QUESTION: Mr. Armstrong; You pick themes that are not really just political on the surface, but beneath you are connecting the dots economically. This is what I read between the lines for you do not always emphasize it in every post why you will address issues like migration and civil unrest. Are these serious issues to the economic backdrop?

HW

ANSWER: Oh yes. Perhaps I just understand that is the backdrop so I do not openly restate it because it is obvious to me. Not a very good communication tactic on my part. To explicitly state this, when the economy turns downward, people will then blame migrants. Today, they label this as racist. That is simply not true. It really has nothing to do with race or religion. We saw civil unrest turn to violence during the 1840s when there was a wholesale State level Sovereign Debt Crisis in the United States. That was against the Irish who were the same race, but were at least Catholics that the Protestants did not like back in Europe.

During such period of civil unrest, capital contracts and begins to hoard. This is what caused the German Hyperinflation for that was a 1918 Communist Revolution which overthrew the German Emperor. We also find hoards of ancient coins from periods of economic stress. The 3rd century AD is when we have the most hoards, but they tend to cluster also around civil unrest and civil wars. If people are fearful or uncertain about the future, they do NOT spend and they contract. So the global trend I am highlighting with respect to rising civil unrest is important economically. The fact that this trend is WORLDWIDE, is particularly alarming for it further supports the fact that we are in the Sixth Wave and 2032 will be the generational change of monumental proportions.

What I have been warning is that this Trump Revolution has little to do with Trump as a person. People are rising up against career politicians everywhere around the world. In New York City, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, who is only a 28-year-old who’s never held elected office, just ousted New York City Congressman Joe Crowley in the primary. Crowley had been considered to be a candidate to become House speaker if Democrats win the majority in November.

You have to look around and connect the dots. We are in a trend that is altering the economy and shifting powers. The future will be DIFFERENT from the past and everything people assumed would NEVER happen, will happen. We are changing the world with the generational shift as ALWAYS.

So open your eyes. This is BY NO MEANS a left v right, Democrat v Republican trend shift because of old philosophies. Marxism, Socialism, is collapsing. The younger generation sees Social Security as just a tax. They do NOT expect it to be there for them and they are correct on that one. We are headed into difficult times. Abandon you political bias for we have to go with the flow. This is indeed the Trump Revolution, but he did not start it. Five decades of corruption is behind this trend. Out with the old and in with the new. That’s why Hillary lost. She still does not get it.

The Supreme Court upheld Trump’s Travel Ban, which is absolutely correct under the executive powers. This illustrates the entire problem in law. If you try to get cute and challenge absolutely every little thing, you may very well lose the war and the battle. Trump’s original Travel Ban was temporary pending a review by the State Department. Fighting that simple temporary order has turned it into 17 months of really just trying to score points against Trump that were pointless. Now they are worried under this decision Trump can ban any country with just offering an explanation that there is a national security issue or a public safety like banning anyone from Salvadore because that is where the gangs are coming from. The very countries that were listed were the same ones that Obama had blacklisted and nobody said a word. Trump put a ban on travel from those same countries PENDING a review rather than a PERMANENT ban, which he now can do.

The ACLU I had written to many times concerning deporting fathers who were not Americans for non-violent crimes like bouncing a check who was married to an American and had several American children. They NEVER once EVER replied and to this day I will NEVER donate a single dime for they are also turning political. They NEVER sought to help anyone who really needed support when it counted. The American law will split families on the drop of a dime if a noncitizen parent does anything! Lee Gelernt, an attorney with the ACLU who has been battling Trump’s travel ban in federal court, said that Trump could now ban any country: “I think that anything is possible with this administration.” Curious how there would NEVER defend people for the very same issue during the Clinton and Obama Administrations. Obama deported MORE PEOPLE than any American President in history. Nobody said one word!!!!!

Part of that decision overruled the more notorious decision next to Dred Scot.  The Supreme Court Tuesday overruled the 1944 decision allowing internment of 120,000 Japanese Americans. In Korematsu v. United States, the court ruled 6-3 on December 18th, 1944, that the U.S. government had the RIGHT to exclude and detain 120,000 Japanese Americans during World War II because of national security concerns. The ruling truly horrified all civil libertarians and legal scholars at the time. It was subsequently ranked up there with the Dred Scott decision that upheld slavery and set the USA on the course of Civil War.

“As President, I have often said that I have no greater responsibility than protecting the American people,” wrote President Obama in the new “National Strategy for Counterterrorism”

As wise men have always said; be very careful what you wish for. Constitutionally,

Constitution Article II

Section. 1.
The executive Power shall be vested in a President of the United States of America. He shall hold his Office during the Term of four Years….

Section. 2.
The President shall be Commander in Chief of the Army and Navy of the United States, and of the Militia of the several States, when called into the actual Service of the United States; he may require the Opinion, in writing, of the principal Officer in each of the executive Departments, upon any Subject relating to the Duties of their respective Offices, and he shall have Power to grant Reprieves and Pardons for Offences against the United States, except in Cases of Impeachment.

He shall have Power, by and with the Advice and Consent of the Senate, to make Treaties, provided two thirds of the Senators present concur; and he shall nominate, and by and with the Advice and Consent of the Senate, shall appoint Ambassadors, other public Ministers and Consuls, Judges of the supreme Court, and all other Officers of the United States, whose Appointments are not herein otherwise provided for, and which shall be established by Law: but the Congress may by Law vest the Appointment of such inferior Officers, as they think proper, in the President alone, in the Courts of Law, or in the Heads of Departments.

The President shall have Power to fill up all Vacancies that may happen during the Recess of the Senate, by granting Commissions which shall expire at the End of their next Session.

Section. 3.
He shall from time to time give to the Congress Information of the State of the Union, and recommend to their Consideration such Measures as he shall judge necessary and expedient; he may, on extraordinary Occasions, convene both Houses, or either of them, and in Case of Disagreement between them, with Respect to the Time of Adjournment, he may adjourn them to such Time as he shall think proper; he shall receive Ambassadors and other public Ministers; he shall take Care that the Laws be faithfully executed, and shall Commission all the Officers of the United States

For decades, people have been complaining that Administrative Law Judges (ALJ) were unconstitutional. They are simply employees and they do not even have to have a law degree. Yet these people have been ruling against citizens and supporting their agencies, reducing any Due Process of Law to a joke. Previously, Administrative Law Judge, George Painter, recognized the corruption in his own court system of the Commodity Futures Trading Commission. Painter sent a scolding letter announcing his retirement that highlighted the corruption from an insider’s perspective. George Painter died at the age of 87. Yet his parting words still will be echoed down the halls of justice.

In the letter, Judge Painter announced his retirement as he exposed the internal corruption inside the court system. He stated bluntly that his fellow admin judges had never awarded a case to a plaintiff in 20 years, and that he did so at the urging of former CFTC Chair, Wendy Gramm. I do not take something as serious as corruption lightly.

The Constitution’s Appointment Clause Article II, Section 2, Clause 2 reads:

… and [the President] shall nominate, and by and with the Advice and Consent of the Senate, shall appoint Ambassadors, other public Ministers and Consuls, Judges of the Supreme Court, and all other Officers of the United States, whose Appointments are not herein otherwise provided for, and which shall be established by Law: but the Congress may by Law vest the Appointment of such inferior Officers, as they think proper, in the President alone, in the Courts of Law, or in the Heads of Departments.

In the case under review, the ALJ was never appointed by anyone in accordance with the Constitution. Now the Supreme Court has ruled at last that yes – the entire ALJ system is corrupt and unconstitutional in LUCIA ET AL. v. SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION. The Supreme Court held: “The only issue left is remedial. For all the reasons we have given, and all those Freytag gave before, the Commissions ALJs are Officers of the United States, subject to the Appointments Clause. And as noted earlier, Judge Elliot heard and decided Lucia’s case without the kind of appointment the Clause requires. ”

The real meaning of this decision is that anyone who has ever been adjudicated by an ALJ was unconstitutionally adjudicated. This is why I say that the Supreme Court should be expanded and that EVERY new procedure and law that carries a fine or imprisonment should be tested to comply with the Constitution BEFORE it is enforced. We have a legal system that is backwards. If people do not have the money to adjudicate their Constitutional Rights, then they do not have any. This is why the government prosecutors go after your lawyers so they then eliminate your ability to even receive due process of law. They can unconstitutionally treat you however they wish knowing full well that without the funds, you cannot be heard and are thus denied Due Process of Law. In this way, their thirst to win has destroyed the very principles that we ask our children to go to battle and die for. They have eliminated all your rights and you cannot be heard unless you have the money to fund it in the millions of dollars.

Some people think that Andrés Manuel López Obrador, who is leading the polls in Mexico, is their answer to Trump. This is once again the constant trend of trying to blame Trump for everything. In 1933, Adolf Hitler came to power and Mao Zedong rose in China. At the same time, we saw Franklin Roosevelt take office after beating Herbert Hoover. The PROPER way to view politics is rather simple. The people in Mexico are sick and tired of career politicians and they too are demanding REAL CHANGE. The key to understanding the political trend is very clear and distinct — whoever is in power is thrown out without a particular political view be it left or right.

This is a generational shift. That is what these 51.6-year waves in the Economic Confidence Model truly represent when we are looking at societal changes. Nearly half of all eligible voters in Mexico are now under 40, and of that, 20% will be voting for the very first time! We are watching the younger generation coming to power and the old ideas are falling rapidly. The younger generation is an age group that is profoundly disenchanted with the political “establishment” and are DEMANDING a moral leader to bring about real change, not just in Mexico, but around the entire world.

The change in government over corruption in Malaysia was profound. Now we see thousands of anti-corruption protesters are demonstrating in cities across Romania for the fifth day after a court sentenced the country’s most powerful politician for official misconduct. There have been far more than 10,000 demonstrators waving Romanian and European Union flags outside the government offices in Bucharest on this past weekend. They were singing the national anthem and using their smartphone torches to illuminate the night sky. They were yelling: “We don’t want to be a nation of thieves!” and “Down with the Social Democratic Party!”

The Mueller investigation is all about removing Trump from office, which has been cheered by CNN, New York Times, and The Washington Post among many others. They are intent on overturning the results of a Democratic election to ensure this is no longer a government of the people for the people. They see this as intolerable and those who voted for Trump are too stupid to vote anyway. I have actually heard that argument. So we all know what the objective here really is – Mueller is to overthrow the presidency. Yet, history may one day write that this is the very man who created the Second American Civil War.

Mueller is hell-bent on charging Trump to get him out of office. The bureaucracy then will take back the government and suppresses the people, grinding us into the dirt. What they overlook is that the resentment from both sides is turning into sheer unbridled hatred and this is the foundation needed for a Civil War. This is by no means the first time a president was elected this century and many said he didn’t really win. Of course, the election of Abraham Lincoln led to the secession of several states who also rejected the election because they lost. The South rose up against the North and the Civil War began. The Supreme Court gave George Bush the election and that began to stir the discontent among the people.

The Presidential election of 1824 was really the start of the Civil War. This followed the Missouri Compromise which was legislation passed on May 9th, 1820, and provided for the admission of Maine as a free state along with Missouri as a slave state. This maintained the balance of power between North and South in the United States Senate. It was showing that the tension was rising when the presidential election followed four years later.

John Quincy Adams won the election and served as president from March 4, 1825 — March 4, 1829, but he actually lost in electoral votes and in popular votes to Andrew Jackson. The 12th Amendment specified if no candidate for president has a majority of the total votes in the Electoral College, then the House of Representatives, voting by states and with the quorum was to consist of a member or members from two-thirds of the states, and a majority of all the states shall be necessary to a choice. The 12th Amendment requires the House to choose from the three highest receivers of electoral votes, compared to five under the original procedure. Henry Clay was thus eliminated and he threw his support to Adams. In the contingent election decided in Congress, Clay’s backing gave the Presidency to Adams on the first ballot. Jackson accused Clay and Adams of having agreed to a “corrupt bargain” in which Clay supported Adams in return for his appointment to the most prestigious Cabinet position. This was the event that split the Democratic-Republican Party into the National Republican Party and Jackson forming the Democratic Party.

The hatred that is brewing is really out of control. We have the actor Peter Fonda calling to kidnap Trump’s son and put him in a cage. To advocate kidnapping, anyone in the president’s family is just insane. This is showing there is no longer any civility left. The Hollywood industry is simply out of control. Kathy Griffin thought it was funny to show a bloody severed head of the president on TV. There is ZERO respect for the office of the presidency. I was not a fan of Obama, but you do not cross the line and propose violence against him and then in another breath protest gun violence and call for all guns to be banned.

The left is historically always the violent side. The right argues to be left alone. The left cannot sleep at night because they worry the right is not submitting to their control. The revolutions in Russia and China came from the left. The French Revolution was also a leftist movement and that is where they began with the “Commune” project. It was the French who convinced Marx about Communism.

In 1848, territory won from Mexico was to become a state. This upset the balance of power and it illustrated that tensions were rising between the North and South. The True Issue or “That’s What’s the Matter” is a Currier & Ives print showing General George McCellan preaching a peaceful end to the Civil War standing between Lincoln and Jeff Davis trying to support the union. An American Civil War certainly becomes possible between 2024 and 2026 if tensions continue to rise. Interestingly enough our volatility models on the prospect of a civil war bottomed in 2008.

Based upon our model, assuming Trump remains in office and is even re-elected in 2020, that brings us to 2024 and that is where we see a serious risk of rising tensions that could bring about a Second American Civil War. This is what I mean when I ask, “What comes after Trump