Sunday Talks: Democrat Representative David Cicilline Discusses Marxist Economic Priorities – Siege Agenda to Eliminate Trump…


Success in the midterm election secured power for House Democrats.  The discussion then moves to how are the democrats going to use that power?  Representative David Cicilline, co-chair of the Democratic Policy and Communications Committee, indicates their intended set of priorities in a series of Sunday talking points.

Democrats in the House intend to raise taxes on individuals and corporations; roll back the MAGAnomic policy for corporate tax incentives (investment, jobs, and manufacturing) and create a bigger gap between low and top income earners through their spending controls.  In essence, Democrats take control over income earnings (via tax policy) and distribute it to their constituents based on need. [Historic Fabian approach]

Simultaneously, the House committees (Oversight, Judiciary, Intel, Finance) will begin immediate investigations of the Trump administration, writ large, and -using those investigations- secure the pathway to the 2020 election cycle.

.

Cecilline admits OUR CTH PROJECTION is entirely accurate.

Unfortunately, we have solid references to base these predictions on – because there’s a solid frame of reference from the 2006 midterm and the subsequent consequences we saw in 2007, 2008, 2009, 2010.

If we take the empirical 2006 example as the starting point and overlay the 2018 landscape to modernize the predictive model, what results is a most likely scenario.

First, any intellectually honest review must overlay the current political environment.  In 2018 the scale of unchecked lawless behavior is a significant influence toward the differences we can expect from the last time Democrat/Marxists held congressional power. The term “Democrat-socialism”, in essence a Marxist approach, is now the dominant fuel within the professional DNC  political operations.

When the Democrats last held power in 2006, their actionable objective was toward a far-left, Saul Alinsky-type aggressive tone and influence; however, there was a need to couch that intention as they positioned Senator Barack Obama for the 2008 presidential election.

In 2006 the radicals, needed to downplay their radicalism.  In 2018 the severity and aggression of the left, as assisted by the dropping of all media pretense, no longer needs to hide the intention.  When Democrat-Marxists take control in January of 2019 they no longer need to couch the extremism, the American electorate have been prepped.

Secondly, it cannot be overstated how violent and confrontational the House of Representatives will be as soon as they are sworn in.  They will work with an immediate purposeful intention. All political violence will be approved to attain their objectives.  The recent behavior of Jim Acosta (CNN media), and ANTIFA toward Tucker Carlson, is now, and will be going forward, the new normal.

There will be extreme political violence.

In 2006 it was the SEIU and AFSCME union foot-soldiers who smashed windows, advanced upon polling places and engaged in the most severe examples of voter fraud and intimidation.  In 2018, with the help of uber-Alinsky DNC Chairman Tom Perez, that corrupt sentiment is now institutionalized within democrat-socialist political apparatus.  ANTIFA is now the DNC grassroots activist approach.

Failing to accept the severity of this shift in the past decade is intellectually dishonest.  As Nancy Pelosi said of the Occupy Wall Street violent anarchists: “God bless these people.”  Indeed the OWS precursor to ANTIFA were laying the groundwork for the new severity of power in Democrat leadership.  Nothing is out-of-bounds; no level of corrupt behavior will be avoided; everything will happen openly and without any backlash from a compliant media apparatus; the social fabric will be shredded.

The Democrat mantra: “never let a crisis go to waste” is the modern version of the Fabian-Socialist: “remould it nearer to the heart’s desire“.

[Fabian Window  –>]

Both approaches rely upon the destruction of acceptable norms in order to advance the political objective.

Specifics: When Democrats last took power in January 2007, Nancy Pelosi and Steny Hoyer took control in the final two years of George Bush second term.  Immediately they set about a process laying the groundwork for the 2008 presidential election of Barack Obama.  This was a priority objective.

One of the techniques was the removal of the budget process. By eliminating the federal budget process in 2007 (fiscal year ’08) the Democrats paved the way for the next democrat president to demand massive open-ended spending.

By the time the year of the general election came around (2008), the lengthy budget process was replaced with Omnibus spending bills (fiscal year 2009).  Obviously when Obama was successfully installed in November of 2008, the useful crisis was financial. The subsequent TARP bailout, auto bailout, ARRA ($1 trillion stimulus) and QE1 were all accomplished with massive omnibus spending packages.

[NOTE: These are important references because from that moment forward, despite the GOP taking back control in January 2011, the constraining budgetary process was forever destroyed. There was never regular-order budgetary spending again.]

It is also critical to emphasize the difference between Democrats taking control in the last two years of Bush’s second term, and Democrats taking control in the last two years of Trump’s first term.  Within this difference you will predictably see a shift in strategic operations from the Marxists.

George W Bush was exiting, and unlimited spending was used to empower the entry of Obama; however, now the Marxists need to knee-cap President Trump by weaponizing the power of the purse – the biggest weapon of the House of Representatives.

After a ten year UniParty hiatus the Marxists will now go back to using budgets in the structural defunding and dismantling of ICE (Immigration and Customs Enforcement), the Southern Border Wall, and any program, initiative, policy or institution the Marxists want to see removed.   This is a strategy of the Democrat crisis-makers; and they are exceptionally better at achieving their desired results than Republicans.

When it comes to political weaponization and political power constructs the Marxists have exceptional work ethics; they will outwork anyone on the other side who opposes them.  They are far, far, better at political strategy and scheme than conservative politicians.  Part of the reason for their success is that crooks, cons and swindlers are far more cunning than honorable, virtuous and moral people.  It is unfortunate, but true; and the same truth applies beyond politics.

♦ Two other thoughts on this issue.  First, you might remember when this massive spending, and the government takeover of healthcare, led to the Marxists losing the 2010 midterm election in a massive defeat.   But do you remember what the democrats did in the lame-duck congress between November 2010 and January 2011?

Does the term “Porkulous” ring a bell?

While 63 democrat seats were lost in the November 2010 election (and six democrat senate seats), those exiting Marxists, despite just having suffered the worst defeat in almost 100 years, audaciously –and apologetically– voted in the December 2010 lame-duck session, to fully fund President Obama’s next two years in office.  This was done by Speaker Nancy Pelosi specifically to block the incoming GOP wave from upending the priorities of the Obama administration in 2011.  That was called the “Porkulous” spending bill; and the democrat-marxists didn’t give a snit about how it looked.

Now, do you think Speaker Paul Ryan will do anything as bold to fund and secure the budgetary priorities of President Donald Trump in this lame-duck?

Secondly, about the overall unilateral commitment and cunning historically displayed by the Marxists.  They are so committed to the long-term view they are willing to sacrifice anything for the biggest, most consequential, advances toward their objectives.  In 2010 the democrats killed their own “blue-dog” coalition to advance their ideological goals.

Within the 63 House seats the Marxists lost in that 2010 midterm election; they killed off the entire 40 member Bart Stupak coalition; the blue-dog caucus.  Totally willing to sacrifice 40 seats to attain a generational ideological objective (ObamaCare); and they are about to step back into power a mere eight years later.  Stunning when you think about it.

In my opinion few Americans have any idea just how bad these next two years are going to be. It’s not our fault.

The majority of Americans are normal people who work earnestly to take care of their families and watch over the future for their children and grandchildren.  Most Americans don’t spend every moment of their day scheming, conniving, and developing plans to dismantle the lives of your freedom loving community and rebuild it as a collective society.

For these Democrat-Marxists who are about to take power that’s all they do.   Every moment of their existence they spend thinking about how to gain power and dominate, 24/7/365 ; it really is all they do.

This is their utopian model:

The Distrust of Government


 

In Florida, the vote was very close. Ron DeSantis got nearly 40,000 more votes than socialist Andrew Gillum in the Florida governor’s race. Then Rick Scott over 15,000 more votes than Bill Nelson in the Senate race. Florida’s secretary of state ordered a recount Saturday afternoon for the elections for governor and U.S. Senate. Both races remain within the 0.5-percent margin of victory that triggers an automatic recount under state law.

Clearly, with the recount for Governor and the Senate, the election is just not over. This is quite amazing but it reflects just how divided the nation has become. As the political chaos continues, we just may see the distrust of government send more and more capital fleeing from government bonds to equities.

The warning signs are there always. Of course, if the Democrats come in under 47 in the Senate, we should expect that we are headed into a political shift that people never saw coming. Trump’s election has now been validated. The Republicans who retired because they did not support Trump, like Speaker Ryan, completely misread the warning signs. They may think they can hide their head in the sand, but there will be no place to hide.

So get ready and buckle up. We may not have yet resolved the US elections, but we now have to turn and look at Europe. Welcome to the new interesting times. How everything shakes out will determine where capital flees to next

Florida Governor Rick Scott Discusses Transparent Ballot Fraud Ongoing, Yet Again, In Well Known, Corrupt, Broward County….


Anyone with a reasonable amount of political knowledge is aware that within Florida the epicenter of voter fraud takes place in Broward and Palm Beach counties.  Both of these areas are not just filled with corrupt election officials; as was noted in the background of the Parkland school shooting, every element of county and city government is corrupt.

Broward County Supervisor of Elections, Brenda Snipes, has an exhaustively documented history of rampant and ‘in-your-face’ unapologetic fraud within the election process.  In the latest example, Snipes is once again producing ballots -filled out by her political operatives- long after the election is over.  Everyone in Florida knows the Snipes routine.

Brenda Snipes keeps “her peopleworking to produce ballots until law enforcement arrive.  Once she is confronted she shouts “racism”, and officials back away allowing the corruption to continue.  This process has worked very well for her in the past and she is openly compensated by left-wing political operations for her efforts.  In the 2016 election the Hillary Clinton campaign paid Brenda Snipes to send two ballots to every democrat.

So it doesn’t come as a surprise to see Ms. Snipes at the center of the operation to steal yet another set of election in 2018; the objective this time is to give the governors race and senate race to the democrat party…  Prior endeavors in 2012 and 2014 were successful.

What We Can Expect With a Democrat-Marxist Controlled House of Representatives….


CTH has received multiple requests for a review of predictable consequences as a result of the midterm election.  Thankfully, and perhaps unfortunately, we have solid references to base these predictions on – because there’s a solid frame of reference from the 2006 midterm and the subsequent consequences we saw in 2007, 2008, 2009, 2010.

If we take the empirical 2006 example as the starting point and overlay the 2018 landscape to modernize the predictive model, what results is a most likely scenario.

First, any intellectually honest review must overlay the current political environment.  In 2018 the scale of unchecked lawless behavior is a significant influence toward the differences we can expect from the last time Democrat/Marxists held congressional power. The term “Democrat-socialism”, in essence a Marxist approach, is now the dominant fuel within the professional DNC  political operations.

When the Democrats last held power in 2006, their actionable objective was toward a far-left, Saul Alinsky-type aggressive tone and influence; however, there was a need to couch that intention as they positioned Senator Barack Obama for the 2008 presidential election.

In 2006 the radicals, needed to downplay their radicalism.  In 2018 the severity and aggression of the left, as assisted by the dropping of all media pretense, no longer needs to hide the intention.  When Democrat-Marxists take control in January of 2019 they no longer need to couch the extremism, the American electorate have been prepped.

Secondly, it cannot be overstated how violent and confrontational the House of Representatives will be as soon as they are sworn in.  They will work with an immediate purposeful intention. All political violence will be approved to attain their objectives.  The recent behavior of Jim Acosta (CNN media), and ANTIFA toward Tucker Carlson, is now, and will be going forward, the new normal.

There will be extreme political violence.

In 2006 it was the SEIU and AFSCME union foot-soldiers who smashed windows, advanced upon polling places and engaged in the most severe examples of voter fraud and intimidation.  In 2018, with the help of uber-Alinsky DNC Chairman Tom Perez, that corrupt sentiment is now institutionalized within democrat-socialist political apparatus.  ANTIFA is now the DNC grassroots activist approach.

Failing to accept the severity of this shift in the past decade is intellectually dishonest.  As Nancy Pelosi said of the Occupy Wall Street violent anarchists: “God bless these people.”  Indeed the OWS precursor to ANTIFA were laying the groundwork for the new severity of power in Democrat leadership.  Nothing is out-of-bounds; no level of corrupt behavior will be avoided; everything will happen openly and without any backlash from a compliant media apparatus; the social fabric will be shredded.

The Democrat mantra: “never let a crisis go to waste” is the modern version of the Fabian-Socialist: “remould it closer to the heart’s desire“.  Both approaches rely upon the destruction of acceptable norms in order to advance the political objective.

Specifics: When Democrats last took power in January 2007, Nancy Pelosi and Steny Hoyer took control in the final two years of George Bush second term.  Immediately they set about a process laying the groundwork for the 2008 presidential election of Barack Obama.  This was a priority objective.

One of the techniques was the removal of the budget process. By eliminating the federal budget process in 2007 (fiscal year ’08) the Democrats paved the way for the next democrat president to demand massive open-ended spending.

By the time the year of the general election came around (2008), the lengthy budget process was replaced with Omnibus spending bills (fiscal year 2009).  Obviously when Obama was successfully installed in November of 2008, the useful crisis was financial. The subsequent TARP bailout, auto bailout, ARRA ($1 trillion stimulus) and QE1 were all accomplished with massive omnibus spending packages.

[NOTE: These are important references because from that moment forward, despite the GOP taking back control in January 2011, the constraining budgetary process was forever destroyed. There was never regular-order budgetary spending again.]

It is also critical to emphasize the difference between Democrats taking control in the last two years of Bush’s second term, and Democrats taking control in the last two years of Trump’s first term.  Within this difference you will predictably see a shift in strategic operations from the Marxists.

George W Bush was exiting, and unlimited spending was used to empower the entry of Obama; however, now the Marxists need to knee-cap President Trump by weaponizing the power of the purse – the biggest weapon of the House of Representatives.

After a ten year UniParty hiatus the Marxists will now go back to using budgets in the structural defunding and dismantling of ICE (Immigration and Customs Enforcement), the Southern Border Wall, and any program, initiative, policy or institution the Marxists want to see removed.   This is a strategy of the Democrat crisis-makers; and they are exceptionally better at achieving their desired results than Republicans.

When it comes to political weaponization and political power constructs the Marxists have exceptional work ethics; they will outwork anyone on the other side who opposes them.  They are far, far, better at political strategy and scheme than conservative politicians.  Part of the reason for their success is that crooks, cons and swindlers are far more cunning than honorable, virtuous and moral people.  It is unfortunate, but true; and the same truth applies beyond politics.

♦ Two other thoughts on this issue.  First, you might remember when this massive spending, and the government takeover of healthcare, led to the Marxists losing the 2010 midterm election in a massive defeat.   But do you remember what the democrats did in the lame-duck congress between November 2010 and January 2011?

Does the term “Porkulous” ring a bell?

While 63 democrat seats were lost in the November 2010 election (and six democrat senate seats), those exiting Marxists, despite just having suffered the worst defeat in almost 100 years, audaciously –and apologetically– voted in the December 2010 lame-duck session, to fully fund President Obama’s next two years in office.  This was done by Speaker Nancy Pelosi specifically to block the incoming GOP wave from upending the priorities of the Obama administration in 2011.  That was called the “Porkulous” spending bill; and the democrat-marxists didn’t give a snit about how it looked.

Now, do you think Speaker Paul Ryan will do anything as bold to fund and secure the budgetary priorities of President Donald Trump in this lame-duck?

Secondly, about the overall unilateral commitment and cunning historically displayed by the Marxists.  They are so committed to the long-term view they are willing to sacrifice anything for the biggest, most consequential, advances toward their objectives.  In 2010 the democrats killed their own “blue-dog” coalition to advance their ideological goals.

Within the 63 House seats the Marxists lost in that 2010 midterm election; they killed off the entire 40 member Bart Stupak coalition; the blue-dog caucus.  Totally willing to sacrifice 40 seats to attain a generational ideological objective (ObamaCare); and they are about to step back into power a mere eight years later.  Stunning when you think about it.

In my opinion few reading this have any idea just how bad these next two years are going to be. It’s not your fault.  We are the normal people who don’t spend every moment of our day scheming, conniving, and developing plans to dismantle the lives of your freedom loving community and rebuild it as a collective society.  For these Marxists who are about to take power that’s all they do.   Every moment of their existence they spend thinking about how to gain power and dominate, 24/7/365  that’s all they do.

Lastly, future predictions: Michael Bloomberg will be the Democrat/Marxist nominee for 2020.  There will be a field of candidates; but the professional Democrat machine will run the splitter strategy, and the back-room crowd who really control the elements of power have already pre-selected their nominee, Michael Bloomberg.  Marxists always have the plan mapped out well in advance. (A woman will be the VP nominee)

If you start now looking at what actions the Marxists are taking, through the prism of their goal being President Michael Bloomberg, lots of things will make a lot more sense.

Antifa Threatening Fox Host Family at their Home Mentioning Using a Pipe Bomb


The left is getting very violent for now an Antifa mob gathered outside of Fox New’s anchor Tucker Carlson’s home Wednesday night in Washington, DC. They were chanting: “Tucker Carlson, we will fight. We know where you sleep at night.” In a video they posted online, these people who think it is alright to use violence against what they think whatever is fascistic demonstrates just how serious the future will be They were yelling “racist scumbag, leave town!” There do not even understand what racism is for there are ONLY four races – black, red, yellow, and white. Mexican is not a race any more than being an American is a race. How stupid these people are is beyond belief.

Carlson’s wife, Susie, was home alone. She was frightened, hid in a pantry, and then called the police. They actually broke one of his doors and the group could be heard mentioning a pipe bomb on a security video. They have scared his family and his four children. He said he never thought twice about leaving his children home, but now he does. This is what is taking place and as this Antifa movement expands, they are simply becoming criminals pretending to be anti-racist.

The Antifa Movement is spreading nationwide. It is becoming violent and we should expect more of this over the next two years which may culminate in major political violence in 2020.

Whoopsie – Must Listen: Michigan Reporter Calls Senate Candidate John James Voicemail, Accidentally Didn’t Hang Up….


As much as this is hilarious to hear, there is also a serious aspect. Republican candidate John James is in a close race in Michigan with incumbent Senator Debbie Stabenow.

A reporter named Brenda Battel from the Huron Daily Tribune calls Michigan Senate Candidate John James to schedule an interview. She leaves a voicemail with the details of her request, then…. accidentally didn’t hang up the phone correctly; so the recording continues to pick up her comments.

What you hear next, after Ms. Battel thinks she has hung up, is the personification of media bias. Listen:

.

UPDATE: Mrs. Battel is fired by the newspaper.

TRIBUNE FIRES STAFF WRITER

“I have listened to the voicemail left by Brenda Battel to Mr. James’ campaign, and find no reason to defend this behavior,” said Kate Hessling, editor of the Huron Daily Tribune. “Brenda Battel’s employment has been immediately terminated.

“The Huron Daily Tribune sincerely apologizes to Mr. James and to the public. These statements do not represent the views of the Tribune as a whole, nor do they reflect the actions of a responsible journalist.”

(read link)

Former Obama Campaign Worker Arrested for Neo-Nazi Graffiti Writing “Kill All Jews” on Brooklyn Synagogue…


The New York Police have arrested James Polite (26), the man in this surveillance picture, in connection with anti Semitic graffiti found inside Union Temple in Prospect Heights. He’s believed to have also set fires outside schuls & yeshivas in Williamsburg. (link)

However, given the increased attention to hate crimes against the Jewish community, conspicuously missing from most media reporting on the arrest is the background of 26-year-old James Polite which was detailed in a 2017 New York Times article:

2017 – Mr. Polite, now 25, still believed that college was the best next step. He found encouragement as a volunteer in his teens, registering voters and canvassing neighborhoods in New York City during Barack Obama’s first presidential bid. Mentors on the campaign trail urged him to pursue higher education.

In 2008, at a gay pride rally for Mr. Obama, Mr. Polite met Christine C. Quinn, then the City Council speaker.  (link)

Christine Quinn @chriscquinn

PROSPECT HEIGHTS, Brooklyn (WABC) — Police have made an arrest after disturbing messages of hate were found inside a Brooklyn synagogue Thursday evening, the latest in a string of anti-Semitic incidents across the nation.

James Polite, 26, is charged with four counts of criminal mischief as a hate crime and making graffiti.

Authorities said Friday that Polite was sent to Woodhull Hospital for psychiatric observation.

Polite is also charged with a string of arson fires in Williamsburg, including one at a yeshiva and another at a Jewish banquet hall.

Graffiti inside the Union Temple on Eastern Parkway in Prospect Heights read “Kill all Jews” and “Hitler,” along with some other horribly offensive language.  (read more)

December 17, 2017 – New York Times biography

US Political 2018 Midterm Elections


 

On the one hand, the Midterm Elections really mean nothing. The Democrats cannot reverse their declining trend since they peaked with FDR, and the Republicans cannot deliver the final death blow to the Democrats to put them out of their Marxist misery.  While we have provided the target ranges for the vote, we also have to consider the fact that vote manipulation and rigging will be starting with this election without Russians

It is truly ironic that the Democratic Party was founded by Andrew Jackson to support slavery and then they adopted the Philosophy of Karl Marx to promise Socialism for all.  At the end of the day, we end up where we began – endless toxic politics that has turned into bitter hatred which divides the country more so than at any time since the Civil War. All they are doing is creating an equal and opposite reaction from their opponents. The trench between both sides has opened at it is becoming the Political Grand Canyon.

The political climate from here on out looks very dark and grim with no hope of actually returning to any possible form of civility. All we are doing now is waiting for the first shot to be fired that will literally be heard around the world. There will be no return to civility. It will only get worse from here on out. There is no going back. We have actually crossed the point of no return. It is all over. We just have to wait for the fat lady to finish the last song and then the Opera will come to its violent and bitter end.

The Midterms are upon us and the most interesting aspect has been the fact that the Democrats have waged the most hateful campaign I have ever witnessed in my entire life. Instead of looking to tone down their rhetoric, they have chosen to move even more extreme left. The 28-year old Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez won 57.5% of the vote, while her opponent, Joe Crowley, had 42.5%. Crowley has represented New York’s 14th District since 1999 and had been touted as a potential future House speaker. Instead of the Democrats realizing that is is really the Trump Revolution where whoever is in power is just being thrown out, they instead assumed that the people wanted more Socialism, taxing the rich, and exploiting anyone who has whatever they arbitrarily assume is not rich – meaning household income of $250,000. They have misread the tea leaves and become even more left-wing. This will end up destroying their party and they are unable to offer anything but free gifts paid for by taking it from those who work. Just looking at the stats demonstrates that sales pit worked for FDR, but for just one campaign cycle. They have been losing ground ever since yet they keep preaching the same old party line.

 

The Republicans keep preaching lower taxes but they too have been hallowed words. An important but very strange poll is one that Fox News did. This poll they put up because the results were so baffling to them. They asked the question: Who did you identify with, Trump or the Republican Party? The stunning result was that 46% said they associated with Trump compared to 25% with Republicans. After all the Hate Trump campaign launched by the Media and the Democrats and Michael Avenatti using porn stars to try to take Trump down, they seem to actually be making him a stronger leader figure in the process polarizing the nation. Perhaps their hateful tactics are just not working the way they expected. Yet there is something else lurking behind this poll. That is the blunt fact that Trump is really a 3rd Party candidate still and the Republicans are just the same old people occupying Washington for self-interests as the Democrats. There is something hiding in the bushes – the frustration with both political parties.

 

When we run our presidential models they are still showing a rising trend in 3rd party activity. This looks to be continuing into 2023/2024 Presidential election. It all appears to be starting to take off following this Midterm Election. This is why I warn that the computer really does not care who wins the House – neither side will accept a loss. They can trash Trump all they want and even start a #MeToHateTrump movement. The real story here is that we are witnessing the disintegration of party politics as we move ahead into the conclusion of the Economic Confidence Model come 2032.

 

 

The Democrats have been losing power steadily as I have pointed out just from a technical perspective. Just plotting the numbers without any political bias demonstrates clearly that the Socialist agenda has been declining after FDR managed to get into office. What many do not know is how did FDR get into office? The Private Wave which peaked in 1929.75 was not really about the evil corporations and the economic decline. FDR gained the national nomination because he was Governor of New York State and jumped on a campaign to clean the city of the worst political corruption period perhaps in history up to that point which bribes and murders. He personal sat as a judge to remove the mayor of New York City which everyone assumed was in the pocket of the Mafia which was made rich and powerful thanks to Prohibition.

The polls have been so wrong in most countries because those who are taking them are also deeply divided. In an analysis, this means they have already determined what the poll should say so they look only for those results to prove their predetermined conclusion. That was not merely self-evident in the US 2016 election, but also BREXIT in Britain. Additionally, people in this field of politics make it their life. They all talk to each other and thus there is no counterbalance. This is why our WEC events are so popular. The audiences are international, not merely local Americans. The room gives off the vibe of international capital flows and people get to meet others from around the world. We then get to listen to all the various concerns and points of view rather than just talking to friends who all just agree. That external viewpoint is necessary to prevent biased analysis.

Our own polls among institutional clients I speak with shows a deep-seated fear that a Democratic victory will destroy the world economy. They will do everything in their power to undo everything Trump has done just for spite rather than economic sanity. Outside the USA, Trump fairs even better. From Asia, they think he is the best President since World War II because he is the first to get North Korea to blink. From Europe, many saw Trump as exposing the stupidity of trade negotiations for they had no idea that 28 members each had a right to veto trade deals preferred by other members.

While so many rely on GDP and unemployment numbers to gauge the economic conditions for a swing in the election, if that were the real factor by itself them the Republicans should win 100%. The average person could care less what the official statistics say. If the economy was bad, things would look even worse for Republicans. What is clearly taking place is we are indeed setting the stage for a civil war for the hatred is manifesting in deeply resented Partisanship which has been increasing since the Democrats lost in 2016. Traditionally, fewer people vote during the midterms than at presidential elections.

 

 

When we dive into the numbers for the Democrats in the House of Representatives we are currently at 45% or 193 Democrats to 235 Republicans with 7 vacancies*, which are split 2 Democrats and 5 Republicans. Many are forecasting that the Republicans will lose 38 seats. That would result in the Democrats having 231 seats out of 435 or 53.1% of the House. We do have a Minor Bullish Reversal at 52.6% and technical resistance at 54-56%. The technical support comes in at the 48-49%. The Major Bullish Reversal stands at 61.5% which is unattainableIf the Democrats really exceeded that number of 52.6%, hiding under the covers is just not going to work. Keep in mind they came in at 45% for the last election so they are starting from below technical support. The Minor Bearish Reversal rests at 40.9% and electing that would signal the end of the Democratic Party which would then split between the extreme left and the moderate Democrats forming so sort of new party lines. The Major Bearish Reversals rest at 24% and 23.5%.

Now when we turn to the Republicans in the House, we can see a clear uptrend since the Great Depression compared to a steady downtrend for the Democrats without involving personal bias or opinion. The Democrats have been making lower highs and the Republicans have been making higher lows – plain and simple. At the last election, the Republicans came in with 54.9% – still not an overwhelming mandate. The technical resistance for this midterm stands at 56.8% to 58.7% and the support is in the 45% zone. If the Republicans lost 38 seats, as is predicted, that ironically would still not break the technical support for that would be 45.2% managing a retest of the Uptrend Line.

The Minor Bullish Reversal stands at 59%  Major Bullish Reversal stands at 69.9% followed by 76% for the Republicans in the House. Don’t forget, we had elected three or the four Bullish Reversals on this aspect. The Minor Bearish Reversal rests at 47.1% followed by 46.2%. If the Republican come in under 47.1%, then you might want to look at buying a nice warm thick blanket for they will be following the Global Warming trend to raise taxes on anything that gives off heat. With the latest being that pets are now responsible for 25% of global warming because it takes energy to wag their tail when you come home, we could end up with federal license fee to have a pet in the first place.

Vacancies*          

  • Conyers (D), MI resignation effective 12/05/2017
  • Slaughter (D), NY died 03/16/2018
  • Bridenstine (R), OK resignation effective 04/23/2018
  • Meehan (R), PA resignation effective 04/27/2018
  • Dent (R). PA resignation effective 05/12/2018
  • DeSantis (R), FL resignation effective 09/01/2018
  • Jenkins, Evan (R), WV resignation effective 09/30/2018

 

What is interesting is trying to sort things out from the polls. They have been biased and completely inaccurate in both the USA and UK for that matter. When we look at President Trump’s approval rating, it is at or above 50% in all the political battleground states for this election concerning the Senate.  Yet in only two states, North Dakota and Tennessee, does a GOP Senate candidate hit 50% support. Many states are just a toss-up as in Arizona and Missouri Senate races. Even the Republican Senator Ted Cruz is only up 3 points ahead of O’Rourke the Democratic candidate. Many of these polls show it is a narrow race overall with no one side running away.

The Major Double Bullish Reversal stands at 61% followed by 64% for the Democrats in the Senate, which are well above the current levels. Minor Double Bullish Reversal for the Democrats in the Senate stands at 51% followed by 53% and 57%. This tends to warn that there is significant overhead resistance. The Democrats are currently at 47%. The Major Bearish Reversal rests at 45.6% followed by 44.7%, just below current levels. The Minor Bearish Reversals rest 47% followed by 46%. The last election closed right on the Minor Bearish Reversal so any loss in the Senate will be quite serious for the Democrats going forward.

The technical perspective should resistance at 54.8% followed by 56.6%. The major support lies at 39.5%. We have 48.7% and 48.9% which are pivot points. Since the current position is 47%, they are ideally resistance points. This means that the Minor Bearish Reversals at 47% and 46% become incredibly important. If the Democrats lose just one seat, it will be a bearish signal for that party looking into 2020.

 

 

Now, turning to the Republicans who finished in 2016 with 51%, the Major Bullish Reversals stands at 62.2% and 64.1%. The Minor Bullish Reversals stands at 53% followed by 54% for the Republicans in the Senate. The Minor Bearish Reversals rest at 48% followed by 47%, 45%, and 43%. We can see that technical resistance stands at 54.9% with support at 49.3%, 48.8%, and 44.3%.

When we put the system numbers (Reversals) alongside the technical numbers, we have this series of projection ranges for the Midterms.

 

Voter turnout in the United States fluctuates in national elections rather dramatically. During the early 1800s, people were more responsible for voting. It appears that the majority of Americans have become complacent about the Midterm Elections. The Democrats have used all sorts of hate speech to turnout a vote and we have an amazing number calling for riots and civil unrest even from the mouth of Hillary Clinton. Then we have Hollywood figures doing the same and some such as actor James Cromwell warns publicly that there will be “blood in the streets” if Democrats don’t win the election, which is obviously highly treasonous for it says there should be no democracy but they have a right to dictate to everyone else what they should do.

In recent elections, about 60% of the voting eligible population votes during presidential election years, and about 40% votes during midterm elections. Turnout is lower for the odd year, primary and local elections. However, upon close examination, the trend was significantly different in the past. For example, Andrew Jackson who instigated the Panic of 1837 by shutting down the Bank of the United States which was acting as a quasi-central bank, set in motion the worst economic depress with not just the Broken Banknote Crisis, but also the Sovereign Debt Crisis of states permanently defaulting on their debt. The most fascinating element that jumps out at you from the data is the voter turnout jumps sharply during this period and during the midterm election of 1838, one year into the Panic of 1837, the turnout was higher than that of the Presidential Election in 1834. That is the ONLY Time that took place. We can also see from the above chart that the voter turnout reaches consistently higher levels entering/during/after the Civil War period.

Therefore, it will be the post-election numbers that reveal perhaps an even more important trend – is voter turnout rising as it did go into the Civil War?

 

 

 

The spin out there is that the Democrats are likely to win back a number of House seats in next week’s midterm elections that “Republicans were lucky to have” because they won seats in districts where Democratic nominee Hillary Clinton defeated President Trump. They argue that this stands to reason that the GOP will lose a number of those seats in the midterms. We can see that we have Directional Changes in 2019 with the big turning points are interesting. The Democrats show 2020 are the big one and the Republicans show 2023 with another Directional Change leading into the 2024 Presidential elections.

 

When we look at the Senate, we see the big target for the Democrats will be 2020 and the Republicans will be 2023/2024. We have Panic Cycles lined up the same 2020 and 2022. The Directional; Changes provide a picture of really chaotic choppiness.

Our models on taxes do show that those in power will raise taxes sharply rather than reform.

 

Now when we actually step back and look at the voter turnout since 1828, first we can see that even when Roosevelt was elected, there was a surprisingly low turnout compared to 100 years before. Looking just at the Presidential elections, we did elect a Yearly Bullish Reversal that was at 53.6% in 2004 which was the incumbent Republican President George W. Bush who defeated Democratic nominee John Kerry. The Yearly Bullish Reversals now stand at 56.1%, 62.5%, 65.2%, and 74.7%. The Yearly Bearish Reversal lies at 49%. The voter turnout was really 55.5% in 2016. Therefore, the neutral range is 49% to 56.1%. Breaking out of that range would indicate things are getting more heated and we can witness a significant rally as we did following the Panic of 1837.

Now lets us turn to this Midterm Election. The last Midterm in 2012 was the lowest turnout that came close to matching the 33% in 1942 with Roosevelt. The numbers came in as 34.1% – the lowest post-World War II. We have two Yearly Bullish Reversal at 36.9% and 39% on the Midterm elections. The technical resistance stands at 37.4% with significant breakout type resistance standing at 49.8%. It looks like it would take a real crisis to reach that level. Our cyclical models point to huge turnout coming in 2020.


CONCLUSION

It does not appear that the Democrats can make a sweeping victory. Despite all the support of the media and the Hate Trump campaign, what it really appears is that whoever wins the House, we are looking at a rise in civil unrest. NEITHER side appears willing to accept the result. The Democrats are indeed historically the most violent so we should expect this trend to continue. With Panic Cycles showing up even on the combined House/Senate perspective in 2019 and 2021, this clearly reflects an unwillingness to accept the end result. This is part of the Crisis in Democracy we have been warning would become the hallmark of this 51.6-year Wave on the Economic Confidence Model.

The Democratic Party is in serious trouble. The hostility is off the charts and really the computer is showing that it really does not matter who wins the House, the trend is toward more obstruction and inaction. The Senate is more important for if the Democrats lose just one seat, the will elect a Bearish Reversal. We DO NOT show any chance that the Democrats would reverse the downtrend in motion. This is why the computer is rather ambivalent on this election. The volatility will rise next year so regardless who wins the House, neither side appears willing to accept the result.

The polls are not really reliable as has been the track record. The press is so hateful and is out to destroy the Republican Party that many people really do remain in the closet about who they really support. This is a sad state of affairs that people are actually afraid to even display a TRUMP sticker because of threats and violence. When a police officer rams a car intentionally simply because they had a TRUMP sticker, this is a warning sign of what is really coming from here into 2021.

Ironically, a Democratic win in the House will be taken as EXTREMELY bearish for the economic future of not just the United States, but the entire world. Nevertheless, that may actually end up being just another reason capital flees the bonds and moves with greater intensity into private assets. The worse it may appear, the more bullish it may be for the capital shift.

They now want to Reduce Dog & Cat Ownership to Stop Global Warming


Well, it was only a matter of time that when you read between the lines concerning pet population of dogs and cats, the solution is to REDUCE their numbers – which is really what they argue for behind the curtain concerning humans. I have written previously how they really want to starve humans to reduce the population. I have previously told the story about attending a White House dinner in Washington back in 1996 and being seated with the entire Environmental group. It was a Washington elite political dinner and because I attended with my friend Dick Fox who was Chairman of Temple University and I was an adviser to the University, whoever it was that made the seating arrangements for these tables of 10  seated us with the environmental groups. This was in the mid-90s.

Dick was the one who kept trying to drag the truth out and there it came. These were the heads of the top three environmental organizations. They admitted that the real goal was to reduce the human population by making it difficult to expand and build houses. Labeling everything wetlands would reduce the ability to expand housing and thus shrink the population. When Dick got them to admit that he moved in for the bottom-line question and asked: “So who’s grandchild are you trying to prevent from being born? Your’s or mine?”

They now are targeting your pets. They already are taxing farmers per cow because they fart and are causing Global Warming. Now they are honing in on your dog or cat. The argument is that pets constitute about 25–30% of the environmental impacts of animal production in terms of the use of land, water, fossil fuel, phosphate, and biocides.  Their solution: Reducing the rate of dog and cat ownership, perhaps in favor of other pets that offer similar health and emotional benefits would considerably reduce these impacts.

What’s next? Quotas on having children? That did not work so well in China.

Wow – Andrew Gillum Campaign Uses Derogatory and Racial Slurs To Describe Florida Voters…


This is a little bit more than alarming. Florida gubernatorial candidate Andrew Gillum’s staff is recorded on video making stunning racial and derogatory epithets toward Florida residents/voters. This is terrible; Florida deserves better.

…”Florida is a “F***ed up,” “cracker state,” “you have to appeal to white guilt”…

(Tallahassee) Project Veritas Action Fund has released undercover video from Florida gubernatorial candidate Andrew Gillum’s campaign, revealing his election strategy includes making empty promises to voters. This is the seventh undercover video report Project Veritas has released in a series revealing secrets and lies from political campaigns in 2018.  (continue reading)

PVeritas Action @PVeritas_Action