A Flight to Treasuries?


Posted originally on Apr 8, 2025 by Martin Armstrong 

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Some believe that Donald Trump is deliberately attempting to cause a sharp downturn in equities to force a flight into treasuries. If so, the Federal Reserve would have more of a reason to slash interest rates—Trump’s longstanding desire. Trump has stated that the markets are undergoing an “operation” of sorts, but I would not underestimate his long-term plan here.

 Trump openly states that he wants companies to move manufacturing to the US to avoid tariffs. This will also promote domestic trade as companies will seek to avoid levies. US farmers will be incentivized to sell domestically, which could lower the price of groceries much to the pleasure of the American public.

The idea that a decline in the stock market could actually cause a flight into treasuries sounds counterintuitive on the surface, but when you understand how capital flows and confidence operate globally, it makes perfect sense. Capital moves globally and always seeks the safest place to park. Unexperienced and retail traders tend to panic at larger downturns and sell off.

Everything comes down to CONFIDENCE. A downturn in equities could cause a kneejerk reaction into treasuries because people still trust that the government will make good on their payments. Big institutional money began fleeing the public sector for the private sector years ago. What we have seen since the implementation of Trump’s tariffs is a new demand for treasuries.

The 10-year treasury yield dropped from 4.25% in late March 2025 to 4.01% by April 1, while the two-year fell to 3.68%. Billions have fled into the bond market since these tariffs were announced. JPMorgan, for example, said that there is now a 60% risk of a recession and is shifting toward the bond market.

Lowering treasury rates will make homes more affordable by decreasing mortgage rates. Individual nations were fleeing US treasuries, creating a massive risk for an eventual default. Suddenly, at least temporarily, the stock market no longer seems like a safe place to park money. The Trump Administration first showed the world that it was cutting spending and attempting to reduce the deficit. A downturn in rallies DOES NOT guarantee a rally in the bond market, but we are witnessing a short-term flow into treasuries. However, the computer has warned that 2028 will mark a major turning point in confidence where any remaining confidence in government vanishes. For now, we may enjoy a temporary decline in treasury yields due to these tariffs.

Man Takes Hilarious Divorce Selfie in Lawyer’s Office


Posted originally on Rumble By The Salty Cracker on: Apr 6, 2025 at 1:00 pm EST

Obama Encourages Student Protests


Posted Apr 7, 2025 by Martin Armstrong
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Former President Barack Obama is urging Americans to resist Trump’s policies even if it means making “sacrifices.” “It has been easy during most of our lifetimes to say you are a progressive, or say you are for social justice, or say you are for free speech, and not have to pay a price for it…And now we’re in one of those moments when…it’s not enough just to say you’re for something. You may actually have to do something and possibly sacrifice a little bit,” Obama said.

Obama declared that universities were under attack by the Trump Administration. Trump has revoked funding for schools that permitted pro-Hamas rallies and deported international students who took part in those protests. There was clear evidence that many of these rallies were organized by powerful outside influencers funded by Democrat-backed super PACs and philanthropists like Soros. Worse, international terrorist organizations influenced these rallies. Sami Al-Arian, a known terrorist who was once deported, advised associates and his wife to camp out along with the college students.

Obama also called upon law firms to resist the current president, hoping for massive lawsuits to be brought against the current administration. Obama did not specify what “sacrifices” would be needed but his message is clear—raise hell.

“All of you have grown up in an international order that was created by America after World War II. … This is an important moment because in the last two months, the U.S. government has been trying to destroy that order,” Obama said. “Democracy is pretty recent in its vintage. An international order where you cooperate instead of fight is new. It’s fragile.”

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The social justice warriors have already lost control. Tesla dealerships have burned to the ground, while every day citizens have had their vehicles vandalized with swastikas or worse. The left pushes for social unrest when they are losing. Obama is promoting the rhetoric that Trump is a threat to democracy, and as such, the people should continue to fight the current law and order. It should be the responsibility of politicians to pushback on policies. But since the people are not voting for politicians on the left, Democratic leaders want the public to protest and make headlines.

The left spent the last four years threatening anyone who did not accept Biden as their president. Now, we have a former president emerging from the shadows to urge his supporters to resist democracy and ignore the current administration’s policies that the majority of Americans voted for.

The Dow Crash – Was it Just Time?


Posted originally on Apr 4, 2025 by Martin Armstrong 
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COMMENT: Marty, I have now heard it all. When I asked why the stock market crashed, I was not told it was tariffs. I was told that “Armstrong told his clients there would be a Panic at the end of March to the first week of April. All the huge wealth funds are Armstrong’s clients.” I guess they flipped a coin. Heads, Trump did it; tails, Armstrong did it. I don’t think you will ever escape blame.

We need another WEC, ASAP.

Joe

REPLY: Look, the computer from the start of this year pointed to the last week of March and the first week of April. That was well before the tariff announcement. Trump’s tariffs are opening doors, not closing them. Maybe the smart ones figured that out and turned to me. These people can blame me as always. I think the difference this time is that we have opened Socrates so the entire world can see it. BTW, while Tucker is blocked in China, we are not. Everyone knows this is not my personal opinion.

This is the ONLY fully functioning AI computer with over a 40-year track record. I have often heard that they may not do what we forecast, but they certainly do not want to be on the opposite side. We warned that the AI stocks had peaked. They just got overdone at the start of this year. The computer projected this crash, for as Maggia once said, It’s Just Time.

Martin Armstrong Margaret Thatcher

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I will update the private blog over the weekend.

Many who hate my guts still subscribe to Socrates to hate the next forecast. I subscribe to the NYT and the Washington Post, NOT because I believe them, but because I want to know the next fake news they are reporting.

Just because some major fund takes Socrates does not guarantee they follow what it says!

Pro-Life Brutally Attacked by Pro-Abortion Extremist During Street Interview in NYC


Published originally on Rumble By The Gateway Pundit on Apr 2, 2025 at 4:00 pm EST

Britain Introduces Two-Tiered Justice System


Posted originally on Apr 1, 2025 by Martin Armstrong 

INJUSTICE Scales

England has fallen. Politicians permitted open borders and permanently altered society. England is no longer a Christian nation. They have abandoned their core traditions and beliefs for outsiders who vote for liberal policies. The UK is now debating implementing new sentencing guidelines to establish a two-tiered justice system that will ensure white, straight, Christian men receive the harshest sentences.

Under new guidelines, judges and magistrates will obtain pre-sentence reports for offenders from minority groups. They will be asked to consider an offender’s religion, race, and sexuality to ensure their treatment is favorable.

Justice Secretary Shabana Mahmood is reviewing the blatantly biased policy. “The guideline states that a pre-sentence report will normally be considered necessary for these cohorts. A pre-sentence report can be instrumental in assisting courts in the determination of their sentence. But the access to one should not be determined by an offender’s ethnicity, culture or religion,” she stated. “As someone who is from an ethnic minority background myself, I do not stand for differential treatment before the law like this.” You know the situation is dire when even the liberals are questioning its validity.

Sarah Jones, the industry minister, declared that England cannot have a two-tiered justice system. “We disagree with this decision. I think it’s really important in the country that people are trusting in the justice system that we have and that means you can’t have a two-tier system, it has to be fair, it has to be equal to everybody and so we have asked them to think again about this guidance,” Jones stated.

The Labour Party announced it would increase migrant spending by 30% this year. The majority of mayors in major cities are Muslim, which is not a negative but a sign of how society has changed. Muhammad has been the most popular baby boy name in the UK in recent years. The UK has lost its identity and is no longer a Christian nation. Pew Research Center believes that Muslim women will have more children than Christian women by 2035, and Islam could become the most followed religion in the world. Build Back Better nations are becoming unrecognizable as the very essence of their cultures and traditions is challenged.

I lived in London for years and fell in love with the city, but it has drastically changed, and I would not want to return as a permanent resident. Politicians are willing to change the rule of law to punish their own citizens. Britain is voting itself into extinction as repopulation theory destroys their culture and the nation they once knew.

We are j6. Panel Discussion


Published originally on Rumble By The Gateway Pundit on Mar 29, 2025 at 12:08 pm EST

Kevin Freeman: “In My Lifetime The Dollar Has Lost 90% Of Its Purchasing Power”


Posted originally on Rumble By Bannon’s War Room on: Mar 28, 2025, at 11:00 am EST

KASSAM: Islamist ‘Army of Darkness’ Sets Up U.S. Base in Texas.


Posted originally on Rumble By Bannon’s War Room on: Mar 28, 2025, at 12:00 am EST

Unitary Theory Of The Executive:Panel That Upheld Boasberg Order Sides With Trump Admin Over Firings


Posted originally on Rumble By Bannon’s War Room on: Mar 28, 2025, at 11:00 am EST