the Bazaar, you’ve lost Iran. The shopkeepers shuttering stores in Tehran’s Grand Bazaar aren’t revolutionaries—they’re businessmen who can no longer operate because inflation destroyed the currency and the economy is broken. By early January 2026, Iranian police detained over 21,000 suspects during the unrest, including 260 accused of spying and 172 for illegal filming. Several Kurdish men were executed publicly for alleged collaboration with Israel.

Think about that. The regime is executing people for “collaboration” while simultaneously trying to rebuild military capabilities to fight Israel again. That’s not the behavior of a confident government. That’s desperation.

Why War Becomes Necessary

From a cyclical perspective, Iran’s regime is trapped between two lethal forces:

External Pressure:

Nuclear program set back 1-2 years (rebuilding frantically)
Proxy network (Hezbollah, Hamas, Syria) decimated
Direct military confrontation exposed defensive weaknesses
U.S. and Israel signaling willingness to strike again in 2026
Regional Arab states increasingly skeptical of Iran as stabilizing force

Internal Collapse:

Hyperinflation destroying purchasing power
Water scarcity creating agricultural crisis
Youth unemployment astronomical
Brain drain of educated class
Massive protests demanding regime change
Even security forces expressing financial desperation (viral videos of police officers describing severe hardship)

Middle East 2026

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