Where is the Gold? Are Fort Knox and NY Fed Suspicions Unfounded?


Posted originally on Apr 10, 2025 by Martin Armstrong 

gold reserve fort knox

There has been ongoing speculation about America’s holdings of foreign gold reserves. Elon Musk’s request to audit Fort Knox pushed the issue into the headlines once more. Now, the new incoming German government is discussing pulling their gold reserves from the New York Fed due to a lack of transparency and the public is asking—where is the gold?

I personally toured the New York Fed many years ago, and while there is gold there, I cannot verify the quantity or quality; no one has ever accomplished such a feat. The last full audit of US gold reserves occurred in 1953 under President Eisenhower. Auditors from the US Treasury and Mint verified domestic and limited foreign-held gold at the New York Fed and Fort Knox. Third-party auditors were not permitted, but there were US Congressional observers. Treasury Secretary George M. Humphrey and Mint Director William H. Brett were in charge of overseeing this audit.

Now, the government declared the audit to be a “full” inspection. However, only 3 of the 22 compartments at Fort Knox were examined, accounting for only 13.6% of gold holdings. Around 88,000 bars (34.4M oz) were meticulously counted, and auditors weighed around 9,000 bars (130 tons). Only 26 gold bars, selected at random, were drilled to confirm purity. Auditors confirmed that US gold certificates matched physical holdings at the New York Fed, but due to limited sampling and a lack of transparency, suspicions rose. “We have no reason to believe other melts would differ [from assay results],” the joint commission stated.

Gold Holdings Reserves

The gold examined was mainly domestic. Germany’s holdings, for example, were not part of the audit. Public confidence in the US government was on the decline at this period amid Cold War secrecy. Around the same time of the audit, the CIA admitted it to Operation Ajax—a covert operation to overthrow Iranian Prime Minister Mohammad Mossadegh and install Shah Mohammad Reza Pahlavi. This was the first time that the US government openly admitted to orchestrating a coup and installing a leader in a foreign nation. How could the public and/or foreign nations trust the US under these conditions?

(Sources: Treasury 1953 Report, Sound Money Defense League, FRASER).

NYFederalReserveGoldVaultDoor

The GAO/Treasury conducted the next audit in 1974, reviewing 21% of gold holdings at Fort Knox. This occurred in the post-Bretton Woods period after Nixon abandoned the gold standard. Again, third-party auditors were not permitted to attend, and this time, auditors did not weigh bars. Some called the September 1974 examination a “show audit” and a publicity stunt as only 1 of the 13 vaults was examined. The “real” audit occurred the following month by a joint GAO-Treasury committee, but as mentioned, only 91,404 bars of 367,500 were examined. Random samples were tested for purity, but there was no assaying or weighing.

Continuing audits were ongoing, and the US government pledged to inspect 10% of its gold holdings annually from 1975 to 1983. As of 1985, the government stated it had audited 89% of its gold holdings, but only through seal verifications and limited sampling. Again, only the US government had access to these vaults.

The matter was ultimately laid to rest until 2012, when US politicians like Ron Paul and foreign governments demanded another audit. Germany was threatening to relocate their US holdings at the time due to a lack of transparency, and had been increasingly calling for an audit in the decades leading up to 2012. To appease doubters, the Treasury OIG conducted another limited audit.

FederalReserveGoldVault

The 2012-2013 NY Fed Audit scope included 34,201 US-owned gold bars (418 tons). Less than 1% (367 bars) were tested for purity. Auditors did not weigh the gold, nor did they conduct a full inventory. All compartments were to remain sealed unless they had reason to suspect tampering. Again, no independent assayers were admitted. Worse, foreign holdings were not inspected. Germany’s gold, for example, was not reviewed but they maintained trust in the US government despite some backlash.

Fast-forward to 2025: DOGE is uncovering government waste and mismanagement and has set its sights on Fort Knox. The US Treasury declared any audit a breach of national security. A true audit of Fort Knox, not including the NY Fed, would take 18-24 months and require 44,000 hours. Foreign governments now have a seemingly plausible reason to point their finger at the US and call “FOUL PLAY!”

Here’s the thing–no nation completely audits its gold holdings. The UAE, for example, implemented mandatory annual audits but only examined 10-20% of its holdings. There is limited transparency as their audits are classified, but they do permit third-party audits and follow London Bullion Market Association (LBMA) standards. Switzerland also follows LBMA standards and conducts regular audits, but auditors only check seals as there is no physical count. Switzerland is far more transparent about its auditing process, but again, they are only looking at a small percentage of overall holdings and not weighing or physically assessing the gold. Any nation could point the finger at another and question the validity of its stockpile.

As for US gold holdings, there have not been any official sales. If anything is missing, then that means it was stolen. However, the media is honing in on the US without understanding that no foreign nation conducts a full audit of their gold holdings. It all comes down to trust in the government, not only the current administration but every administration that has come to pass.

A Flight to Treasuries?


Posted originally on Apr 8, 2025 by Martin Armstrong 

ECM 2020 2028 R

Some believe that Donald Trump is deliberately attempting to cause a sharp downturn in equities to force a flight into treasuries. If so, the Federal Reserve would have more of a reason to slash interest rates—Trump’s longstanding desire. Trump has stated that the markets are undergoing an “operation” of sorts, but I would not underestimate his long-term plan here.

 Trump openly states that he wants companies to move manufacturing to the US to avoid tariffs. This will also promote domestic trade as companies will seek to avoid levies. US farmers will be incentivized to sell domestically, which could lower the price of groceries much to the pleasure of the American public.

The idea that a decline in the stock market could actually cause a flight into treasuries sounds counterintuitive on the surface, but when you understand how capital flows and confidence operate globally, it makes perfect sense. Capital moves globally and always seeks the safest place to park. Unexperienced and retail traders tend to panic at larger downturns and sell off.

Everything comes down to CONFIDENCE. A downturn in equities could cause a kneejerk reaction into treasuries because people still trust that the government will make good on their payments. Big institutional money began fleeing the public sector for the private sector years ago. What we have seen since the implementation of Trump’s tariffs is a new demand for treasuries.

The 10-year treasury yield dropped from 4.25% in late March 2025 to 4.01% by April 1, while the two-year fell to 3.68%. Billions have fled into the bond market since these tariffs were announced. JPMorgan, for example, said that there is now a 60% risk of a recession and is shifting toward the bond market.

Lowering treasury rates will make homes more affordable by decreasing mortgage rates. Individual nations were fleeing US treasuries, creating a massive risk for an eventual default. Suddenly, at least temporarily, the stock market no longer seems like a safe place to park money. The Trump Administration first showed the world that it was cutting spending and attempting to reduce the deficit. A downturn in rallies DOES NOT guarantee a rally in the bond market, but we are witnessing a short-term flow into treasuries. However, the computer has warned that 2028 will mark a major turning point in confidence where any remaining confidence in government vanishes. For now, we may enjoy a temporary decline in treasury yields due to these tariffs.

Man Takes Hilarious Divorce Selfie in Lawyer’s Office


Posted originally on Rumble By The Salty Cracker on: Apr 6, 2025 at 1:00 pm EST

Obama Encourages Student Protests


Posted Apr 7, 2025 by Martin Armstrong
Trump Obama Neocon War Bombs

Former President Barack Obama is urging Americans to resist Trump’s policies even if it means making “sacrifices.” “It has been easy during most of our lifetimes to say you are a progressive, or say you are for social justice, or say you are for free speech, and not have to pay a price for it…And now we’re in one of those moments when…it’s not enough just to say you’re for something. You may actually have to do something and possibly sacrifice a little bit,” Obama said.

Obama declared that universities were under attack by the Trump Administration. Trump has revoked funding for schools that permitted pro-Hamas rallies and deported international students who took part in those protests. There was clear evidence that many of these rallies were organized by powerful outside influencers funded by Democrat-backed super PACs and philanthropists like Soros. Worse, international terrorist organizations influenced these rallies. Sami Al-Arian, a known terrorist who was once deported, advised associates and his wife to camp out along with the college students.

Obama also called upon law firms to resist the current president, hoping for massive lawsuits to be brought against the current administration. Obama did not specify what “sacrifices” would be needed but his message is clear—raise hell.

“All of you have grown up in an international order that was created by America after World War II. … This is an important moment because in the last two months, the U.S. government has been trying to destroy that order,” Obama said. “Democracy is pretty recent in its vintage. An international order where you cooperate instead of fight is new. It’s fragile.”

obama trump meeting

The social justice warriors have already lost control. Tesla dealerships have burned to the ground, while every day citizens have had their vehicles vandalized with swastikas or worse. The left pushes for social unrest when they are losing. Obama is promoting the rhetoric that Trump is a threat to democracy, and as such, the people should continue to fight the current law and order. It should be the responsibility of politicians to pushback on policies. But since the people are not voting for politicians on the left, Democratic leaders want the public to protest and make headlines.

The left spent the last four years threatening anyone who did not accept Biden as their president. Now, we have a former president emerging from the shadows to urge his supporters to resist democracy and ignore the current administration’s policies that the majority of Americans voted for.

The Dow Crash – Was it Just Time?


Posted originally on Apr 4, 2025 by Martin Armstrong 
DJIND W Array 3 16 25

COMMENT: Marty, I have now heard it all. When I asked why the stock market crashed, I was not told it was tariffs. I was told that “Armstrong told his clients there would be a Panic at the end of March to the first week of April. All the huge wealth funds are Armstrong’s clients.” I guess they flipped a coin. Heads, Trump did it; tails, Armstrong did it. I don’t think you will ever escape blame.

We need another WEC, ASAP.

Joe

REPLY: Look, the computer from the start of this year pointed to the last week of March and the first week of April. That was well before the tariff announcement. Trump’s tariffs are opening doors, not closing them. Maybe the smart ones figured that out and turned to me. These people can blame me as always. I think the difference this time is that we have opened Socrates so the entire world can see it. BTW, while Tucker is blocked in China, we are not. Everyone knows this is not my personal opinion.

This is the ONLY fully functioning AI computer with over a 40-year track record. I have often heard that they may not do what we forecast, but they certainly do not want to be on the opposite side. We warned that the AI stocks had peaked. They just got overdone at the start of this year. The computer projected this crash, for as Maggia once said, It’s Just Time.

Martin Armstrong Margaret Thatcher

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I will update the private blog over the weekend.

Many who hate my guts still subscribe to Socrates to hate the next forecast. I subscribe to the NYT and the Washington Post, NOT because I believe them, but because I want to know the next fake news they are reporting.

Just because some major fund takes Socrates does not guarantee they follow what it says!

Pro-Life Brutally Attacked by Pro-Abortion Extremist During Street Interview in NYC


Published originally on Rumble By The Gateway Pundit on Apr 2, 2025 at 4:00 pm EST

Germany Troops Move to Russian Border in Lithuania 1st Time Post-WWII


Posted originally on Apr 3, 2025 by Martin Armstrong 

Germany deploy to Lithuania

It has begun. German hospitals are preparing for war. Germany has embarked on its first permanent foreign deployment of its troops outside of Germany since the days of Hitler and World War II. Merz is a very dangerous warmonger, and Germany’s parliament has approved the dispatch of German troops to eastern Lithuania, along NATO’s eastern boundary. This is truly a historic event. I was in Tokyo when the government wanted to send troops to the Middle East, but the US had restricted its constitution to confine Japanese troops within 200 miles of their border. The politicians wanted to change the constitution, and hundreds of thousands of Japanese protested, fearing the military would rise again.

US Russia Cold War

Because of the Cold War. The CIA funded the birth of the EU Community as a unified Europe to be the buffer against Communist Russia. Therefore, the restrictions imposed on Japan were NOT applied to Germany since the CIA was exploiting Germany. After World War II, the Allied powers subjected both Germany and Japan to strict military restrictions. Still, the nature and evolution of these limitations differed significantly due to geopolitical contexts and post-war developments, as the CIA/Neocons were focused on Communist Russia rather than China.

German Troops

Germany:

  1. Immediate Post-War (1945–1949):
    • Germany was fully disarmed and demilitarized under Allied occupation (Potsdam Agreement, 1945). Its military (Wehrmacht) was disbanded, and war industries were dismantled.
    • The country was divided into four occupation zones (U.S., British, French, and Soviet), with no independent military allowed.
  2. Cold War Re-militarization (1950s):
    • The rise of the Cold War led to the creation of two German states:
      • West Germany (FRG): Joined NATO in 1955 and established the Bundeswehr (defense forces) under NATO integration.
      • East Germany (GDR): Formed the National People’s Army under Soviet/Warsaw Pact oversight.
    • Restrictions remained on nuclear, biological, and chemical weapons, but troop deployment was permitted within alliance frameworks (NATO/Warsaw Pact).
  3. Post-Reunification (1990–Present):
    • The 1990 Treaty on the Final Settlement with Germany (Two-Plus-Four Treaty) capped reunified Germany’s military at 370,000 troops and banned nuclear/chemical weapons.
    • Today, Germany’s military operates under NATO and EU missions, with parliamentary approval required for deployments (e.g., Afghanistan, Mali).

Japan:

  1. Immediate Post-War (1945–1952):
    • Japan was completely disarmed under U.S. occupation (1945–1952). The 1947 Article 9 Constitution renounced war and prohibited maintaining military forces.
  2. Cold War Adjustments (1950s–Present):
    • The 1954 Self-Defense Forces (SDF) were created for limited self-defense, but Article 9 interpretations barred offensive capabilities (e.g., aircraft carriers, long-range missiles).
    • Japan relies on the U.S. security umbrella and avoids “collective self-defense” (e.g., aiding allies under attack) until reinterpretations in 2014.
  3. Modern Limitations:
    • Deployments overseas (e.g., Iraq 2003, peacekeeping missions) require special legislation and remain politically contentious.
    • Japan’s military spending and capabilities have grown, but constitutional constraints persist, unlike Germany’s NATO-integrated forces.

Key Differences:

  • Germany regained sovereign military capacity earlier (1950s) under NATO, while Japan retained constitutional limits on offensive capabilities.
  • Deployment Authority: Germany’s military operates under NATO/EU mandates, while Japan’s SDF requires strict legal justification for overseas actions.
  • Nuclear Policy: Both forswear nuclear weapons, but Germany hosts U.S. nuclear arms under NATO sharing; Japan does not.
Merz Friedrich

In summary, both faced initial demilitarization, but Germany’s military normalizes within alliances, whereas Japan’s remains uniquely constrained by its pacifist constitution. Consequently, this deployment of German troops to Lithuania is a NATO deployment, and the German people have no say in whether Merz is taking Germany head-first into war. Merz wants to punish Hungary for refusing to declare war on Russia. This deployment of German troops to Lithuania is truly a historic moment for Germany. This means that German troops will be continuously deployed outside of Germany, and Merz can’t wait to send troops to Ukraine. Hitler’s excuse to send troops into Poland was to protect German citizens living there in the regions taken from Germany and handed to Poland after World War I. Is Merz sending troops to defend the Lithuanians?

Putin signs

Meanwhile, Putin is no fool, and neither is China. They are now both aware that NATO intends to create some sort of false flag to invade Russia. This is the end goal. Putin has just issued the biggest military call-up in years with 160,000 more soldiers. While the Western press continues to paint Russia as collapsing and troops are deserting all to justify a NATO invasion of Russia, the truth is that the Russian people are coming to realize that the West hates all Russians. They are fighting for not just their country, but for their families.

Kaja Kallas is extremely dangerous. She is the person who hates all Russians and said that Russia is too big and it needs to be broken up. She ignores the facts of this war and that the Donbas were promised the right to secede with the Minsk Agreement brokered by Germany and France. That was an outright lie. Can you imagine if Putin said that the EU should be broken up or the United States? The press would be going crazy. But it’s perfectly fine for the West to hate Russians and turn a blind eye to this thirst for war, pretending that they can defeat Russia without losing one European?

Kaja Kallas will be remembered by history for she will cause the deaths of far more people than Marx or World War II.

Merkel_Minsk_Buy_Time_to Prepare for wart

Merkel even admitted publicly that they NEVER intended to honor that peace agreement. They played Putin for a fool to buy time for Ukraine to build an army. This has been the plot to conquer Russia from the outset. Let’s stop the bullshit. Europe is desperate for war. They can taste the blood of Russians on their lips. But that is going to be mixed with European blood.

Beware of the Ides of May

Britain Introduces Two-Tiered Justice System


Posted originally on Apr 1, 2025 by Martin Armstrong 

INJUSTICE Scales

England has fallen. Politicians permitted open borders and permanently altered society. England is no longer a Christian nation. They have abandoned their core traditions and beliefs for outsiders who vote for liberal policies. The UK is now debating implementing new sentencing guidelines to establish a two-tiered justice system that will ensure white, straight, Christian men receive the harshest sentences.

Under new guidelines, judges and magistrates will obtain pre-sentence reports for offenders from minority groups. They will be asked to consider an offender’s religion, race, and sexuality to ensure their treatment is favorable.

Justice Secretary Shabana Mahmood is reviewing the blatantly biased policy. “The guideline states that a pre-sentence report will normally be considered necessary for these cohorts. A pre-sentence report can be instrumental in assisting courts in the determination of their sentence. But the access to one should not be determined by an offender’s ethnicity, culture or religion,” she stated. “As someone who is from an ethnic minority background myself, I do not stand for differential treatment before the law like this.” You know the situation is dire when even the liberals are questioning its validity.

Sarah Jones, the industry minister, declared that England cannot have a two-tiered justice system. “We disagree with this decision. I think it’s really important in the country that people are trusting in the justice system that we have and that means you can’t have a two-tier system, it has to be fair, it has to be equal to everybody and so we have asked them to think again about this guidance,” Jones stated.

The Labour Party announced it would increase migrant spending by 30% this year. The majority of mayors in major cities are Muslim, which is not a negative but a sign of how society has changed. Muhammad has been the most popular baby boy name in the UK in recent years. The UK has lost its identity and is no longer a Christian nation. Pew Research Center believes that Muslim women will have more children than Christian women by 2035, and Islam could become the most followed religion in the world. Build Back Better nations are becoming unrecognizable as the very essence of their cultures and traditions is challenged.

I lived in London for years and fell in love with the city, but it has drastically changed, and I would not want to return as a permanent resident. Politicians are willing to change the rule of law to punish their own citizens. Britain is voting itself into extinction as repopulation theory destroys their culture and the nation they once knew.

We are j6. Panel Discussion


Published originally on Rumble By The Gateway Pundit on Mar 29, 2025 at 12:08 pm EST

Kevin Freeman: “In My Lifetime The Dollar Has Lost 90% Of Its Purchasing Power”


Posted originally on Rumble By Bannon’s War Room on: Mar 28, 2025, at 11:00 am EST