Britain Seizing Pension Funds?


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I have been warning that Chancellor George Osborne is probably going to go down in history as the man who destroys what is left of the British Empire. He has done whatever could be done wrong absolutely perfectly. Seizing pension funds to be invested by his decree is up there with Argentina standards. Osborne is now currently putting in place his grand scheme to retain the power of government in Britain. His grand scheme is to seize effective control of the nation’s local government pension schemes and direct them to invest in his infrastructure projects that are probably lobbied by friends.

Politicians in the post-Roosevelt Era took the idea of the WPA created by Roosevelt to provide jobs for the unemployed. Keep in mind that this was the transition from agriculture to skilled labor, which was quite a different problem from today. The second problem was the shift to the technology of the combustion engine that allowed farmers to replace workers by the dozen with motorized tractors and automobiles replaced trains. These technology shifts made the WPA a viable alternative because we needed to change the skill sets of workers. Now, infrastructure projects do not train workers to change their career and they offer nothing from a permanent employment perspective. So raising taxes and seizing pension funds to funnel into infrastructure has a NEGATIVE economic impact today. The technology shift is not moving backwards in skills, it is moving forward.

Osborne is crossing THE line here as a pretend left-wing socialist masquerading as a economic “conservative” that no other major G5 nation has dared to tread no less the British government throughout its entire history. This is where government are moving. Seizing everything just like Maximinus who destroyed the confidence in Rome and set in motion the acceleration of its decline.

The Postponement – Slingshot Move


Sling-Shot Move

QUESTION: Marty, at the Conference you said we could conclude this in the first quarter if we get the alignment. It does not look like we will get the alignment since gold is up and the Dow is down. This is why you have been saying this looked like it was postponing into 2017?

ANSWER: Yes. We could have concluded this here in 2016, but the reversals determine the trend. Trend is ALWAYS defined by the Bullish and the Bearish Reversals. Those who expect forecasts to be one-sided opinions are not traders and will typically lose their shirt as 90% of people who try to trade do. A real trader MUST know where he is right and where he is wrong at all times since the market is the only thing that is ever infallible. Those who expect one-sided forecasts never survive. Those who do not grasp why we have Bullish and Bearish Reversals defining the trend claiming that is why we are always right are blind fools. You cannot elect both the Bearish and the Bullish on the same day. These type of people will be separated from their money real fast in the coming slingshot because they are incapable of understanding how markets even move. This is a learning experience and when there is nothing left to learn, it is time to die. So those who are incapable of learning, well I suppose they are just a waste of humanity that drives the rest of us in awe as we watch their stupidity repeat over and over again.

True, 2016 would be five years down from the 2011 high in gold. But because of the split with 2012 being the highest annual closing, this has left the door open to the conclusion being pushed off into 2017. If we got the final low for gold in the first quarter, then a low in the Dow would be the alignment that confidence in government would collapse now. But when the Dow closed year-end lower and gold closed above our number, I stated gold was not as weak as it appeared. It then began electing the Bullish Reversals, not the Bearish, and that gave us the indication we would get a rally BETWEEN the Benchmarks at a very minimum. This was only reinforced by the closing in the euro where we warned the euro should rise to 113 at minimum and 116 optimal. The decline in the dollar should have helped gold, but it will also intensify the deflation in Europe and help to push their banking system over the cliff as is happening right now.

The talk around the street is that the moves are due to a lack of confidence in general that central banks can control the economy. Well, that’s nice, for they never could. But this is looking very dicey, to say the least. That is why we have to just following the reversals and the timing. We have heard every excuse to explain the trend from the stock market following oil to gold rallying because the Fed will not raise rates. Honestly, this all sounds like gibberish.

The markets are preparing for a slingshot move that will make most people’s nose bleeds. Gold has reached so far the 1263 level so there is still room on the upside yet before encountering resistance. The two key numbers to watch now are the 1309 and 1363 levels. Pay attention to the Dow. If we can close below 15875 we have a shot of finally breaking last year’s low.

Also, pay attention to silver. It has not kept pace with gold, showing the bulk of the gold move has been short-covering. Here we need a closing for the week above 1643 to be comparable with gold just above the 1209 number. We also have a Weekly Bullish at 1544. Silver is begrudgingly following which does not speak well for the long-term sustainability here.

So in the end, we will set the stage for all this craziness moving to extremes. Then ask yourself this question? Are you willing to hand your money to government and ask them to hold it for you? If we are concerned about banks, and we are concerned about government, then there is not much life but to move to the private sector. So when rates go negative, a 1% yield in a blue-chip stock looks like heaven. That is the shift on the horizon from public to private. We have to get the weak-minded running into the arms of government before the markets will slaughter them for their stupidity.

The Game is Over – Market Perspective


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The fuse has been lit. The world economy is in serious trouble and we have the worst possible people at the helm. You have Obama who want to double the funding now for the SEC and CFTC to go after the banks because he smells blood. He also wants to add a $10 tax to oil just because he see something else he can tax.

The question becomes, just how long can we try to climb out of this mess before it consumes the entire rope? It does appear that the greatest period of turmoil will be 2017 moving into 2020. Whatever can go wrong – will go wrong. We have everything culminating from a Sovereign Debt Crisis to the War Cycle intermixed with political destabilization. Indeed, 2017 is going to be the year from political hell. With election is Germany, France, and the referendum in Britain exiting the EU, we then throw in the real potential for the election in the States to flip to Trump. The world as we have known it is coming undone.

When we look at the markets, they are clearly trying to speak to us. Many markets avoided their year-end numbers like gold closing ABOVE 1044 level. This we warned meant gold was not as weak as it might appear. The Dow closed lower warning there too a correction was underway.

So far today gold opened at 1197 and ran up to the 1215 area hovering around our opening pivot point for today which was 1207.57. Keep in mind that the resistance stands in the 1226 area but the real key here is to accomplish a closing above 1209 on Friday. Then we can get a pop up about $100 which would convince many it has turned. But alas, the stars are not quite aligned just yet. Our yearly resistance starts at the 1309 level so this is how far we can push gold right now. Beware, a break back below 1179 will warn the market is turn negative again.

Deutsche Bank-MEuro

The Dow opening pivot point for today is 15747 and our extreme support for 2016 lies at 13100 level. It has been the S&P500 leading the way down. This is not something to overlook. I have stated countless times the difference here is the Dow reflects big international money and the S&P500 is concentrated with domestic. As the European banking crisis continues to unfold, the Euro caught a bid as capital was being withdrawn from overseas investments. Many big banks have been shutting down their dealing desks. They are handing back screens from all the companies like Bloomberg as the industry contracts. This also has resulted in liquidating foreign trading positions. The US prosecutors fining European banks excessively have changed the game. They want to pretend they are protecting the markets, but in reality, nobody goes to jail and they just line their pockets with huge fines. This has set in motion the great migration of the financial industry and we can see from the chart above on Deutsche Bank, it does not look very good.

DJFIN-M

 

Nonetheless, banks overall are not looking healthy long-term. Looking at the Dow Jones Financial Index, we can see here that this sector did NOT make new highs above 2007. This is not something to overlook. I have warned, get out of financial stocks. The game is over.

Iran Tries to Kill Petro-Dollars But They Know Not What They Do


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Iran has begun to sell oil, but in euros. They think this is some sort of blow to the USA, but in fact, they are taking on the currency risk of the euro. This could be interesting for when the euro resumes its decline they will actually be undercutting everyone else who is pricing in dollars. This could make the markets very interesting as we move ahead.