Warmonger Think Tanks


Posted originally on Oct 8, 2025 by Martin Armstrong |  

2025_10_07_08_48_51_Russia_enters_new_phase_of_prep_for_future_war_with_NATO_ISW_analysis_and_77_m

The latest from the Neocon Fake News, ISW (Institute for the Study of War) started by Victoria Nuland’s sister-in-law, is always the same. Russia is weak; it is about to collapse, but at the same time, they are about to attack NATO, so we should invade now. The new line is “ISW specialists suggest Moscow is now likely conducting ‘coordinated preparatory actions as part of a phase aimed at creating physical and psychological conditions’ for possible military emergencies.” 

When I examine the sources promoting World War III, it comes down to three, and none is trustworthy, to say the least. All three put out “opinion” based analysis that is by no means objective.

A Stockholm Institute of Transition Economics (SITE) report prepared for the EU finance ministers argued that Russia’s economy is “only superficially resilient” and that underlying imbalances and structural weaknesses make continued large-scale war spending unsustainable.

Then there is Victoria Nuland’s family venture, the ISW.

Analysts and institutions associated with the Institute for the Study of War (ISW) have noted that weak growth, dwindling reserves, and the strain of sanctions give leverage to Russia’s opponents.

The think tank Bruegel claims its mission is to improve the quality of economic policy with open and fact-based research, analysis, and debate. Bruegel’s membership includes EU Member State governments, international corporations, and institutions. Brugel has argued that Russia’s economic model is “no longer delivering,” citing rising costs of sanctions evasion, loss of export markets, and labor constraints.

Russian Unemployment Y Combined 10 4 25

Everything these pretend think tanks put out is so one-sided, and it is clearly meant to promote war. Why? This is simply about conquest at this point to strip mine Russia to resurrect and save the crumbling EU. The ISW are just warmongers, and what will they do without Russia to hate? When we look at the economic data, Unemployment has declined for 26 years during Putin’s Administration.

McCain Hillary

They will never tell the truth because the attempted regime change of Russia that I was asked to fund and refused back in 1998, will NEVER be investigated because it would expose Hillary and why she even started RussiaGate. It was James Comey who kept me in prison on civil contempt for 7 years with no charges whatsoever. He is the one at the FBI to whom John McCain handed Hillary’s fake dossier to start Russiagate. The people in the deep state will NEVER allow anything to rise to the top, fearing that if they ever did investigate my case, it might expose this whole drive for WWIII and prevent it.

Russia GDP Array Combined 10 7 25

Let’s look at the GDP. This clearly indicates that 2025 is a turning point, and we then observe a sharp rise into 2027, accompanied by very high volatility. This is likely a reflection of a war economy.

Russian Ruble y 10 7 25
Russia Ruble Y Array 10 7 25

When we turn to the Ruble, we see a Panic Cycle in 2027, and this year is a Directional Change. These fake pretend THINK TANKS who are warmongers through and through, will get their way because the press always takes their BS and tells the world Russia is weak, it is a “paper tiger”, and we can walk in and Putin will fall to his knees and the Russian people will cheer and thank them for saving them.

Trump should send the troops into these Tink Tanks and arrest all of them for treason against humanity.

Part II – Covering Up the Biggest Political Scandal in U.S. History


Posted originally on CTH on October 6, 2025 | Sundance 

Friend of the Treehouse John Spiropoulos has put together a series of videos explaining how President Obama, FBI Director James Comey and CIA Director John Brennan constructed a coverup to hide their political surveillance operation. Today there are two video segments that deserve focus. 

RUMBLE Link ONE and Two.  YouTube Link ONE and Two

From the perspective of Obama, Comey and Brennan, expanding Hillary Clinton’s Trump-Russia collusion narrative was the key element to hide the activity of the administration prior to the November 2016 election.  That’s the motive for the FBI and CIA to collaborate on the agenda after the shocking outcome of the 2016 election result; but pay close attention to the activity of the primary “at risk” official, James Comey.

The December ’16 Joint Analysis Report (JAR), and the January ’17 Intelligence Community Assessment (ICA), were fabricated to enhance a spying coverup. Spiropoulos has taken the time to put the deconstruction of the ICA into a simple to follow video format.  Two parts below:

Obama’s Spies & Lies: The Junk Intel Scandal DECLASSIFIED_Episode #2

The next segment is below. Pay particular attention to the person who actually triggered the cancellation of the December 9, 2016, Presidential Daily Brief. It wasn’t Obama, it was James Comey.

Obama’s Spies & Lies: The Junk Intel Scandal DECLASSIFIED_Episode #3

From a risk management perspective, initially the surveillance and spying operation was a low-risk endeavor.  Obama held power and was going to hand off operations to Hillary. The Clinton administration would retain the officials who were doing the surveillance/spying, and no one would ever know.

Donald Trump was not expected to win the election.  When he did, all of the participants were suddenly at risk. President Obama and every member of his cabinet involved in the spying operations, then used Clinton’s “Russiagate” smear to cover up Obama’s “Spygate” activity.

The IRS was used to identify targets 2010 through 2012, until discovered in April ’12.  Suddenly, President Obama has a problem. President Obama then sends his Chief of Staff, Jack Lew, to run the IRS and block discoveries around the IRS weaponization.

From 2012 through April 2016, the Obama administration was spying on their political opposition using the FBI to conduct surveillance through their access to the NSA database.

In April 2016, NSA Admiral Mike Rogers was alerted by the NSA compliance officer who noted the uptick in database access activity by the FBI searching the Republican primary candidate field.

Post April 2016, the Obama administration had a problem. Enter FBI operation “Crossfire Hurricane,” July 2016, in an effort to remove the political risk.

October 2016, the FBI rushes a FISA application through the FISC, circumventing the missing ‘Woods File’, with the Chris Steele dossier as evidence.

October 2016, NSA Director Rogers sends the first official notification of the FBI using the NSA database to the oversight body, the FISA Court.

December 2016, worried about Trump now discovering the NSA database spying, the Obama administration wraps the Clinton smear into official policy, blaming the Russians and validating Crossfire Hurricane. That’s where the Intelligence Community Assessment becomes critical.

May 2017, needing to extend the coverup of the FBI activity, special counsel Robert Mueller then takes over Crossfire Hurricane. All FBI evidence and personnel transfers to Mueller.

April 2019, Robert Mueller operation wraps up, prior activity coverup shifts to Impeachment process.

July 2019, John Durham kicks in extending DOJ/FBI control through 2020 election.

Fall 2020, mail-in ballots triggered to facilitate 2020 election outcome.

January 2021, FBI triggers Operation Arctic Frost, targeting Trump supporters and 2020 election researchers. FBI again using NSA database search queries to identify targeting.

March 2021, FBI Arctic Frost results fed to J6 Committee and DHS. TSA trigger “Quiet Skies” targeting via results from Arctic Frost.

It’s one long continuum of coverup activity within Main Justice and the FBI, supported by all other various agencies who operate in support. What are they covering up? The 2012 through 2016 political spying operation within the Obama administration, as carried out by the same Main Justice and FBI operations.

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Pentagon Lines the Pockets of Warmongers


Posted originally on Oct 3, 2025 by Martin Armstrong |  

Press Secretary Karoline Leavitt Briefing – 1:00pm ET Livestream


Posted originally on CTH on October 3, 2025 | Sundance 

White House Press Secretary Karoline Leavitt delivers a press briefing today at 1:00pm ET.  Livestream Links Below.

RSBN Livestream Link – Forbes Livestream Link – AP Livestream Link

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Shutdown Day #3 – Trump’s Challenge


Posted originally on CTH on October 3, 2025 | Sundance

The professionally Republican wing of the GOPe want this shutdown ended just as much as the professionally Democrat wing. The UniParty cannot allow Trump/Vought this much power. Republicans cannot allow Trump this much power.

The Moonbat leftists are not the biggest problem, they never have been. They are ideologues, mostly. Insufferable, stupid, violent at times, but easy to spot.

Remember, Democrats quest for power; Republicans quest for money. Always underline this because it’s really important.

The Moonbat leftists seek power, seek control of your life, and they are open in their insufferably stupid arguments to get there. When they start to lose, they turn violent. This is their history.

That said, they are not the most dangerous.

The professional Republicans are more dangerous, because their priority is money. As a result, their approaches, goals, objectives and arguments can be purchased.

Republicans have no interests, goals or objectives, nor allegiances, that supersede their primary objective – getting money, and growing their wealth.

Democrats will come at you with a knife, a gun or a baseball bat. You can see them. The professional Republican guy standing beside you, however, is willing to take a payment to shoot you in the ear when you don’t see it coming.

This is also why it seems like Democrats stick together, and Republicans split. Democrats are chasing a common goal, a collective goal – power. Republicans are chasing a commonality, yes, but an individual goal – money, their wealth.

Donors contribute to the Democrat agenda because their interest is to benefit from power. Republicans modify their agenda to benefit donors, because their goal is money.

Democrats stay on task, power. Republicans are flexible, money.

You enter a war against Leftists with extreme danger. However, the danger is not the war in front of you, it’s the army beside you waiting to get a payment from the enemy in front of you.

Out of a group of 1,000 Democrats, 900+ will join in to defend a weakened Moonbat leftist (see Kimmel).

Out of a group of 1,000 Republicans, you will find, maybe, 5 willing to cover your back regardless of how much bribery is put in front of them.

Remember this, understand this and the reality of who presents the most danger to us is accurately framed.

Republicans do not simply snatch defeat from the jaws of victory; they sell defeat to the highest bidder!

In our lifetime we have watched this unfold.

There were Democrats with the same outlook as Republicans; they were known as “blue dog” democrats. The Blue Dogs were willing to compromise power, to sell power, in return for financial payment.

Traditional ‘Blue Dogs’ were names like Hillary and Bill Clinton; their prism was the assembly of money. However, this group faced the introduction of hardline ideological believers – the communists or Marxists represented by Barack Obama.

Obama Inc. battled Clinton Inc. to determine the future of the Democrats. The ideologues won, and the democrat Blue Dogs in their tribe, those willing to concede ideology for money, were purged from their ranks. Modern Democrats, post Obama takeover, are now pure ideologues.

By any means necessary” is the operational objective of modern leftists. This is why government under Obama flipped the switch so openly and began weaponizing power. Purging govt agencies and replacing the staff with ideologues. Crushing opposition, by brute force and targeting.

Simultaneously, in the smaller Republican ranks, there was a small group who wanted to face down the same battle inside the Republican Party. The original Tea Party represented this group. A smaller assembly trying to put ideology, freedom and liberty at the forefront of the Republican objective.

Unlike the leftist effort, the Tea Party effort inside the Republican Party failed. Republican leadership crushed the liberty rebellion, and went back to business taking money from the ideological Marxists who now ruled the centers of power.

People, who didn’t quite understand what was taking place, stood and watched, frustrated, at the dynamic of Republicans who conceded every battle to the left.

What the abused GOP viewers didn’t understand was the core of the issue; Democrats want power, Republicans want money.

Each time the Republicans could win on a policy issue, they sold the loss to Democrats. Battered conservatives grew more frustrated and more frustrated.

Now we enter the era of MAGA, represented by billionaire Donald J. Trump, who, like Obama before him, began the fight inside the Republican Party.

The Tea Party rebellion quickly reengaged Trump and formed MAGA; the ideological fight inside the Republican party, liberty over money, was on again.

MAGA represents opposition to the leftist ideological advancement. But the Republican assembly will not concede. In a way their resistance makes sense.

If liberty and freedom become the priority, the advancement of personal wealth becomes more difficult. Simultaneously, if retention and assembly of wealth is the priority, liberty and freedom ideologues become impediments. Again, MAGA within Republicanism must be crushed when money is the priority.

This internal Republican battle has been unfolding in various reference points for almost a decade now, while the internal Democrat battle was long ago decided.

The root issue within the Republican apparatus still surrounds the greatest evil. ‘The love of money is the root of all evil.’

This conflict has not yet been fully decided, yet admittedly -and thankfully- MAGA has made some significant gains. The Republican Party now has a lower income demographic and a more ideological working class base.

However, don’t be fooled. The top tier of the Republican apparatus is mostly unchanged; albeit, they are facing more entrenched ideological opposition from the awakened MAGA forces. The top tier will still sell out the base, still compromise for personal profit, and still take payment for policy.

This brings us to where we are today.

Inside the MAGA assembly, we are trying to identify which Republican leaders have shifted to the MAGA/liberty viewpoint, and which Republican leaders are playing the long game while retaining their DNA level objective – get money.

Each day on these pages, and many others, the ‘trust’ factor is raised; this is completely understandable.  We have a strong muscle memory for betrayal, and we all bear the scars to remind us.  It is fitting and proper that these conversations take place.

After all, it’s interesting to watch professional Republicans discuss how agencies like the DOJ and FBI have lost the institutional trust of the American people due to corruption, while simultaneously those same Republicans never note trust loss within the Republican Party as a result of their willful blindness to it.

WATCH: Leftist NGOs Aiding And Abetting Illegal Aliens Outside Courthouse in Portland, Oregon


Posted originally on Rumble on By Bannon’s War Room on: October, 01, 2025

WADE MILLER: Russ Vought Is Uniquely Capable Of Taking A Scalpel To Thousands Of Bloated, Woke, Weaponized Government Programs While Minimizing The Impact On The American People


Posted originally on Rumble on By Bannon’s War Room on: October, 01, 2025

The NSA Report No One Has Ever Seen


Posted originally on CTH on September 30, 2025 | Sundance

During the period of Nov 2015 to April 2016, the Obama administration, through the FBI under James Comey and Andrew McCabe, was conducting a political spying operation against all Republican presidential primary candidates using the power of their offices.

The intent was two-fold. (1) Tracking the candidates to identify activity; and (2) conducting opposition research to be fed to the campaign of Democrat candidate Hillary Clinton.

This surveillance activity was happening in concert with Comey, McCabe and a small group inside the FBI, running a defensive operation for the issues surrounding Hillary Clinton’s prior use of private email servers -which included classified information transmission- during her tenure as Secretary of State. SOURCE: DNI

Documentary evidence of the Obama spying operation surfaced as an outcome of the NSA compliance officer discovering the FBI activity.

The compliance officer reported the activity to National Security Agency Director, Admiral Mike Rogers.

The spying operation is not an issue of FISA-702, or any FISA system or process. However, the availability of FBI access to the NSA database is what triggered the discovery of the spy operation.

That FBI access is created under the auspices of FISA, but FISA-702, or any aspect therein, was not the issue. The issue was the spying operation.

FISA, and using the NSA database to conduct the electronic surveillance, was simply the tool to exploit the electronic communication (metadata) of the targets.

The Obama administration was spying on their political opposition and telling the Clinton team the results of their surveillance.

Put another way, the United States government was spying on political candidates for office, in order to control the outcome of the 2016 U.S. presidential election.

After Director Mike Rogers was made aware of the operation, and the exploitation of the NSA database, the NSA Director blocked the FBI from access and began an investigation.

That investigation culminated in Director Mike Rogers informing the regulatory body in charge of protecting the database from exploitation.

FISC SIDEBAR: With the NSA now collecting the private electronic communication of Americans, the FISA Court was assigned the responsibility of oversight; it was intended to protect the growing metadata library and ensure the 4th Amendment provisions to the constitution were maintained.

The FISC oversight was intended to stop the government from reviewing the private records of Americans, the NSA database, without a warrant.

Because the NSA database was used by the Obama administration, the FBI, to conduct political spying operations, the only normal compliance venue Director Mike Rogers had to reveal the spying, was to inform the FISA court (FISC).

NSA Director Mike Rogers was a cabinet member working for President Obama at the time the Obama administration was exploiting the NSA database.

Director Mike Rogers does not appear to have informed congressional oversight. That would have violated the chain-of-command, and the President held absolute power.

Director Rogers could have chosen to inform the congressional Gang-of-Eight of the issue. He did not.

[This is an issue Director Rogers would later address by moving custodial control of the NSA database to Cyber Command (a DoD agency)].

NSA Director Mike Rogers informed the FISA Court of the issue, by detailing who the people were who were searched within the database, and what the results were over the timeframe of Nov ’15 to April ’16.

The compliance officer provided the audit-trail, audit logs showing who was being spied on, who was being searched (queried), how often and how many times. The audit-trail also showed who was logging in to conduct the spy operations, and what FBI authorized workstations they were using.

Director Rogers informed the court he had blocked FBI access and removed part of the functionality for how the system could be exploited.

The internal investigation by the NSA compliance officer and Rogers was completed and sent to the FISA Court in October 2016, with additional information sent in March 2017.

The FISA Court then responded in April 2017, where Presiding Judge Rosemary Collyer outlined the events in a heavily redacted 99-page opinion. Citation HERE.

President Obama conducting political spying operations, through a politically weaponized FBI, against the Republican opposition elements is colloquially called “Spygate.”

Hillary Clinton manufacturing a political dirty trick against Donald Trump, accusing him of a Trump-Russia collusion conspiracy, is called “Russiagate.”

President Obama and every member of his cabinet, that was involved in the spying operations, used Clinton’s “Russiagate” to cover up Obama’s “Spygate.”

The two controversies are distinct and separate.

Within the evidence trail, that documents the Obama spying operation exists: (1) the NSA audit-trail, and, more importantly, (2) the specific document where the NSA notified the FISA Court. Those have never been seen.

While a redacted 99-page response from the court has been reviewed in granular detail, the missing piece of the puzzle; -the evidence that proves the operation beyond any reasonable doubt – is the NSA investigative outcome, the notification to the FISC given by NSA Director Mike Rogers to the FISA Court.

The NSA report to the FISA Court is a specific, actionable, discoverable document. I have been on the hunt for that notification report for 8 years.

Now you know why this position is so important.

FBI Director Kash Patel Says Agents in J6 Crowd Were Dispatched to Quell Riot Underway


Posted originally on CTH on September 28, 2025 | Sundance

FBI Director Kash Patel once again rises to defend the integrity of the institution he leads.

While Tweeting a link to a Fox News story quoting him, the FBI director says, “274 FBI agents were thrown into crowd control on Jan 6 against FBI standards. That failure was on corrupt leadership. Thanks to agents stepping up, the truth is coming out. Transparency. Justice. Accountability.”

Which begs the questions: 274 FBI plainclothes agents were going to do what, exactly?… How did the FBI know to have 274 agents “on hand” prepared to intervene?  And where exactly is “on hand” located?

(VIA FOX NEWS) – The FBI responded on Saturday to a report that 274 plainclothes agents were at the U.S. Capitol riot on Jan. 6, 2021, clarifying the role of bureau personnel while still blasting former Director Christopher Wray.

While the agents were on hand, they were sent in after the riot had begun to try to control the unruly crowd, officials told Fox News Digital. That is not the proper role of FBI agents, and Wray was not forthcoming about what happened when he testified numerous times on Capitol Hill, Director Kash Patel said.

“Agents were sent into a crowd control mission after the riot was declared by Metro Police – something that goes against FBI standards,” Patel told Fox News Digital. “This was the failure of a corrupt leadership that lied to Congress and to the American people about what really happened.”

He added, “Thanks to agents coming forward, we are now uncovering the truth. We are fully committed to transparency, and justice and accountability continues with this FBI.” 

There’s no indication any FBI agents were involved in any events related to Trump’s speech on the morning of Jan. 6 at the Ellipse, an FBI official told Fox News Digital, adding that Wray should have disclosed that agents were there when he was asked by congressional leaders. (read more)

Suspicious Cat remains, well, suspicious…

UPDATE: DOJ Investigator Ed Martin Begins Questioning FBI Agent Bill Aldenberg’s Conflict in Alex Jones Lawsuit


Posted originally on CTH on September 24, 2025 | Sundance 

UPDATE: According to CNN“in a new letter addressed to attorney Christopher Mattei on Wednesday, Martin withdrew his initial letter entirely. In a brief note, according to a person familiar with the letter, Martin wrote that there is no investigation of Aldenberg and “because of this, I hereby withdraw my request for information from you or your former client.” {SOURCE}

As noted in the original outline below, it wasn’t particularly smart for Alex Jones to post the letter on his Twitter account.  Without much doubt the Ed Martin retraction was due to this knuckleheaded move.

— Original Outline Below —

William “Bill” Aldenberg was the lead investigator for John Durham in 2020.  Bill Aldenberg was also a plaintiff in the case against Alex Jones in the Sandy Hook Elementary School shooting 2012, lawsuit and civil trial 2022.

According to a U.S. News and World Report article, “Aldenberg was among the law enforcement officers who responded to the school and found the dead children. That then led to years of abuse from people who believed the shooting was a hoax, he has said. His share of the judgment totaled around $120 million.”

Bill Aldenberg was the first witness in the 2022 case against InfoWars.  Alex Jones and InfoWars lost the lawsuit and were punished by a $1.4 billion damage award to the plaintiffs. InfoWars filed bankruptcy and the arguments over liquidation of assets is underway in Texas.

Here’s where things get weird.  We know the FBI was conducting an operation called “Arctic Frost,” essentially the targeting of Donald Trump and key figures who aligned with Trump in the aftermath of the 2020 election. {Citation}

It is widely suspected, the massive amount of evidence captured in the Arctic Frost operation, was eventually fed to the January 6th Committee for use in their expanded investigation.  That evidence then underpinned the case against President Trump that was being assembled by Jack Smith. {Go Deep}

Essentially, operation Arctic Frost was the evidence gathering operation, then the J6 Committee and special counsel Jack Smith used the FBI evidence to frame their cases.  [Readers will note, this process is similar to the FBI “Crossfire Hurricane” operation, which fed evidence to special counsel Robert Mueller, to frame their cases.]

Back to FBI Investigative Agent William Aldenberg, who was lead for John Durham.

DOJ attorney Ed Martin is looking at the connective tissue around all of the FBI targeting operations.  He now asks the lawyers for William Aldenberg about details of their client’s involvement in the case against Alex Jones.

[SOURCE]

Alex Jones posted a copy of the letter on his Twitter [X] feed, along with a picture of him and Ed Martin.  A rather knuckleheaded move by Jones considering how Ed Martin says in the letter he would prefer not to litigate the issue in the media.  Then again, wisdom and sound judgement have never been Jones’ strong points.

Really, it’s a convoluted mess making the serious issues around Arctic Frost get lost in the weeds.  Then again, perhaps that is a feature not a flaw.  Many people, CTH included, view Alex Jones through the prism of compromise ever since the $1.4 billion sword of Damocles was established over his head.

(USN&WR) – […] Ed Martin Jr., who leads the Justice Department’s “weaponization working group,” asked in the letter whether retired agent William Aldenberg received any financial benefits from helping to organize the lawsuit, in which he was a plaintiff along with victims’ family members.

Aldenberg, like the parents and other relatives of the 20 children and six educators killed in the 2012 school shooting in Newtown, Connecticut, has been the subject of false conspiracy theories spread by Jones on his “Infowars” broadcasts.

Aldenberg was among the law enforcement officers who responded to the school and found the dead children. That then led to years of abuse from people who believed the shooting was a hoax, he has said. His share of the judgment totaled around $120 million.

In a Sept. 15 letter to Christopher Mattei, a lawyer who represents Sandy Hook families, Martin suggested he was scrutinizing Aldenberg’s role in the lawsuit.

Mattei responded to the letter in a text message to The Associated Press.

“Thanks to the courage of the Sandy Hook families, Infowars will soon be finished,” he said, referring to the families’ efforts in court to liquidate Jones’ assets to help pay the judgment. “In his last gasps, Jones is once again harassing them, only now with the corrupt complicity of at least one DOJ official. It’s as disgusting as it is pathetic, and we will not stand for it.” (more)