Protests from USA to Russia


California Trump Supporter hit by Obama Supporter March 2017

Civil Unrest is rising around the world. In the USA, demonstrations have been organized to support Donald Trump in a counter-demonstration move against the Obama/Soros uprising. In Los Angeles, Trump supporters were confronted by opponents of Trump and the two groups ended in violence. The Obama/Soros supporters were partially traditionally masked.

The Trump supporters were trying to organize marches in about 40 US cities for Sunday. However, many cities were denying the Trump supporters the right to even assemble. In Philadelphia, the police stopped such an event they alleged for safety, as the news page Philly.com reported.

Russian Protests 3-26-2017

I wanted to see how RT would report the Russian protests. They reported that about 600 people were arrested and some 8,000 people protested. As the rally continued, RT reported that the “police used loudspeakers to call on the protesters to disperse.”

The protest was against corruption, and they accused Minister President Dmitry Medvedev of corruption, demanding his resignation. A few days ago, six officials had been arrested for embezzlement of public funds, which were actually intended for construction work on the estate of President Vladimir Putin. As the Russian investigative committee reported on Wednesday, at least 225 million rubles (around 3.6 million euros) were devoted to the construction of “public buildings”. 

According to Russian media reports, money was spent on building several buildings on Putin’s property in Novo-Ogarevo near Moscow. Kaminow and its partners were supposed to build a reception building, a hotel, and a garage there between 2012 and 2015, as the newspaper Kommersant reported. The contract amounted to a total of 5.7 billion rubles, of which 45 per cent went to Ateks without the works being completed.

Navalny had been arrested in Moscow by security forces and taken to a police station. Hundreds of demonstrators gathered around the bus to stop them from leaving. Navalny is mainly known for his blogs in Russia. A court sentenced him to a suspended sentence of five years in February for embezzlement. Navalny, on the other hand, wants to appeal. He plans to compete in the 2018 presidential election against Vladimir Putin. According to surveys, however, the liberal opposition has few chances. However, the anti-corruption protests are hoping for more popularity among the population.

“I am very glad that so many people from the east of the country go to Moscow,” said Navalny shortly before his arrest. He called for the protests after he had made allegations against Medvedev, after which he had accumulated a wealth far above his income. A spokesman for the Prime Minister called the allegations “propagandistic attacks”.

At a demonstration in Vladivostok on the Japanese Sea Reuters, reporters counted atleast 30 attacks. People unrolled a banner with the words “The Minister President must answer”. A 17-year-old student said that in many other countries, governments would have to step down after such accusations. According to eyewitnesses, there have also been arrests in Yekaterinburg in the Ural industrial region. Media also reported arrests in other cities, including St. Petersburg and Novosibirsk.

KOMMONSENTSJANE – NSA WHISTLEBLOWER – NSA SPIED ON CONGRESS, SUPREME COURT, AND TRUMP


The IC has everything on their data storage in Utah, so its best that you assume that everything you do electronic is public.

kommonsentsjane

NSA Whistleblower: NSA Spied On Congress, Supreme Court & Trump

 March 27, 2017

(Information Liberation) NSA whistleblower William Binney told Tucker Carlson on Friday that the NSA is spying on “all the members of the Supreme Court, the Joint Chiefs of Staff, Congress, both House and Senate, as well as the White House.”tucker

NSA Spied On Congress, Supreme Court & Trump 1 informationliberation.com

Binney, who served the NSA for 30 years before blowing the whistle on domestic spying in 2001, told Tucker he firmly believes that Trump was spied on.

“They’re taking in fundamentally the entire fiber network inside the United States and collecting all that data and storing it, in a program they call Stellar Wind,” Binney said.

“That’s the domestic collection of data on US citizens, US citizens to other US citizens,” he said. “Everything we’re doing, phone calls, emails and then financial transactions, credit cards, things like…

View original post 5 more words

“They ‘Buy The Dip’ Yet Again”: Global Stocks, US Futures Rebound; Dollar Rises Off 4 Month Lows


Tyler Durden's picture

European, Asian stocks have rebounded as investor anxiety over Trump economic policy and US tax reform eased following yesterday’s remarkable comeback in the US market. S&P futures point to a slightly higher open, with oil higher and the dollar rebounding off fout month lows. It is a relatively quiet day in the US with the economic calendar focusing on wholesale inventories, consumer confidence and the Case-Shiller index.

European and Asian equities rose and S&P 500 futures edged higher as investor bullishness returned after the failure of U.S. President Donald Trump’s health-care bill.  Hopes that the Trump administration will now prioritize tax reforms coupled with still-robust economic data and corporate earnings forecasts spurred some investors to look past creeping doubts about Trump’s ability to deliver on campaign promises.

According to Bloomberg, the resumption of demand for risk assets signals investors are still pinning hopes on Trump’s ability to push through tax cuts and regulatory changes, pledges that helped trigger a reflationary upswing in global markets after his election. “Bond and FX market participants’ reaction to the failure of the health-care bill has been to re-price Treasuries and the dollar under the assumption that President Trump has lost a little of his shine,” Kit Juckes, a London-based global strategist at Societe Generale SA, wrote in a note.

Equity market participants have taken a look at the lower yields and weaker dollar and decided that since absurdly low rates are the elixir that the equity bull market lives on, they might as ‘buy the dip’ yet again.”

Europe’s Stoxx 600 rose 0.4% helped by financials and pharmaceutical stocks. Futures on the S&P 500 rose 0.1 percent. The underlying gauge dropped 0.1 percent Monday, paring a loss of as much as 0.9 percent.

In FX, the dollar index against a basket of major currencies edged up 0.1 percent to 99.252, after plumbing a trough of 98.858 overnight, its lowest level since Nov. 11. “Risky asset markets have rebounded from yesterday’s opening low, supporting our view of the current market setback as a risk pause and not a turning point towards generally lower risk valuations,” analysts at Morgan Stanley said in a note to clients. Morgan Stanley said that given some of the savings that were to come from replacing Obamacare would be lost, the upcoming tax reform may turn out to be a smaller package or result in a higher fiscal deficit.

The dollar steadied after its worst week since Trump’s election after talk of more rises in Federal Reserve interest rates this year. “Clearly we shouldn’t forget we are going to see at least two more hikes by the Fed this year and that there is still the potential for the next one to be pulled forward to June,” said CIBC strategist Jeremy Stretch. Sterling edged up a notch, trading within a narrow range as Britain prepared to start formal divorce proceedings with the European Union on Wednesday.

Recent weakness in the dollar underpinned crude oil prices though persistent worries about oversupply kept gains in check. Prices for front-month Brent crude futures were up 0.6 percent. In the United States, WTI crude futures rose 0.7% .

Yields on 10-year TSYs were unchanged at 2.38% after falling three basis points on Monday. European bonds mostly rose, with 10-year German yields falling one basis point to 0.39 percent.

On today’s calenar, Fed Chair Yellen will make a speech on workforce development in low-income communities. Although it does not seem like she will address monetary policy, we will watch her speech for any clues about the Fed’s thinking. Otherwise, Tuesday looks set to be a very quiet day. In the US, the Conference Board Consumer Confidence index for March will probably rise further.

Bulletin Headline Summary from RanSquawk

  • A brighter spark for European equities today with much of the upside attributed to an unwind of yesterday’s flight to quality price action
  • The USD recovery has been a modest one this morning, with limited upside traction seen in USD/JPY as focus falls on EM amid ZAR softness
  • Looking ahead, highlights include potential comments from Fed’s Yellen, George, Kaplan & Powell and ECB’s Coeure

US Markets

  • S&P 500 futures up 0.1% to 2,340.50
  • STOXX Europe 600 up 0.3% to 376.11
  • MXAP up 0.8% to 148.71
  • MXAPJ up 0.6% to 480.79
  • Nikkei up 1.1% to 19,202.87
  • Topix up 1.3% to 1,544.83
  • Hang Seng Index up 0.6% to 24,345.87
  • Shanghai Composite down 0.4% to 3,252.95
  • Sensex up 0.6% to 29,399.95
  • Australia S&P/ASX 200 up 1.3% to 5,821.23
  • Kospi up 0.4% to 2,163.31
  • Brent Futures up 0.7% to $51.11/bbl
  • German 10Y yield fell 1.2 bps to 0.39%
  • Euro down 0.1% to 1.0850 per US$
  • Brent Futures up 0.7% to $51.11/bbl
  • Italian 10Y yield fell 2.7 bps to 2.197%
  • Spanish 10Y yield fell 0.5 bps to 1.683%
  • Gold spot down 0.1% to $1,253.74
  • U.S. Dollar Index up 0.1% to 99.29

Top Overnight News

  • Amazon Wins Battle to Buy Middle East E-Commerce Firm Souq.com
  • Trump to Kill Suite of Obama-era Climate Change Policies
  • Akzo Pledges Plan for Profitable Split to Repel PPG Takeover
  • Credit Suisse Progress Buys Swiss Bank Room on Capital
  • Ericsson Sees Up to $1.7 Billion in Costs as Revamp Begins
  • Engie Aims to Fill U.S. Power and Gas Trading Gap Left by Banks
  • American Air to Invest $200 Million in China Southern Deal
  • Manhattan Landlords Turn to Retailer Giveaways as Stores Go Dark
  • Brookfield Finds Solar ‘Entry Point’ After SunEdison’s Collapse
  • Dakota Access Oil Line Outlasts Protests, Readies for Service
  • Huntsman Sees Venator Spinoff on Time Despite Damaged Ti02 Plant

Asian market sentiment improved as the region’s major indices shrugged-off the subdued Wall Street lead and traded mostly positive. ASX 200 (+1.1%) outperformed with the index led by financial and energy sectors, while Nikkei 225 (+1.1%) was underpinned as exporters found early respite from the recent JPY advances and with participants noted be on the bid ahead of ex-dividend dates. China traded mixed as the Hang Seng (+0.5%) conformed to the upbeat tone seen in its major regional counterparts, while Shanghai Comp. (-0.4%) lagged after the PBoC refrained from open market operations for the 3rd consecutive session, which resulted in a daily net liquidity drain of CNY 70bIn. 10yr JGBs traded slightly lower with demand dampened amid an improvement in risk sentiment and also following the enhanced liquidity JGB auction which saw weaker demand than the prior. PBoC refrained from open markets operations for a 3rd consecutive session, for a daily net drain of CNY 70bIn.

Top Asian News

  • Didi Said to Be Weighing $6 Billion SoftBank-Backed Funding
  • Malaysia Central Bank Sees March Inflation Exceeding 8-Year High
  • Unreachable Huishan Executive Exposes China Debt Woes, Bank Risk
  • Philippine Central Bank Chief Says Successor Must Be Named Soon

Europe likewise has seen a brighter spark for equities with much of the upside attributed to an unwind of yesterday’s flight to quality price action. The reprieve in commodity prices has seen energy and material names among the best performers. However, market moves have been somewhat contained ahead of the invoking of A.50 tomorrow. Of note, Members of the Scottish Parliament are to vote on giving First Minister Sturgeon authority to call a second independent referendum. In credit markets, French opinion polls keep OATs afloat with polls showing Macron would ease to victory ahead of Le Pen. In turn, this has alleviated concerns of the French political risk, subsequently narrowing the GE-FR spread (currently 57.5bps).This has also accounted for 2yr German Schatz yields rising, although the upside will likely be capped given the ongoing collateral squeeze as we approach month-end and financial year-end, the Schatz also saw a particularly soft auction today, which was technically uncovered (1.1) and saw a retention of 27.75%.

Top European News

  • Tesco to Pay $269 Million Over U.K. Accounting Scandal
  • U.K. Businesses Prepare Brexit Wish Lists as EU Talks Commence
  • Le Pen 25%, Macron 24%, Fillon 18% in 1st Round: Ipsos Poll
  • Dufry Rallies After Report China’s HNA May Buy Stake in Retailer

In currencies, the rand slid 1.9 percent to 12.98 against the dollar at 10:38 a.m. in London following Monday’s 2.5 percent decline. Prior to this drop, the currency had gained 9.5 percent year-to-date, making it a top emerging-market performer. The British pound climbed 0.2 percent to 1.2581. The Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index rose 0.1 percent after dropping 0.4 percent Monday. The USD recovery has been a modest one this morning, with limited upside traction seen in USD/JPY. Gains have extended to a little over 110.80, but with the market waiting for the next move from the Trump administration,
Treasuries find some near term support. The key 10yr rate is holding off 2.40%, and is only 3-4 bps higher from EUR/USD has pulled back off the 1.0900 level, and the market may sense the response to the policy shift at the ECB is now adjusted for. This is not to preclude a move on 1.0950 or 1.1000, but with French election fever hotting up from next week, gains may prove tough. Similar price action seen in GBP today as we saw Monday, though Cable gains towards 1.2600 are struggling amid modest USD buying. EUR/GBP continues to press for 0.8600-10 on the downside, the support here is likely to be aided by the familiar month end flow from Europe. Article 50 set to be triggered tomorrow, and even though this looks priced in, we cannot account for the subsequent rhetoric from Europe which may or may note add some colour to the negotiations which lie ahead.

In commodities, gold fell 0.1 percent at $1,253.50 an ounce after rising 0.9 percent Monday. West Texas Intermediate crude rose 0.8 percent at $48.11 per barrel following a 0.5 percent drop the previous day. As the USD recovers on the modest drop off in Treasuries, precious metals have come back off better levels, but not to any notable degree. The tenuous recovery in risk assets is largely behind this, as the market awaits the next move from the Trump administration — on tax reform. Gold still above USD1250.00, silver USD18.00. In contrast, base metals have recovered, though perhaps unconvincingly as yet — for the same reasons as above. Iron ore prices have come under pressure from Chinese stockpiles also, and this naturally impacts across the board. Copper is tentatively back above USD2.60. Oil prices also stabilise, with further comments — from Iran — that an extension to the production cuts agreed to late last year is on the table. Inventory levels and prospective shale production continues to counterbalance any relief rally. Iranian oil minister says that extending the OPEC and non-OPEC deal is likely but time is required in order to evaluate the decision.

Looking at the day ahead, the early data is the advance goods trade balance reading for February and the preliminary wholesale inventories data for February. Following that we’ll get the S&P/Case- Shiller house price index print in January before we then get the March consumer confidence print (expected to nudge down to 114.0 from 114.8) and Richmond Fed manufacturing survey. Away from the data it is a busy day for  Fedspeak. The Fed’s George speaks this afternoon at 12.45pm before Fed Chair Yellen speaks shortly after at 12.50pm. The Chair is however scheduled to speak on workforce development challenges so there is little suggestion that she will touch on monetary policy. Also due up today is Kaplan at 1pm and Powell at 4.30pm. The other potentially interesting event today is the  Scottish Parliament debate on a independence referendum.

US Event Calendar

  • 8:30am: Advance Goods Trade Balance, est. $66.4b deficit, prior $69.2b deficit, revised $68.8b deficit
  • 8:30am: Wholesale Inventories MoM, est. 0.2%, prior -0.2%; Retail Inventories MoM, prior 0.8%
  • 9am: S&P CoreLogic CS 20-City YoY NSA, est. 5.6%, prior 5.58%
  • 10am: Conf. Board Consumer Confidence, est. 114, prior 114.8; Present Situation, prior 133.4; Expectations, prior 102.4
  • 10am: Richmond Fed Manufact. Index, est. 15, prior 17

Central Banks

  • 12:45pm: Fed’s George Speaks in Midwest City, OK
  • 12:50pm: Fed Chair Janet Yellen Speaks
  • 1pm: Fed’s Kaplan Speaks in Dallas
  • 4:30pm: Fed Governor Jerome Powell Speaks

* * *

DB’s Jim Reid concludes the overnight wrap

After a bad start to the US session it felt like the market had its own sugar hit as the day wore on yesterday. Indeed whether you’re shocked at the fact that the S&P 500 only fell -0.10% yesterday (after being as low as -0.94% intra-day) perhaps depends on how much you think Trump’s most radical policies were priced into markets. There is an argument for saying that such trades weren’t actually priced in much anyway. The examples discussed yesterday within DB were that the 1) Fed funds market pricing are well below the FOMC dots; 2) the Dollar index is now back to where it was at the end of October; 3) the S&P 500 has been performing similarly to how it normally does after a close election even if there was a small pop up in February; and 4) that global PMIs are all consistent with where equities should be given the recent strength – a point we’ve made in previous EMRs. What we don’t know though is if some of the strong survey data contains some element of animal spirits only there because of Trump optimism. The fact that global numbers have been strong perhaps indicates that a lot of the optimism is in fact a global story and not a Trump one. So unless the global story turns then the healthcare debacle shouldn’t be too big a hit. Having said that, failure in the tax reform agenda will surely have more impact on animal spirits given its economic importance. So all to play for even if on some measures little obvious indication of success is priced in.

In markets the leader of the big selloff at the US open yesterday were Banks which tumbled over -2.50% within the first 10 minutes or so of trading. In doing so that meant US Banks briefly entered correction territory after plummeting -10.70% from the early month highs. After that, like the broader index, the sector bounced back impressively into the close and although finished a shade in the red by the end of play at -0.37% still recouped over 2% of the early losses. That move also came in the face of another day of tumbling Treasury yields with the 10y finishing the day 3.4bps lower at 2.379%. That is the lowest closing yield now since February 27th although yields did briefly dip below 2.350% at one stage yesterday. It’s worth noting that Chicago Fed President Charles Evans said yesterday that he sees the possibility of the Fed only hiking one more time this year should uncertainty continue to linger around the outlook for inflation and government spending.

The excitement for volatility also peaked fairly early in the day yesterday after the VIX touched an intraday high of 15.11 and the highest since November, before then settling back to finish at 12.50 and down over 3% on the day. Meanwhile Gold (+0.91%) found a bid amongst the risk-off moves and in doing so has now rebounded nearly 5% from the early month lows. Elsewhere metals had a day to forget with Copper (-0.76%), Aluminium (-0.46%) and Iron Ore (-4.10%) all down, while in FX the Greenback retreated -0.46% although as we noted above is back to pretty much where it was in October last year. It’s worth noting that the biggest mover in currencies yesterday was the South African Rand which tumbled -2.57% following the news that President Zuma ordered Finance Minister Gordhan to return home early from investor meetings in the UK and US. While there was no reason provided much of the chatter was that Zuma is preparing for an imminent cabinet reshuffle, raising uncertainty further around what is already a fragile situation.

As we refresh our screens this morning it appears that the positive momentum which saw Wall Street pare early losses has continued into Asia. The Nikkei (+1.07%), Hang Seng (+0.52%), Kospi (+0.28%) and ASX (+1.12%) are amongst the bourses higher while markets in China are largely flat. US equity index futures are also up about +0.20% while Gold has eased back a touch and rates markets are generally holding in around yesterday’s levels.

Moving on. Yesterday we saw the latest ECB CSPP numbers where the average daily rate of purchases of €308mn last week was the lowest outside of the summer and Xmas lull (average since start of €365mn). One week’s numbers do not make a trend but with the ECB tapering as of next week there will be some speculation that they are preparing to lower purchases. We’ll know in two weeks when the first week of April numbers are in. These will be important in working out the direction of spreads as this will give us an idea of whether they are planning tapering credit purchases as well as Governments. At the moment I would say the consensus is that they taper credit less.

The rest of the data yesterday was a little less exciting. In Germany the IFO survey surprised to the upside after the headline business climate reading rose 1.2pts in March to 112.3. Expectations had been for no change. The details also revealed a relatively equal contribution from both the expectations (+1.5pts to 105.7) and current assessment (+0.9pts to 119.3) components. Our economists in Germany made the point that the survey corroborates the strength of the PMI’s heading into Q2 and that both indices point to about 0.7% qoq GDP growth in Q1. The hard data continues to tell a different story though and the February hard data points will be important to gauge when and how this divergence will be resolved. Meanwhile the other data out in Europe yesterday was the ECB’s money and credit aggregates for February. M3 money supply growth was reported as slowing slightly to +4.7% yoy from +4.8% and as a result roughly staying in the range of the last couple of years. The credit side of the numbers also saw some retreat following strong January data. Banks lending to households slowed while lending to corporates saw its slowest pace in 5 months with the annual growth of corporate lending retreating to +2.0% yoy from +2.3%. Markets in Europe largely ignored the data yesterday and instead followed much of the lead from across the pond with the Stoxx 600 closing -0.40% but paring early heavier losses. In the US yesterday the sole release was the Dallas Fed’s manufacturing survey which was reported as falling 7.6pts in March to 16.9 (vs. 22.0 expected).

Looking at the day ahead, this morning in Europe it’s a particularly quiet start with no notable data due out, although we will hear from a couple of ECB speakers in Coeure and Makuch. Over in the US this afternoon the early data is the advance goods trade balance reading for February and the preliminary wholesale inventories data for February. Following that we’ll get the S&P/Case- Shiller house price index print in January before we then get the March consumer confidence print (expected to nudge down to 114.0 from 114.8) and Richmond Fed manufacturing survey. Away from the data it is a busy day for  Fedspeak. The Fed’s George speaks this afternoon at 4.45pm GMT before Fed Chair Yellen speaks shortly after at 4.50pm GMT. The Chair is however scheduled to speak on workforce development challenges so there is little suggestion that she will touch on monetary policy. Also due up today is Kaplan at 5pm GMT and Powell at 8.30pm GMT. The other potentially interesting event today is the  Scottish Parliament debate on a independence referendum.

Leaving The EU’s Customs Union Is The Only Logical Step For A Truly “Global Britain”


Tyler Durden's picture

Authored by Vincenzo Scarpetta via Open Europe,

As UK Prime Minister Theresa May prepares to trigger the Article 50 EU exit mechanism on Wednesday, Open Europe has published a new report, entitled, ‘Nothing to declare: A plan for UK-EU trade outside the Customs Union.’

The study concludes that leaving the EU’s Customs Union is the only logical step for the UK to pursue an independent trade policy and achieve a truly ‘Global Britain’ outside the EU. Open Europe assesses different models of collaboration outside a customs union, and argues that the UK and the EU should aim for full cooperation on the practicalities and administration of customs as part of a comprehensive UK-EU free trade deal.

A dozen key points on customs

  • The UK should leave the EU’s Customs Union (EUCU). The UK Government has stated its intention to leave key parts of EUCU (the Common External Tariff and the Common Commercial Policy). Open Europe’s assessment is that leaving these and EUCU overall is correct. Brexit means the UK must be able to shape its own trade policy. It can only do so outside of EUCU.
  • The UK should not seek a ‘half-in, half-out’ arrangement, which would be the worst of all worlds. The UK should leave EUCU entirely to maximise opportunities. Prime Minister Theresa May has suggested that she is open to being an “associate member” of EUCU or remaining a signatory to elements of it. Open Europe believes that, while it is sensible to keep an open mind, no ‘half-in’ option is better than being fully out. Nonetheless, the UK should consider retaining membership of some relevant conventions.
  • It is in both the UK’s and EU’s interest quickly to secure full cooperation on the practicalities and administration of customs as part of a comprehensive Free Trade Agreement (FTA). Such an agreement could be a chapter in a UK-EU FTA or an accompanying, discrete customs facilitation agreement. The EU already has agreements on customs facilitation with non-members, including Switzerland and Canada. A comprehensive UK-EU FTA will ensure the continuation of tariff-free UK-EU trade and minimise customs delays.
  • There will inevitably be a degree of cost to the UK economy associated with leaving EUCU.Some costs will be one-off adaptation costs (e.g. technology investment which may have benefited the UK anyway); other costs will be on-going frictional costs to UK-EU trade. These costs can be minimised and may be offset by trade liberalisation with non-EU partners.
  • The UK must take action now to minimise costs and seize new opportunities. Some steps are unilateral, domestic reforms; others are bilateral with specific EU members (above all Ireland); other negotiations need to happen at EU level, or indeed more broadly.
  • There will also be costs to the EU economy and these costs will be much greater if full customs cooperation with the UK is not secured. The costs to the EU economy will be greatest in those countries and industries which export the most to the UK. If comprehensive customs cooperation and an FTA are secured, these costs will be minimised.
  • There are challenges and opportunities from leaving EUCU but these vary from sector to sector, and even between companies in the same industry. Individual companies will need to look carefully at their supply chains and consider making adjustments where appropriate.
  • Free trade does not require a customs union and over half of UK trade happens without it.Most UK trade (51.5% in 2015) is not with the EU. Non-EU trade takes place without a customs union and is growing faster than trade with the EU. In 2015, the US was the largest recipient of UK goods exports (16.6%). There is no EU-US FTA, let alone a customs union.
  • Companies with complex supply chains can trade without a customs union. For example, automotive supply chains cross the US-Canada border. Both countries are North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA) members, but are not in a customs union. Nonetheless, leaving EUCU will challenge companies with complex supply chains. To address challenges, the UK and EU need an FTA to eliminate tariffs, to agree liberal cumulation so more products transformed in either the UK or EU can be considered as originating anywhere else in the UK or EU, and to cooperate and use technology to minimise bureaucratic delays and costs.
  • The UK should ‘grandfather’ – i.e. replicate – the FTAs that the EU has concluded with third countries. The UK, as an EU member, is currently party to over 30 FTAs with over 60 non-EU countries. The Canada-EU FTA, CETA, is one example. Discussions on how to ‘grandfather’ these agreements should be underway bilaterally between the UK and third countries but also need to engage the EU. Protecting these agreements will secure the freest possible trade, safeguarding existing global supply chains, and supporting growth in global trade.
  • There is an extremely strong economic case for full UK-EU customs cooperation; the question of whether it is achieved or not is primarily political as much as practical.Reaching a comprehensive UK-EU customs agreement will be technically easier than other trade agreements. As an EU member, the UK’s customs systems are already fully recognised by EU members and the UK already applies EU product standards. Businesses across the EU are used to tariff-free trade – so there will be less pressure to defend specific industries.
  • The UK and EU should consider a transition period to extend the UK’s EUCU membership for one or even two years. Theresa May has suggested “phased implementation” for new arrangements on customs systems. The two-year Article 50 timetable is a challenging limit for negotiations. A transitional period would increase chances of a favourable deal for both sides, and minimise potential disruption to UK and EU business. It would also give governments and business time to adapt, including by upgrading customs procedures and IT. Agreement on a transition period is most useful early in the Brexit negotiations to reduce the risk of companies making rushed decisions on changes.

The extended version of the executive summary is available here.

To read the full report, click here.

California’s Congresswoman Maxine Waters Calls for Trump Impeachment Because Putin Invaded Korea?


The long list of reasons Maxine Waters says Trump should be impeached simply reflect why she is totally incapable of being anyone’s representative in Congress. She said Putin supplied the bombs for Aleppo that killed children. First of all, that took place under Obama before the election, and it is plainly documented that it was the USA supplying arms to al-Qaida and the Obama Administration tried to distance itself when mass graves were discovered where the rebels were killing numerous people with US supplied arms. How can you impeach Trump for something that took place before the election? The mass graves were discovered December 26th, 2016.

Then, Waters says Trump should be impeached because Russia hacked the DNC and exposed all the lies the Democrats were fostering. Obama himself said Russia did not hack the voting machines. Obama  plainly said“We stand behind our election results, which accurately reflect the will of the American people.” Assuming Russia did the hacking of the DNC, no Democrat ever said all the emails exposing the lies were false. The hack simply showed the truth. If the Democrats keep talking about Russia hacking the DNC enough without admitting there was no hack of voting machines, they hope to make people think Russia actually changed the vote.

But the most insane part is she then said Trump should be impeached because Putin invaded Korea. Sorry, Putin did not invade Korea and if he did, the West would probably cheer if it was the North. She is just totally incompetent to serve in Congress. You cannot impeach a president for something he may have done prior to office. She confuses her timelines and obviously has no sense of geography. This is the quality of people California sends to Washington along with Dianne Feinstein and Nancy Pelosi.

ECB under Pressure to Reverse Direction


yellen-draghi

The European Central Bank (ECB) is coming under fresh pressure to increase interest rates, not merely from the standpoint that the Federal Reserve has been doing since the turn in our Economic Confidence Model 2015.75, when the first rate hike took place in December 2015. While there was little immediate reaction to the Fed’s decision to raise rates once again, Mario Draghi is struggling to explain his failed policy of negative rates that have utterly failed to reverse the downward pressure in the economy of Europe since 2008.

russia-capital-flows-10-13-2016

 

Euro outflows 2016

The latest data coming from the ECB and Eurostat is causing Draghi sleepless nights and cold sweats. Non-euro area investors have been net sellers of Eurozone debt securities in 2016 for the first time since the introduction of the euro. The total net outflows of investment capital from the Eurozone debt securities amounted to €192 billion in 2016, up from €30 billion in purchases during 2015. Once the ECM turned October 1st, 2015 (2015.75), indeed everything in global capital flows shifted right on time.

ECM-1970-2084

The bulk of the net sales have been government debt securities totaling €116 billion. Our model, on the other hand, has been forecasting the shift away from government debt to private sector assets. The latest data from Eurostat confirms that that forecast was also correct. The non-euro area investors remained net purchasers of only Eurozone equities, but that did decline by about 50% to from €268 billion in 2015 to €126 billion in 2016.

The Real Reason Governments are Blaming Youtube for Terrorism 


Governments do not and never had appreciated “Free” Speech; and our founders knew that and its why we have the 1st and 2nd amendments.

sentinelblog

Source: The Daily Bell

Ban all the things, and when we all live in padded prison cells, we will be safe from terrorists!

That is the plan. Because access to information is really the problem, according to the British government. As soon as people don’t have access to extremist material online, all this madness will surely stop!

The Prime Minister’s official spokesman said: “The fight against terrorism and hate speech has to be a joint one. The government and security services are doing everything they can and it is clear that social media companies can and must do more.

“Social media companies have a responsibility when it comes to making sure this material is not disseminated and we have been clear repeatedly that we think that they can and must do more. We are always talking with them on how to achieve that.

“The ball is now in their court…

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WW III Is Near as Russia Is Militarizing Rockets to Take Out US Satellites Leaving Amerca Defenseless 


It’s obvious to anyone with military training that in today’s world, if there was a war, the wind would be the one that dominated in space. Take out your opponents satellites and GPS and you are finished.

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Source: The Common Sense Show, by Dave Hodges

For decades, the US military and government denied that near space orbit was, or ever would be, a potential military battleground. The militarization of outerspace was expressly forbidden by international law and treaty. However, it was at this time that America was busy reverse engineering Nazi technology from captured German scientists. The advancements in technology were amazing (eg vertical liftoff craft that could seemingly defy gravity). Meanwhile, the conventional military hailed the arrival of the Harrier het and its hovering ability. NASA was a front to deceive our enemies as well as the American public.

Today, the militarization of space, although not described in detail, is no longer the absolute secret that it once was. China, Russia, India and the United States are all partaking in establishing the same level of aggression above, that is catching up to the violence levels below.

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Occam’s Razor – If You Listen To Every Nunes Public Statement in Sequence…


Source: Occam’s Razor – If You Listen To Every Nunes Public Statement in Sequence…

The Case Against FBI Director Comey Grows – Intel Committee Chair Devin Nunes Explains Need for White House SCIF Visit…


Source: The Case Against FBI Director Comey Grows – Intel Committee Chair Devin Nunes Explains Need for White House SCIF Visit…