NATO Pledges $40 Billion to Ukraine


Posted originally on Jun 25, 2025 by Martin Armstrong 

Rutte Mark with Zelensky

The neocons would never permit a true ceasefire. The war in the Middle East must continue in order to broaden the West’s conflict with Russia. Russia is not permitted to remain neutral, despite Putin’s insistence. Follow the money—NATO has assembled $40 BILLION to prolong aggression against Russia.

“Let’s not forgetIran is heavily involved in the fight of Russia against Ukraine by, for example, their drone deliveries, which are killing innocent Ukrainians every day, in cities, in communities, without any respect for life,” Rutte said. Russia has paid Iran for defense and drones throughout the conflict in Ukraine, and therefore, the neocons believe Russia should be held responsible for the war in the Middle East.

Russia has successfully fended off NATO and the weaponization of Ukraine by the West. The messaging put forth by NATO aligns with Socrates’ predictions—the worst is yet to come and we have mass panic cycles occurring in nearly every major economy in 2026. The reason cannot be provided by the computer, but historically, we only see such an uptick in activity during times of global conflict.

NATO North Atlantic Terror Organization

“You will see important language about Ukraine, including connecting the defense spending up to 2035 to Ukraine, and the need for Ukraine to stay in the fight,” Rutte said. “This is a clear commitment by allies.” They likely expected Russia to fold earlier, but they will not give up their battle. Rutte specifically mentioned that Europe and Canada, and not the United States, are aligned in their unwavering financial support for Ukraine. “And we have – I can announce that now – new estimates showing that our European and Canadian Allies have stepped up and have already pledged – where we originally would have been able to announce €20 billion over the first three months of this year, it is now they will provide over €35 billion ($40.6 billion) in additional security assistance to Ukraine for the year ahead.”

Rutte said that Ukraine’s path to NATO is “irreversible.”

The next player up to bat is China. The neocons WILL find a method to break Beijing’s neutrality. It matters not that everyone is a trade partner; the specific trade deals that displease the neocons will be highlighted as a reason for war.

“The most significant and direct threat facing this Alliance remains Russia. Moscow continues to wage war against Ukraine with the support of North Korea, Iran, and China as well as Belarus.” NATO Secretary-General Mark Rutte.

China will partner with Russia when they are forced out of neutrality. The West has never desired diplomatic relations with China as it has always been an enemy nation. China’s growing global influence is a direct threat to the West’s power and those moving the chess pieces genuinely believe that NATO can decimate Russia, China, and Ukraine. Our computer does not agree with them.

Spain Requests NATO Spending Leniency


Posted originally on Jun 25, 2025 by Martin Armstrong 

NATO vs. Russia

Spain will be unable to meet NATO’s new 5% of GDP membership requirement. In the latest round of a nation rebuking a globalist entity that dampens its sovereignty, Spain has broken step with the European Union and NATO by admitting that Russia poses no immediate threat.

“Spain will continue to fulfil its duty in the years and decades ahead and will continue to actively contribute to the European security architecture. However, Spain cannot commit to a specific spending target in terms of GDP at this summit,” Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez told NATO Secretary-General Mark Rutte.

NATO is set to meet for the first time since Donald Trump’s re-election and Rutte is insistent that member nations up their contributions to appease the bloc’s largest contributor. Trump has repeatedly warned that the US would reduce or pull funding from NATO if other nations failed to meet their 2% of GDP requirement. Trump declared that Russia posed no immediate threat to the US and accused Europe of over-relying on America for protection.

Rutte would now like to raise that 2% target to 5%, which is a significant increase. The new budget proposal will allot 3.5% of spending on military expenditure,s and 1.5% will be spent on defense-related items like cybersecurity and military mobility.

Spain contributes the least to NATO in terms of GDP compared to other members, spending an estimated 1.28% of its GDP. Spain is the fourth-largest economy in the Eurozone, and other members do not believe it should get a free pass. Spain’s economy grew by 3% last year, far surpassing the Eurozone average of 0.08%. Yet, the government sees no value in spending on NATO when the war is isolated to Ukraine.

2023_07_08_11_17_17_Spain_says_cluster_bombs_should_not_be_sent_to_Ukraine_Reuters

Our threat is not Russia bringing its troops across the Pyrenees,” Sanchez said, referring to the mountain range dividing France and Spain. “When we talk about Russia it’s more a hybrid threat. It’s the threat of cyber attacks. So what we have to do is not just talk about defense, but fundamentally talk about security.” He admitted that he does not believe Putin has plans to conquer Europe, breaking from the ongoing EU neocon narrative.

Previously, nations would need to unanimously vote on new spending policies. “Of course, it is not our intention to limit the spending ambitions of other allies or to obstruct the outcome of the upcoming summit,” the Sánchez letter reads. It no longer matters what one member nation believes, as unanimity is no longer required among any centralized power, be it the European Union or NATO. All members must adhere to the plans of the unelected bureaucrats, and those plans clearly detail an escalation in warfare.

US Supreme Court Green Lights Deportations


Posted originally on Jun 25, 2025 by Martin Armstrong 

Supreme Court Building

Those deeming deportations as unconstitutional will regret to hear that the US Supreme Court disagrees. In a 6-3 vote, the US Supreme Court rules that America’s ongoing deportation campaign may temporarily proceed without notice.

The SCOTUS declared that notice is not required before deportation. Noncitizens are not granted the right under the United States Constitution to seek due process or appeal their case before they are deported to third-party nations.

Justices Sonia Sotomayor, Elena Kagan, and Ketanji Brown Jackson dissented. It would take decades and countless resources for the courts to process every single removal after open border policies caused a record number of people from throughout the world to cross into the US. The vote comes after a district judge attempted to prevent mass deportations under the Alien Enemies Act. Biden permitted over 11 million people to enter illegally and this is a matter of national security. Pam Bondi admitted that sleeper cells are lurking throughout the nation and plotting against the American people. Terrorism aside, the American taxpayer cannot afford to subsidize the lives of 11 million people.

The left did not demand due process for migrants deported under the Obama Administration. No one demanded that migrants face their day in court before removal. Even Hillary Clinton was championing deportations, and her husband carried out a deportation campaign during his time in the White House that was met with bipartisan approval. An estimated 75% and 83% of the 3 million migrants deported under Obama were carried out under summary removals. The Illegal Immigration Reform and Immigrant Responsibility Act (IIRIRA) of 1996 permitted Congress to streamline the deportation process. Expedited removals and reinstatement of removals permitted immigration officers to act as the judge and juror to determine citizenship status on the same day.

Former President Bill Clinton praised “the rule of law by cracking down on illegal immigration at the border, in the workplace, and in the criminal justice system — without punishing those living in the United States legally.” The measure also expanded the definition of aggregated felonies, which removed all protections for anyone convicted of a crime that carries a sentence of one year or more. The IIRAIRA also strictly forbids illegal aliens from voting in US elections. Now, all of this is controversial because a Republican is in charge.

The meal ticket has expired. If you are here illegally, you must leave. We cannot risk national security, or the national economy, for that matter, to appease the liberals who believe American lives are worth less than blue votes.

Middle East Ceasefire


Posted Jun 24, 2025 by Martin Armstrong
War Zone 2

Our sources in the region say that there are still bullets being shot from both sides. Israel accuses Iran of violating a ceasefire, but Tehran denies the claim. President Donald Trump said Israeli jets had turned back from their planned strikes on Iran and that the ceasefire remains in effect. There were reports of an explosion in Tehran, and Iranian state media said a radar station had been hit. Meanwhile, Trump sharply criticized Israel for preparing a heavy retaliation against a ceasefire violation by Iran that he said involved a single rocket missing its target.

The Neocons have long held that their goal was the overthrow of the Revolutionary Government. While our computer was clearly showing that the markets would pull back before any ceasefire, even oil ran up, but could not get through our Weekly Bullish Reversal. The markets are always the best indicator of the future. As I have said, when I created this model, I never expected it to forecast war. However, someone always knows in advance, and the capital flows begin to shift. Here, despite all the headlines, the computer was NOT showing a significant rally in gold or oil. This is why we should never trade based just on the emotional headlines.

6 24 25 Trump_Warns_Russia_Against_Giving_Nukes_to_Iran

The likelihood of this ceasefire becoming permanent is probably ZERO. The real question is whether Russia or China can afford to let the Iranian government collapse. Would the replacement then be a US proxy, such as Ukraine? What would happen to China’s energy source? Then there is the Neocon objective to topple the Iranian government. Are they willing to surrender their lifelong quest to defeat Russia?

Only a sublime fool would think this is over.

As the computer was forecasting, this was the lull, and the markets were confirming this outcome.

Then comes Resurgence.

Even A Caveman Can’t Do It – Impeachment Vote Fails as Democrats Join with Republicans


Posted originally on CTH on June 24, 2025 | Sundance

Representative Al Green’s effort to impeach President Trump over the nuclear strikes in Iran failed miserably.  Even the majority of Democrats would not go along with it.  Caveman big sad.

WASHINGTON DC – Most House Democrats joined with Republicans on Tuesday to quash an effort to impeach President Donald Trump over his weekend Iran strikes.

Rep. Al Green’s impeachment resolution was tabled on a 344-79 vote, with 128 Democrats joining all 216 Republicans to kill the measure.

Those included House Democratic leaders, who have been wary of pursuing new impeachments after two prior Trump impeachments failed during his first term. Still, dozens of Democrats voted to keep Green’s resolution alive. (read more)

President Trump Participates in NATO Family Photograph at Netherlands Royal Palace


Posted originally on CTH on June 24, 2025 | Sundance

President Donald Trump was greeted warmly by King Willem-Alexander and Queen Maxima the current monarchs of the Netherlands, during his arrival to the NATO summit.  Queen Maxima appears to have taken a page from the wardrobe of First Lady Melania Trump. After all the formal introductions, a family photo of the NATO group was held.  WATCH: 

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Credit Where Due – Majority Leader John Thune Eyes Friday for Senate BBB Votes to Begin


Posted originally on CTH on June 24, 2025 | Sundance 

Cautious optimism is warranted, however it looks like Senate Majority Leader John Thune is pushing hard to hit the deadlines set by President Trump for passage of the Big Beautiful Bill (BBB) reconciliation package.

Speaking today right before a meeting with House Speaker Mike Johnson, Senator Thune noted he is optimistic the Senate can finalize their negotiations on the BBB over the next two days, setting up the Senate to hold their first cloture votes on Friday and a vote-a-rama through the weekend.

President Trump is still assisting Leader Thune with phone calls to Senate republicans between foreign policy engagements.  Trump is only staying in the Netherlands for 24 hours so he can quickly get back to DC to assist in any arm-twisting needed by Thune or Johnson.

According to Politico, House Speaker Mike Johnson has cautioned House representatives to stay in town this weekend and be prepared to reconcile both bills and vote on the package as soon as it exits the Senate.   As many of you are aware, this is a critical legislative package containing a large amount of President Trump’s America First policy priorities.

As things stand right now, it looks like Thune is going to try and get the package into voting position on Friday, with immediate votes to take place.  We are critical of Thune when warranted, but should also appreciate the work of the Majority Leader when he is structurally supportive of the MAGA agenda.

(Via Axios) – Senate Majority Leader John Thune expects to start voting Friday on President Trump’s “one big, beautiful bill,” he told Axios in an exclusive interview on Tuesday.

Why it matters: This would have them voting into the weekend, and it would upend the House’s recess next week. But Thune (R-S.D.) is confident Congress will meet its self-imposed July 4 deadline to get a bill on Trump’s desk.

Thune said Friday was looking more likely for an initial vote than Thursday, setting up the potential for a weekend slog.

“I think we get on it, and then we will plow through, and we’ll get into vote-a-rama and grind it out until — until whenever,” the leader said. “It’s just the nature of the beast at the end.”

Johnson told House Republicans “not to leave town” this weekend in case the Senate gets a bill passed, Politico reported Tuesday. (read more)

We anticipate that once the BBB is completed, obviously there will be a celebration – a news cycle for the White House and legislative leadership to promote & celebrate, and then President Trump will likely shift straight into the details of the trade agreements being constructed in the background by Secretary Lutnick, Secretary Bessent and USTR Jamieson Greer.

As the trade aspect is underway from the oval office, expect Secretary Rubio and Steve Witkoff to be reengaged with Ukraine-Russia.  By mid July we should see multiple announcements of trade agreements, while simultaneously the foreign policy focus of Rubio and Witkoff should start to materialize into substantive change.

NATO Nervously Awaits Godzilla Trump’s Arrival, Pre-Stage Agreement for Big Spending Increase


Posted originally on CTH on June 24, 2025 | Sundance

The NATO summit begins officially tonight in the Hague, Netherlands.  However, most of the NATO members arrived early so their collective assembly could strategize a defense against the arrival of Godzilla Trump.

Unfortunately, Godzilla Trump began his journey to the EU today by using a very emphatic F-bomb directed at Iran and Israel.  Netanyahu promptly apologized, reversed his antagonistic enterprise and ducked for cover.  A grouchy Godzilla is not what the EU leaders want to be facing.  Grimaces abound.

To appease the painfully, brutally and uncomfortably honest President Trump the EU have agreed among themselves to increase their defense spending quickly, to the very Trumpian 5% of GDP with 3.5% spent on direct military arms.

GERMANY – […] “We will decide to invest significantly more in our security,” Merz told the Bundestag ahead of the NATO leaders’ summit in The Hague. “Not to do the United States a favor — but because Russia actively threatens the freedom of the entire Euro-Atlantic area.”

A day before the speech, Berlin confirmed it would raise military spending to 3.5 percent of gross domestic product by 2029 — Germany’s most ambitious rearmament effort since the end of the Cold War. (more)

Great Britain – LONDON — Keir Starmer has confirmed the U.K. will hit NATO’s target of spending 5 percent of GDP on defense by 2035 as he prepares to meet other western leaders in The Hague. The British prime minister hailed the move as “an opportunity to deepen our commitment to NATO and drive greater investment in the nation’s wider security.”

Making the pledge alongside the publication of a new national security strategy, Starmer specified the U.K. was on course to reach 4.1 percent of GDP on defense by 2027. (read more)

Godzilla Trump did not discuss his planned bombing of the Iranian nuclear sites in advance of his strikes and the EU is not quite sure what to do or say about that.

Volodymyr Zelenskyy is expected to be in attendance at the NATO conference, despite Ukraine not being a NATO member.

(Via Fox) – […] The President’s time at the summit will be brief, spending approximately 24 hours on the ground. His meetings “will focus on issues of shared concern and reaffirm the United States strong ties with our allies and partners,” according to an administration official.

But they come after Trump can boast of a ceasefire between Israel and Iran. 

“It has been fully agreed by and between Israel and Iran that there will be a Complete and Total CEASEFIRE (in approximately 6 hours from now, when Israel and Iran have wound down and completed their in progress, final missions!), for 12 hours, at which point the War will be considered, ENDED!” Trump wrote on Truth Social. 

Rutte has suggested NATO would stand behind the U.S. after Iran launched a counterstrike on its air base in Qatar, following American attacks on three Iranian nuclear sites.

“My biggest fear would be for Iran to own and be able to use a nuclear weapon,” Rutte told reporters ahead of the summit. (more)

President Trump Impromptu Presser Aboard Air Force One – Audio Only


Posted originally on CTH on June 24, 2025 | Sundance 

President Donald Trump gives brief remarks to the media aboard Air Force One (audio only for first minute).  The first segment of the questions and answers deals with President Trump talking to Benjamin Netanyahu and Israel agreeing not to strike, to turn around and return their planes home.

President Trump reaffirmed that he does not want to see regime change in Iran and that things can be settled without conflict if all parties engage with honesty and integrity.  The conversation then moves to the NATO summit which begins later tonight.  WATCH (Video starts at 1:40)

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Chopper Presser – President Trump: “I’m Not Happy With Israel, I’m Not Happy At All”


June 24, 2025 | Sundance

It’s all right there for those who have eyes to see and do not pretend.

Chopper Pressers are the best pressers.  Departing the White House President Trump leads off his initial remarks by saying. … “And I’m talking directly to Israel right now”… “I’m not happy with Israel, I’m not happy at all.”  President Trump repeats.

President Trump is speaking about the increased fire the Israeli government conducted, as soon as the ceasefire was announced, and again talking about the ongoing retaliation fire that Israel is taking right now to a single Iran rocket that missed any Israeli target.  “Israel needs to calm down,” he continued.

Then, to drive home the point and express his frustration, President Trump says, “we basically have two countries that have been fighting so long and so hard, that they don’t know WHAT THE FUCK THEY’RE DOING! Do you understand that?” He then turns his back in disgust and walks away.  WATCH:

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This week wasn’t just about stopping Iran. It was also about taking Israel’s “Iran has nukes!” card off the table.