The Business Cycle Wins Again


A shopper takes part in Black Friday sales at a Target store in Chicago, Illinois, United States, November 27, 2015. REUTERS/Jim Young

A shopper takes part in Black Friday sales at a Target store in Chicago, Illinois, United States, November 27, 2015. REUTERS/Jim Young

Reuters reported:

U.S. economy stalls in first quarter as activity weakens broadly

COMMENT #1: you been right on

COMMENT #2: Marty, your ECM is amazing. What is more amazing is how mainstream press is desperate to ignore your accomplishments.

COMMENT #2: Clearly, you have demonstrated time and time again that your ECM is the only way to accurately forecast the economy. Keep up the good work.

934-ECM 2011 - 2020

SheepREPLY: The huge problem is we are fighting against Marxism. Government WANTS to assume the power to herd you like sheep. The ECM proves that it is they who cannot alter society. The business cycle has defeated everyone from politicians to investors and goldbugs. No matter what you show these people, they refute it because they refuse to accept failure. They either ignore this or demonize it. They are incapable of altering their biases.

The Business Cycle will always win for only fools ignore it. Here we have Hillary promising the same Marxist text book, increase spending and raising taxes on the rich while hunting money for taxes except from bankers. Ronald Reagan and his “trickle down” economics the Clinton’s bash, produced a real 3.5% economic GDP growth during his administration. Barack Obama will probably come in at 1.5% GDP growth rate. No matter what you show these people, they do not get it because they DO NOT WANT TO. They cannot run for office without promising more of a failed political formula. They cannot depart from that mantra and as such we are moving in a profound economic decline that will not end well.

John Boehner says Cruz is “Lucifer in the flesh” & a “miserable son of a b*tch”


Cruz-1

I have been warning that behind the curtain they really really really dislike this guy. He is dreaming to think that the Republican elite would rather have him than Trump. John Boehner came out now with comments on Cruz saying he is “Lucifer in the flesh,” Boehner said. “I have Democrat friends and Republican friends. I get along with almost everyone, but I have never worked with a more miserable son of a b*tch in my life.”

cruz_zodiac killerI have been warning that these are the typical comments I get from speaking to people behind the curtain. Boehner is no longer in office, so he can just say what he really thinks. This is a reflection of the VAST MAJORITY of people I speak to behind the curtain. Of course the internet joke is he is the zodiac killer they never caught. That is just an internet joke.

I do not believe this is someone who can be trusted. Cruz would be like the Taliban, imposing his view of religion upon the rest of the country by force if he can. He seems to be someone similar to the notorious monk, Arnaud Amalric, who is famous for saying kill them all and let God sort it out: Novit enim Dominus qui sunt eius.” (“Kill them. For the Lord knows those that are His own.”)

First Oregon Poll: Donald Trump 43%, Ted Cruz 26%, John Kasich 17%…


The true Ted is now come out and that truth with hurt him with his base of Christians. To be honest Kasich is just an old has been that brings nothing to the game as he couldn’t even get over 50% in Ohio. Carly does not help anyone her business record is not good where it is justified or not So Trump should do a lot better in the remaining states that expected but no matter I am sure he will be about 1237 and the nominee.

Is the Supreme Court Acting Unconstitutional?


US Supreme Court

QUESTION: 

Dear Mr. Armstrong,
Re: The Ted Cruz/John Kasich Conspiracy and your comments about the Constitution and USC
In your opinion, might it be a crime to deny registered independents the right to vote in a primary?
Pennsylvania, one of only 11 states remaining with this law, is a prime example.
Thank you for a life devoted to the education of those with inquiring minds,
JS

ANSWER: Absolutely. Because we have created these “primary” elections even though they are for delegates, once the state creates such a right, it cannot deprive you of it without violating your civil rights. Now here is the REAL MONUMENTAL problem. Does the Supreme Court even act constitutionally or has it also denied citizens the right to absolutely behead as declared by the Constitution itself? We hear all this yelling about the Republicans blocking Obama’s Supreme Court nominee. I specialized not just in history, but the rise and fall of nations and how this unfolds. I also studied law intensely and lawyers will often call me on constitutional questions. Why? When you go to law school, you spend very little time on the Constitution. The bulk of law concerns statutory law which is everything written and passed by Congress from civil rights to Obamacare. Very little cases end up challenging the constitutionality of a statue – merely the unconstitutional acts of government’s agents such as police and politicians.

I am going to make a statement here I have made to Constitutional Lawyers that makes their eyes pop-out and say – OMG! The Supreme Court has ABSOLUTELY no right to exercise discretion to hear any case. They must in fact hear EVERY case presented to them for that is dictated by the Constitution and cannot be circumvented by either a statute written by Congress or by its own rule making practice. The Supreme Court receives approximately 7,000-8,000 petitions for a writ of certiorari each Term (year).  The Court grants and hears oral argument in about only 80 cases in a country of over 300 million. That is outrageous and denies the people the constitutional guarantee of a tripartite government with each branch acting as a check and balance against the others. Let’s review what the structure of government crafted by the Founding Fathers created.

Marshall John Chief Justice - 1Chief Justice Marshall held in the landmark case Marbury v Madison, 5 US 137 (1 Cranch) (1803) in which he declare the role of the Judiciary branch; “It is emphatically the province and duty of the judicial department to say what the law is.” id/177. At the very beginning of the nation, the Supreme Court justices rode “circuits” meaning each justice heard cases in their assigned circuits traveling around the country. Article III, Section I of the Constitution expressly states: “The judicial power of the United States, shall be vested in one Supreme Court, and in such inferior courts as the Congress may from time to time ordain and establish.” The Constitution only guaranteed the Supreme Court no other! It gave the option to Congress to create inferior federal courts around the country, but this was by no means mandatory. The implications of this are quite profound for it means that Congress can close all the federal inferior district and appellate courts, but it cannot close the Supreme Court. The tripartite structure of government requires the Supreme Court – not inferior courts. Justice Reynolds explained this succinctly.

“The accepted doctrine is that the lower federal courts were created by the acts of Congress and their powers and duties depend upon the acts which called them into existence, or subsequent ones which extend or limit.”

Gillis v California, 293 US 52, 66 (1934)

Your absolute constitutional right to be heard is being DENIED. That right is being circumvented by demanding you go to a district court judge, then appeal to that circuit court, and then apply to be heard as one of the 7,000+ petitions when they only accept 80. What if a child cannot speak to their father who will only communicate to them by some nanny. Is there a relationship bond between the father and the child? Of course not. Inferior courts are under NO OBLIGATION to apply even a uniform legal code. Each have their own rules and precedents are unique to each circuit. There is absolutely no guarantee to EQUAL PROTECTION OF THE LAW when these circuit courts are free to do as they like.

Chief Justice Marshall also held in 1821 a very important decision holding:

“If the constitution does not confer on the court, or on the federal judiciary, the power sought to be exercised, it is in vain that the act of Congress purports to confer it…” 

Cohen v Virgina, 19 US 264 (6 Wheat) (1821) id/324

Therefore, regardless of the fact that Congress reduced the power of the Supreme Court eliminating the constitutional status of the court by injecting their discretion to decide if they want to hear a case in the Judiciary Act of 1925, that act is totally unconstitutional for no statute can amend the constitution. Any statute or rule created by Congress, a political party (Republicans right now), or whatever, it cannot circumvent the Constitution – PERIOD!

Judge Richard Owen

Owen Changing Transcripts

The inferior federal courts have become a joke. They are there to defend the government, not the people. In my own case, I confronted perhaps the most corrupt judge in New York City; Richard Own. He had the audacity to actually alter the transcripts in court changing the words people would say to support the government. I submitted an affidavit outlining whole sections he removed. There were so many people who showed up in court that day and lawyers were telling me I was crazy because you cannot accuse a judge of a crime. I responded, they all say he does that. They replied; yes, but you cannot say that in public. There were so many people there he became nervous. He admitted changing my transcripts but denied he ever made any material changes. The whole place went silent. When he refused to step down I appealed and the Second Circuit refused to even hear the case. Like police, they just all protect each other. Without a circuit court taking that appeal, I was denied the right to even petition the Supreme Court on that issue.

There is no honest rule of law in the United States. We are no different from some backwater court or a third world country. This is in direct contradiction of the rule of law. The federal court exists to protect individual citizen’s rights under the federal constitution and laws for it has been acknowledged that this is in fact the core purpose of their creation. (see Bivens v Six Unknown Named Agents, 403 US 388 (1971); Bell v Hood, 327 US 678 (1946), Marbury v Madison, 5 US 137, 177 (1803). Good luck. There is absolutely no right to anything because the inferior courts all know the odds of you getting to the Supreme Court are virtually zero.

In Marbury v Madison, Chief Justice Marshall also stated bluntly: “The very essence of civil liberty certainly consists in the right of every individual to claim the protection of the laws.” id/ 5 US at 163. Chief Justice Earl Warren  stated in 1967: “It is a judge’s duty to decide all cases within his jurisdiction that are brought before him, including controversial cases that arouse the most intense feelings in the litigants.” Pierson v Ray, 386 US 547, 554 (1967). None of this has any force of law unless the Supreme Court is returned to its constitutional role mandating that right to be heard.

Bank-Of-US

Princeton Bank ProofWe have no rule of law today all because of an unconstitutional Act of Congress known as the the Judiciary Act of 1925 (43 Stat. 936). This barbarous act reduced the workload of the Supreme Court of the United States and in effect denied the right to be heard by all citizens. From that moment on, your constitutional rights all became discretionary. Congress and the Supreme Court held you have the inferior courts. This is the same chaos created when Andrew Jackson closed the Bank of the United States and every bank began issuing their own money which all defaulted in the 1840s. Without a central bank controlling the inferior banks, we destroyed the financial system. The Judiciary Act of 1925 did the same to our constitutional rights. I was personally release ONLY because I won that lottery and the Supreme Court ordered the government to respond signally I made that cut – one of the 80 out of 7,000+.

The inferior courts are statutory, not constitutionally required, and as such exist at the pure discretion of Congress. We have 94 U.S. judicial districts which are organized into 12 regional circuits. They are not bound to a single unified rule of law or rules and that results in the denial of equal protection of the law. The ONLY court secured by the Constitution is the Supreme Court. That’s it folks! If you cannot be heard in that court, then you are denied your Constitutional right to Due Process of Law. Therefore, someone in the 9th circuit in California will be treated differently from the 2nd Circuit in New York. The Supreme Court is supposed to settle such differences, but it is not obligated to do so. This is what the Judiciary Act of 1925 pulled off – the undermining of our entire Constitution.

Previously, the Judiciary Act of 1891 created the United States courts of appeals and rendered a small part of the Supreme Court’s jurisdiction “discretionary” subject to grant of writ of certiorari. This began the process of reducing the workload of the Supreme Court, yet it remained obliged to rule. In December 1921, Chief Justice William Howard Taft appointed three justices to draw up a proposal to further reduce the obligation of the Supreme Court to hear cases. This became the Judiciary Act of 1925. It was Chief Justice Taft who pushed the passage of this bill in 1925, which rendered the majority of the Supreme Court’s workload discretionary.

Taft WilliamThe Judiciary Act or 1925 was clearly unconstitutional since Congress could not reduce the jurisdiction of the Supreme Court. Yet, William Howard Taft (1857 – 1930) served as the 27th President of the United States (1909–1913) and then became the 10th Chief Justice of the United States Supreme Court (1921–1930). It was Chief Justice Taft who lobbied with Congress to effectively reduce the role of the Supreme Court. This is up there with Goldman Sachs sending in Robert Rubin as Secretary of Treasury to eliminate Glass-Steagall which was enacted because Goldman Sachs lost more money than any public trust during the Great Depression. The Supreme Court was involved and has NEVER ruled on the constitutionality of the Judiciary Act of 1925.

Epic Town Hall Moment: WWII Veteran, Bobby Knight and Donald Trump – Ya’ Just gotta see it…


If you aren’t in it to win then you aren’t trying to do you best and if you aren’t trying to do you best then you had better find out why?

Looking more like Trump v Hillary


Trump-Hillary

Donald Trump absolutely crushed Cruz taking all five states including Pennsylvania and Maryland. Hillary Clinton won Pennsylvania, Maryland and Delaware but Bernie may walk away with two states. The fact that Trump and Bernie are there shows that the public is really fed up with politics as it stands. It is looking more and more like Hillary v Trump. But as they say, it’s not over ’til the fat lady sings.

2016-PresElection

Who we elect for President rarely makes a difference. Obama did everything Bush did after promising he would bring “change you could believe in”. After getting the Noble Peace Prize, he tried to invade Syria. Who takes the helm rarely makes a difference because it is the bureaucracy who runs everything anyway beginning with Bush, Jr. People get so fired up as if electing one career politician will really change their lives no less the direction of the economy. Nothing ever happens except government always gets more power in the end.

Who wins in November is still a coin toss for it depends on the Republican elite and if they try to deny Trump the nomination which will split the party if not destroy it. Under normal conditions excluding a third party run, the odds favor a Republican victory. However, we are a lifetime away from November and how this shakes out is not yet decided if we will have only a two-party run or a strong third party. Two of our model project a landslide with Republicans exceed 60% – very rare. One shows a dead heat and the other 55% v 51% for the Republicans. So despite the fact that Hillary is the media favorite, something else may be waiting in the wings.

President-3rdParty

Our computer models project a sharp rise of anti-establishment for the 2016 election. That forecast given back in 1985 appears to be on point. We have warned that it is typically the Republican Party, which always splits. Some people wrongly believe that the Republican Party can do as it likes with its rules. While the primaries are electing delegates rather than a person, once they created the right for the people to vote, they cannot then ignore that vote and do as they like for that would violate 18 U.S.C. § 241. The idea that they can do as they like AFTER giving the right to vote to the people even for delegates is rather absurd. It would clearly violate the § 241.

So where we go from here will be interesting. It would be far better if Hillary wins for then the “establishment” cannot say see what happens you you elect a non-politician. On the other hand, the government forecasts itself that everything goes bust next year. A career politician would just sign us away and here comes much higher taxes to kill the economy. If Trump became President, does he conform so much because he wants to act presidential surrendering to Capitol Hill. Time will tell. It really does not matter who is elected, it all turns down any how.

Post Election Night Debrief – Trump Dominates Northeast Primary Result…


Great job Team Trump! There is no way to stop him now Trump will end up with at least 1350 Delegates maybe more and he will be the nominee of the party.

#2 Election Night Results Thread – Northeastern Primary – Trump Runs The Table, Wins Every State…


My prediction is the Trump will be right around 1,000 delegates after today. Which puts him on the path to 1237 plus.

National Tracking Poll: Donald Trump 50%, Ted Cruz 26%, John Kasich 17%…


The trend is clear the nominee of the Republican party will be Trump

America First…


I say give Trump the chance to do what he claims he wants to do for we really have nothing to lose if any of the rest get in the Republic is done!