Mid-Day Election Return Discussion Thread….


Posted originally on The Conservative Tree house on November 4, 2020 by sundance

The presidential race is in a state of flux as several key state contests remain undecided.  There are numerous ballot issues and discrepancies being reported in Wisconsin, Arizona and Michigan.  It still seems likely Georgia and North Carolina will add to President Trump’s electoral tally; and there is a possibility Arizona’s current result (in favor of Joe Biden) may change depending on outstanding ballots yet to be counted.

Upon exiting the Constitutional Convention in 1787 Benjamin Franklin was approached by a group of citizens asking what sort of government the delegates had created. His answer was: “A republic, if you can keep it.” The brevity of that response should not cause us to under-value its essential meaning: democratic republics are not merely founded upon the consent of the people, they are also absolutely dependent upon the active and informed involvement of the people for their continued good health.

Current electoral count is Biden 227 -vs- Trump 213 [270 needed to win]

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Florida Governor Ron DeSantis Discusses Election Results and the Machinery of Democracy…


Posted originally on the Conservative Tree House on November 4, 2020 by sundance

Florida Governor Ron DeSantis contrasts the successful and seamless running of the election in his state last night -without controversy or issue- against the inability of several other states to hold elections with integrity and public confidence.  He has a point.

After removing the sketchy county supervisors of elections, suddenly the Florida vote tallying becomes a seamless operation.  Additionally, DeSantis openly and very critically calls out media –including Fox News by name– for their manipulative intents.

Election Night Turns to Post Election Day – Outcome Remains Unknown….


Posted originally on The Conservative Tree Hose on November 4, 2020 by sundance

The election results are still unknown as the sun rises on November 4, 2020. The presidential race is in a state of flux as several key state contests remain undecided. Georgia and North Carolina are likely to be added to President Trump’s electoral tally; and there is a possibility Arizona’s current result in favor of Joe Biden may change depending on outstanding mail-in ballots.

Michigan, Wisconsin and Pennsylvania all reported a cessation of ballot counting shortly after midnight. However, some returns were updated.  At this point we all watch and wait to see what those key states do with their outstanding ballots.

Current electoral count is Biden 227 -vs- Trump 213 [270 needed to win]

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The Lessons of the 2020 Election


Armstrong Economics Blog/Politics Re-Posted Nov 4, 2020 by Martin Armstrong

The election is still not decided, but there are MAJOR lessons to emerge.

LESSON #1

Hillary outspent Trump in 2016 and lost. Bloomberg pouring over $100 million into Florida to defeat Trump and lost. The Democrats poured money in from around the country and spent $104 million to defeat Lyndsey Grahm and lost. The same story is appearing from around the country. The lesson to be learned:

Money cannot buy Love nor Elections!

LESSON #2

The pollsters are biased and are worthless. They claimed this was going to be a Blue Sweep and they would take the Senate, gain seats in the House, and storm the White House. The Democrats lost seats in the House and failed to take the Senate. And as for the White House, this is precisely as Socrates forecast – it would be a very close election neck & neck. They are ALWAYS wrong. They claimed Biden would take Florida and Trump won by a huge margin. South Carolina, they claimed Lydnsey Grahm would be defeated because he supported Trump and he not only won, but Trump won that state by a 14% margin.

Pollsters are Propaganda Agents Trying to Manipulate the Public

In our Special Report on the elections, we provided all the models out for years ahead. When it came to 2020, we warned that the first four models which were unanimous for Trump in 2016, were skewed 3:1 in favor of Biden this time in 2020. We showed the first 6 models and wrote:

“What we are showing overall is a much tighter race than perhaps the polls suggest putting Biden 12% ahead.”

You can see why our political reports are more reliable than polls and have long been subscribed to by political forces around the world. We do not canvas opinions and they do not reflect my personal opinion. That is simply not the way to forecast anything. This drives home the point that pollsters are simply now biased and being paid to put out fake projections in an effort to steer votes. They did that in Britain with the BREXIT vote where Socrates was again correct and all the pollsters were wrong.

We do not need to call people to ask: By the way, do you hate Trump as we do? The numbers are the number no different than markets because forecasting markets and the economy is really forecasting human nature and what they will do next. It is all the same to Socrates. Of course, mainstream media will NEVER report what Socrates does, because it is against their own agenda. The day he any of the mainstream media ever report on the success of Socrates will show there must be a major shake-up in management. They are no more reliable than pollsters anymore.

Why Smart Money will Sell Stocks in Front of a Biden Victory Because of Taxes


Armstrong Economics Blog/Politics Re-Posted Nov 3, 2020 by Martin Armstrong

A Biden victory or even a continued round of uncertainty into early December may set off a serious liquidation before year-end. The risk of a significant tax increase next year under the Democrats would warn that you better take whatever capital gains you have this year. Some state like California has extended their ballot counting to 17 days past election day. We are looking at simply uncertainly in many respects. In a tight election and so many aspects up in the air, we can easily see this election end up in the US Supreme Court.

While some try to pretend that the market will rally under Biden, that is very unlikely with significant tax increases both on investors and corporations. A Biden victory may follow the traditional 2-year decline into 2022 which follows an 11 years rally. A decline in the market in the midst of uncertainty cannot be ruled out simply because it would be prudent to sell in 2020 before even a possible Democratic victory which unfolds with a 2021 economic seachange.

The Insanity of This Election


Armstrong Economics Blog/Politics Re-Posted Nov 3, 2020 by Martin Armstrong

The Democrats have turned up the hatred against Republicans to new heights. They are demonizing Trump and constantly alleging he was falsely elected, and they are certain to do the same this time around. They have divided the country deeply and Trump has failed to drain the swamp. Glen Greenwald has come out and stated that the CIA was trying to overthrow Trump. There is so much internal division within the bureaucracy that a Trump victory will be by no means harmonious. He will face internal efforts as a coup continues, and 2022 does not look like a very good year.

Make no mistake about it; REGARDLESS of who wins the election, the other side will NOT accept a loss. The Democrats have been trying desperately to join this Western Coup of the Great Reset, and this is why they are funded by Soros and inspired by Bill Gates. There is no way they will simply sit on their hands. Soros will probably not even be alive for the next election in 2024. Bill Gates will be unless someone assassinates him as they at least tried with Adolf Hitler.

We are by no means heading back to the way things were. Europe is adopting the Great Reset 120%. They are banning short-term air flights and are basically banning chemicals in food production, which will only complete our model. We are looking at food shortages and famine on a global scale. Famine is already beginning in Africa, and this may simply be part of this diabolical plan against humanity to reduce the population.

Trump will stand up against this trend, but he also has so many within the government plotting to stab him in the back. Ballots are vanishing; people are discovering they voted when they did not. I have never seen any election in history this corrupt. No wonder gun sales are at record highs and ammunition is nowhere to be found. Either way, we will see violence post-election, so batten down the hatches.

We are Getting Reports of a Terrorist Attack in Vienna – No details as of Yet


Armstrong Economics Blog/Civil Unrest Re-Posted Nov 2, 2020 by Martin Armstrong

Greenwald Forced to Resign as the Intercept Protects Biden Censoring all Hunter Biden


Armstrong Economics Blog/Press Re-Posted Oct 29, 2020 by Martin Armstrong

I seriously think there is no human being who could have honestly forecast that this election would be the most corrupt election in American history years in advance. What is going on is far beyond what I think anyone would have ever imagined. If you wrote a book outlining this, it would have been rejected by any editor as not even believable.

Now Glen Greenwald has resigned from the Intercept which would not allow him to publish articles on the Hunter Biden scandal. It was Greenwald who literally risked his life to publish the Edward Snowden material. Under this censorship today, neither the Snowden nor even Watergate would be permitted to be published.

Greenwald wrote:

“The same trends of repression, censorship and ideological homogeneity plaguing the national press generally have engulfed the media outlet I co-founded, culminating in censorship of my own articles.”

Democrats have Always been Against the Catholics


Armstrong Economics Blog/Politics Re-Posted Oct 19, 2020 by Martin Armstrong

Biden’s Bodyguards


This has got to Stop or we have Lost our Country

Hard core tyranny has arrived in the United States. Thanks to the coup-minded Democrats, it has been creeping up on us after Trump was elected president. Now we have full-on Chinese-style stifling of free speech. Congress and the Deep State Swamp are complicit and have done nothing to protect our First Amendment.

Try using Google to find a story deemed ‘politically incorrect’ by the Swamp. You will be redirected to their own narrative that they deem factual. It’s the same with science. You are only allowed to know the data from the scientists of their choosing. Facebook won’t allow anything else to be posted on their platform.

Twitter has banned the New York Post after that publication revealed smoking gun details of Hunter Biden’s Ukraine graft involving his father. Censoring real journalism is a disgrace.

All speech should be free. People are allowed to express hatred. Dirty books should be allowed to be sold at smut shops. But political speech is the most important. It’s paramount and yet it’s going away on social media, aided and abetted by our own government and tax dollars. The CIA helped Facebook get started. They worked with Zuckerberg because they knew such a platform would provide them with a honeypot of private information. The CIA has gone rogue. It has been corrupted (perhaps inevitably) by power-mad operatives just as those running the FBI are corrupt. Now our social media has succumbed to the same kind of tyranny.

Don’t like it? Start your own Facebook. Or Twitter. Or Google. That’s what we’re told, anyway. Most of us do not have a few billion dollars handy to do it. We may as well be told to start our own CIA or FBI. Why not start our own Federal Reserve? The other independent social media platforms that have tried to offer free speech will eventually succumb to tyrannical control. They will be bought out, shut down, or sued into bankruptcy.

We live in a new, high-tech age and social media have become our town square. It shouldn’t be turned into ‘Red Square” by the globo-socialists.

—Ben Garrison