2018 Midterm Election – Ground Reports and Open Discussion…


In the past several election cycles CTH has posted these type of open discussion threads to see and share the perspectives of ground reports from your state, city and neighborhood.  ‘Ground Reports’ are a valuable resource to gauge the non-quantifiable elements around elections; they are often quite insightful.

Many states are currently in the process of early voting.  If you have a ground report you would like to share, please use the comment section below to provide your perspective.

Additionally, there are often obscure events that can help identify voting trends and possibilities; so don’t limit your review to traditional perspectives. Sentiments and senses are also very useful.  What do you sense? What is going on in/around your town and location?  Good or bad; positive or negative; what do you see happening?

An example that might help in looking “outside the box” per se’, was in the Alabama special election between Doug Jones and Roy Moore. We suspected in October 2017 that Roy Moore would lose the special election in December.

What led to that unfortunately accurate conclusion was not just a review of the candidate; and predictable democrat opposition attacks that came in November; but also a review of obscure events on the horizon. One of those events was the opening of the Jackson, Mississippi, Civil Rights museum next door to Alabama on the exact eve of the special election vote.

Two months before the December 2017 election, CTH could see a structured event pattern developing where tens of thousands of people antithetical to Roy Moore would be assembled only a few miles away from Alabama voting booths on the eve of the vote.  The Jackson grand opening was December 9th and 10th. The Alabama election was December 12th. CTH anticipated the convenient Alabama scheduling was not coincidental; it appeared to be done by political design.  So don’t limit your view to current events… look forward; sometimes it helps.

Reports: Megyn Kelly Fired by NBC…


Apparently NBC has found their excuse to rid themselves of the $69 million dollar mistake known as Megyn Kelly following her comments about “blackface” to an aghast audience. Reports are now confirming the caucasian version of  Omarosa has been dispatched from the network.

Rupert’s Princess became famous for working with Chris Wallace, Bret Baier and Fox Political Vice President Bill Sammon during the August 6th, 2015, Presidential Primary on a scripted plan to attack front-runner candidate Donald Trump… [CTH saw it coming on July 30th, and fired up the warning flare – We were correct] Her career as the Caucasian Omarosa was all downhill from there.

New York – Megyn Kelly’s 9 a.m. Today show hour has been canceled, multiple sources confirm to PEOPLE.

The news comes just 48 hours after she received immense backlash for her controversial remarks about blackface earlier this week.

“They’re contacting the staff and reassigning everyone today. Everyone’s being told that they still have a home here, but it won’t be on Megyn’s show,” one source says. “They haven’t made an official announcement about the show, but everyone knows what it means when they’re being moved somewhere else. The show is clearly over.”

Two additional sources insist that Kelly has not been fired from NBC completely (and she herself has not been told the network’s final decision), but her 9 a.m. show “is most likely over.”

Kelly did not appear live on air Thursday morning after NBC announced the rest of this week’s broadcasts have been replaced with pre-taped episodes.  (read more)

(Never Forget)

Chris Wallace, Bret Baier, Bill Sammon (circled) and Megyn Kelly prepping the August 2015, debate strategy.

Mexican Trucking Company, With U.S. License, Identified Moving Central American Caravan…


An interesting video was captured a few days ago showing a Mexican trucking company named EXPRESS SAN JAVIER, assisting in moving Central American invasion force to the U.S. border.

What is additionally interesting is the Mexican company holds a Department of Transportation (DOT) license for operations inside the U.S. DOT License #1202728

(click image to enlarge – SAFER database link here)

It is not an American trucking company, it is part of a fleet of ten vehicles owned by the company in Mexico.  However, there’s a good question about whether the U.S. Department of Transportation could revoke the U.S. DOT License of the company that is aiding the caravan to violate U.S. immigration law.

CNN Reaches Peak Alinsky – Media Outlet Apoplectic Attempts to Blame President Trump for Suspicious Packages…


No-one yet really knows what the motives are behind mailing packages containing fake pipe-bombs to high-profile members of the Trump ‘resistance‘.  Hopefully the FBI will identify the perpetrators quickly.  However, given the history of left-wing political activity and their use of fake hate crime as a tool to advance victim politics, the strongest origination likelihood is a person or group connected to left-wing activism.

Toward that suspicion there is growing Alinsky-motive visible amid media.  CNN is desperate to pin the blame on President Trump.  Check out the Alinsky model narrative engineering on display today.  It starts out by labeling the recipients as “Trump’s targets”:

The transparent narrative engineering goes even further.  CNN openly starts blaming President Trump for not taking “personal responsibility” for mailing the packages:

Yesterday it looked like a 50/50 proposition the entire event was manufactured for political narrative building of the far left.  Given the aggressive demands of CNN’s blame-casting today, that likelihood has increased to an almost certainty.

This is typical of the Saul Alinsky mindset that permeates the left-wing media apparatus writ large.  As David Mamet famously outlined: …‘in order for democrats, liberals, progressives et al to continue their illogical belief systems they have to pretend not to know a lot of things’… By pretending ‘not to know’ there is no guilt, no actual connection to conscience.  Denial of truth allows easier trespass.

In this example the progressive media need to pretend they don’t know the likely origin of the suspicious packages in order to continue advancing their illogical belief, an engineered narrative, that President Trump is behind it.

Ridiculous.  All of it….

Senator Chuck Grassley Sends Criminal Referral of Avenatti and Swetnick to DOJ/FBI For Investigation….


Today Senator Chuck Grassley has sent Attorney General Jeff Sessions an extensive 29-page criminal referral (full pdf below) requesting an investigation of sketchy Kavanaugh accuser Julie Swetnick and her Creepy Porn Lawyer, Michael  Avenatti.

Chairman Grassley outlines three potential violations: (1) Providing False Statements; (2) Obstructing Congressional Investigations; and (3) Mueller and Rosenstein’s favorite DOJ charge: “Conspiracy”.

WASHINGTON Senate Judiciary Committee Chairman Chuck Grassley today referred Julie Swetnick and her attorney Michael Avenatti to the Justice Department for criminal investigation relating toa potential conspiracy to provide materially false statements to Congress and obstruct a congressional committee investigation, three separate crimes, in the course of considering Justice Brett M. Kavanaugh’s nomination to the Supreme Court of the United States.

While the Committee was in the middle of its extensive investigation of the late-breaking sexual-assault allegations made by Dr. Christine Blasey Ford against Supreme Court nominee Judge Brett Kavanaugh, Avenatti publicized his client’s allegations of drug- and alcohol-fueled gang rapes in the 1980s. The obvious, subsequent contradictions along with the suspicious timing of the allegations necessitate a criminal investigation by the Justice Department.

Grassley referred Swetnick and Avenatti for investigation in a letter sent today to the Attorney General of the United States and the Director of the Federal Bureau of Investigation. The letter notes potential violations of 18 U.S.C. §§ 371, 1001 and 1505, which respectively define the federal criminal offenses of conspiracy, false statements and obstruction of Congress. The referral seeks further investigation only, and is not intended to be an allegation of a crime.

The referral methodically details the issues with Swetnick’s allegations as relayed by Avenatti, the immediate diversion of committee resources to investigate those allegations, the subsequent contradictions by both Swetnick and Avenatti, the lack of substantiating or corroborating evidence, and the overarching and serious credibility problems pervading the presentation of these allegations.  (read more)

Press Release from Senate Judiciary – Available Here

Letter to DOJ/FBI – Available Here and pdf below

https://www.scribd.com/embeds/391606733/content?start_page=1&view_mode=&access_key=key-aX9mXNGznuiH8LhiAjCZ

White House Press Secretary Sarah Sanders Discusses Ongoing Suspicious Package Investigation…


White House Press Secretary Sarah Sanders appears on Fox news to discuss the ongoing events surrounding fake pipe bombs/suspicious packages mailed to various resistance advocates, and the responsibility of the media.

Apparently One of the Undelivered Acme Fake Bombs is Missing…


(Story Link)

Apparently the Post Office knows they had one destined to Joe Biden, that is somewhere in the mail system…  Not to worry, the FBI’s best men are on the case.

Stock Market Fluctuations Highlight Bets on 2018 Midterm Election Results…


This is not financial advice. CTH simply explains economic influences and how they show up visibly in various KPI’s.  This is not financial advice.

The current Wall Street stock market sell-off is (in majority) mostly an outcome of investors betting Republicans are going to lose the House of Representatives and the MAGA economic policy will be blocked by a Democrat controlled House.

The U.S. Stock Market is factoring in a House of Representatives election loss for the Trump economic agenda.  Predictably, Democrats will target the administration with legislative challenges, investigations and court cases focused on regulations and tax policy.

Democrats have announced their intent to target President Trump cabinet members for investigations; the administration will be bound up in committee oversight; Trump’s family business interests and taxes will be part of a renewed investigation; and all of the MAGAnomic policy will immediately stop amid the reistance.  That’s the reality.

From the perspective of 5-year-view investors: If you think the 2018 mid-term election will result in a Democrat controlled house of representatives; with Adam Schiff as Speaker; then getting out of the market is not an unreasonable position.

However, for those who estimate the 2018 mid-term election will result in Republicans retaining control of the house of representatives; with either Kevin McCarthy or Jim Jordan as speaker; then now through election day is the time to buy-in to the market.

If the GOP keep the house, all current year stock sell-offs (drops) will be made up on November 7th, 2018 (likely within 48 hours) as they were in the aftermath of the 2016 presidential election.

Obviously there are other factors…. Obviously, this big picture aspect is simplistic; but the 2018 midterm election result is the largest current dynamic influencing market fluctuations.  There are billions at stake.

Those who think Democrats will win are selling (Wall Street). Those who think the GOP will win, and retain the house, are buying/holding (Main Street).

It is a weird, yet simple, year.

Suspicious Packages With Appearance of Pipe Bombs Sent To Various Left-Wing Political Figures…


Packages containing the appearance of Acme pipe bombs have grabbed the attention of the nation and the media. The packages were sent via U.S. mail to various left-wing political figures. None of the devices detonated or activated upon delivery. U.S. law enforcement suspect all of the packages were sent by the same group or individual.

Secret Service revealed they intercepted two of the packages en route to former President Obama’s Washington D.C. home and Hillary Clinton’s property in Chappaqua, New York. A few hours later a police bomb squad was sent to CNN’s offices in New York City as one of the packages was addressed to former CIA director John Brennan.

Additionally, the mailed devices were also reported addressed to former Attorney General Eric Holder, Florida Congresswoman Debbie Wasserman Schultz and California congresswoman Maxine Waters. The three packages addressed to Obama, the Clintons and CNN were similar to package found at liberal billionaire donor George Soros’ New York home on Monday.

The media are quick to frame a narrative of blame toward President Trump, and within minutes of breaking the news attached the hashtag #Magabomber to the motive. The White House condemned the attacks as ‘despicable’ and administration officials described the events as a coordinated ‘effort to terrorize’ just days before polarizing US elections.

Due to the nature of the overall package content, the likelihood of a staged political effort is high. The motive is undetermined; however, there is a strong history of left-wing manufactured ‘fake-hate’ to advance political objectives.

CNN broadcast pictures of the package sent to their New York office.

President Donald Trump delivered remarks about the suspicious packages during a pre-scheduled White House event on Opioid abuse:

Forget the Doom & Gloom – It’s Not That Bad


Re-Posted from Armstrong Economics Oct 25, 2018 by Martin Armstrong

QUESTION: Martin,

I know things are dark, but you are becoming down right gloomy. If the world is falling apart in Austrialia, Europe, Japan and ultimately the USA, there must be somewhere, or somewheres, the computer says things will be great in, or get better in. Where to go now? China right now, no thank you. Maybe with a Polar shift and a physical revolution of the poles and new economic policy, then maybe. But not as it is. You could lose your everything as it is. So where? Singapore? Africa? India? Or do we just dig a hole and hide? I’ll take a cave in the Alps, or the Rookies with Solar Panels and hydroponic gardens.

I am (just) slightly older than you are and I still am ready for another 60+ years. What do we all do, us and the younger folks between now and 2080? Let’s kick it up and get going.

Joe

ANSWER: We do not necessarily have to run and hide in a cave. I will let you know if it really is that bad. What we are looking at is the collapse of governmental systems. That does mean you have to run and hide someplace. Yes, that is possible in certain areas. But politically, things change and we get to restructure.

As far as pole shifts, the climate changes yes. Where to run and hide? Who knows. The pole can just be a temporary excursion rather than a 180-degree flip. The only point of this is to ensure you have some food stored for there can be shortages with cold weather. Perhaps you will not even need it. Better safe than sorry. Nobody really knows what happens in a pole shift. One of the girls in the office fled last year because of the monster hurricane CNN said would kill everyone with a 16-foot wall of water, which maybe reach 1 foot at my house. She fled to Orlando and the joke in the office was it was following her. So it is not always wise to flee – you might be running smack into the event. Let’s just be patient and see. Places that are normally cold are warm and vice versa. This is strange so far but perhaps a leading indicator.

The worse thing would be flying at that moment in time. Airplanes are guided by where magnetic north and the North Pole has been moving more rapidly since 2010 than at any time in recent history. This has even forced changes in calibrating airports because planes would miss them and land in the water if not adjusted to where the North Pole is presently.

So, no need to run and hide. We are looking at an economic implosion. Yes, that will result in civil unrest and that will most likely be focused in the big cities. So the risk would be greater for someone living in LA or NYC rather than in the suburbs. But we are not looking at a Mad Max type event at this time. If that would occur, we are looking off into 2032-2037 period.

Besides, just perhaps if we have enough people who really UNDERSTAND the problem, then when it comes to rebuilding, we can all yell and be heard at that point – just not before the Crash & Burn. Nobody will listen and hand over any power until there is no other choice.

Categories: Economics, Understanding Cycles