QUESTION: Marty; you had forecast that the future war in the Middle East would start to escalate in 2020 with the ECM turn and possibly erupt by 2021. It seems Socrates got that one right after killing Soleimani, but it is about two weeks ahead of schedule. If I remember, you said this was festering between Sunni and Shite and the leader would be Iran. Do you have any update on that?
Thank you;
GC
ANSWER: The first Iran Revolution was February 1921, when the military commander Reza Khan seized power. The War Cycle on Iran comes into play 2021.29. I will be doing an update to the cycles of war and incorporate those issues from the 2015 Cycle of War which was on the Middle East. The killing of Soleimani is probably the precursor to the turn in the ECM which is due January 18, 2020. This should contribute to the inflationary cycle ahead.
QUESTION: Mr. Armstrong; I met someone who used to work for you. He said your models are far more complex than anyone imagines and that it is not a simple algorithm. He said you have relied on quantum mechanics which is why nobody has been able to duplicate what you do. Would you care to comment?
PD
ANSWER: Society in the West is blocked mentally. The primary distinction remains the assumption that the world is linear, which is completely wrong for it is cyclical. Take global warming. The analysis being applied is absolutely absurd. Scientific methodology is one of unbiased inquiry based upon reason supported by evidence and collective investigation. Global warming has none of that and it is simply propagated as a belief. They refuse to demonstrate how the climate has changed for thousands of years. The latest claim is that the extremely cold winters are also caused by C02 without any evidence to show such historical volatility and Co2. They just make it up and nobody asks to see the proof.
Linear analysis is just so absurd it is hard to see how any intelligent body would use it when the world is not linear in any possible way — we do have seasons! In the study of light, it was assumed in classical linear analysis that an increasingly higher frequency of the electromagnetic wave would cause the universe to simply destroy itself with black body radiation. This is what became known as the ultraviolet catastrophe. Obviously, that has not happened. The reason is the existence of cycles. Energy is not constant. It unfolds in segments Max Planck called “quanta” and we arrive at what is known as threshold energy.
Suffice it to say, this area of understanding cyclical behavior is extremely complex. I simply have called this the “Schema Frequency” upon which all others travel in a piggy-back manner as a derivative of something that defies the notions of real world analysis. It is far deeper in the world of quantum mechanics where it is even possible to have the same thing in two locations simultaneously. I still struggle with trying to figure out a way to articulate this concept.
The energy is linked to the frequency. Consequently, our Energy Model is determined by the frequency and is therefore linked to time. But light acts like a particle and a wave. This duality is by no means restricted to just light. There is duality is cyclical analysis as well.
When you breakdown how we think, you may believe you “think” in words. When you have to speak in a language such as Japanese v Latin-based, some words in Japanese like Onegaishimasu (おねがいします) do not directly translate to a specific English meaning. Conceptually, it can mean anything from “Please, could I have a cup of coffee?” (Kōhī Onegaishimasu) or “Can I use your phone?” (Denwa Onegaishimasu), to a stewardess announcing we are about to take off in an airplane (Onegaishimasu) or “Please do your best,” “Please have a good game,” or “I pray you…”. In other words, it is a “concept” that we have in our mind which is understood but not an English word.
Therefore, the Schema Frequency is complex and it is a concept not easily translated into words. There are two worlds — the classical world we believe we live in and the world of quantum mechanics. When we look at this 2016 penny, the surface appears smooth. When we look at it under a microscope, we see that the surface is not smooth. This illustrates the difference between the two worlds of observation in a crude simplistic manner.
COMMENT: Marty; Your forecast that sports peaked with the ECM 2015.75 and would decline was really amazing. Socrates is monitoring everything and your explanation that sports would peak and decline was part of the cycle has proved that there are so many trends all interconnected.
Fantastic forecast nobody else even thought about.
GH
REPLY: Yes, it may seem amazing, but humans react the same way over the centuries given the same or similar trends in the economy. The NFL has thousands of empty seats that show everything is subject to cyclical behavior
Boeing’s Starliner has been designed and built for NASA’s Commercial Crew Program, intended to provide ‘taxi’ services for astronauts to the International Space Station. Today was the first full flight test, launching on board an Atlas V from Cape Canaveral the initial flight was flawless. However after separation the spacecraft got confused and maneuvered incorrectly, burning through fuel needed for the rendezvous. Ultimately the spacecraft was recovered by it was no longer in the correct orbit and at this time space station docking has been ruled out. The vehicle will be tested on orbit to make sure all the systems operated correctly before the Starliner returns and lands at White Sands on Sunday. John Kraus’s launch photos can be found here: https://twitter.com/johnkrausphotos/s…
COMMENT: Martin, The Death of Democracy is alive and well here in Seattle. A statewide initiative I-976 to limit Washington car tabs to $30 has just passed with a large majority. In less than 24 hours Seattle’s mayor Jenny Durkan has already announced a lawsuit against it with support from King County Executive Dow Constantine. Washington governor and former presidential candidate Jay Inslee has also chimed in and halted all statewide transportation projects not underway. Amazing how an initiative that limits the government’s tax revenue is resisted by the government in full force within 24 hours.
The impetus of this initiative was the discovery that our local transportation agency Sound Transit has been illegally collecting excessive taxes through a vehicle valuation depreciation schedule that was more conservative than the one that was listed on the initiative which passed in 1996. In other words, they have been collecting “extra” taxes for more than 20 years and a recent lawsuit against the agency finally brought this fact to light.
I guess if the government steals money from us that’s ok, but when the people pass an initiative to simply stop the crime it is resisted with every resource government has available
Thank You,
Alex
REPLY: This is the problem with career politicians. This is what has to change. We really need term limits, for ONLY then will we achieve a true government for and by the people. Virtually every Republic has mired and drowned to death in their own corruption. The only form of a republic that seemed to work for a while was that of the Republic of Genoa,which was one of the Italian Maritime Republics. The Doge (President) rotated among the top rich families for a period of one year following the ancient Roman tradition of an annual consul. There was no class warfare and they ran the government more like a corporation to compete with Venice and Florence as well as the Republic of Pisa and Amalfi in the south. During the late Middle Ages, Genoa was one of the major commercial powers of the time and it became a center for merchant banking during the 16th and 17th centuries, which also made it a major financial center in Europe until the Spanish defaults. Christopher Columbus was from Genoa. He donated one-tenth of his income from the discovery of the Americas to Spain to the Bank of Saint George in Genoa for the relief of taxation on foods. There is a splendid monument to Columbus in Genoa even though they refused to fund his voyage.
When the presidency rotated annually, nobody would ever pass a law that would punish themselves when they left the office and returned to private life the following year. This is what we so desperately need to restore. Only because the Doge rotated annually did Genoa truly prosper. Venice also had a Doge but he was appointed for life and the city owned all the ships.
Dear Marty , what do you’re models say about the unrest in South America (Chili, Peru, Bolivia, Colombia, Venezuela, Argentinia) .
It looks like the whole continent is on flames.
All the best,
ciao G
ANSWER: I will update the Cycle of War in 2020. As I have stated many times, the computer has correlated both the international war among nations as well as the civil unrest which leads to revolutions. Normally, these two separate models move at different times. When they align, we get the most dramatic changes. This is what is taking place right now on a global scale. We have rising civil unrest around the globe. There is no place that is exempt.
We will see even the US 2020 elections become much more violent. It will be similar to the 1960s, but this is not over race. This time economics is driving the cycle which is being articulated in the battle between socialism v capitalism. Never before in history do we see the losing side simply refuse to accept their loss and move on. This nonsense that Trump is “#NotMyPresident” reflects the rising discontent which will turn to violence next year.
Then the socialists are out to destroy capitalism using climate change. This is also a cleverly orchestrated movement that is political beneath the surface. Shutting down fuel, ending cars and air travel — people have no idea that the agenda is to send society back to the Stone Age and end, not just industrialization, but capitalism.
This is not going to end well. The stupidity of people to ascribe to climate change without looking closely at the proposals is just an illustration of how easily the mob can be fooled. They are being convinced to surrender all their freedoms on the pretense that we face extinction in 12 years.
QUESTION: Hi Martin, I am a long time follower and devoted to your blogs. It’s something that goes well with that first cup of coffee in the morning. In your responses to some people regarding an alternate place to escape from government tyranny, I would suggest that it is not easy for many who have a spouse, family or grandchildren (if if you have the means to do so). Another aspect is how does one assess whether the place they are moving to will have a stable government five years from now or longer, because there is always the threat from another country wanting your resources, workers, strategic land, etc. I don’t think it is easy for anyone to up and move away from family and friends whom they would leave behind – and contact via social media, well, that’s doesn’t work for me.
Thank you.
PP
ANSWER: The cracks in the system will begin to appear next year. This is part of the Big Bang that began 2015.75, and was the PEAK in government confidence. As this unfolds, it will become clearer as to where to go. Keep in mind that the collapse in governments is predominantly in the West. There will be rising separatist movements, so we will see varying pockets of political unrest. We are just too far away from that for me to speak without guessing. It does appear that Asia will be the better place in general. They are not embracing socialism or this insane climate change agenda
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