Posted originally on the conservative tree house on October 27, 2022 | sundance
The dissidents at Project Veritas have received leaked whistleblower information from the FBI highlighting a guidance document that puts “disinformation” into the category of an “election crime.” [Source Article Here] According to the internal guidance, sharing “false or inaccurate information intended to mislead others” may lead the FBI to charge people with election crimes.
The document details how the Bureau will tackle what they consider to be “election crimes.”
It lists “misinformation” as a potential election crime, describing it as “false or misleading information spread mistakenly or unintentionally.”
The document also lists “disinformation” as a potential election crime, describing it as “false or inaccurate information intended to mislead others.”
It continues, “Disinformation campaigns on social media are used to deliberately confuse, trick, or upset the public.”
These categories could raise questions about who gets to determine what is “misinformation” and/or “disinformation.” (read more)
Now you know why I continue to say there is no such thing as “disinformation”, “misinformation” or “malinformation”, there is only information. Once we allow a superseding system within government to start defining ‘information’, we open ourselves to control over thoughts and speech.
Comrades, you were not born with a brain that requires you to believe everything you read or see. You were born with a brain allowing you to absorb information and make independent decisions as to the validity of it, truthfulness or lies. Do not abdicate your thinking of responsibility for discernment to anyone – especially the government.
Posted originally on the conservative tree house on October 27, 2022 | sundance
The topline of a third-quarter GDP at +2.6% looks good [DATA HERE]. However, a look into the numbers shows alarm. The domestic U.S. economy, as measured by Main Street creating goods and services for domestic consumption, contracted in the third quarter.
The Gross Domestic Product (GDP) calculation is a valuation of all goods and services created within the economy, minus the value of goods and services imported. However, even a cursory look under the topline number shows how the import/export dynamic creates the illusion of economic growth.
In the third quarter we exported hundreds of billions worth of energy products, including massive liquified natural gas (LNG) sales to Europe, and oil sales to the global market from the strategic petroleum reserve. We also sold billions in weapons to Europe. Those sales are calculated as exports, lifting the GDP number (Table 1). At the same time, imports of durable goods into the United States collapsed; meaning less was deducted from the GDP. The net import/export impact on the GDP dynamic was +2.77% (Table 2).
Meaning the third-quarter import/export dynamic alone contributed 2.7% growth to the percentage of change for the prior period. However, the total GDP only rose 2.6%, because the actual economic value created domestically got smaller. We made less internally, sold less internally and consumers purchased less internally.
You can see the import/export dynamic in whole dollars within Table 1:
TABLE 1 – We exported 17.2% more goods in the third quarter than in the second quarter (that’s mostly energy sales and food sales to the global market). We imported 8.7% less goods in the third quarter than the second quarter. That’s mostly the drop in companies ordering products from overseas for sales in the United States. Companies imported less because inventories climbed as consumers stopped purchasing durable goods and non-essentials.
Table – 2 (modified for clarity) shows us the impact or contribution from the import/export dynamic:
In Table-2 you can see the net impact of higher exports and lower imports lifted the GDP by 2.77%. However, the total GDP only gained 2.6% due to the other dynamics inside the economy slowing down. The import/export dynamic alone was enough to explain the entire gain in Q3 GDP and is a function of US support of the European war economy as the US exports record number of commodities (oil and gas), as well as Joe Biden’s massive multi-billion weapon sales to Europe.
The Biden administration will use the +2.6% GDP number to claim the U.S. “recession” never existed, despite two previously negative quarters. However, while technically the talking point may be true, the domestic U.S. economy (Main Street) is making less stuff and consumers are buying less stuff.
The savings rate is also declining. BLS: “Personal saving was $626.1 billion in the third quarter, compared with $629.0 billion in the second quarter. The personal saving rate—personal saving as a percentage of disposable personal income—was 3.3 percent in the third quarter, compared with 3.4 percent in the second quarter.” American households are saving less because essential purchases like housing, rent, food, fuel and energy, are costing much more.
When households evaluate their checkbooks, a Biden administration claim of a growing economy falls flat – because the only part of the economy that is growing is the part that fuels the energy needs of Europe. Main Street USA is suffering through the massive inflation that Joe Biden has created, and purchases of anything other than necessities have come to a near halt.
Posted originally on the conservative tree house on October 26, 2022 | Sundance
During a White House announcement today, Joe Biden pledged to have all agencies in the federal bureaucracy begin to target private industry for charging service fees, or what the administration calls “junk fees.” The junk fees relate to everything from bank overdraft charges, to hidden cleaning fees on car rentals, to hotel resort fees and even fees on airlines for seats with more legroom.
According to the White House, the junk service fees disproportionately impact marginalized communities, minorities and low-income households. The airline fees are particularly racist because the airline prices for more comfortable seats have a “disparate impact” (legal term for federal intervention) on protected categories of people.
Poor people cannot afford bigger seats. Poor people are disproportionately minority. Ergo a higher percentage of minority people cannot afford the comfortable seats. That makes charging more for comfortable seats an illegal practice according to the legal theory of ‘disparate impact.’ WATCH:
[Transcript] – […] Some airlines, if you want six more inches between you and the seat in front, you pay more money. But you don’t know it until you purchase your ticket.
Look, folks, these are junk fees. They’re unfair, and they hit marginalized Americans the hardest, especially low-income folks and people of color. They benefit big corporations, not consumers, not working families. And that changes now.
You know, we’ve been working on this for a while. I know it’s been a tough few years. But from day one, my administration has been laser-focused on easing the burden facing working-class families and giving them, as my dad would say again, just a little breathing room.
And because of the steps we’ve taken, the United States is in a stronger position today than any other country in the world, economically.
Jobs are up. People are back to work. American manufacturing is roaring back.
As a matter of fact, I’m going to be heading up to Syracuse, New York — that area — where a U.S. company, Micron, is going to be investing $100 billion. I think I go day after tomorrow or the day after tomorrow. Manufacturing computer chips will put tens of thousands of Americans to work.
Working hard to tame inflation with policies to bring down the cost of gasoline, home energy bills, and prescription drugs. (read more)
The justice department’s use of the legal theory behind “disparate impact” was an outcome of Barack Obama and Eric Holder taking office.
The Disparate Impact outlook then became part of the regulatory and compliance system within every agency of the federal government, including the Dept of Labor.
Essentially, it is a progressive legal theory advanced by the long-term members of Lawfare, and it carries inherent conflict with existing law. Take this example…..
The Dept of Labor states that businesses cannot discriminate in employment law based on legally protected categories of person, like race, marital status, nationality, sex, gender, pregnancy, or sexual identity. Simultaneously, it is also unlawful for businesses to hire illegal aliens as workers. When businesses used social security systems to check employment eligibility, they ran afoul of the ‘disparate impact’ rule.
A higher percentage of Mexican nationals were disqualified from employment because a higher percentage of Mexican nationals in the U.S. used fake documents. Because the percentage of disqualified Mexicans for employment exceeded the percentage of Mexicans in the population, the use of the SSI system for employment eligibility was originally unlawful under the rules of ‘disparate impact.’
It sounds crazy, but that’s the way this legal term is used within the federal bureaucracy.
Disparate Impact is the underlying premise behind the regulatory authority Joe Biden is stating today in his approach toward “junk fees.”
This is the larger legal framework behind Social Justice, Economic Justice and Equity.
Posted originally on the conservative tree house on October 25, 2022 | Sundance |
During an Arizona media gubernatorial Q&A with Republican candidate Kari Lake, the pundit asked Mrs. Lake about hypothetical backlash from the NFL toward her campaign promise to secure the border.
The continually impressive Kari Lake handled the question forthrightly. WATCH:
Posted originally on the conservative tree house on October 25, 2022 | Sundance
The media owe an apology to the NBC journalist they attacked for saying John Fetterman struggles to understand issues, questions and communication during conversation. The awkward and often cringeworthy responses by Fetterman during the Pennsylvania Senate debate with Mehmet Oz, proved there are some serious mental issues with the former stroke victim, John Fetterman.
In this representative exchange over the topic of fracking, you get a feel for just how incapable Fetterman is to articulate a position. The entire debate was filled with moments like this. To his credit Oz handled the debate with seriousness and did not highlight his opponents’ issues. He didn’t need to. The impairment was visible to everyone. WATCH:
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I’m sorry, but just no. I’m not even comfortable criticizing the substance of the debate. What kind of family would let someone they care about put themselves through this and not intervene. John Fetterman should be in therapeutic rehab, not under the stress of a senate campaign. It’s beyond awkward; it’s sad and horrible to watch.
Posted originally on the conservative tree house on October 25, 2022 | Sundance
As inflation bites the working-class hard, U.S. household savings rates continue dropping fast. When combined with drops in home values the loss in home equity compounds the issue. American families are getting poorer much more quickly under Joe Biden’s economic policies.
According to the Wall Street Journal home values dropped in August at their highest monthly rate of decrease since 2011 {link}. In part this is driven by higher mortgage rates which are pricing home buyers out of the market. However, the regional impact is worse on the west coast than east or southeast.
As noted in The Daily Mail review of a similar analysis: “It’s Northern California that leads the way, with San Jose experiencing a drop of 10.8 percent since September, followed by San Francisco at 8.5 percent, then it’s Seattle at 8.2 percent, Denver at 5.8 percent, San Diego 5.2 percent, Portland 5.1 percent, Las Vegas 4.8 percent and Phoenix at 4.4 percent.” (link)
What we are seeing is a confluence of events, generally brought about by the outcomes of larger Biden administration policy. Massive increases in energy costs are the result of energy policy; those increases are fueling inflation from the supply side on food, fuel, electricity, home heating etc. Simultaneously, Fed monetary policy is driving consumer demand down. The recession debate continues amid the economic think-tanks while Main Street outcomes show we have been in a recessionary period all year.
The majority of consumers have stopped purchasing nonessential goods and services. As a result, the only thing holding the economy together is employment. Sooner or later, as the natural lags in the economy bite down, the lack of consumer spending (noted in increased inventories) is going to result in lay-offs and unemployment. It’s almost a guarantee at this point once the boxcar impact of the prior supply chain shortages straightens out.
The third wave of food price increases is now here, and we are all likely starting to see those price increases in retail food stores. Depending on how much higher energy prices go this winter (gasoline, natural gas, home heating oil etc.) the middle class will again be making tough checkbook decisions on spending.
On a MACRO level (nationwide averages) I would not be surprised to see home prices drop to where they were in the beginning of the second quarter of 2021. Home sales have dropped quickly, and home inventories are now climbing. Home buyers are now in the position to negotiate for much lower prices as fewer home buyers are in the market.
If you did not purchase a home in the past year, you likely have stable equity. Depending on region, those who did purchase a home this year will have to wait quite a while before the price level returns. Meanwhile rents continue increasing as middle-class workers are stuck between diminishing real wages (Biden inflation) and higher home borrowing costs (Biden monetary policy).
Posted originally on the conservative tree house on October 24, 2022 | Sundance
National media are backing away slowly from Arizona Democrat gubernatorial candidate Katie Hobbs, using her refusal to debate Republican candidate Kari Lake as the justification. However, the reality behind the slow exit appears related more to the sheer “valley girl” ineptitude, than the debate decision. Hobbs is a terrible candidate.
Despite her current role as Arizona Secretary of State, you only need to watch her efforts to present herself to an audience, any audience, to see the construct of a progressive political candidate who has no qualifications to run a state office. More exposure only highlights the ineptitude.
A good example of the media’s current slow-exit position is represented in this exchange on ABC’s Good Morning America. WATCH:
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If the Arizona election is a fair and honest election, Kari Lake should easily defeat Katie Hobbs. Only the most die-hard progressive moonbat could consider Hobbs a qualified candidate for governor. She’s really that bad. Arizona Republicans, Independents and the remaining few intellectually honest Democrats need to ensure Vally Girl Hobbs does not achieve higher office.
Posted originally on the conservative tree house on October 24, 2022 | Sundance
With the majority of American voters now positioned to rebuke the political efforts of Joe Biden and federal Democrats, the narrative from the DOJ and FBI does a 180° reverse course. The transparency of a corrupt and manipulative political justice system is beyond obvious.
♦Old Message to support the 2020 Democrat vote initiatives (ballot harvesting, mail-in voting, precinct manipulation): The 2020 election was the most secure election in American history.
♦New Message to support the Democrat 2022 vote initiatives: The 2022 election is not secure, subject to manipulation by disinformation and misinformation, and likely to encounter interference by domestic and foreign adversaries.
The transparency of the FBI/DOJ agenda is obvious.
15 days before the 2018 midterm election the FBI promoted a “MAGA mail bomber”, Cesar Sayoc case, claiming the suspect mailed “energetic material that could become combustible when subjected to heat or friction.”
15 days before the 2020 presidential election, the FBI promoted the Gretchen Whitmer kidnapping case, claiming a group of Michigan extremists were foiled in their plot to kidnap the Michigan Governor. Inside the plot the FBI had used more than a dozen agents, informants and sources to literally construct the events and facilitate the claims.
Today, not coincidentally a repeat of 15 days before the 2022 midterm election, once again the FBI/DOJ is promoting an election interference narrative:
(Via Politico) – Top Biden national security officials are tracking multiple threats to the nation’s election security infrastructure ahead of the midterms and are set to issue warnings, including in an internal intelligence bulletin this week, according to two people familiar with the matter.
The bulletin will lay out details of cyber threats posed by China and Russia, as well as other non-state actors, and potential physical threats to election officials in jurisdictions across the country, the people said. The warnings come as the midterm elections near and amid increasing reports of intimidation at ballot drop boxes. The people requested anonymity to talk freely about sensitive national security and election matters.
The internal administration concerns about election threats come days after a call was held between federal officials and local law enforcement personnel about the midterms, according to one of the people familiar with the matter. Those on the call discussed the potential for violence in response to the spread of false narratives regarding the election process. Officials said election workers, including those working at polling stations, are likely to face threats and harassment from extremists both online and offline, the person familiar with the matter said.
[…] Officials consider misinformation and disinformation the biggest threats to the midterms, given how easy it would be for malicious actors — whether domestic partisans or foreign intelligence operatives — to seize on delayed results or isolated voting-machine glitches to spread lies about the security of the process. (read more)
There is no such thing as “misinformation” or “disinformation.” There is truth and lies.
You were not born into a world requiring you to believe everything you see and hear. You were born with a brain allowing you to absorb information and make your own determinations as to what is truthful, factual and honest, and what is not truthful, not factual and dishonest. Do not abdicate your thinking or discernment to a third party.
Posted originally on the conservative tree house on October 24, 2022 | Sundance
A week ago, Colorado senate republican candidate Joe O’Dea said on CNN, “I don’t think Donald Trump should run again.” He quickly added, ” I’m going to actively campaign against Donald Trump and make sure that we have got four or five really great Republicans right now; Ron DeSantis, Nikki Haley and Tim Scott.”
President Trump blasted O’Dea the following day {link}.
Today, Florida Governor Ron DeSantis picked Joe O’Dea as his only 2022 endorsed senate candidate {link}, recording a robocall for O’Dea that says, “Hello this is Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis. America needs strong leadership and desperately. That’s why I’m endorsing Joe O’Dea for U.S. Senate. Colorado, please vote for Joe O’Dea.”
Keep in mind, Ron DeSantis is a governor who campaigns on his success as a governor and has been rallying exclusively for governor candidates. However, despite not endorsing the republican candidate in the Colorado state race (Heidi Ganahl), Governor DeSantis went out of his way to support the only explicitly anti-Trump Senate candidate in 2022, Joe O’Dea.
When Paul Ryan endorsed Ron DeSantis, you could argue that DeSantis never asked for it. When Jeb Bush endorsed DeSantis, again you could argue that DeSantis never asked for it. However, the transparency of DeSantis endorsing O’Dea who has stated his intent to actively campaign against any MAGA candidate… well, you can’t say that had nothing to do with DeSantis.
Face it.
This is what is clear.
The DeSantis 2024 organizers are a mixture of allied republican establishment figures, corporate party donors and former Ted Cruz base supporters (Never Trumpers) who have united in common cause to stop the MAGA working-class coalition from taking full control of the republican party. An endorsement for DeSantis from Liz Cheney and Adam Kinzinger is increasingly likely as soon as the midterm election is over.
Ron DeSantis is increasingly being exposed by his own actions/inactions and the actions of others.
I could smell the establishment GOP in the Florida winds over the spring and summer. When DeSantis went into the bunker on the day of the FBI Mar-a-Lago raid, remained silent for 5 days, and then exited bunker with a new establishment brand image crew and communications team, it was obvious what just happened.
We accept things as they are, not as we would wish them to be. 94% funded by Wall Street hedge fund managers, billionaires and multinational corporations,… to the tune of over $200,000,000….. with a national campaign launch, book launch and national television advertising strategy…. It became brutally obvious.
Ron DeSantis in 2024 is Jeb Bush + Ted Cruz in 2016.
Five Days in Bunker following Mar-a-Lago Raid 8/9/22
No expressed support for Donald Trump following Mar-a-Lago raid 8/9/22.
New brand image consulting team 8/14/22
New communications team 8/14/22
National advertising campaign
94% billionaire and corporate funding
Raised $200+ million for state governor race?
Cancels Lee Zeldin fundraiser after meeting with New York real estate donor who supports Hochul
Endorsed by Club For Growth (C4G)
Voted to support TPP trade agreement and Obama Fast Track trade authorization
Supports all Ukraine funding and U.S. government spending in Ukraine
Endorsed Florida Red Flag Laws, most firearm confiscation of any state
Silent over the 100 Florida citizen J6 detainees (largest number in nation)
Asked legislature to criminalize boycotts of Israeli companies, including pharmaceutical companies
No support for E-verify system or employment law against illegal alien hires
Endorsed by Paul Ryan
Endorsed by Jeb Bush
Sooner or later people have to admit the obvious.
Ron DeSantis is a generally good governor, but he is being dishonest in his national intents.
Posted originally on the conservative tree house on October 23, 2022 | Sundance
NBC’s Mark Murray {Eyeroll} produces a midterm media poll {DATA HERE} to frame the 2022 election and claim a tight race for both Democrats and Republicans. Despite collapsing economic numbers, widespread inflation and disapproval on every category, NBC finds the #1 issue for all voters is “The Threat to Democracy.”
NBC’s Chuck Todd gives the spin on the outcome:
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71% of the country say we are on the wrong track (20% approve).
57% of the country disapproves of the job Biden is doing with the economy (38% approve).
50% of the country says things will get worse (20% think will improve)….
…. But it’s a close election?…
…. And the #1 concern is “the threat to democracy?“
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This is a library of News Events not reported by the Main Stream Media documenting & connecting the dots on How the Obama Marxist Liberal agenda is destroying America
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