Posted originally on the conservative tree house on August 22, 2022 | sundance
Acceptance is the first step.
- If we accept or acknowledge the RNC and DNC are private corporations, existing like all other corporations to the fulfilment of their for-profit charter, to make money; and
- If we accept or acknowledge their business model is structured around people and businesses giving them money; and
- If we accept or acknowledge that in the process of raising money their interests may or may not align with the goal of those contributing to the business; and
- If we accept the history that Mitch McConnell and the RNC worked purposefully to remove the influence of the Tea Party; then
- This factually accurate statement from Steve Deace takes on a new meaning:
[…] “the GOP (club) would rather lose to Democrats than lose control of the [club] to it’s base.” Electability boils down to the right kind of approved candidate.
That is an accurate context for this midterm election cycle. Factually, the income stream for the RNC improves if they have the ability to campaign against the opposition club. The larger the outrage, the more substantial the fundraising. The corporation makes more money in defeat, or in the minority, than it does when it wins or holds majorities.
As a result, there is a disconnect between the financial incentive of the corporation and the expressed intent of the corporation. When the RNC club wins, they have a more difficult time raising money, because people who previously contributed are now looking for results.
Combine that business model reality, with the accurate statement from Steve Deace about the club perspective of MAGA, and you begin to see the weird dynamic that surfaced in Georgia in the first week of January 2021. Did the club want to win the two senate races? Or was the club content to let deflated Trump voters see a lackluster club response to the 2020 election issues in Georgia, a frustration which led to wins by the opposition?
The same dynamic is established now. Senator Mitch McConnell and the GOP club corporate donors are not happy with the unapproved candidates winning many of the 2022 primary contests. They are not hiding their disdain, nor are they hiding their shift in midterm expectations as a result of their desire to see the unapproved republican candidates defeated.
However, there is a more looming scenario that we have been discussing.
As we have seen from their non-response to the FBI raid on Trump’s Mar-a-Lago estate, the GOP club would not be disappointed to see the DOJ take down Donald Trump prior to the midterm elections.
In a national version of the Georgia result, there would likely be widespread voter anger and frustration, if the DOJ indict President Trump and the republican leadership pull the Ron DeSantis routine and stay hidden and silent.
The GOP gets rid of the issue of Donald Trump, and a 25% drop in MAGA voter turnout – the result of anger and disenfranchisement – leads to overwhelming victories for Democrats in the midterms. The result, both Donald Trump and MAGA are essentially removed from the RNC/GOP structure. Nothing would make that group happier than to return to the status quo of controlled and approved party candidates. [Insert Ron DeSantis here]
In the biggest of big pictures, the important issues for the club to control surround trade, finance and economic policy. There are trillions at stake. The multinationals and Wall Street in general would both benefit from the elimination of a political movement based on America-First national economic policy (ie. Main Street USA).
The common bond amid all of the diversity within the Trump coalition is the working-class economic connection. No other republican politician of significance has any national economic outlook unfavorable to the multinational corporations who finance the club priority. The only economic nationalist in the republican party is Donald Trump. Remove him and the America-First policy is removed with him.
Let us also not be naïve or intellectually dishonest with each other. The decision on whether to indict or not indict Donald Trump is going to be made by Democrats and Republicans alike. Personally, I worry that decision has already been made, sometime around early June when the DOJ first inspected the documents at Mar-a-Lago, as part of a larger collaborative midterm strategy, noted above.
The picture would essentially be, have the DOJ remove Donald Trump; have the republican leadership do nothing except express faux outrage at the outcome; and then watch as a blue wave midterm election benefits both Democrat and Republican clubs.
Democrats advance their radical agenda, republicans gnash their teeth and fundraise off the radical agenda, and the 2024 presidential candidates pull out the fainting couches, gasp in horror, bewilderment and outrage over the events, while reminding the republican base that supporting law enforcement, and following the constitution, means sitting quietly and voting harder…