La Palma Volcano & 6th Wave


Armstrong Economics Blog/Nature Re-Posted Sep 22, 2021 by Martin Armstrong

QUESTION: Marty, if I understood your forecasts on volcanos, you said this would increase post-2020 but the big one was not until after 2032. Is this all hype about La Palma Volcano?

GV

REPLY: There is normally a rise in volcanic activity with solar minimum. There is a plain correlation with that. I have written about how Napoleon was defeated by a Volcanic Winter. This eruption of La Palma Volcano seems to be on target. There is roughly a 22-year cycle to that particular volcano.

The known eruptions have been 2021 (Sep – ongoing), 1971, 1949, 1712, 1677-1678, 1646, and 1585. This volcano conforms to the 8.6-year frequency. It has been 51.6 years from 1871 to 2021 so it is on target. This one can build bigger. There is a risk it could extend into 2022 since this is the 6th wave from 1712.

There are a number of volcanos on the watch list right now. The main threat of volcanos is creating volcanic winters.

New Orleans Mayor LaToya Cantrell Claims Not Enough Time for a Mandatory Evacuation


Posted originally on the conservative tree house on August 27, 2021 | Sundance | 120 Comments

This seems a little odd to me.  Citing the time it takes to implement contra-flow traffic as a problem, New Orleans Mayor LaToya Cantrell stated there is not enough time for the city of New Orleans to execute a mandatory evacuation.   Additionally, she is asking all residents who do not evacuate to shelter in place for Hurricane Ida.

Contra-flow traffic is the process of turning inbound lanes into outbound lanes and depending on the metropolitan area takes around 8 hrs for local and state DOT to get set up.   The mayor is asking for a voluntary evacuation saying “time is not on our side.” “The City can not issue a mandatory evacuation because we do not have time, Cantrell continued. WATCH:

Yikes… and Biden’s team is running FEMA.

Additional News Report….  WATCH:

Head’s up, Ida Expected to Be Major Hurricane Targeting Gulf Coast Sunday Night, Louisiana, Alabama, Mississippi Coastal Region


Posted originally on the conservative tree house on August 27, 2021 | Sundance | 147 Comments

Ida is currently a tropical storm headed into the Gulf of Mexico. However, the conditions are perfect for Ida to quickly become a major hurricane as it heads toward the Louisiana coastal region.  Everyone along the gulf coast from East Texas, Louisiana, Mississippi and western Alabama should be making preparations right now.  Do not delay.

In the background several Civilian Emergency Response Teams (CERT) have been activated.  Due to the confluence of events, everyone is taking this storm very seriously. Any Treeper in the coastal area of Louisiana and Mississippi should be taking preparatory action today. Those in the forecast areas are strongly advised to pay close attention to local officials and heed all evacuation orders.  [National Hurricane Center]

Check your hurricane supplies of shelf-stable food, water, medicine and don’t forget pets.  Prepare for the worst and hope for the best.  Everything is replaceable, except you and your family.  We have a lot of Treepers in the path of this storm. If you need assistance, use the comments section of any ‘Ida Update thread’ to reach out, or use the email address in the upper right of the site.

Right now you are in control.  Have a solid plan, work that plan – stay busy, and don’t get caught up in the hysteria.  Try to avoid national media hype. Stay updated via your local news stations. Sunday morning looks like the key day impact zones will be identified.  Reach out to your neighbors; touch-base and check to see if they are okay or need anything.  Community restoration begins before the storm arrives. Look out for each-other.

Additionally, I hate to note this, but Joe Biden is in charge of FEMA… So plan accordingly.

Regarding any evacuation plan, please pay attention to your local officials who will be coordinating with state Dept. of Transportation.  As the path and impact zone of the storm becomes more predictable your local officials will alert to best route(s) for evacuation.

For those in the cone of uncertainty; remember, planning and proactive measures taken now can significantly reduce stress in the days ahead.  Plan when to make the best decision on any evacuation (if needed) consider Sunday morning the decision time-frame. As a general rule: take cover from wind – but evacuate away from water.

DAY ONE (Friday)

  • Determine Your Risk
  • Make a Written Plan
  • Develop and Evacuation Plan
  • Inventory hurricane/storm supplies.
  • Withdraw cash based on plan/need.
  • Get gas and storm supplies

DAY TWO (Saturday)

  • Get Storm Update
  • Assemble and Purchase Hurricane Supplies
  • Contact Insurance Company – Updates
  • Secure Important Papers.
  • Update/upload your phone data.
  • Strengthen and Secure Your Home
  • Discuss Evacuation Decision with your Family.
  • Fill freezer with 3/4 full water jugs.

DAY THREE (Sunday/ Morning)

  • Get Storm Update
  • Re-Evaluate your Supplies based on storm update
  • Finish last minute preparation
  • Plan for a minimum of THREE DAYS without power
  • Assist Your Neighbors
  • If Needed – Evacuate Your Family

.

Communication is important.  Update your friends and family contact list. Stay in touch with family and friends, let them know your plans. Select a single point of contact for communication from you that all others can then contact for updates if needed.

Today/tomorrow are good days to organize your important papers, insurance forms, personal papers and place them in one ‘ready-to-go’ location.

Evaluate your personal hurricane and storm supplies; update and replace anything you might have used. Assess, modify and/or update any possible evacuation plans based on your location, and/or any changes to your family status.  Fill car with gasoline. Review prescriptions, refill if needed.

Check your shutters and window coverings; test your generator; re-organize and familiarize yourself with all of your supplies and hardware. Check batteries in portable tools; locate tools you might need; walk your property to consider what you may need to do based on the storms path. All decisions are yours. You are in control.

Consider travel plans based on roads and traffic density. Being proactive now helps to keep any future stress level low. You are in control. If you have pets, additional plans may be needed.

One possible proactive measure is to make a hotel reservation further inland that you would consider evacuating to.  Follow updates of the storms’ progress; make reservations tonight or tomorrow if determined; you can always cancel if not needed.  It is better to have a secondary evacuation place established in advance.  Being proactive reduces stress.  Even if you wait until much later to cancel, it is better to pay a cancellation fee (usually one night charge) than to not have a plan on where to go.   Trust me, it’s worth it.  Protect your family. Make the booking decision in the next 24 hrs.

♦ Look over the National Hurricane Center resources for planning assistance.
♦ Also a great resource – CREATE A PLAN

Surfside Death Toll Rises to 27, 115 Remain Missing – Successful Demolition of Unstable Structure Now Allows Critical Recovery to Begin Near Collapse Area Containing Master Bedroom Suites


Posted originally on the conservative tree house on July 5, 2021 | Sundance | 39 Comments

The critical area of the rubble pile from the collapsed Surfside condominium building can now be reached.  The original collapse happened at 1:30am when most were sleeping and the 12-floors of stacked master bedroom suites was unfortunately located next to the unstable elements of the building that did not collapse.

At 10:30pm last evening the remaining building was brought down with a controlled demolition.  Now the most important area of the original collapse, the areas containing the rubble of those master suites, will be able to be excavated.  As recovery workers began work at 1:00am this morning the focus is on that area.  They anticipate a much faster recovery of missing persons.

During a press conference today an additional two bodies were pulled from the area.  The death toll now stands at 27 with 115 people still unaccounted. The recovery workers face a grueling task in the next 36 hours; however, fortunately Tropical Storm Elsa has taken a more westerly track and the recovery work looks like it will continue unimpeded on the East coast of Florida.  Update from Florida Governor Ron Desantis:

Surfside Search and Rescue Paused as Demolition Prepared, Tropical Storm Elsa Takes a Slight Westerly Track, West Florida Advised To Be Alert


Posted originally on the conservative tree house on July 4, 2021 | Sundance | 43 Comments

Florida officials held an extensive briefing today to update on the planned demolition of the unstable elements of the Surfside condominium building so that rescue and recovery work on the collapsed building can begin again.  Compounding the issues is the looming arrival of Tropical Storm Elsa; however, fortunately the storm appears to have taken a slightly more westward track and should be minimal for the Surfside, Florida, region.

According to local officials the demolition of the remaining structure will likely take place later today.  In the interim the search and recovery work has been paused as explosive experts prepare to bring down the unstable remnant of the 12-story building.

Florida Governor Ron DeSantis spoke at the beginning of the press conference emphasizing the arrival of Tropical Storm Elsa should be watched carefully.  Elsa now appears to be a west coast of Florida issue and will likely skirt up the western coastal area along the Gulf of Mexico.  The entire South-West coast of Florida will likely see varying effects from a very strong tropical storm Tuesday and Wednesday.

Current forecasts put the entry track of TS Elsa slightly north of Tampa; however, Elsa is following the same predictive path from Hurricane Charley in 2004.  Charley was predicted to come ashore just North of Tampa, but instead it made a quick turn over northern Sanibel Island and came ashore in Port Charlotte.  Everyone on the west coast of Florida should pay attention [NHC Advisory Here]

You can never be over-prepared for dramatic weather events.  If you take small actions now you can eliminate big stresses later.

Hurricane/TS Elsa Complicates Surfside Rescue Efforts, Officials Decide to Quickly Demolish Remaining Unstable Portion of Condominium


Posted originally on the conservative tree house on July 3, 2021 | Sundance | 70 Comments

A decision has been reached to demolish the remaining unstable part of the collapsed condominium building in Surfside, Florida, as Tropical Storm Elsa flirts in/out of hurricane status [NHC Update] while moving through the Caribbean.

Elsa is anticipated to impact south Florida on Tuesday.  During a press conference today Florida Governor Ron DeSantis announced the controlled demolition will take place prior to Elsa’s arrival in order to protect rescue and recovery workers.

“Demolition of the unsafe portion of the building is the fastest way to continue rescue operations”, DeSantis announced.  Officials on the ground are fearful that high winds connected to the arriving storm will make the remaining structure too unstable for any rescue operations to continue if they do not take the unstable portion down. Details of the operation to execute a controlled demolition will be released soon.

In the interim all residents in South Florida have been instructed to keep an eye on Elsa as she wobbles across Haiti and Cuba in the next 48 hours.  Most counties in South Florida have been put under a proactive state of emergency status. Slight shifts in the storm, to the east or west, will determine how much of the south Florida area are impacted. The current track puts Elsa on the west side of the state in the Gulf of Mexico late Monday and early Tuesday.

[Key Information from NHC]

Surfside Condo Collapse Update – Death Toll Rises to Nine, 156 People Still Missing


Posted originally on the conservative tree house on June 27, 2021 | Sundance | 97 Comments

The tragic mission is still called “search and rescue” as more heavy equipment is brought in on the fourth day of rescue efforts.  In the past day four more bodies “and additional human remains” have been recovered from the ruble of the collapsed 12 story condo building in Surfside Florida.

Hopes are diminishing for the 156 people still missing.  Specific prayers this Sunday for the families of those lost and for the safety of the rescue workers who are in very perilous surroundings.

Miami Dade – Rescuers have recovered another four bodies in the wreckage of the Champlain Towers South condominium collapse, bringing the total to nine dead and 156 still missing since the Surfside building collapsed early Thursday.

The latest victims were discovered along with “additional human remains” in a 135-foot long trench dug into the rubble to add rescue and recover teams — the newest tactic in the round-the-clock excavation of an unstable, sometimes shifting mountain of debris.

“We are making every effort to identify those others that have been recovered,” Miami-Dade Mayor Daniella Levine Cava said in a Sunday morning press conference.  (read more)

Number of Missing Persons in Surfside Florida Condo Collapse Rises to 159 Persons, Four Bodies Recovered


Posted originally on the conservative tree house on June 25, 2021 | Sundance | 68 Comments

Heartbreak north of Miami-Dade as the number of missing persons in the Surfside condo collapse rises to 159 people. Search and rescue efforts continued throughout the night and morning as rescue workers enter their 36th hour of operations. The work is dangerous as the remaining elements of the building are very unstable.

MIAMI-DADE The arduous and heartbreaking task of recovering the bodies of victims at the site of the collapse of the Champlain Towers South condo in Surfside began overnight and continued into a somber Friday morning in an unfolding tragedy that is feared to be the worst building failure in Florida history.

Miami-Dade Mayor Daniella Levine Cava said Friday morning that the number of people who are unaccounted for in Thursday’s building collapse increased to 159 — dramatically higher than the 99 reported earlier. The official death toll rose to four, as three more people were found in the rubble.

She said 120 people are now accounted for but stressed that all the numbers are “fluid” because some residents may not have been in the building when it collapsed.

[…] While the cause of the 12-story oceanfront condo tower’s collapse remains unknown, Levine Cava and other county officials confirmed that there was no sinkhole under the building.

State Chief Financial Officer Jimmy Patronis, who also serves as the state fire marshal, said on CNN early Friday morning the rescue mission would continue into the day, with search-and-rescue teams from Naples and Orlando coming to relieve Miami-Dade searchers who had been working their way through the rubble for more than 24 hours. (read more)

While the cause of the collapse is unknown the fact the building was located near the coast in South Florida; was built with an underground parking garage, and previous reports of the building slowly shifting/sinking point to structural instability and potential design flaws from the 40 year-old construction.   Not to be too blunt, but put a barstool on a beach and sit on it…. that’s the stability element many structural engineers in S-FL are discussing.

Regardless of cause this is a horrific event and our thoughts and prayers go out to the victims and their families.  The rescue workers are also facing peril as the elements of the remaining building that did not collapse are tenuous at best.  We pray for the safety of those trying around the clock to rescue and recover the lost.

Reunification Hotline 305-614-1819

The Spectacular Eruption of Mt Etna – Sicily


Armstrong Economics Blog/Nature Re-Posted Feb 26, 2021 by Martin Armstrong

The lava flows from the Mt. Etna volcano, near Catania in Sicily, Italy, Feb. 23, 2021, are providing spectacular images. The explosion, which began just before midnight on Monday night, sent a plume of ash that rose for several kilometers from the top of Etna, as reported by The National Institute of Geophysics and Volcanology, Etneo Observatory.

The earliest historical writer to mention an eruption of Mount Etna is Thucydides. In the course of his history of the Peloponnesian War, he records that there had been three eruptions of the volcano since the Greeks had settled in Sicily. He says the first occurred in the spring of 425BC when “a fire-flood issued from Aetna as on former occasions and destroyed the territory of Catania”; the preceding one took place fifty years before,
which is doubtless the one described by Pindar and Aeschylus and mentioned in the “Marmor Parium”15 as happening in 479BC. He makes no mention of the date of the third one. These are the earliest historical
records of the volcano, which therefore do not antedate the fifth century BC. After 400BC several eruptions are recorded in Graeco-Roman writers. Of these, the chief ones are the following: 396 BC, when a great lava stream reached the sea on the northeastern base of the volcano in which Catania was destroyed. Interestingly, perhaps just before Julius Caesar (100-44BC) crossed the Rubicon in 49BC, Vergil mentions as one of the signs of the gods’ displeasure at Caesar’s untimely death was an eruption of Mt Aetna.

Following the destruction of Catana by Mt Etna, the refugees fled to Inessa, a small suburb. They renamed that city Aitna and began to strike coinage in the name of their new city.

President Trump Will Speak At CPAC Orlando on Sunday February 28th


Posted originally on the conservative tree house on February 20, 2021 by Sundance

After some mixed considerations about attending this year’s Conservative Political Action Conference, CPAC, President Trump is apparently going to speak to the audience on Sunday February 28th.  Without a doubt this will be one of the most anticipated speeches of this year….

(Fox News) Former President Trump will make his first major public appearance at the Conservative Political Action Conference (CPAC) conference later this month, Fox News has learned.

Traditionally held outside of Washington, D.C., the 2021 CPAC conference will kick off in Orlando, Fla., on Thursday.  Trump will be talking about the future of the Republican Party and the conservative movement. Also, look for the 45th president to take on President Biden’s “disastrous amnesty and border policies,” according to a source familiar with Trump’s speech.

Trump has stayed relatively quiet since leaving the White House on Jan. 20 for his Mar-a-lago resort in Florida and after Twitter banned him from the social media platform after the Jan. 6 Capitol riot.  But Trump has indicated he wants to stay politically active and told his supporters after his impeachment acquittal the MAGA movement is still going strong. (read more)