US on the Brink of Civil War?


Armstrong Economics Blog/Revolution Re-Posted May 13, 2021 by Martin Armstrong

2021 US Open Letter from Retired Generals and Adm

Indeed, I have been warning that our models have been pointing to tremendous civil unrest which will eventually lead to the break-up of the United States post-2024 and the war this Great Reset unleashes upon the world. People like Bill Gates and Klaus Schwab are as dangerous to humanity as Adolf Hitler, Stalin, or Lenin. They only see their dream and fail to understand that the world is split 50/50 on this idea of Marxism and we are not their toy things to play with.

More than 120 retired U.S. generals and admirals have now signed an open letter warning that the United States is embroiled in a major confrontation between freedom and Marxism. They wrote:

“We are in a fight for our survival as a Constitutional Republic like no other time since our founding in 1776. The conflict is between supporters of Socialism and Marxism vs. supporters of Constitutional freedom and liberty.”

Back in the 1980s, I was requested permission back then to teach the Economic Confidence Model (ECM) at the Citadel military school. It was then was I first realized that people were listening to the cyclical nature of war and how it was linked to the economy. The ECM was being taught in philosophy class. That is when I was compared to Hegel. I had seen myself as a simple trader. I was being summoned by politicians, military theorists, and even Milton Friedman who came to listen to me deliver a speech in Chicago. I supposed that is how most of the greatest discoveries in society take place – by accident. I certainly never aspired to be a military strategist nor an economist. What I ended up being confronted by was how the ECM was being seen by many in different fields.

Indeed, I was listening to a lecture by Sallie Baliunas and what she discovered from the ice core samples obtained from the North Pole. She revealed that there was a 300-year cycle to the energy output of the sun which appeared in the ice core data. When I look at the cycle she revealed, I was stunned. It matched the 309.6-year cycle of the ECM. What I had discovered from the historical record of the rise and fall of nations that followed the ECM, suddenly I was confronted with at least part of the explanation – climate change.

Interestingly it was  October 7th, 1763 when George III issued a British Royal Proclamation of 1763, closing aboriginal lands in North America north and west of Alleghenies to white settlements. This was the start of the confrontation that would eventually lead to the Revolution 13 years later. This also marked the Financial Panic of 1763 which was the collapse in commodity prices. George III had succeeded his grandfather, George II, to the throne of Great Britain on October 25, 1760. The king’s new advisors re-evaluated Britain’s trade policies with the colonies. For over one hundred years, Great Britain had regulated colonial trade with a number
of navigation and trade laws, but they were not really enforced. The substantial increase in the size of the British Navy during the war with France gave the British government the strength to now combat colonial
smuggling and enforce trade laws more effectively after 1760.

To crackdown on smuggling in the American colonies, the British government also increasingly began to use Writs of Assistance. A type of search warrant that inspired the 4th Amendment because these writs authorized government officials to look for contraband, such as smuggled goods, in private homes and businesses at random. The writs also placed no limits on the time, place, or manner of a search. In 1761, sixty-three Boston merchants challenged the legality of the process. James Otis, Jr., an attorney who had formerly represented the royal government, argued the case for the merchants. Though they lost their case, the surrounding publicity fueled anger within the merchant classes of Boston against the British government. John Adams was there listening to the argument of James Otis. He remarked that there and then the revolution was born.

Ironically, our model on the prospects for the rise in a civil war in the United States turned upward in December 2019 when COVID was released. This should erupt within three years of that turning point which will be 2022. That is not to say there will be a civil war at that time, but the confrontation will rise up and start to take shape in 2022. Traditionally, the revolution will erupt 13 years after that turning point which ironically brings us precisely to 2032.

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