Since the publication of the Panama Papers, the assets of the wealthy from around the world have been flowing into United States at a sharply increased pace. Tracking capital flows has revealed that capital outflows of liquidity from the EU have distinctly accelerated.

The United States is definitively becoming the replacement for Switzerland. The IRS has even ordered cash sales of real estate in Miami and New York to be investigated to reveal the actual beneficial owners behind corporations.

This trend should increase even if BREXIT is defeated for our models are warning of a rise in civil unrest throughout Europe, especially in that event. More member states will be driven to hold referendums by the demand of their people. The Brussels Government cannot be replaced by any democratic process in Europe and that is very dangerous for it leaves only one way for people to disagree and demand change — through means of force. Even the US Civil War was fought over the denial of the right to separate, which the Supreme Court of the United States maintains there is no “right” to break from the federal government.

We are beginning to see interest rates rise globally in the free market. After BREXIT exposed the crisis in Europe, the rates began to rise in the peripherals. That will move closer toward the core. The Fed will respond only when the capital sees what is unfolding in Europe and shifts to the States. The US will be the last to see rates rise. The Fed has recognized that it needs to raise rates to prevent a pension crisis, but the first step would be to stop paying interest on excess reserves. That would conform to a rate raise.

QUESTION:

ANSWER: No. Future inflation will not be demand driven, but asset driven. Retail participation, both in the States and from Europe, in the US share market is at historic lows. This is why the market cannot crash. Where’s the bubble? As long as the Fed continues this crazy policy of accommodating the bankers by paying for excess reserve deposits, banks will continue to hoard. The rate was 0.25% and the Fed raised the rate to 0.5%. This is really stupid. It is why there has been no inflation from Quantitative Easing.

All of these gurus assumed that the Fed’s balance sheet would cause huge inflation because they just read headlines and do not comprehend how the system really works. Their assumption was that all this money would spark inflation, which they only see, and the 1970s demand inflation into 1980. The money never made it to the people. The bankers were paid to HOARD that cash, which shows that the Fed is really insane.

If the Fed honestly wants to “stimulate,” it should eliminate paying interest on excess reserves. Then the banks will take that money and have to earn something the good old fashion way – by lending it out. That is the only way you can see “demand” inflation. Otherwise, we are looking at asset inflation to protect money value instead of inflation spiraling out of consumer demand.

Currency inflation is when the currency declines so the assets rise in proportion. This is not actually a gain in real terms; rather it is how tangible assets act as a hedge against government. You will often hear gold will soar to $10,000. The question would be that type of rally would be profitless. Your monthly rent on a condo would probably be $10,000. Everything is relative.