QUESTION: Mr. Armstrong; I just read your report on the Maya discovery of time and the flipping of the poles. Obviously, from the data you put together, it appears we are in that zone where the poles will flip. Do you have anything that would imply what they would mean for civilization today?
WK
ANSWER: We are definitely in that zone where the poles will flip. Nobody really knows what that will do to society. It does perhaps may the climate more irregular creating swings in both directions leading to such a shift. However, one of my real problems with the Global Warming nut-jobs is that they have ignored everything that proves them wrong. They never address the fact that the Earth’s orbit changes over time as well. The very coming and going of the Ice Ages are certainly impacted by cyclical changes in the Earth’s circumnavigation of the Sun. These variations in orbit are composed of a combination of three major cycles that are collectively known as the Milankovitch Cycles for Milutin Milankovitch, the Serbian astronomer who calculated their magnitude. When the Earth travels further from the sun it simply gets very cold here very fast.
Everything in nature is cyclical and as such fractal. Take any two things that have a cycle and you will see that at some point they will align. Take Passover and Easter. This year 2018 was the third time this century, the Jewish celebration of Passover and the Christian holiday Good Friday fall on the same calendar day. The two previously coincided in 2012 and 2015. Since 1900, Easter has fallen on April 1st only four times – 1923, 1934, 1945 and 1956 until this year 2018. It won’t happen again until 2029. Complexity will always enter as soon as you deal with simply two variables.
There is the Earth’s orbital path which has a cycle of 100,000 years, but then there is the cycle of the axial tilt that comes into play every 41,000 years. Now add the Earth’s “wobble” cycle which is a cycle of 23,000 years. These cycles will combine at times to create real havoc. Add to this mix the pole flipping and we just do not know what can happen. The first of the three Milankovitch Cycles is the Earth’s eccentricity. Eccentricity is, simply, the shape of the Earth’s orbit around the Sun. This constantly fluctuating and as such the orbital shape ranges between more and less elliptical (0 to 5% ellipticity) on a cycle of about 100,000 years.
None of this is ever taken into account by the Global Warming people. They pretend that it is only human activity and this is a sad state of affairs for when we add the pulse of the Sun and how it beats like your heart between maximum and minimum energy output on a 300-year cycle, you can imagine how an Ice Age will unfold when the cycle of energy output lines up with the Milankovitch Cycles. I moved to Florida and quite frankly, after this winter, perhaps I did not move far enough south. It’s going to get very cold up north – I warned you!
They are calling it the “Big Chill” because we have just had two years of really Global Cooling. The NASA data has shown that the last two years have been the most dramatic two-year cooling event of the last century. Ever since the ECN turned down 2015.75, we have had colder weather and rising interest rates absent inflation. That is one heck of a combination. The global average temperatures dropped 0.56°C. The previous cooling two-year period was 1982-84 fand that drop was only 0.47°C. The greatest danger we face is being totally unprepared for a cooling period which historically results in crop failures. Russia has already experienced a crop failure this year.
QUESTION: Mr. Armstrong; Are you familiar with Professor Easterbrook of Western Washington University who agrees with you and is projecting a decline in temperatures for the next three decades? It seems that those who simply claim that it has been getting warmer live in a bubble of biased news. One even said to me that it has been getting warmer for the past 10,000 years because of civilization. I asked what was the solution? Should we just commit suicide to save the planet? Just can’t understand these people who deny there are cycles within every trend.
LR
ANSWER: I know. We are closer to the lows than the historic highs in temperature. Our model does agree with Professor Easterbrook that the immediate decline in temperatures should extend out for about 43 years from 2007. It was unseasonably cold in Florida and snowed in the northern regions also for the first time since the Blizzard of 1899 and even that was about 120 years before. It was excessive snow and gold in Britain, Japan, and China, as well as Russia. They ignore these reports as one-time flukes.
The Global Warming crowd tries to deny that there are also cycles set in motion by the Sun and they attribute everything to human activity. Nobody wants air we cannot breathe. I lived in London back in the 1980s when the busses were blowing out diesel. It was horrible. But to stop pollution by distorting history or claiming the trend is really warmer for 10,000 years is the danger. That is like saying the Dow Jones Industrials is only in a bull market since 1932 pretending there are no corrections. We must understand that nature is bigger than we are and the Sun just maybe the majority of climate change.
800,000-year Ice-Core Records of Atmospheric Carbon Dioxide (CO2)
There have simply been historical periods with far greater amounts of CO2 than today. Pollution is a separate issue from blaming everything on CO2. There is absolutely NO EVIDENCE that CO2 changes the climate. The ice core sample demonstrates that there have been periods of significantly higher levels of CO2 before civilization. There is a natural cycle of everything. Their analysis is always to deny a cycle and presume whatever trend is in motion will remain in motion. With this analysis, I am alive today the same as yesterday so therefore this trend will last forever.
The emails have been coming about how it has been snowing well into April. Indeed, we are looking at this April coming in as the coldest in 140 years throughout many regions. It has snowed in Chicago, Detroit, New York, and Philadelphia during what should be spring. This is a sign that the energy output of the sun has been declining rapidly and as we move into the years ahead, this can be a major factor that supports a rally in agricultural markets going into a peak around 2024.
When you put all the data together, it is shocking how easy it is to simply see there are cycles to everything.
I have created this site to help people have fun in the kitchen. I write about enjoying life both in and out of my kitchen. Life is short! Make the most of it and enjoy!
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