One Ping Only…


“relatively speaking”…

.

Notice how President Trump always says: “you’d have been at war with North Korea”.  Notice how President Trump doesn’t say: “you’d have been at war with Kim Jong-un”.

Again, this has always looked like one of the most complex geopolitical hostage rescue operations in history.   China controls the DPRK, which includes the entire military apparatus in/around control over the North Korean people.

The world presents North Korea as a rogue regime without noticing/admitting that in reality North Korea is a proxy province of China.

Chairman Xi is the captor.

Chairman Kim is the captive.

President Trump is the hostage rescuer…. and so they dance.

POTUS knows the status of Kim; both Kim and Trump have discussed the dynamic.  Chairman Xi doesn’t like the Kim and Trump relationship; because it has disrupted the entire purpose of the DPRK as a proxy province providing Beijing plausible deniability.

And so it goes…

“Relatively speaking” of course.

President Trump Answers Question About Iranian Gunboats Harassing U.S. Ships: “We’ll shoot them out of the water.”…


During the coronavirus task force briefing President Trump was asked about his tweet earlier in the day regarding Iranian gunboats harassing U.S. Navy Ships.  The President was unambiguous in his response: “We’ll shoot them out of the water”.

White House Trade Advisor Peter Navarro Discusses China’s Manipulation of WHO, and Use of Defense Production Act…


White House Manufacturing Trade Advisor Peter Navarro is also leading the execution of the Defense Production Act to rally American resources in combating the Wuhan Virus. In this interview Navarro discusses the scale of Beijing’s influence over the World Health Organization as a propaganda operation.

Interestingly Navarro notes the Chinese delegation visit in January 2020 and the issues of human-to-human virus spread. CTH has long suspected U.S. intelligence on the Wuhan virus was behind Trump’s proactive health measures in November 2019. It would make sense for POTUS to have a heart-health evaluation prior to beginning a prophylactic regimen [hint hydroxychloriquine] and that might explain a particular advocacy emphasis later on. Just sayin’.

Additionally, Navarro again outlines the importance of returning our critical U.S. manufacturing back to the United States. Honeywell now making masks and GM making ventilators.  Peter Navarro is a patriot; in the right place for this moment in history.

Doctor From NY City Offers His Observations


Forecasting Technical v Fundamental


QUESTION:  Hi AE….I have a thought/question/idea that is an observation, not a criticism, & begs a response.
Have long noted AE’s reliance on technical analysis, for your forecasts, to the almost total exclusion of broader fundamentals, like out-of-control corruption. From day one, this has been a revelation to me, but must concede that your success in forecasting speaks for itself.
Meanwhile, over a lifetime, I’ve also observed the US gov’t dep’ts morph from “normal” corruption, to outright corruption, in every possible way, regardless of which alphabet dep’t you can name–CIA, FBI, FDA, FCC, OSHA, health care, justice (as you well know), education (indoctrination), plus all MSM. Amazing, Trump is still standing.
The system is so rotten, it cannot much longer endure. It has come down to the honest “little people”, in flyover country VS the matrix of entrenched financial/political/globalist parasites.
So, my question…your technicals work well in economics in a “normal” environment, but somewhere, deep in my psyche, a voice insists that at some point, all this blatant deceit, & even hatred is going to overwhelm all the charts & graphs, as in almost no markets at all, for a while.
There must be 100’s, if not 1000’s of your readers with similar thoughts.

HS

ANSWER: Trying to forecast based upon fundamentals is just opinion. That is not reliable for we all have good days and bad days. The trend is proven by the analysis. For example, Socrates projected that unemployment would rise faster than it ever has in history. That is not a forecast any person could have made BEFORE this virus even appeared.

I have told the story at conferences. We had a client, the Universal Bank of Lebanon, back in the 1980s. They discovered a ledger in the basement where someone had recorded the value of the Lebanese pound going back into the 1800s. They asked if we could create a model. They sent someone to the states with a copy of the ledger. I input the data into the computer and out came with a forecast that their country would fall apart in eight days. I thought the computer was wrong. When I told them the result and apologized, they simply asked me which currency would be best. The war started in eight days.

The very same thing took place concerning the Iran-Iraq War. We had a client who was very well connected and owned a shipping business. He called and asked me what gold would do the next day. He informed me that Iran was going to begin attacking shipping in the Gulf. I asked, “Are you telling me a war is going to begin tomorrow?” He said yes.

With time I began to understand that the computer was monitoring the capital flows. It would project the trend based upon the movements it was picking up. As a result, it knew nothing about who was moving the money or why – just that the capital was moving. I came to comprehend that if you were going to start a war, you would move your money appropriately in advance. I delivered the forecast that Russia was about to collapse in 1998 which led to the Long-Term Capital Management collapse. The computer saw $100 billion going into Russia, but $150 billion fleeing.

I have learned over the years that the fundamentals mean nothing. Yes, there have been deficits and people keep calling for the crash of the dollar. Yes, there has been rising corruption. The question is when will those fundamentals finally mean something? That is where the computer comes in. No opinions – just the trend. It boils down to public confidence. You can see it with this virus scare. The vast majority believe what is being said. They are fools who rush in and just follow people like Gates. He counts on such foolish ignorance.

President Trump Announces OPEC+ Agreement to Limit Oil Production…


Though the U.S. and Canada are not part of the “OPEC Plus” group, President Trump has  been leading negotiations between Saudi Arabia and Russia to broker a deal and stop their price war.  Today President Trump announces an agreement between the major petroleum exporting countries to curb oil production by approximately 10 million barrels per day:

Additionally, there was a loggerhead within the negotiations as Mexico did not want to cut their production by the requested amount of 400,000 barrels daily.  Mexico relies on oil as a large part of their economy. AMLO stated his economy could not withstand such a significant drop in state revenue.  Economic security is, after all, national security.

President Trump broke the OPEC+ stalemate by agreeing to decrease U.S. production by 300k/barrels allowing Mexico to drop a more manageable 100k/barrels.  Trump and AMLO reached an undisclosed agreement where Mexico will reimburse the U.S. later on.

I suspect the “reimbursement” will be more, well, strategically geopolitical than financial.  [*nudge-nudge*, *wink-wink*, *say-no-more/say-no-more*]  President Trump has an uncanny knack of collecting leverage for later, more strategic, purposes.  Just sayin’.

(VIA CNBC) […] Sunday’s emergency meeting — the second in four days — came as oil-producing nations scrambled to reach an agreement in an effort to prop up falling prices as the coronavirus outbreak continues to hammer demand. The agreement also ends a price war that broke out between Saudi Arabia and Russia at the beginning of March, which further pressured oil prices as each sought to gain market share.

The group, known as OPEC+, initially proposed cutting production by 10 million barrels per day — amounting to some 10% of global oil supply — on Thursday, but Mexico opposed the amount it was being asked to cut, holding up the final deal.

Talks continued on Friday when energy ministers from the Group of 20 major economies met, and while all agreed that stabilization in the market is needed, the group stopped short of discussing specific production numbers.

Under OPEC+’s new agreement, Mexico will cut 100,000 barrels per day, instead of the 400,000 barrels per day it had initially been asked to cut.

The 9.7 million barrels per day cut will begin on May 1, and will extend through the end of June.  (read more)

With such a significant slow-down in global oil demand due to the coronavirus mitigation efforts, massive tanker ships have been loaded with oil and sit at sea awaiting the global economy to restart generating the need for their cargo.

Two Weeks Ago…. President Trump and Defense Secretary Esper announced a major deployment of U.S. military to interdict narcotics trafficking from Central America.

On the surface the effort to deploy naval assets to the Caribbean and southern pacific is justified based on intelligence drug cartels will exploit the coronavirus pandemic to ship more narcotics into the U.S.

However, in the bigger picture there’s also a likelihood the Chinese Communist Party would work with their geopolitical allies in Central American regimes to further weaken the U.S. during a time of increased vulnerability.

In times of war, or severe geopolitical confrontation, exploiting a vulnerability is a common strategy. Therefore it’s a smart and prudent geopolitical move for President Trump and U.S. military to take very aggressive action against the cartels and their communist sympathizers. There’s more going on here than appears on the surface.

Ergo, sometime in the future…

Barr: “The president is very thankful for your cooperation“…

AMLO: “So you’re saying this is an offer I cannot refuse?“..

Barr: “The President is very thankful for your cooperation“…

 

WHO Feeds the Dragon?


What do you think “folks”? Who feeds the dragon?

Joanna Rosamond image

By  —— Bio and ArchivesApril 8, 2020

WHO Feeds the Dragon?The number of dangerous “imports” from China has been growing steadily. For years reports on toxic food and products have been swept under the mainstream media’s magic carpet and global outbreak alerts have been normalized by “…in a land far, far away…” fairy tales.

The Virus

Yep, it originated in China. Right now the only legitimate complaint about the name of the virus could come from producers of Corona beer who have already lost more than $161 million in sales. While the leftist likes of an U.S Rep. with Chinese Facebook account flaunt their allergy to facts and lament “word xenophobia” , millions of people are paying the price for the newest “import”. The confined human “mass” doesn’t need to study Information Manipulation Theory (McCornack, 1992) to realize that “given information” provided them with a false perception of a deadly problem. Already in 2002 severe acute respiratory syndrome (SARS) spread “unverified” to 37 countries. Ever since 2001,  WHO’s disease outbreaks news from China  juggled influenza A (H5N1) virus and SARS reports, not to mention  alerts on “melamine-contaminated powdered infant formula”, streptococcus suis (a swine pathogen that causes meningitis, sepsis, pneumonia and endocarditis) and polio virus.

Toxic “Goods”

Affiliates of  Chinese business in the USA and Europe clearly do not worry about customer trust and believe in raiding retail spaces and bombarding shoppers with no matter how harmful (but cheap) products. It’s not only about imposition of weird Chinese sizes and silly “translation” from Amazon: you could be purchasing a radioactive drywall  or an “all-American” lead tainted toy for your kid. With lack of well-deserved penalty for false “Made in the USA” labels we can expect more than “Only American Hockey Puck” to show its true Chinese colors. To add insult to the long list of  “unfair and deceptive acts”  two California based manufacturers “forgot” to inform American soldiers and Veterans that funds from sales of deployment bags and other gear marketed for them (including American flag…) were feeding the dragon.

The ongoing coronavirus pandemic has already caused war-like civilian casualties and disruption to economic activity world-wide. Some will deliberate on “pardonable” negligence; those who run towards the danger long enough not to believe in coincidences will consider coercive diplomacy or a leak from Wuhan’s lab. We are entering an era not only of hardship, but also of a great responsibility. Honorable leaders will have a duty  of taking counsel from our best military erudites, we the people will have the task of supporting leaders who want to bring production of our meds, clothes and food back home; the leaders willing to make America, and the world—safe again. In his tweet from the 7th of April, 2020 President Trump rightly concluded “W.H.O really blew it”.

And yep, I do hope that “We will be giving that a good look”. And nope, I do not hate Chinese people; as a matter of fact I think that Dr. Li Wenliang deserves Nobel Prize more than a toxic politician.

What do you think “folks”? Who feeds the dragon?

Trump’s Main Street Marshall Plan


Some call small businesses the backbone of the American economy

Dr. Robert R. Owens image

Re-Posted from the Canada Free Press By  —— Bio and ArchivesApril 7, 2020

Trump's Main Street Marshall PlanHow it was:

Basking in the glow of renewed freedom birthed through the Trump era tax cuts and the President’s massive reversal of the regulation noose that’s strangled America for the past three years, small-business success has achieved record highs.  The best economy in half a century unleashed by the lower taxes and fewer regulations inspired small businesses to hire more employees, to pay higher wages, and then to reinvest its capital.

How it is:

This pandemic is what historians call a black swan event.  It came out of nowhere and changed our perceptions forever.  But having said that, the same conditions of lower taxes and less regulation still exist.  Though currently stifled by the stay-at-home orders and self-quarantees this period of confinement and artificial limits is building a tsunami of pent-up demand.

As one of America’s main employers, the Small Business Administration tells us Main Street is the engine of our economy.  Here are some facts about small businesses in America today:

  • There are almost 21.5 million (90%) small businesses in the United States
  • Small businesses are responsible for 39 percent of GNP.
  • Small businesses are responsible for 52 percent of  all U.S. sales and contribute about 21 percent of all manufactured U.S. exports.
  • Small businesses contribute 44 percent of all sales in the country.
  • Small businesses employ 54.4 million people, about 57.3 percent of the private workforce.

Some call these small businesses the backbone of the American economy.  In this time of national sacrifice and emergency they deserve a government that addresses their needs.

Paycheck Protection Program

What’s been done:

In response to this crisis Congress passed, and the President signed the largest direct assistance program in American history. This, the third major bill in a month includes a novel plan for small businesses.  Instead of just tax incentives or emergency loans hidden behind a hedge of bureaucracy it seeks to deliver right-now-relief through the Paycheck Protection Program.

One way to express this effort calls to mind one of the most successful government programs of all time.  This is Trump’s Main Street Marshall Plan.

Through the Paycheck Protection Program businesses with fewer than 500 employees (including startups, sole proprietors, and the self-employed) can receive 100% federally guaranteed loans for eight weeks.  Then if the loan is used to pay employees, rent, or utilities, or rehire employees who were laid off due to the virus, the loan is forgiven.  The loan term is from February 15 to June 30.

This revolutionary piece of legislation saves small businesses the endless hassle of navigating the bewildering maze of the government bureaucracy which normally stands between citizens and government emergency relief.  With this innovative plan small business owners can work with their local bank or any lender backed by the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation.   This includes farmers.  Those who feed the world can work with the same farm credit institutions they’re familiar with, the ones they already know and trust.  All this without any bureaucrats in between the lenders and the borrowers.

The coronavirus pandemic is the greatest crisis as a nation we have faced in the lifetime of most Americans

American small businesses can take advantage of these loans right now, the sooner the better.  The applications for these loans are located on the  Treasury Department website.

The goal of the Paycheck Protection Program is to ensure small businesses are ready to relaunch as soon as America reopens for business.  This act seeks to keep Main Street afloat by providing direct relief for small businesses and keeping tens of millions of workers on the payroll.

The coronavirus pandemic is the greatest crisis as a nation we have faced in the lifetime of most Americans.  We have a great cheerleader in President Trump.  He strives day in and day out to raise our spirits and to lead us out of this dire scenario straight back to prosperity and peace.

What to do:

Having said all this, I have to share my belief that government, even one that is being led by the greatest crisis manager of modern times, is not the answer to America’s problems.  Only God can bring salvation whether we’re talking about an individual or a nation.

He once told us, “if My people who are called by My name will humble themselves, and pray and seek My face, and turn from their wicked ways, then I will hear from heaven, and will forgive their sin and heal their land.”  And since God is the same yesterday, today, and forever,  we can still claim that promise.  Besides He also told us, “And we know that all things work together for good to those who love God, to those who are the called according to  His  purpose.”

Trust God and He’ll bring us through.  Some may say, “What if we follow that advice and we catch the virus and die anyway?”  All I can say is if we die trusting God, no matter what the reason, we sure will be healed then.

Kayleigh McEnany Replaces Stephanie Grisham As Press Secretary…


It appears new White House chief of staff Mark Meadows is making a few communications changes. White House Press Secretary Stephanie Grisham will be returning to the East Wing as First Lady Melania Trump’s chief-of-staff.  Kayleigh McEnany will be replacing Grisham as Press Secretary.

[Politico] […] Alyssa Farah, a top Defense Department spokeswoman and former press secretary for Vice President Mike Pence, will also come aboard as the White House’s director of strategic communications.

Ben Williamson, Meadows’ former chief of staff and communications director, who will be Trump’s senior communications adviser. Farah also has a Meadows connection, previously serving as the communications director for the conservative House Freedom Caucus when Meadows, a former North Carolina lawmaker, was the caucus’s chairman. (link)

Keep in mind that Hope Hicks returned in February as Senior advisor to President Trump on communications.  Ms. Hicks is the primary Trump-whisperer on media strategy.

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Nanotechnology & the Next Soldier


Both the United States and China have been in a new military arms race that has not made the headlines. While there are all sorts of conspiracy theories running around that the coronavirus was engineered by China’s weapon’s lab as a biological weapon, the real advancements never seems to gather attention. Both the USA and China are pursuing military nanotechnology solutions, which includes linking soldiers’ brains directly to computers. That may sound far-fetched. But it is very real.

Since at least 2000, President Clinton proclaimed his National Nanotechnology Initiative. The US government agencies have been heavily engaged in nanotechnology research. A very significant part of the effort has been funded by the Defense Department with the goal of creating a new kind of warrior that links the human brain to machines. This would be far superior to robot soldiers. They would be connected to millions of sensors and to the military computer in the cloud. They believe the capability of the human brain would be expanded exponentially.

I see the danger of hacking into the network and then an enemy could possibly turn your army against their creator. Is this the real version of Terminator blended with Matrix