The Coming Draft of 2024?


Armstrong Economics Blog/War Re-Posted Apr 17, 2023 by Martin Armstrong

QUESTION: Mr. Armstrong, The information you provide is so straightforward forward and it is clear you do not sell advertising on your site because you do not want any outside influence. That is really admirable when I realize you do not even require people to register or send them endless emails pitching some investment.

You said the draft will be up to 50 this time and include women. Will they wait until after the 2024 election?

Respectfully;

Jeb

ANSWER: As far as the Draft is concerned, even when we look at when the Vietnam War Draft ended was several months after President Richard M. Nixon had easily won reelection, running against Democratic Sen. George McGovern of South Dakota, an outspoken opponent of the war. That led to the old saying the Democrats always get us into wars, and it takes Republication to end them. I am not sure that will apply this time. Ideally, we are looking at a draft at least being discussed or approved perhaps quietly on September 29th, 2024. This will be 51.6 years from the day Nixon directed the draft to end – January 27th, 1973.

People need to understand that military drafts or “Conscription” dates back to ancient times in Mesopotamia. In more modern times, it resurfaced during the French Revolution in the 1790s. The United States instituted draft or conscription during the Civil War, which led to a series of bloody draft riots. Resistance to the draft, as managed by the Selective Service in the United States, reached a historic peak during the Vietnam War. Here is a draft document from 1863 and you can see they drafted family men.

As the war entered its third season, Congress, in need of more manpower for the Union Army, passed the Civil War Military Draft Act of 1863.

The act called for the registration of all males between the ages of 20 and 45, yet the obligation fell mostly on the poor. Wealthier men could afford to hire a substitute to take their place in the draft or pay $300 for a draft exemption—an enormous sum of money at the time. This controversial provision sparked civil unrest and draft riots.

The most destructive draft riot was the New York Draft Riots that occurred during July 1863. People were not in favor of the war. The New York working class during the Civil War erupted into violence for five days. This was one of the top ten American riots insofar as the death toll was concerned. Hundreds of people were killed and many were far more seriously injured. Many of the rioters were poor Irish immigrants who had fled here due to British oppression. Some of the rioters retaliated against New York’s African American residents who became the scapegoats for long-standing grievances, including wartime inflation, and competition for jobs. The rioters burned down an orphanage for black children—all 223 children narrowly escaped. Men were being taken from their families and were left to fend for themselves, which is understandable as to why it turned to violence.

What they committed from the history books was that when the Civil War broke out in 1861, there was even talk of New York seceding from the Union itself. The business center was deeply involved in business transactions with the Confederate States. The Civil War was a major upheaval. President Lincoln even attacked the New York trading in gold which would rally and decline based on the latest battle news.

The US Congress had passed a conscription act that became the first wartime draft of US citizens in American history and that covered ages of 20 and 45, including aliens with the intention of becoming citizens, by April 1. There have been whispers that they are allowing these illegal aliens to pour into the United States and they will then all be drafted for World War III.

What threw salt into the wound was that the rich could buy their freedom from the draft by paying someone else to take their place. Exemptions from the draft could be bought for $300 or by finding a substitute draftee. This clause was one of the major reasons for the New York City draft riots where protesters were outraged that exemptions were effectively granted only to the wealthiest people. Likewise, the government of the Confederate States also enacted a compulsory military draft. The South, in response to Lincoln’s Emancipation Act, passed their “Twenty Negro Law” whereby a white citizen was exempt if he had 20 or more slaves to take care of.

There were drafts BEFORE the Civil War/ During 1792 an act by Congress required that all able-bodied male citizens purchase a gun and join their local state militia. There was no penalty for noncompliance. Congress also passed a conscription act during the War of 1812. However, that war ended before it was actually enforced. Congress also enacted a military draft during World War I, and in 1940, Congress enacted a military draft under Roosevelt before it entered World War II.

Why these NEOCONS always want war is a question that really needs to be investigated. Not a single war since World War II has ever been to protect the United States. We are fed the story that it is our “national security” but not a single one of these wars has ever threatened an invasion of the United States or threatened to terminate our personal freedoms. War to these people is like playing with toy soldiers. They never think about those who die on the battlefield or the broken families left behind no less all of those who they have killed in opposition who will forever remember Americans as the aggressor who killed their father. Such resentment lasts generations.

The NEOCONS are running scared. they have the perfect president who allows them to control COMPLETE foreign policy and Biden just reads the cue cards. They will rig the next election and the word is that they intend to start a war before the election counting on no president will lose an election in the middle of a war.

Biden Given Ukraine $376 per Every American to Defeat Russia


Armstrong Economic Blog/Uncategorized Re-Posted Mar 1, 2023 by Martin Armstrong

Let’s put this insanity in perspective. Russia’s entire military spending in 2021 hit $66bn. Biden has handed Ukraine nearly TWICE the entire military budget of Russia to destroy Russia to make the dreams of the Neocons come true. He has handed Ukraine, the most corrupt country perhaps in the world, the equivalent of $376 from the pocket of every American including your newborn.

Biden is also paying for ALL expenses of the entire Ukrainian government. Every government salary and all their pensions. All of this is because the Neocons seized control of the White House in the absence of any qualified personnel.

Nearly half of the Ukrainian people have left Ukraine. I seriously doubt that they see this as in their best interest. They have lost their homes and their future as well as employment all because the Neocons instructed that the Minsk Agreement has to be fake and that it was used to bait Putin to come to the rescue of the Donbas after the Neocons started the Ukrainian Civil War.

John McCain ran there to Ukraine and told them to attack the Donbas and openly met with the Ukrainian Neo-Nazis. Anyone who calls this Russian Propaganda as they did with the Hinter Biden Laptop, is promoting the destruction of the world with World War III – they are the real warmongers. So, like the Ukrainian people, you should look at your future, your family, and your employment, for the Neocons do not give a rats ass, as they say, about you or anything.

They proposed to President Kennedy kill Americans and blame that on Cuba to justify invading Castro for regime change. Kennedy refused and would not support the in Vietnam – so the CIA relieved the Neocons of their obstruction. They have the perfect president – Senile Joe with his WOK Administration who has ZERO experience in Washington which has been easy picking for the Neocons to create their dream – World War III.

Twice as Many Civilians Always Die v Military


Armstrong Economics log/War Re-Posted Jan 9, 2023 by Martin Armstrong

War is never a ONE-SIDED affair. People get frustrated and will often seek revenge personally on both sides of any conflict. These people who point to Russians as killing civilians and vice versa should understand one thing. EVERY war results in MORE civilian casualties than military. I do not know what planet these people are on, but cheering war is one great way to reduce the population.

Just check the stats on World War II. The total estimated deaths were 70–85 million people. That was about 3% of the estimated 2.3 billion global population in 1940.

  • Total Death … 70-85 million (50-56 million directly & 19-28 million from starvation/disease)
  • Military deaths ….. 21-25 million
  • Civilian Deaths….. 50-55 million

Anyone claiming the Russians killing civilians is somehow a war crime should check history. It is typically civilian deaths are double that of the military. So while Zelensky and the Western powers refuse to end this war and just let the Donbas separate as was set out at the Minsk Agreement, should understand the civilian death toll in Ukraine may easily be 50% or even hire all for land that was never Ukrainian in the first place. The West is using the Ukrainian people as fools for they are simply there to weaken Russia so NATO can invade Moscow in the end. The Ukrainian people are simply cannon fodder and the sooner they wake up and realize that are just a pawn being sacrificed in this proxy war against Russia the sooner they can reclaim their life.

I get the typical hate mail because I do not blindly accept Ukraine is fighting against the Russian evil empire for democracy or freedom related to its own people. One clearly Neonazis sent an email:

“There will definitely be a very special place in hell for you and the sooner you get there the better.”

I have encountered the Neonazis of Ukraine. They would slaughter every Russian in the Donbas. I do not tolerate fools, politicians, or people who are consumed by their own hate that they cannot see clearly or even think rationally. Their hatred is consuming the world and they will do whatever they can to completely destroy every Russian no different than the German Nazis who sought to exterminate every Jew.

I have been in the middle of this entire Russian affair since 1999. Both sides have always hurled arrows at me. So I am just used to it. When Galina Starovoytova (1946-1998), who was the head of the Democratic movement in Moscow, was assassinated, suddenly the old hardlines were targeting me and said she was a puppet of a Western financier, which was supposed to be me. I was shocked that I was suddenly being targeted I believe by the head of the old guard Primakov who I believe had been behind her assassination and the attack on me. The only connection was that her son was working in our London office at the time.

I always get the arrows from every side. That is just part of life.

The Coming Revolution – The End of Brazil


Armstrong Economics Blog/Central America Re-Posted Jan 6, 2023 by Martin Armstrong

The leftist press immediately claims that any assertions of a rigged election in Brazil are as baseless as the Hunter Biden laptop. Our model shows that the election was in fact bogus and it was in a series of global elections that are being rigged to create this global leftist agenda. For any newspaper to immediately proclaim Bolanaro left the country amid “baseless” claims shows that they are just propaganda and part of the agenda.

Our model showed a serious Directional Change would take place in 2023, but we are looking at the complete collapse of Brazil and a major revolution unfolding in 2030. Leftist governments have ALWAYS, and without exception, resulted in declining economic growth. NEVER has even just one ever produced any economic benefit to the whole of any nation. Brazil has sealed its fate and it will take the rest of the continent with it. South and Central America have been plagued with Marxism and that is why the continent has been unable to rise from its knees. Even the Pope has been infected with this philosophy which is why he is always commenting on the economy rather than religion. This has led to many Catholics now saying – He Ain’t My Pope.

We Remember September 11, 2001


Posted originally on the conservative tree house on September 11, 2022 | Sundance 

The anniversary of the attacks on 9-11 presents a day to reflect, remember and pay tribute to those we lost.   I am sure most of us remember exactly where we were at the moment when we found out our nation was under attack.  Our nation was forever changed by those moments on September 11th, 2001.

Perhaps we can share our memories together as we think about the anniversary of this date.

Where were you on that day?  And what memories are most vivid for you?

~ The Better Option ~

He stared toward a cloudless sky; a tear was present in his eye.
What did he see I wondered aloud – this man of strength did not look proud.

Transfixed we watched through a camera’s lens, strangers before, now oddly friends.
What are his eyes held witness to? What’s stirring such tears of painful hue?

Electronically we were connected, our lives attached, a stopped nation affected.
What horror was there, upon his gaze? – What caused such pain amid the haze?

Some sounds not known were heard aloud – and people screamed amid the crowd.
We struggled to sense what view they saw; the fireman’s face was present more.

His sorrowed eyes bleeding despair – my God, what was he seeing there?
I could not move, we stood transfixed, my view of hell would soon be nixed.

He bore my witness through those flames, this hell on earth from terror planes.
Our Eagle screamed….. the metal cracked; two once proud towers stood attacked.

The human toll still yet unknown, our feeling safe was overthrown.
Finally, as I stared, I recognized….. what was causing those tears in that fireman’s eyes.

Oh – My – God, humanity was being lost – and helplessly we saw the cost.
The sound of people,… people, jumping down, from towers strong in our New York town.

Locked in horror, frozen, all there stood – bewildered eyes saw nothing good.
We viewed a scene of great despair…amid evil, smoke, and hate filled air.

Connected witness we became, to terror’s rage and human pain.
Trapped atop a blinding heat, were once moms and dads upon the street.

A “better option“?… caused by hate – to leap the flames and own your fate.
More horrid thoughts we’d never known, not from before the glass had blown.

Theirs was not an option for the stair, their only choice hands locked in prayer.
I cannot grasp the thoughts that crossed – the minds of those loved, soon to be lost.

As victims now…. their life soon ceased, a hurling body – soul released.
and for those who bore witness, my God the pain; those memories seared will long remain.

Connected all we stood aghast, all witness to the terror blast.
Their bodies torn; their spirit lost; memories now……. a priceless cost.

But what we have now to decide; reflecting on this place they died.
The Blood-soaked ground, the empty skies, our throat in knots, our tear-filled eyes.

A memory now so deeply burned, their sacrifice for us was learned.
The hurt, the pain, the bitter sorrow, must guide us now toward tomorrow.

For those we loved, and families lost, no gold of man can count the cost.
Through the eagles’ tears our nations price, we must honor those of sacrifice.

How do we honor such courage bold and warm our souls despite the cold.
A daunting charge ‘mid our mortal stage – to reflect that courage amid our rage.

Two decades past and now we find – our hearts, our souls, our tears, our mind.
Still harken back and feel those tears; the wound -the scar- through many years.

Memories honored must remain, our task in life to cherish that pain…
For souls we lost, and sorrow bound – we must always respect such hallowed ground.

~Sundance

Salman Rushdie on Ventilator After Horrific Attack in New York


Posted originally on the conservative tree house on August 13, 2022 | Sundance 

For many people Salman Rushdie is perhaps the most well-known free speech defender in the current generation. He certainly is one of the bravest people who originally spoke out against Islamic extremism with his 1988 book Satanic Verses.

Iranian leader Ayatollah Ruhollah Khomeini issued a fatwa calling for Rushdie’s death over what he claimed were blasphemous references to Islam. A $3 million bounty was placed on his head for anyone who kills him. The fatwa was never rescinded, and Rushdie spent well over a decade hiding under protective custody.

In recent years Rushdie has been a visible advocate for free speech and has given multiple speeches on issues around the need for freedom of expression. During a speech yesterday he was attacked and stabbed multiple times.

[New York] – Author Salman Rushdie is likely to lose one of his eyes and is currently on a ventilator after he was attacked on stage at a literary event in upstate New York on Friday, a report said.

“The news is not good,” the 75-year-old writer’s agent, Andrew Wylie, told The New York Times. “Salman will likely lose one eye; the nerves in his arm were severed; and his liver was stabbed and damaged,” said Wylie.

Rushdie, who is still unable to speak, was attacked by a lone man while speaking at an event at the Chautauqua Institution in Chautauqua, NY, about 55 miles south of Buffalo.

He was scheduled to speak about the United States as a place for exiled authors “as a home for freedom of expression,” according to the institute. After the stabbing, he was transported by helicopter to a hospital in Erie, Pennsylvania, where he underwent surgery.

[…] Rushdie’s alleged attacker, 24-year-old Hadi Matar, of Fairview, New Jersey, was arrested at the scene by a state trooper who was assigned to the lecture. (read more)

Joe Biden Delivers a Jumbled Word Salad after Claiming, Under Extremely Suspect Circumstances, the U.S Killed Ayman Al Zawahiri


Posted originally on the conservative tree house on August 1, 2022 | Sundance

Everything about the supposed killing of al-Qaeda leader Ayman Al Zawahiri is suspect, weird and fishy.

♦First, Al Zawahiri has been reported as killed or dead at least a half dozen times in the last 10 years; including by natural causes.  ♦Second, Ayman Zawahiri was very old. Western citations put his age at 71 (born 1951), however, that is suspect (sounds like his younger brother’s age).  ♦Third, the location of his reported killing in Kabul is odd.  Zawahiri was known to avoid large populations, and even with the U.S. withdrawal from Afghanistan the tribal conflicts with factions of the Taliban would have been an issue.

♦Fourth, somehow the Taliban waited until after the U.S. intelligence community leaked the strike to the media before they issued a statement condemning the drone attack.  Since when does al-Qaeda wait 48+ hours to denounce hostile action in their territory?   Coordinating and timed joint press releases between the White House and ‘Taliban‘ to western media outlets is seriously sketchy.

♦Fifth, absolutely no official outline from the Pentagon or White House on this “successful counterterrorism strike“?  Despite a primetime presidential address, the White House has no announcement, no official statement, nothing, on their website.  Additionally, Biden leads off saying the attack was on Saturday, the Taliban waited 48-hours to denounce a U.S. drone strike?  Think about it.  Doesn’t add up.  More sketchy.

♦Sixth, and seemingly just an oddball addendum, Fox News breaks the story using Jennifer Griffin as lead reporter.  As I noted several days ago, Griffin had been missing from Fox News since she went bonzo in March attacking Tucker Carlson over his cynicism of the official State Dept and Pentagon narrative in Ukraine.

May, June, July, nothing from pentagon deep state promoter Jenn Griffin at all.  Then, suddenly, on the same day Griffin resurfaces, after months of nothing, there’s a major terrorism strike in Afghanistan, killing Zawahiri and she’s leading the coverage?…. With Brett Baier cheerleading?  C’mon man.  Sketchy, all of it.

.

And yeah, somehow there was an unusual “DNS pointing issue” on the CTH servers, serendipitously timed with the Biden speech.  The one site with a specific Al Zawhiri track and trace reference library to deconstruct the official narrative and identify the sketchy.

Lastly, about half the terroristic attribution Joe Biden made in his primetime speech is associated with the “Blind Sheik” Omar Abdel-Rahman, not Ayman Al Zawahiri.

I’m glad Zawahiri is dead; I was cool with him being gone from the earth the last six times we were told Zawahiri was dead. Get all those professional jihadists removed, good.  However, that has nothing to do with the seriously sketchy background of this story.   This is a pantomime playing out for public consumption, and the same strings visible on the Zelenskyy puppets are glowing on the shoulders of this deep state announcement.

Suspicious Cat remains, well, suspicious….

REPORT, CIA Claims to Have Killed Ayman al-Zawahiri, President Joe Biden to Deliver Speech at 7:30pm ET


Posted originally on the conservative tree house on August 1, 2022 

This is weird.  Ayman al-Zawahiri, who was always hiding in the same Afghanistan-Pakistan area where Osama Bin Laden was hiding out, was very old ten years ago in 2012 when he established the Libyan branch of al-Qaeda.  [SEE CTH Archives] This guy is ancient by now.

Ayman al-Zawahiri was #2 to Bin Laden and elevated to #1 after his death.  Ayman has a younger brother named Mohammed al-Zawahiri who was the Muslim Brotherhood organizer of the uprising in Egypt, and very likely the person who helped coordinate the 9/11/2012 protest on the U.S. Embassy in Cairo that happened on the same day as the attack in Benghazi.

According to media reporting, the CIA is claiming to have killed Ayman al-Zawahiri last weekend and Joe Biden is going to give a congratulatory speech about it tonight at 7:30pm ET.   Something about this is odd, he was killed in Kabul, Afghanistan?  Ayman al-Zawahiri was seriously old if he was still actually alive.

WASHINGTON DC – The United States killed Al-Qaeda leader Ayman al-Zawahri in a drone strike over the weekend, two people briefed on the operation told POLITICO.

In a statement to reporters, a senior administration official said “over the weekend, the United States conducted a counterterrorism operation against a significant Al Qaeda target in Afghanistan. The operation was successful and there were no civilian casualties.”

One of the people briefed on the operation said the strike in Kabul was led by the CIA. President Joe Biden plans to give a speech about “on a successful counterterrorism mission” at 7:30 p.m. (read more)

If, and that’s a big stretch for me at this point, if the story is correct…. then the Taliban wanted to get rid of Zawahiri due to some kind of power conflict.  No way Zawahiri travels to Kabul (if he was really alive) and then gets picked-off by the CIA.   Was he going there for medical treatment or was in an old folk’s home for retired terrorists?

The Wiki age on this guy is nonsense.  He was way older than 71.

Here is a picture of Ayman (with Bin Laden) long before 9/11/01.

Here is the most recent picture of Ayman, attributed to 2021.

Something is fishy about this.

On the left is Ayman and Osama in Afghanistan (late ’90’s?), on the right is Ayman’s brother in Egypt (2012).

Suspect Identified in NYC Mass Shooting, Manhunt Underway for 62-Year-Old Frank R James


Posted originally on the conservative tree house on April 12, 2022 | Sundance

Police have identified suspect Frank R James (62) as the man who opened fire on a Brooklyn subway train during the early morning rush Tuesday, injuring at least 29 people. According to authorities, ten people were shot when James set off a smoke grenade and opened fire in a subway car.

New York – A 62-year-old man who made bizarre threatening rants on YouTube has been identified as a person of interest in the savage Brooklyn subway attack that injured at least 29 people Tuesday morning, officials said.

Frank James — who warned last month that he was “entering the danger zone” — rented a U-Haul van tied to the N train attack in Sunset Park and is being sought for questioning, police said at an evening briefing.

“Mr. Mayor, I’m a victim of your mental health program,” James said in one lengthy video.

“I’m 63 now full of hate, full of anger, and full of bitterness.” James said he had a diagnosed mental illness and railed against what he called the “horror show” of the city’s mental health services. “What’s going on in that place is violence,” he said about a facility he claimed to receive care from. (read more)

During an evening press briefing (video below), NYPD Commissioner Keechant Sewell said among the items recovered by cops at the scene were a 9 mm handgun, a hatchet, gasoline and “consumer-grade fireworks.”

Pakistan – Conspiracy or Revolution?


Armstrong Economics Blog/Conspiracy Re-Posted Apr 10, 2022 by Martin Armstrong

The drama playing out in Pakistan is interesting, to say the least. Pakistan’s Prime Minister Imran Khan has been ousted from power after losing a no-confidence vote in his leadership. However, what makes this interesting is that he has previously said he would not recognize an opposition government. Khan has accused that there has been a US-led conspiracy to overthrow him because of his refusal to stand with Washington on issues against Russia and China.

Khan has repeatedly said that Pakistan’s opposition parties are working with foreign powers. He has not been alone in this allegation for members of his party (PTI) also left the building just ahead of the vote, insisting that this has been an international conspiracy. Of course, then the US has said there is “no truth” in these allegations. But certainly, they would never admit to anything anyhow.

The economic crisis in Pakistan is without question grounds for a revolution without a foreign conspiracy.  Khan’s government has been dismissing the no-confidence move against him that began on March 8th, 2022 – which came amid the country’s mounting economic crisis – as a “foreign conspiracy”.  To put this in context, in an unprecedented move on April 3, Pakistan Prime Minister Imran Khan dissolved the General Assembly. Then on April 7, the Supreme Court ruled against Khan and restored the Parliament for a no-confidence vote. Then on April 10th, they moved to oust Kahn from power.

Soaring inflation, devaluation of the currency as the dollar has risen from 152 to 188 since April, massive external debt, and corruption have been the real motivation behind the political chaos. What Kahn has called a foreign conspiracy is not entirely without merit, but it has not been directed at him alone.

Biden’s pledge to end fossil fuels set in motion the rise in energy prices on a global scale. Then he imposed the most draconian sanctions against Russia and has destroyed the world economy showing that now even the SWIFT system has lost all integrity. In fact, Putin has come out and warned that the BRIC countries must now establish their own alternative to SWIFT only further demonstrating what Biden has done is destroyed the world economy.

The soaring energy prices are indeed creating political havoc around the globe and this political uprising in Pakistan is indeed a foreign conspiracy better known as the Great Reset trying to force the entire world GREEN without any alternative in place. The foreign conspiracy is NOT some CIA plot to oust Khan. It is a disastrous scheme for climate change that these people have no idea what they are unleashing upon the entire world. These poorer countries cannot survive with energy prices soaring and incomes that were simply a hand-to-mouth economy. This is WHAT our computer has been showing that we are headed into outright global war and an economic catastrophe that these elitists who think that they can force the world all GREEN in a matter of a few years. This is unleashing worldwide civil unrest on a scale that is unprecedented in human history.