Earth at 2° hotter will be horrific. Now here’s what 4° will look like. | David Wallace-Wells


 

This post is totally crazy, I’ve posted it just to show you what the Snowflakes think is coming, and why this view is so dangerous.

Published on Mar 14, 2019

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This is what the world will be like if we do not act on climate change. – The best-case scenario of climate change is that world gets just 2°C hotter, which scientists call the “threshold of catastrophe”. – Why is that the good news? Because if humans don’t change course now, the planet is on a trajectory to reach 4°C at the end of this century, which would bring $600 trillion in global climate damages, double the warfare, and a refugee crisis 100x worse than the Syrian exodus. – David Wallace-Wells explains what would happen at an 8°C and even 13°C increase. These predictions are horrifying, but should not scare us into complacency. “It should make us focus on them more intently,” he says. David Wallace-Wells is a national fellow at the New America foundation and a columnist and deputy editor at New York magazine. He was previously the deputy editor of The Paris Review. He lives in New York City. His latest book is The Uninhabitable Earth: Life After Warming (https://goo.gl/ih35YX)

Global Warming: Was it Ever Really a Crisis?


Published on Jan 6, 2017

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Interviews from the 2009 International Conference on Climate Change .

Don’t Like the Climate? Wait a Cycle!


Published on Oct 3, 2015

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For the full supporting article and lots of background information and links, go to: http://worldcyclesinstitute.com/dont-… Climate is cyclical … like just about anything else in the Universe. Stick around long enough and you’ll experience it again. Let’s look at some examples. Each year has four seasons. I don’t think anyone would argue that fact, except maybe around the equator, where the seasons just don’t vary that much. Every year, we get these four seasons that happen right on schedule. They always have, and always will. These are cycles. Just like the tides. Now, tides are created by the moon and the sun … every twelve and a half hours. Some cycles are stronger, when the moon and sun are aligned in a row … the tides then are much larger. We call these spring tides and they happen twice a month. But what if seasons were similar? What if there were larger length seasons that cycled every twenty five years … and even larger one every hundred years. Dr. Ralph Wheeler discovered in fact, that there are. Dr. Wheeler spent his entire life analyzing weather cycles back over 20 centuries to 600 BC. He found that major climate cycles changed every 25, 100, 500, and 1000 years and that they’re fractal, which means there are smaller cycles within larger cycles. While we’ve had 25 years of very warm weather from about 1980 to 2000, the period before that was quite cool. In fact there were articles in all the major newspapers predicting a mini ice age. Well, you’re likely to see those again. Here are the four twenty-five year cycles: Spring: warm and wet, Summer, warm and dry, Fall: cool and wet, and Winter: cold and dry. (VISUAL) You can see how these are waves … more specifically sine waves. These cycles influence just about everything that happens on Earth. So, let’s look at this past century The roaring 20s were mostly wet and warm, but in 1929, it got very cold – the mercury plunged. Cold and dry has always led to tough economic times. The stock market crashed. Then the next year, 1930, was the driest year in over 150 years. It ushered in ten straight years of dry and hot – about the hottest on record: The Great Depression. Hot and dry weather in history has led to a major war, despotism, dictators, socialism, communism … Adolf Hitler, WWII. In the mid 40s, it turned warm and wet … the economy picked up and the war ended. It lasted through to the 60’s, when it started to cool down, we had the Beatles, love and flowers … great times! But in the late 60s, we turned cold and dry … and that led to a deep recession that lasted through the late 70s. Lots of newspaper articles warned about the coming ice age. But then it turned warm again, the stock market turned up, and business started to boom! It was a warm-wet spring cycle once again—that means prosperity … and that lasted through the 90s, when it also started to get dry again. These climate cycles happen so regularly, that in the 1940s Dr. Wheeler predicted the current change in climate with his drought clock. And sure enough, in 1998, the temperature started to cool and we’ve been getting cooler and dyer ever since. Here’s a chart of the temperature … flat … and starting to get cooler … and we all know how dry it is … look at California. He also predicted extreme weather in the early twenty first century because we’re at the end of an even larger five hundred year cycle. Two climate cycles are transitioning right now. That’s why we have such extreme weather. We’ve been moving from a warm dry climate generally to cold and dry. So … global warmers, you want cooler weather? … careful what you wish for … because it means really tough times economically. In fact, we’re heading into a depression … just like we have so many times before … all through history. Cool and dry is winter … it means civil wars, revolution, migration, riots, class struggles between rich and poor … society changes … with the weather … always has, always will. But the good news is that if you’re prepared, it’s a fabulous time to be alive. Great opportunities came from the 30s … they’ll come from the next ten years. We’ll have a revolution around the world but end up with more democracy, romance, simpler lifestyles, and change for the better we can’t even imagine. Climate is cyclical. Don’t like the weather? Wait a few decades.

Canadian Extremists Want to Sue all the Oil Companies for Causing Climate Change


In Canada, the left is urging lawsuits against oil companies to force them to pay for all the damage to the climate. Honestly, the oil companies should announce that they will layoff all Canadians and shut down all operations in Canada. Perhaps then these extremists will get what it means to go without oil: no more heating your home, no more driving to work, and no more food production for there will be no way to get the food to market. If you wanted to flee Canada, you would have to do so only with what you could carry in a backpack.

We are in Global Cooling!! not warming !!


Published on Mar 8, 2017

The following is a comment I have added.

I agree with the basic premise of Murray; but I have one correction we are in a pause not a mini ice age. The long cycle is likely not to go down, easing all the previous increase for another ~100 years we are only ~900 years into the ~1000 year primary cycle.  The base we are measuring from is 14.0 Degrees Celsius (an arbitrary number) and the 2.0 Degrees Celsius limit that is the point of no return according to AOC is from that point.  We are now just under 15.0 Degrees Celsius so there is only 1.0 Degrees Celsius  of their buffer left.  The following charge shows a simple statistical projection based on current NOAA and NASA data. The chart is in percentages but it shows us that the amount of heat in the atmosphere is not likely to exceed 160 Degrees Celsius until after 2050 so all the projects are going to be 100% wrong!

 

The 8.6-Year Cycle in the Sun & Solar


Solar storms are important events yet they come in different sizes and different types. They are caused by disturbances on the Sun, and are most often coronal clouds associated with coronal mass ejections (CMEs) that are produced by solar flares emanating from active sunspot regions. They can also erupt from rarer coronal holes. Solar filaments (solar prominences) may in fact also trigger CMEs. What is interesting is that putting the data into our computer produced an 8.6-year cycle that operated in intensity peaking every 224 years. Here is the list of the major solar storms:

2225 BC
1485 BC
≈660 BC
95 AD
265 AD
774–775 carbon-14 spike  (“Red Crucifix” aurora event over British Isles)
993-994 carbon-14 spike (Intense auroras that migrated south during the 990s)
1460 AD
1505 AD
1707 AD
1709 AD
1719 AD

There was a very major storm in 660 BC as well as the Red Crucifix event of 774/775 AD. The event of 774 is the strongest spike over the last 11,000 years in the record of cosmogenic isotopes, but it is not unique by far. Nevertheless, the event of 774/775 AD appears to have been global, with the same carbon-14 signal found in tree rings from Japan, Germany, Russia, the United States, and New Zealand. A similar event occurred in 993 or 994, but it was only 0.6 times as strong and also in 660 BC.

The intensity follows a cycle of 224 years in duration which comports to the same time frame that revealed the Economic Confidence Model. The period of 224 years divided by 26 financial waves of panic revealed the frequency of 8.6-years which was a derivative of Pi – 3,145 days. There are events which take place on the half and quarter cycle events as well, but of course, they differ in intensity. It appears to have also signaled the shift in the sun would have taken place about 2006. Indeed, Sunspot 905 during 2006 showed up warning that the field was reversing the magnetic polarity. With the aura once again moving south, it appears that we are headed into a phase where solar storms will increase. The sunspots have declined sharply 8.6 years later and this warns we may have strange weather into 2024.

Climate Change & Democrats Refuse to Vote


Despite all the outrageous rhetoric from AOC and her New Green Deal, Majority Leader Mitch McConnell brought the Green New Deal resolution up for a vote without any hearings after a brief floor debate. He wanted the world to see that shutting down all air transportation and ending anything with fossil fuels would not go well with the American people. So McConnell gave the Democrats in the Senate their chance to show the world just how extreme they have become.

Yes, McConnell wanted to allow the Democrats to show everyone their agenda as environmental radicals. The Democrats blinked and voted “present, so they refused to go on record for this New Green Deal that would have no doubt been used in 2020 against them. However, with this stunt, they are claiming that they can be for it or against it since they refused to vote. How will a voter even know what they stand for? Do you vote for a person who then wants to end all air travel? One would think that is a fairly radical proposal that warrants a clear response.

A Technical Study in the Relationships of Solar Flux, Water, Carbon Dioxide and Global Temperatures, February 2019


From the attached report on climate change for February 2019 we have the two charts showing how much has the global temperature actually gone up since we started to measure CO2 in the atmosphere? To show this graphically Chart 8 was constructed by plotting CO2 as a percent increase from when it was first measured in 1958, the Black plot, the scale is on the left and it shows CO2 going up about 30.0% from 1958 to February of 2019. That is a very large change as anyone would have to agree.  Now how about temperature, well when we look at the percentage change in temperature from 1958, using Kelvin (which does measure the change in heat), we find that the changes in global temperature (heat) are almost un-measurable. The scale on the right side had to be expanded 10 times (the range is 40 % on the left and 4% on the right) to be able to see the plot in the same chart in any detail. The red plot, starting in 1958, shows that the thermal energy in the earth’s atmosphere increased by .30%; while CO2 has increased by 30.0% which is 100 times that of the increase in temperature. So is there really a meaningful link between them that would give as a major problem? The numbers tell us no there isn’t.

The next chart is Chart 8a which is the same as Chart 8 except for the scales which are the same for both CO2 and Temperature. As you see the increase in energy, heat, is not visually observably in this chart hence the need for the previous chart 8 to show the minuscule increase in thermal energy shown by NASA in relationship to the change in CO2. Based to these trends, determined by excel not me, in 2028 CO2 will be 428 ppm and temperatures will be 15.0o Celsius and in 2038 CO2 will be 458 ppm and temperatures will be 15.6O Celsius. This is what the data shows no matter what the reasons are, so I have no idea how the IPCC gets to predict that the world will end in ten or twenty years.

The full 37 page report explains how these charts were developed and why using NASA and NOAA data are used with out change to prove that The New Green Deal is not required and any attempt to compliment that plan will be a world wide disaster.

Click on the link below for the full report that you can download.

BLACKBODY TEMPERATURE

Greenland Glacier has been Growing for the past 2 years & it will Probably end up 3 for 3 when this season ends


COMMENT: Mr. Armstrong; It is clear that your computer is really amazing. I was just ready how the Greenland Glacier is expanding, not melting. What you have accomplished by seeking to eliminate yourself is really a major contribution to society.

Job well done, sir.

PH

REPLY: Thank you. A number of people have read the same article and have been sending it in. I would like to also thank all the people who have dome sone and your comments. It is so important to eliminate bias. I moved to Florida trying to find Global Warming. To me, it is just stunning how people do not understand that everything has a cycle from weather to why we must eventually die. The Greenland glacier 2012 was retreating about 1.8 miles back in 2012 annually. However, as the climate has been getting colder nor for the third year, interestingly enough, the Greenland Glacier has begun to grow in mass once again.

This is NOT a forecast I want to see happen. I hate cold. So I do not enjoy even having to say see I told you so. Wish I was wrong on this one.

World In Midst of Carbon Drought (w/ Prof. William Happer, Princeton University)


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We’re in a carbon drought. That is according to Professor William Happer of Princeton University. The renowned physicist says when it comes to carbon dioxide, there’s more good than bad. He goes on to say most of carbon dioxide’s effect has already happened. He points to the logarithmic dependence of temperature on carbon dioxide levels. Happer says the unique properties of carbon dioxide mean that current levels would need to double for another one-degree increase in temperature and they’d have to double again for another one degree rise.