Armstrong Economics Blog/Politics Re-Posted Jan 18, 2021 by Martin Armstrong
Republicans Aren’t Real People. Brandon Vestal
Republicans Aren’t Real People. Brandon Vestal
QUESTION: Do you see major volatility with the inauguration?
ANSWER: We can see that volatility will rise this week for the 20th, it still does not seem to be the major turning point that the week of the 4th has been probably with hindsight. We do see a rise in volatility this coming week, but the trend was clearly made the week of the 4th. More significantly, it appears that indeed the Republican Party will split for the “establishment” thinks they can get it back to normal by impeaching Trump to be lapdogs of the Democrats in hopes of getting a few table scraps. They are basically traitors to the people for they want the swamp to continue and will never defend the Constitution.
What is grossly being misunderstood is that somehow this is just “Trumpism” whereby Trump did not create this movement of anti-establishment. It has been festering for some time and even the rise of the Tea Party within the Republicans was the most recent beginning. The mainstream media cannot see their nose in front of their face and they are contributing to what will emerge as a civil war. When the courts REFUSED to listen and they would not allow any investigation of the election, then they are shutting off any “civil” solution and they are inciting violence. Courts are there to provide a civil resolution. The blood will be on the hands of Chief Justice Roberts as the blood of the Civil War was on the hands of Chief Justice Taney.
For 2022, we will see utter chaos for the Democrats, which have a much wider collation of diverse groups, will also splinter. So the 2022 election will be total chaos. The Democrats are still in a bear market constantly making lower highs despite the fact that they control all three – White House, Senate, and House. In total, their hold dropped to 50.4% on a combined level. This is what makes this election so serious. The Democrats do not have a mandate and to change the very core of the United States will only invite civil war.
Therefore, our model highlighted the week of the 4th as the real turning point. The inauguration appears to be merely the culmination of that trend. Nevertheless, the wall they have constructed around the Capitol may last beyond the inauguration because they realize they have only a 50.4% majority, and the more they move toward the World Economic Forum’s Build Back Better Agenda 2030, the more even conservative Democrats will abandon their party as well. The Democrats seem to be taking advice from Venezuela. Surround the Capitol with the Military to protect them.
Former acting Director of National Intelligence, Richard “Ric” Grenell, appears on Sunday Morning Futures with Maria Bartiromo to discuss the people behind the Biden administration and what ideological motives lay behind the selections.
Additionally, Grenell discusses the massive moves by Big Tech to target political opposition and the underlying, unified, objectives behind media, big tech and political operatives.
Maria Bartiromo questions Senate Judiciary Chairman Lindsey Graham about why he never subpoenaed James Comey, Andrew McCabe and various ‘spygate’ operatives [SEE 05:15 Point of Video]. Graham punts the question using the DC two-step to put the responsibility in the lap of John Durham… complete nonsense.
Think about it carefully…. 25,000 troops needed at the U.S. Capitol to install the Biden administration. How many armed soldiers do you need at the inauguration of the “most popular Presidential candidate in American history after the most secure election in history?”
The Defense Department authorized up to 25,000 service members — an increase of 5,000 from numbers confirmed earlier this week — to support the “federal law enforcement mission and security preparations” in the inauguration, as led by the Secret Service, according to an Army statement.
“Our National Guard soldiers and airmen are set around the city to protect our nation’s Capital,” National Guard Bureau Chief Army Gen. Daniel Hokanson said in the statement. (read)
The scale of the usurpation of the United States government is staggering to contemplate. We have less troops in Afghanistan assisting with the implementation of democracy amid a failed foreign nation, than we do in the United States center of democracy.
The effort needed to install the Biden administration is staggering. The images in Washington DC to pull-off that installation are stunning and heartbreaking.
The Senate Homeland Security and Governmental Affairs Committee finalizes a report [pdf available here] with evidence of Joe and Hunter Biden conducting financial deals with foreign governments. The report outlines how the Biden family sold access to government policy for personal financial benefit.
[Embed pdf Below] Considering the scale of evidence showing massive conflicts of interest, it is quite astounding that Joe Biden is currently ‘president-elect’…
I have endeavored to provide only reliable information. My sources are real, not imaginary conjuring up plots where Trump will invoke the Insurrection Act and even arrest Pence. The last time that was invoked was in 1992 by George H.W. Bush during the unrest in Los Angeles after the acquittal of police officers who beat Rodney King. It is not likely that he could have invoked it to arrest Pelosi, Schumer, or Pence. Claims that “this is not a drill” are just so bogus I cannot imagine why people make up this stuff or they are deliberately being fed disinformation to inspire violence. There will probably be such a military uprising in the years ahead – but not now. I warned back on November 20, 2020, that I did not think Trump would win. This election has been rigged and the impeachment is also being rigged as well. They may think they are undermining Trump, but all they are doing is confirming the corruption runs deep in Washington. It’s not a swamp – it’s an ocean.
Before the 2016 election, I wrote on October 12, 2016, “It will NEVER be the same after this election.” Trump raised a fraction of the money that Hillary did yet he beat her. That election proved something very important beyond money cannot buy the presidency that Michael Bloomberg never got. This was the beginning of what people called – “Trumpism.” I wrote before that 2016 election:
“This battle is really the PEOPLE v CAPITOL HILL. It is a shame it has to be Trump leading the charge. Hillary has raised $516.6M with almost 30% coming from Super Pacs. Trump has raised only $168.2M with only 1% from Super Pacs. About 99% of donations to Trump come from small people. Hillary has the bankers, lobbyists, and hedge funds. Don’t you even bother to ask why? The world behind the curtain is an all out war against Trump. Even the top three media outlets have instructed their employees to “destroy” Trump. This is also the end of the press. They have lost all credibility. It’s over! We should just turn out the light!”
On August 23, 2018, I warned that behind the curtain, there were Republicans who hated Trump because he was not one of them. It was John McCain who worked with Hillary to hand Comey the notorious dossier she paid to have made to win the election. You had direct deceit within the Republican ranks against Trump because he was not a career politician.
“Those who think this is about supporting or opposing Trump for some political philosophy are plain gullible. There is so much more here going on behind the curtain. Those in power still REFUSE to accept that Trump was elected as a vote against THEM. We just saw the same thing in New York with the Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez. The Democrats are shocked she won but they too wrongly look at her victory as it must mean they want more socialism instead of looking at it as a vote against career politicians. The same is happening everywhere from Malaysia to Italy. It is just time for a major change because the system does not work anymore regardless if we have a Republican or Democrat in the White House – nothing changes.”
I have warned that the Republicans may split because they failed to understand what they see as “Trumpism” existed long before Trump. It has been a growing philosophy of distrust and discontent which over the course of decades has manifested a bipartisan populist undercurrent that stretches back through Pat Buchanan, Ross Perot, Barry Goldwater, George Wallace, Huey Long, William Jennings Bryan, and even Andrew Jackson – the people against the establishment.
The London FT did a piece on “populism” and how all the politicians were frightened that they could be thrown out after Trump won in 2016. As the FT said, populism “horrified” the global political elite because they feared losing power! They hate democracy for why should these uneducated stupid people be able to vote them out of office – God forbid!
So what is going on with this Impeachment Sequel? Why did 10 Republicans vote for it in the House? There is the rise of “Washingtonism” which I define as Career Politicians Only need apply! The real goal here is very sinister and it is all about stopping Trump from running again in 2024. If he is impeached in the Senate, then he cannot run again if the Senate also votes on that issue. The Constitution allows a convicted felon to be a member of Congress, even if in prison. The only way to prevent Trump from running again is to impeach him and take a second vote to bar him from ever holding office again. Mitch McConnel in the Senate needs 17 Republicans to join the Democrats in order to obtain two-thirds majority to convict Trump. The whispers behind the curtain are that McConnel is lobbying to get 18 so nobody has to be that 17th vote.
But since the president was impeached by the House, if he is convicted by the Senate, Trump would be stripped from the post-presidency benefits provided by the Former Presidents Act of 1958. Trump will lose his $200,000/year pension, $1 million a year travel fund, and taxpayer subsidies to pay for office space and staff. He would still receive security, however, thanks to a 2013 amendment to the law, which provides presidents and spouses (unless they remarry) with Secret Service protection for life. Even if Mitch McConnel orchestrates a Senate vote to remove Trump, that would not prohibit him from running in 2024 by itself. The Senate could ban Trump from becoming president ever again, but it would have to hold an additional vote on this question. Make no mistake about it. The “established” politicians in Washington who have been there for decades want Trump banned from ever running again and that is both Republican and Democrat.
This is clearly a political attempt to prevent Trump from running again. These self-centered career politicians really think that removing Trump will end populism. They cannot imagine why the people would want anything different. What Pelosi has done is a clear abuse of her power. If we look at the Constitutional Convention with respect to the “intent” behind the phrase which will be required by the Supreme Court to interpret if Trump appeals, which he should, then the choice of words describing the grounds for impeachment are controlling.
Only after much debate over the definition of grounds for impeachment did we arrive that the phase High Crime and Misdemeanors (see SOURCE). The first problem they have is that whatever the president says, as a member of Congress, is protected speech. A member of Congress cannot be sued for calling Facebook anti-American or a low criminal. Secondly, the question nobody wants to answer is did Trump tell the people to storm the Capitol? If you invited friends over and one of them got in an argument with your neighbor and killed them, does that make you guilty of murder? Obviously not unless you instructed them to kill them. They obviously are stretching here for the very concerns Thomas Jefferson raised during the debates.
The English practice of impeachment was different and more criminal in nature. Impeachment was the device to remove from office one who abused his office or misbehaved but who was protected by the King. The penalties included fines, imprisonment, or even death. By contrast, the American impeachment process is remedial, not penal, and was limited to the removal from office and disqualification to hold future office.
The phrasing is clearly derived directly from the English practice. On June 2, 1787, the framers adopted a provision that the executive should “be removable on impeachment & conviction of mal-practice or neglect of duty.”* The Committee of Detail reported as grounds “Treason (or) Bribery or Corruption.” The Committee of Eleven reduced the phrase to “Treason, or bribery.” On September 8th, Mason objected to this limitation, observing that the term did not encompass all the conduct that should be grounds for removal; he, therefore, proposed to add “or maladministration” following “bribery.” Upon Madison’s objection that “[s]o vague a term will be equivalent to a tenure during pleasure of the Senate,” Mason suggested “other high crimes & misdemeanors,” which was adopted without further recorded debate.
The phrase “high crimes and misdemeanors” in this context of impeaching a president indeed has an ancient English history. It appears first during the impeachment of the Earl of Suffolk in 1388. Treason is defined in the Constitution, however, bribery is not defined yet it had a clear common law meaning and was covered by statute. Nevertheless, the phrase “High crimes and misdemeanors” remains vague and is undefined. Given its undefined nature would imply under common law that it was conduct which did not constitute a criminal offense. Interestingly, the law is all about wordsmithing. Here, the very use of the word “other” links “high crimes and misdemeanors” with “treason” and “bribery” which implies it does embrace only serious conduct that is included with the phrase “high crimes and misdemeanors.” Additionally, the very use of the word “high” also was restricting the phrase to imply a serious crime.
Debate prior to the adoption of the phrase and comments were concerned about the President and upon what grounds should he ever be removed. During the First Congress’s “removal” debate, James Madison maintained that the wanton dismissal of meritorious officers would be an act of maladministration that would render the President subject to impeachment. Furthermore, reading the various comments during the ratifying conventions, suggest that there was to be a limitation of the term to criminal, if not serious criminal behavior.
If we read this commentary objectively, Trump did not order the people to storm the Capitol building and evidence exists that the police opened the doors. What Pelosi is doing is abusing her own power. Speaker Pelosi spoke with General Milley, the chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, about making certain President Trump couldn’t launch a nuke. She also suggested they remove the President with a military coup. Sources also said she asked for marines to be sent to Capitol Hill on the 20th and disrespected both the capitol police and the National Guard calling them weekend warriors. Pelosi had no constitutional authority and that call was a violation of the separation of powers by seeking to inject herself into an executive-branch military decision. If Trump was “unhinged” than Pence would have invoked the 25th Amendment if it ever came to such a bizarre reality.
What is much more concerning here is that Pelosi, Schumer, and McConnel are looking at a means to prevent Trump from both running against and to divorce him from the Republican Party. This in itself shows tremendous arrogance. They still refuse to accept the fact that people voted for Trump not because he was some fantastic guy, but because they were against career politicians. This is the real coup and I have warned it is not exclusively coming from the Democrats. They are abusing the power of impeachment and history is not going to look favorably upon their actions here in 2021. The exploitation of the Black Lives Movement and the Democrats telling the police to stand down followed by imprisoning Trump supporters for 10 years for taking just a selfie is already starting to fuel racism in the nation and in the military. The double standards support by Pelosi will be seen as a very serious turning point in the United States with hindsight.
SOURCE: Farrand’s Records of the Federal Convention of 1787 is one of the great scholarly works of the early twentieth century. Farrand’s work gathered the documentary records of the Constitutional Convention.
Senate Judiciary Committee Chairman Lindsey Graham released 11 transcripts of interviews conducted during the Senate Judiciary Committee’s inquiry into the origins and aftermath of the Crossfire Hurricane Investigation. (press release)
“The bottom line is that going forward we must have more checks and balances when it comes to political investigations. We must have more meaningful sign-offs on warrant applications, and we need to restore the trust to the American people in this system.” – Press Release
Lots of reading to do… I shall be starting with #4 Dana Boente, the FBI legal counsel hired by FBI Director Chris Wray who was removed from his position by AG Bill Barr.
The transparency of timing is brutally obvious. Yes, the far-left was willing to put millions of American’s through economic pain and hardship in order to advance their interests.
Last week New York Governor Andrew Cuomo said the economy had suddenly become more important than the threat presented by COVID-19. Too much economic damage was inflicted upon his state and now wants to re-open.
Yesterday, Chicago Mayor Lori Lightfoot announced the economic damage to the service industry was so severe it was now greater than the COVID risk…. and will reopen bars and restaurants. Today, a new study shows no benefit to the lockdowns.
The motives here are exactly as outlined for the past year. The fear of COVID was weaponized to damage the global economy and in doing so damage the reelection guarantee of Donald Trump. Now that mission is accomplished, the walk-back begins:
[Newsweek] A new study evaluating COVID-19 responses around the world found that mandatory lockdown orders early in the pandemic did not provide significantly more benefits to slowing the spread of the disease than other voluntary measures, such as social distancing or travel reduction.
The peer reviewed study, which was conducted by a group of Stanford researchers and published in the Wiley Online Library on January 5, analyzed coronavirus case growth in 10 countries in early 2020.
The study compared cases in England, France, Germany, Iran, Italy, Netherlands, Spain and the U.S. – all countries that implemented mandatory lockdown orders and business closures – to South Korea and Sweden, which implemented less severe, voluntary responses. It aimed to analyze the effect that less restrictive or more restrictive measures had on changing individual behavior and curbing the transmission of the virus. (more)
COVID fear was a narrative cover-story to create crisis and also hide the lack of support for Joe Biden and Kamala Harris. Part of that cover-story is needed because the MAGA community was showing up in overwhelming numbers at Biden-Harris events, and the false illusion of support -propping up the Potemkin village- was being exposed. All of these machinations are part of a remarkable attempt at psychological operations in this election. [SEE HERE]
Everything you are witnessing right now is about psychological control to create the false illusion of reality within your own mind. Essentially, professional media gaslighting with an agenda and purpose. This is not a conspiracy theory, those who are coordinating the effort have admitted exactly what they are doing:
♦ Google executives are on camera, outlining what their organization is doing. HERE and HERE and HERE. Google has admitted to using algorithms and their control over the internet search engine to influence the election. Again, stop and think about that.
♦ General Stanley McCrystal was working with a SuperPAC to use psychological warfare against the American electorate. Even the Washington Post admitted:
[…] The group, Defeat Disinfo, will use artificial intelligence and network analysis to map discussion of the president’s claims on social media. It will seek to intervene by identifying the most popular counter-narratives and boosting them through a network of more than 3.4 million influencers across the country — in some cases paying users with large followings to take sides against the president. (source)
♦ The national U.S. media has been caught numerous times constructing a false reality, lying about events and attempting to manipulate the election. As you read this you have the concrete example of all national media hiding the explosive issues around Hunter and Joe Biden. Again, these are not conspiracy theories, these are demonstrable facts.
So what were all of these aligned interests trying to do with the media polling examples they push and promote so heavily? Answer: they were trying to create a self-fulfilling prophecy; same with the COVID-19 fear narrative.
However, the actual facts on the ground… the stuff you can see around you, with your own eyes and ears,… is entirely different from the false reality they created in the internet and false reality of television. Thus, why the same media and tech entities are now banning any speech that would outline their big lie.
An interesting development as Big Tech decides to go into full totalitarian surveillance and targeting mode. Encrypted communication apps are now exploding with new users.
This outcome will not come as a surprise to CTH readers because the ‘Rebel Alliance’ has been using encrypted communication like Signal App for several years and planning to deal with the mass targeting currently underway. This is why CTH has/is so closely guarded the privacy of CTH readers.
(Via NYT) – The encrypted messaging services have become the world’s hottest apps over the last week, driven by growing anxiety over the power of the biggest tech companies and privacy concerns.
Neeraj Agrawal, a spokesman for a cryptocurrency think tank, has typically used the encrypted messaging app Signal to chat with privacy-minded colleagues and peers. So he was surprised on Monday when the app alerted him to two new users: Mom and Dad.
“Signal still had a subversive shine to it,” said Mr. Agrawal, 32. “Now my parents are on it.”
[…] Their sudden jump in popularity was spurred by a series of events last week that stoked growing anxiety over some of the big tech companies and their communication apps, like WhatsApp, which Facebook owns. Tech companies including Facebook and Twitter removed thousands of far-right accounts — including President Trump’s — after the storming of the Capitol. Amazon, Apple and Google also cut off support for Parler, a social network popular with Mr. Trump’s fans. In response, conservatives sought out new apps where they could communicate.
At the same time, privacy worries rose over WhatsApp, which last week reminded users in a pop-up notification that it shares some of their data with its parent company. The notification set off a wave of anxiety, fueled by viral chain messages that falsely claimed that Facebook could read WhatsApp messages.
The result was a mass migration that, if it lasts, could weaken the power of Facebook and other big tech companies.” (read more)
Inherently people want freedom, liberty and privacy. The more Big Tech shows they are ideologically totalitarian, and simultaneously supportive of the big surveillance state, the more the free market will provide options to get away from their reach.
What CTH 2.0 undertook two months ago, is exactly the same proactive process many other voices are now shifting toward. As noted, the rebel alliance is growing.
There are more of us than them…. They just control (for now) the communication mechanisms allowing us to see the scale of our assembly. The same outlook and control motive is why Big Tech cannot allow voices to assemble and discuss the 2020 election outcome… They are selling a big lie.
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