Tag Archives: United Nations Climate Change Conference

Nov 11 2023

Dr Roy Spencer: New Global Dataset: Global Grids of UHI Effect On Air Temp, 1800-2023


Dr Roy Spencer: New Global Dataset: Global Grids of UHI Effect On Air Temp, 1800-2023

2023/November/04/Dr Roy Spencer: New Global Dataset: Global Grids of UHI Effect On Air Temp, 1800-2023

Dr Roy Spencer: New Global Dataset: Global Grids of UHI Effect On Air Temp, 1800-2023

By P Gosselin on 4. November 2023

See full report at Dr. Roy Spencer

As a follow-on to our paper submitted on a new method for calculating the multi-station average urban heat island (UHI) effect on air temperature, I’ve extended that initial U.S.-based study of summertime UHI effects to global land areas in all seasons and produced a global gridded dataset, currently covering the period 1800 to 2023 (every 10 years from 1800 to 1950, then yearly after 1950).

It is based upon over 13 million station-pair measurements of inter-station differences in GHCN station temperatures and population density over the period 1880-2023. 

Since UHI effects on air temperature are mostly at night, the results I get using Tavg will overestimate the UHI effect on daily high temperatures and underestimate the effect on daily low temperatures.

As an example of what one can do with the data, here is a global plot of the difference in July UHI warming between 1800 and 2023, where I have averaged the 1/12 deg spatial resolution data to 1/2 deg resolution for ease of plotting in Excel (I do not have a GIS system):

If I take the 100 locations with the largest amount of UHI warming between 1800 and 2023 and average their UHI temperatures together, I get the following:

Note that by 1800 there was 0.15 deg. C of average warming across these 100 cities since some of them are very old and already had large population densities by 1800. Also, these 100 “locations” are after averaging 1/12 deg. to 1/2 degree resolution, so each location is an average of 36 original resolution gridpoints. My point is that these are *large* heavily-urbanized locations, and the temperature signals would be stronger if I had used the 100 greatest UHI locations at original resolution.

Read entire article at Dr. Roy Spencer. 

Nov 5 2023

Wind Energy Killing Whales? Re-Posted Nov 5, 2023 By Martin Armstrong


https://youtube.com/watch?v=km78wMHt9d8%3Ffeature%3Doembed
Oct 11 2023

Solar forcing may have a 4 to 7 times greater effect on climate change than current climate models indicate


New Studies: Selection Bias In Datasets Advances A False Narrative The Sun Has No Climate Impact
New Studies: Selection Bias In Datasets Advances A False Narrative The Sun Has No Climate Impact
By Kenneth Richard on 5. October 2023
Share this…




Solar forcing may have a 4 to 7 times greater effect on climate change than current climate models indicate, which may mean modern climate change is predominantly natural rather than anthropogenic.
Anthropogenic global warming (AGW) attribution may be significantly dependent on the choice of dataset.
Advocates of AGW may only use Total Solar Irradiance (TSI) reconstructions that align with the perspective that the Sun has little to no impact on climate. Consequently, climate models may only use the PMOD’s model-based satellite data (which shows a declining trend since 1980) rather than the ACRIM (which shows an increasing TSI trend from the 1980s to 2000s).
The biased selection of long-term TSI reconstructions that show little to no variability are also preferred over TSI reconstructions with large variability. For example, the uncertainty in the estimate of the increase in TSI since the Maunder Minimum (1645-1715) ranges anywhere from 0.75 W/m² to 6.3 W/m² (Yeo et al., 2020). AGW advocates will, of course, select the lowest TSI change value (0.75 W/m²) and reject the higher values (6.3 W/m²), as then it is much easier to attribute modern warming to anthropogenic activity rather than to solar forcing.
The IPCC has selected one TSI dataset in the latest (2021) report for its global warming attribution assessments and climate models (GCMs). The dataset of course aligns only with the view modern warming is human-caused, and not natural, and thus it depicts a declining TSI trend since 1980 (PMOD) and almost no variability since the Maunder Minimum.
A new study (Connolly et al., 2023 with press release) identifies 27 other TSI estimates (purposely) ignored by the IPCC, several of which suggest modern warming may be up to 71-87% natural – especially if the temperature stations that do not show a strong artificial urban warming bias are used.
“Several of these different solar activity estimates suggest that most of the warming observed outside urban areas (in rural areas, oceans, and glaciers) could be explained in terms of the Sun.”


Image Source: Connolly et al., 2023 and press release
Another new study (Scafetta, 2023) suggests the Sun’s real climate impact may be 4-7 times larger than just from TSI (radiative) forcing alone, as the solar activity variations may mechanistically affect cloud albedo, which has been observed to drive 1-3 W/m² per decade changes in shortwave forcing (McLean, 2014).
“Thus, at least about 80% of the solar influence on the climate could be generated by processes other than direct TSI forcing.”
Climate models do not allow for any solar influence beyond the small, flat radiative forcing changes associated with TSI forcing, as this way it can be claimed that natural factors have little to no bearing on climate change.
Alternative solar activity records, as shown in TSI #2 Model below, have the Sun’s total impact directly linked to global temperature changes, including for recent decades.

Image Source: Scafetta, 2023
Sep 27 2023

The American Climate Corps


Armstrong Economics Blog/Politics Re-Posted Sep 27, 2023 by Martin Armstrong

https://youtube.com/watch?v=pWBAu1uexI4%3Ffeature%3Doembed

Joe Biden has created a workforce initiative called the American Climate Corps who will be responsible for carrying out the climate change agenda. The program promises “good-paying” jobs “aligned with high-quality employment opportunities after they complete their paid training or service program.” Over 20,000 youth will have an opportunity to apply within the first year. Some are comparing this to Franklin D. Roosevelt’s Civilian Conservation Corps, but it is nothing of the sort.

FDR created the Civilian Conservation Corps in 1933 amid the Great Depression. The program provided 3 million jobs to young men between 18 and 25 and permitted them to work in America’s public forests, lands, and parks. The men were guaranteed three meals per day with lodging accommodations. They earned only $30 per month, but sent $25 home to their families. Nature, not climate, was preserved and these men were bordering on indentured servitude for the US government but everyone won due to the nature of the times.

The American Climate Corps is intended to push the Green New Deal and push the youth into newer and largely unnecessary industries. “The American Climate Corps will focus on equity and environmental justice – prioritizing communities traditionally left behind, including energy communities that powered our nation for generations, leveraging the talents of all members of our society, and prioritizing projects that help meet the Administration’s Justice40 goal,” the White House stated on its website. “Equity” is a keyword for the Biden Administration who also wants to prioritize jobs for “traditionally left behind” persons. All of these individuals will receive a government paycheck and pensions at a massive cost to taxpayers. Some estimates believe the program will require $132.5 billion in spending, but that’s just the beginning as they will continue to grow this unnecessary government-funded workforce.

Most of the men in FDR’s Civilian Conservation Corps served in World War II after their service. They were not asking for handouts or burdening the taxpayer. Rep. Alexandria Ocasio Cortez (D-N.Y.) and Sen. Edward Markey (D-Mass.) were major supporters of this measure as they have been waiting for the Green New Deal to take place. Biden is attempting to lure the youth ahead of the election by promising “good-paying” entry-level jobs that align with the Build Back Better agenda.

Sep 19 2023

Greta Poses for the Cameras Amid Arrest


Armstrong Economics Blog/Climate Re-Posted Sep 19, 2023 by Martin Armstrong

Greta Thunberg is willing to defy the authorities to fight climate change, or at least that is what they want you to believe. They paint this young girl as a radical activist when she is planted counter-opposition. Greta was arrested for the second time last week for refusing to leave a sit-in at a protest terminal. The picture above shows the true nature of her arrest.

Greta was not violently carted off by the authorities and thrown into a cell. The police held her up for the cameras for the best propaganda pictures. Reuters is reporting that the young globalist could face up to six months behind bars – yeah, right! “It is absurd that those who act in line with science should pay the price for it,” Thunderg stated after her first arrest. She pleaded “not guilty” in June, citing that she was blocking the oil trucks from committing a climate catastrophe. “I believe that we are in an emergency that threatens life, health, and property. Countless people and communities are at risk both in the short term and in the long term,” Thunberg said in court.

Her next trial is on September 27, and no doubt she will be telling the court that she was saving the world. Simply look at the footage Reuters published. It shows a small girl being dragged by the police, but in truth, the police knew that her arrest was a marketing tool for the climate change agenda. Even a simple Google search on the event is littered with headlines such as “Greta Thunberg forcibly removed from climate protest after fine” or “Greta Thunberg charged with disobeying police order at climate protest.”

Greta Thunberg is not an activist. She was a child who fell in with the wrong crowd at Greenpeace who handed her over to the World Economic Forum to be used for marketing purposes only. Greta Thunberg managed to accumulate a net worth of $18 million at 20 years old through brand deals, speaking engagements, and sponsorships. These public spectacles are merely part of her job as a propaganda puppet.

Sep 13 2023

What is Biden Doing in Alaska?


Armstrong Economics Blog/Politics Re-Posted Sep 13, 2023 by Martin Armstrong

For the first time in US history, the president did not visit a 9/11 memorial on the day of the worst terrorist attack on US soil. Instead, the president traveled to Alaska to commit his own attack against the American people. Peter Doocy said that he received a response similar to “Well, presidents stopped visiting Hawaii 22 years after Pearl Harbor,” or in other words, the president does not feel obligated to honor the victims of the attack since it’s in the past. He claimed he was at ground zero on the very day of the attack, but records show that he clearly was not in New York. So why did Biden travel to Alaska? Biden announced he was canceling all drilling on Federal land in Alaska and termination existing permits. In unison, he prohibited liquid gas from being transported via train. This will put a strain on the supply chain as trucking is the only viable transportation method now.

Demand will outweigh supply. Joe Biden drained America’s oil reserves when prices where skyrocketing and he was coming under pressure. The stockpile is at the lowest level since the 1980s, and since we cannot drill our own gas, we are at the mercy of our suppliers who continue to raise the price. Energy had never been an issue prior to Biden taking office and eliminating America’s energy independence.

Is it even legal for the Biden Administration to cancel previously issues leases? Alaskan Governor Mike Dunleavy believes that Biden is bypassing the law and intends to sue his administration. Dunleavy noted that while the Secretary of the Department may cancel oil and gas leases issued in violation, no such violation exists. “The leases AIDEA hold in ANWR were legally issued in a sale mandated by Congress. It’s clear that President Biden needs a refresher on the Constitution’s separation of powers doctrine. Federal agencies don’t get to rewrite laws, and that is exactly what the Department of the Interior is trying to do here,” said Governor Mike Dunleavy. “We will fight for Alaska’s right to develop its own resources and will be turning to the courts to correct the Biden Administration’s wrong.”

Democrats are upset at the ruling as it takes away jobs from native Alaskans. U.S. Rep. Mary Peltola, a Democrat, said that she will continue fighting the lease cancelations. “This makes absolutely no sense from any perspective unless your goal is to drive up the cost of oil and gas so much that it makes certain renewables cheaper,” Dunleavy told Fox News.

Biden has just ensured rising energy costs for all Americans. This is so important to Biden and his handlers that they insisted on spending a national day of mourning in Alaska to reframe climate change as the larger threat to this nation. What does one do when the people in charge are deliberately ruining the nation? They can only blame Russia and climate change for so long until the masses wake up.

Sep 9 2023

Britain To Imprison People For Not Complying with Net Zero


Armstrong Economics Blog/BRITAIN Re-Posted Sep 9, 2023 by Martin Armstrong

It is time we understand that the climate change agenda and COVID have been adopted for a single reason. The governments can no longer kick the can down the road regarding debt. The current monetary system is unsustainable. As a result, they will default on their national debts, which will wipe out pensions. These measures are to use their power under the pretense of some bogus issue to justify tyrannical suppression. They refuse to reform, so as a result – they will dig their heels in and sweep all our rights away for our good to protect our health and save the planet of which it is a race to see which one they care the less about since they are both fake.

The British legislation will be snuck into US law and will empower the government to imprison anyone who fails to adhere to energy consumption regulations for up to a year and fines of up to £15,000. The state’s prosecutions will also be allowed to charge you with false information, lying to the government, etc., which will be the more traditional obstruction of justice crimes that can imprison you for five years or more.

This type of tyranny will lead to the revolutions our computer is projecting by the time we get to 2032. They will take away everything to retain power. The new people elected to office are never allowed behind the curtain. They are told they MUST vote along party lines, or the party will go against them. The former head of the Republicans, Boehner, did that to the Tea Party people. The Democrats launched IRS investigations against the Tea Party because they thought getting elected to Congress meant they could change things. There is no path to such reform.

Sep 8 2023

African Leaders Aim to Implement Global Carbon Tax


Armstrong Economics Blog/Climate Re-Posted Sep 8, 2023 by Martin Armstrong

https://youtube.com/watch?v=VrmHW4Rkxd4%3Ffeature%3Doembed

The Africa Climate Summit hosted in Kenya focused on how the world can manipulate the weather through taxation. In no way due to geography or distance to the equator, African leaders honed in on how Africa faces numerous climate-related challenges such as desertification, drought, rising temperatures, and cyclones. “To achieve the necessary emissions reduction targets and ensure adequate funding for climate action, a comprehensive global funding mechanism is required,” the summit leaders declared.

The Nairobi Declaration is calling upon the globalists to “rally behind the proposal for a global carbon taxation regime including a carbon tax on fossil fuel trade, maritime transport and aviation, that may also be augmented by a global financial transaction tax.” They believe that these global taxes on carbon should be held in one pooled fund and then allocated to the nations committed to green innovations and less developed countries. So, an independent, unelected body will be capable of distributing and collecting these funds fairly, in a manner that the entire world can agree upon. That did not work too well for Europe with the unelected Troika.

Perhaps we could have prevented the last Ice Age if humans threw money at the sky and paid taxes. The hunters and gatherers should have been looking for meat alternatives. These people will never admit that climate change is a naturally, cyclically occurring phenomenon. The only agreement they will see is a “NO” from the nations not abiding by the rules for the Great Reset.

Africa has another motive in mind – natural resources. “Africa is ready to contribute to global decarbonization efforts by leveraging its abundant resources, including renewable energy, critical minerals, agricultural potential, and natural capital,” their website states. Ah yes, such as the cobalt we use for electric vehicles that are mined by child slaves in the Congo. Millions of people on the continent lack basic electricity and started going green before it was the trend.

A global tax would be detrimental to international relations and trade. The unelected group installed to manage the fund will wield too much power and history has taught us that the power-hungry are never appeased. The main issue here is that taxing carbon emissions simply cannot change nature. We face far too many taxes, and developed nations should not be expected to subsidize others. Since it would be impossible for every country to agree on a global tax, the burden would fall upon those already aiming to eliminate carbon emissions by 2050, at the latest, by sacrificing the financial stability of their people.

Sep 8 2023

Biden Cancels Previously Issued ANWR Oil and Gas Leases in Alaska


Posted originally on the CTH on September 7, 2023 | Sundance 

24 hours before Joe Biden announced he was cancelling all previously issued oil and gas leases in Alaska’s ANWR region, Saudi Arabia and Russia announced oil production limits would continue.  Oil prices spiked near $100/bbl and then Joe Biden amplifies the problem by cancelling previously sold oil and gas leases.

There’s no other way to look at the timing here, other than to accept this is Joe Biden intentionally driving up the cost of domestic energy in the U.S. and creating as much pain as possible.

(Reuters) – Sept 6 (Reuters) – The U.S. Interior Department on Wednesday said it would cancel oil and gas leases in a federal wildlife refuge that were bought by an Alaska state development agency in the final days of former President Donald Trump’s term.

President Joe Biden, a Democrat, has pledged to protect the 19.6 million-acre (7.9 million-hectare) Arctic National Wildlife Refuge (ANWR) for polar bears and caribou.

“As the climate crisis warms the Arctic more than twice as fast as the rest of the world, we have a responsibility to protect this treasured region for all ages,” he said in a statement.

Trump’s Republican administration had issued the Alaska Industrial Development and Export Authority (AIDEA) seven leases a day before Biden’s inauguration.

Environmentalists praised the decision, but it was lambasted by a Republican Senator from Alaska, where officials have sought to open up drilling in the reserve to secure jobs and revenues for the state.

The government also said it would forbid new leasing on more than 10 million acres in the National Petroleum Reserve in Alaska, a 23-million-acre area on the state’s North Slope that is the largest undisturbed public land in the United States. (read more)

WHITE HOUSE – […] Canceling all remaining oil and gas leases issued under the previous administration in the Arctic Refuge and protecting more than 13 million acres in the Western Arctic will help preserve our Arctic lands and wildlife, while honoring the culture, history, and enduring wisdom of Alaska Natives who have lived on these lands since time immemorial. From day one, I have delivered on the most ambitious climate and conservation agenda in our country’s history. But there is more to do… (link)

Sep 7 2023

Food For Thought


Armstrong Economics Blog/Climate Re-Posted Sep 6, 2023 by Martin Armstrong

How is it that the government can’t rig elections but they can rig weather by regulation to stop what they call global warming?