Tag Archives: Ban of Straws

Jan 1 2019

Jet Stream Exaggerations


Armstrong Economics Blog/Climate

Re-Posted Jan 1, 2019 by Martin Armstrong

 

We have to understand that the Jetstream itself is extremely dynamic. It has been dipping very low and as I reported last winter, it even snowed in Tallahassee in northern Florida for the first time since the Blizzard of 1899. This is causing some very diverse outcomes. In Sweden that had one of the hottest summers on record. I was in Bavaria in August and likewise, it was extremely hot. The buildings generally did not have air conditioning because they never needed it.

On the other hand, in Ukraine where it is usually very hot at that time of year, it remained very cool. In North America, it all depends where you are. Some parts of Canada is warm, and others are unusually cold. The Jet Stream is becoming very exaggerated in its dips. This is why last year the crops froze in Spain creating a shortage of vegetables in Europe. Of course, we have the diehard people who claim just because where they live it is warm so it must be global warming and anyone who disagrees with that are just wrong. They refuse to even look around the world that exists beyond their front doo

Dec 30 2018

The Coming Mini Ice Age & Cyclical Movement of the Tropics Belt Itself


Armstrong Economics Blog/Climate

Re-Posted Dec 30, 2018 by Martin Armstrong

We have the most sophisticated and diverse client base than probably any institution covering more than 100 countries. Our business has been constructed upon one bedrock foundation – unbiased computer analysis. These forecasts are NEVER my personal opinion. There are plenty of people who seek to argue but fail to understand it is NOT ME! Just because someone claims to be a scientist and states for or against Global Warming, really does not add up to a lot for just as when you go visit a doctor, they always tell you to get a second “opinion” because that is all you are getting.

Previously, I have reported that NASA confirmed we are going into a cooling period – not warming. They have put out a forecast of declining sunspot activity. Now NASA has come out confirming what our computer has been forecasting. They have reported that as the sun is experiencing a rapid decline in sunspots, it is also dimming in brightness or energy output. NASA’s Spaceweather station has recorded during 2017, 96 days (27%) of observing the sun have been completely absent of sunspots.

While NASA has now confirmed that the outer atmosphere is getting cooler. In fact, one of the top NASA scientists has broken camp and warned that the surface temperature of the sun has collapsed so much, he fears a new Ice Age is upon us. Meanwhile, this has been the COLDEST Thanksgiving in 150 years! Interestingly, however, is that this sudden sharp decline in the energy output of the sun coincided with the 2015.75 turning point of the Economic Confidence Model.

I have previously warned that if this trend continues during the next winter, then we have exceeded any short-term reactionary trend and the weather appears poised to continue to get colder going into the distant future. Socrates was projecting that the peak on this cycle aligned with the ECM 2015.75. This is a Longitudinal Cycle, not Transverse. That means peak to bottom varies. This short-term wave should be a 13-year decline from 2015 making it 2028 initially. After that, if we see colder winters beyond 2028, then the next low will be with the peak in the ECM 2032. There is a SERIOUS RISK that we are looking at the final low coming in during the period of 2046.

It appears we are plunging now into a deep mini ice age. There is just no way we can reverse this trend no matter how much the government regulates or increases the taxes. For the next 20 years at a minimum it’s going to get colder and colder on average. There is a very HIGH PROBABILITY that we are declining for 31 years from 2015.

What people fail to understand is that the entire weather system of our planet is extremely dynamic. Research has traced the north-south shifts of the northern-most edge of the tropics back 800 years, which was conducted by the University of Arizona-led international team. They have mapped out the fact that the Tropic Belt is also subject to cyclical movement. I have reported that in ancient times, the region we call the Sahara Desert was lush and green and there were cave drawings showing herds of animals in the region. The research has revealed that indeed the Tropic Belt has moved upward and downward over the centuries and the research has documented where it has moved for the last 800 years.

The University of Arizona wrote: “From 1568 to 1634, the tropics expanded to the north, the team found. That time period coincides with severe droughts and other disruptions of human societies, including the collapse of the Ottoman empire in Turkey, the end of the Ming Dynasty in China and near abandonment of the Jamestown Colony in Virginia…”

The Tropic Belt has been gradually moving northward since 1970. There is debate over what is even causing that. The data we hope to also run through our model to see if that also aligns with the future forecasts on climate change our model has been projecting. This too may be yet another confirming link in the outcome we must face.

 

Dec 28 2018

Death Toll from Cold Doubles & Its Not Over Yet


Armstrong Economics Blog/Climate

Re-Posted Dec 28, 2018 by Martin Armstrong

As the fake academics keep pushing the Global Warming scenarios because that justifies more taxes and they are rewarded with endless grants, I have warned that it is Global Cooling we should be concerned about. Particularly the elderly should really try to relocate to warmer territory. The death rate caused by the extreme cold that has been taking place since 2015 is now officially twice that of the year before. In Britai9n, they call it winter deaths and in Wales, the death toll has DOUBLE during 2017-18 – rising from 1,850 the year before to 3,400 and winter is not finished yet.

I cannot stress enough, if we see next year colder than this year’s winter season, get out before it is too late. This is already the sharpest decline in three years on record. If I did not move, perhaps our computers would have figured out a way to call a mover to come to get them on their own. If you have a source of trees and an ax, and the youth required, then good on y

Dec 27 2018

EU Demand a 37.5% Reduction in CO2 Output from Cars by 2030


Armstrong Economics Blog/Climate

Re-Posted Dec 27, 2018 by Martin Armstrong

The EU has shocked the auto industry and came out based upon this new round of forecasts that humans will be extinct by 2050. Cars must now become considerably more climate-friendly by 2030. The carbon dioxide emissions of new cars must fall by 37.5% compared to 2021. The negotiators of the EU member states and the European Parliament agreed on this compromise on in Brussels last week.

With regard to light commercial vehicles, a CO2 reduction of 31% was agreed upon. For both vehicle classes, however, they also imposed a reduction of 15% must be achieved by 2025 as the first stage. This agreement actually comes as a surprise to many. The requirements are far more drastic than the car industry and the German government originally wanted. Naturally, Germany was not looking for such a reduction and were hoping to cap it at 30%. But all the extinction forecasts led the alarmist to demand 40% so the 37.5% was a compromise that was substantially above the level German expected.

 

Dec 20 2018

The Absurd Theory of Rising Sea Levels is a Child’s Bedtime Story


Armstrong Economics Blog/Climate

Re-Posted Dec 20, 2018 by Martin Armstrong

QUESTION: Marty
I read your daily newsletters as the only source of real news ‘out there’
Fascinated by the report that Canadians are discovering thickening ice cover
How do I convince reporters for the much respected ‘Wired’ magazine and the Popular Mechanics website that their constant refrain of ice melts, rising sea levels et al is – well – bonkers
I just don’t get why they cannot find time to read the evidence: is there cash in it for them too? I started reading them years ago because I thought they were not part of the Deep State or in the pockets of the establishment – whats going on ?

DW

ANSWER: The entire theory is really pathetic. If this is a natural event, then the government needs to spend money to help people. If it is caused by humans, then they get to tax people to curb their behavior and save the world? This is no different than war. We invade Iraq on pretended weapons of mass destruction because it is profitable to Cheney and crew, but we do not invade North Korea who has weapons but nothing to profit from. Let’s see. Which one will I choose to get rich?

These pretend scientists who are as corrupt as Cheney in my opinion, presume that if the ice melts the sea will rise or they use that statement to make money and scare everyone. They cannot point to anything of that nature taking place in history. They also completely ignore the research of real experts on the oceans and how they function. They ignore the fact that there have been ice ages and warming periods. They fail to comprehend that if the ice melts, that is when it gets colder – NOT WARMER!. The Arctic can then begin to evaporate and that returns as snow building the glaciers. That is HOW ice ages form. These people think that if the ice melts the sea will rise and we all die so raise taxes and they will get endless grants. This is just such an absurd theory it reflects truly childish bedtime stories without a pebble of truth to build a foundation. These clowns have NO idea of how to conduct research. You follow the breadcrumbs. You do not start with a conclusion and then try to prove it.

The Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory at Columbia University back in 1956 published A theory of ice ages by Maurice Ewing and William Donn. They were the most influential oceanographers to date, yet the Global Warming people have completely ignored their work and bastardized it for political gain. A warmer Arctic Ocean would mean that water would flow more freely between it and the Atlantic, dissipating the cold making the Atlantic colder. There is the key to an Ice Age. If all the ice melted in the Arctic Ocean leaving open water that was then warmer by mixing with the Atlantic, then a warmer Arctic Ocean surrounded by colder land around it would produce evaporation and that water would then return back to the land in the form of snow. More snow that falls in Greenland and Northern Canada is what makes glaciers grow deeper. When the Arctic Ocean is covered in ice, then there is NO EVAPORATION and thus we do not move into an Ice Age – we get Global Warming which is historically when civilization expands.

It is always the same. There is a natural 13-year cycle in red tides. I simply did 15 minutes of research and asked were there any major fish kills before the United States. Up popped many accounts. So I fail to see how these people think. The first thought that runs in their mind is we caused it. They then claim it must be farmers when there were none in the 17th and 18th centuries using chemicals.

 

Dec 19 2018

Canadian Coast Guard Report Atlantic Ice is Increasing


Armstrong Economics Blog/Climate

Re-Posted Dec 18, 2018 by Martin Armstrong

The Canadian Coast Guard is reporting that the Atlantic Ice in Canada is increasing. The extreme cold temperatures and the high winds have been combining to expand the Arctic ice. There is a natural cycle to this and they have reported that the seasonal “freeze up” is occurring three to four weeks ahead of normal and above the 30-year average. This winter is once again extremely cold. It has only been in the 60/70s here in Tampa and the same is true in Abu Dhabi. If next year 2019/2020 is colder still, this will be the fourth year and at then we would decline at a bare minimum very steeply into 2021/2022, where out models on markets are predicting a shocking event. So while the pundits keep talking about Global Warming and we will all suddenly become extinct, as Todd May is a professor of philosophy at Clemson University wrote in the New York Times:

“I want to suggest, at least tentatively, both that it would be a tragedy and that it might just be a good thing.”

Categories: Climate
Dec 17 2018

How Shipping Pollutes as Much as all the Cars in the World but they are Exempt


Armstrong Economics Blog/Climate

Re-Posted Dec 17, 2018 by Martin Armstrong

COMMENT: Hi Martin,
Happy Holidays. First of all thank-you, you and Socrates are amazing, I have all the wrong instincts as a trader but since I have been following you I have finally turned that around.
Regarding global warming, I only argument I have found effective when trying discussing this topic is: If it was real, then they would do something about the oil tankers and international ships that create more pollution than all of the cars in the world. They even excluded these ships from the Paris accord, showing that its a tax on the people and that they protect the corporations.

“Countries have committed to reducing their
GHG emissions under the Paris Agreement, which aims to limit global warming to well
below 2°C above pre-industrial levels and to pursue efforts to limit the increase to
1.5°C. Despite international shipping being excluded from the Paris Agreement”
Global-shipping-Pollution
Best Regards,

JL

REPLY: This is a very good point. I see the same strategy that the Democrats use in taxation. They always claim to tax the rich. They are against any flat tax because the more deductions and exceptions encourage political donations for special treatment. Small business pays and the big business escape provided they donate money

Dec 16 2018

Blaming Humans for Everything


Armstrong Economics Blog/Climate

Re-Posted Dec 16, 2018 by Martin Armstrong

COMMENT:  Hi Martin,
while I concur with your views that humans are taking too much “credit” for climate change, I can’t say I agree with the chart you posted attributing such minimal reduction in CO2 values to eating a plant-based diet. The fact that eliminating meat from diets gets NO attention from the “it’s all our fault” climate change fraternity for me reinforces the disingenuousness of their argument. They know there’s no public support for eating a plant-based diet, so they conveniently ignore that option, which IMO would be a lot more effective than crippling the world economy with CO2 reductions in other areas. Which of course is unlikely to fix anything.

More power to your Martin.

REPLY: I really question all of these theories they put forth and how they always want to blame us for everything. If we were around with dinosaurs, we would be blamed for that as well. I look at the natural cycles of the climate. I do not think if I drive my car around the block 100 times each day it will get it even a little bit warmer. I lived in London during the 1980s when busses used diesel and in August you could not breathe. I am against pollution and I think anyone in their right mind would agree with that.

 

I wrote a piece about the Red Tide which the common theme is to blame farmers for the runoff of chemicals. I simply did my research and discovered that there were accounts of Red Tide dating back to 1648. Then during the elections, we had politicians who turned it into a political argument to vote for them to save our beaches and impose regulation to eliminate Red Tide.

People believe what they want to believe. They REFUSE to accept that Mother Nature just may have her own plan in minds and we are no more than a fly on the rear-end of an elephant with no control over where he is going.

There just seems to be a prevailing desire to always blame us for everything as if we are in complete control of nature and the planet. These people who are mounting political efforts to stop farmers from using fertilizers once again lack any comprehension of what would happen to the food supply.

It just seems that to solve any problem they always assume we caused it without the slightest bit of research into the past

Dec 16 2018

A 19 Mile Wide Meteor Crater Discovered Beneath the Ice in Greenland


Armstrong Economics Blog/Climate

Re-Posted Dec 16, 2018 by Martin Armstrong

Part of the type of events which can alter the climate besides volcanoes which tend to erupt during solar minimum as we have been heading into is meteor impacts. It has been recently confirmed that one of the largest meteor impacts some 19 miles in diameter lies hidden beneath the glacier in Greenland. It is remarkably well preserved but exactly when the impact took place is not exactly known. It is believed that the crater was formed less than 3 million years ago. This proves that there was no major ice at the time and the resulting depression was subsequently covered by ice. So, once again we have people claiming Global Warming will raise sea levels and focus their theories ONLY on post-Industrial Revolution

Dec 15 2018

Growing Food Inside


Armstrong Economics Blog/Agriculture

Re-Posted Dec 15, 2018 by Martin Armstrong

There are a number of options for growing food inside which can be considered. There are even companies that set up indoor farms for restaurants such as Farmshelf. There are various options you can explore in the world of hydroponics and vertical farms. So there are alternatives for those caught up in global cooling. It is not all doom and gloom. The technology is there and we simply need to plan ahead. As usual, these sorts of ideas will become popular only when it turns very cold