Will There be Coordinated Central Bank Action This Week?


The Coronavirus has been exploited by the press to unbelievable levels. Even hop on a domestic flight in the USA and the majority of people are wearing masks. Fed is being pressured to do a coordinated rate cut this week. We should see rate cuts in China and Hong Kong where the economy has been complete decimated. Our target weeks for action by central banks will be this coming week of March 2nd and March 23rd. Based on information and belief, the press has been told to knock this off. They are creating a global panic without justification just as they created the Spanish American War.

Politics & the Great Awakening


QUESTION: Marty; I understand you do not support either side in politics, but what happens if the Democrats split?

KW

ANSWER: The Republicans were opposed to Trump when he was elected. You had people like John McCain who refused to even allow him to speak at his funeral. Once upon a time, the Republicans and Democrats worked together after elections. Today, the hatred in politics is really beyond all belief.

Trump simply represented a threat to their very existence. But Trump wrongly listened to the Washington elite and brought in people who were the very problem like Bolton. Trump was naive from the standpoint that he was not one of the oligarchs who funded government to further his business. That was the bankers, press, and military establishment. All three have been his enemies ever since. They are the primary donors who have filled their troughs regularly. Trump was just a lowly real estate guy that really did not have direct influence in that field – it was mostly state and local.

The split in the Democrats is indicative of the philosophy shift. They have pandered to the socialist agenda assuming these people are stupid and would never hold them to the promises they have made. This is coming back to haunt them as Bernie leads the pack.

Yes, Biden won South Carolina. But he has all the charisma of watching grass grow. The Democrats have spent $1 billion for the primaries which the press loves, but Bloomberg is $500 million of that. Hillary tried to buy the White House, and Bloomberg will fail. He is probably the most dangerous person ever to run for President in either party.

The Democrats will split over this philosophy for you have the core of the Party will rig the game against Bernie. Do we see the rise in violence against the corruption of the Democratic Party or against Trump? It is true that the there is an element of the Democrats who have been brainwashed to hate Trump and I really do not see what he has done which has been such a threat. Bloomberg suspended the Constitution with his stop-and-frisk that any rational period should have known was illegal. Then Bloomberg outlawed 2 liter bottles of soda, and removed term limits because he refused to leave office. The decisions behind all three of these moves gives me serious pause about this guy. Neither Trump nor anyone else in either party has acted so arbitrarily.

The breakup of the Democrats is not something that becomes a win simply for Republicans. We are looking at a clash of philosophies and if Bernie does not win the nomination, this may be more of the spark to violence than the hatred against Trump.

I have said many times, my concern is what comes AFTER Trump. I do not see someone stepping up from the private sector with sound mind. Bloomberg is a demagogue who is highly dangerous. I think the split of the Democrats will cause an unstable political base that will also infect the Republicans.

The older generation is losing its grip. The Clintons will be gone for 2024. The entire playing field will start to change. From there into 2032 we should witness the disintegration of government for all the socialistic programs will become unsustainable. What happens then when the people who counted on those promises realize it is all a lie? Will this be the political Great Awakening

The ECM & the Market Crash


QUESTION #1: Hi Mr. Armstrong,
Might the current correction be the set up for the long awaited slingshot move?
Regards,
BE

COMMENT #1: I just wanted to say thank you. I sold out on the ECM and bought puts on the market. You just paid off my mortgage.

God bless you!

HJ

COMMENT #2: Marty, you are the only person who has the guts to make forecasts in the middle of a panic up or down. Your calls are beyond belief. No wonder the big boys call you.

KE

COMMENT #3: Hi Martin. Do you think the Fed and other Central Banks will cut rates due to the coronavirus and/or the market decline?
Socrates really helped me avoid this correction and even make some money.

Thank you.
AG

COMMENT #4: Hi Martin,
I don’t recall you ever commenting on the NYSE Composite Index. Just in case you don’t know. The all time high for the NYSE Comp Index is January 17, 2020. Right in sync with the ECM turn on Saturday Jan. 18. Most peoples focus is on the indexes that are tradable. So it is understandable that most people do not know the NYSE Comp index synced up perfectly with the ECM.
Perhaps you could mention this on your blog when commenting on the US stock market monthly closing today.
This weeks BIG down move will only increase your legendary status as the worlds top financial adviser.
Thank you so much for the private blog post last Sunday giving everyone a big warning of what was about to happen this week. The high for the week in the SP500 futures was last Sunday night at the 6 pm open.
Big Time Move Martin. Thank you from the bottom on my heart.
Sincerely,
DP

REPLY: The #1 golden rule is simple: What goes up, also comes down! Experience is something we gain through life. It is not easily acquired. We must make mistakes in order to gain knowledge. If someone wants to become an analyst, you must be in the game a long time to learn the twists the markets will always throw at you.

In the New Yorker Article on me back in October 2009, they wrote: “Armstrong remembers him coming out of his office in September 1998, two months after he’d got short in front of the ruble crisis. Monica Lewinsky was on TV. ‘My oscillators just turned,’ Armstrong announced. He booked his profits, pulled out of the market, and went to his beach house, on the Jersey Shore.” The 1998 turn saw the S&P 500 peak the very day of the ECM. That warned me that there would be a serious crisis and that became the Long-Term Capital Management debacle when the Fed bailed out a hedge fund.  The currencies peaked 8/17 and the games began in September.

Here we had the NYSE, and even the Dow peaked on the ECM, but the Dow followed the NASDAQ into its high which was due in February. Our Panic Cycles were due this week into March. What I have learned over the years is the real opponent is not the market — it is yourself! People always want to blame someone else for their loss. They will be the sort of people who are incapable of ever mastering the markets because they are incapable of ever learning from their mistakes. Always remember, you are battling against your own emotions.

I have come to LEARN that the harder it is to do a trade, the more likely it is absolutely correct. That statement in the New Yorker that I went to the beach after closing my short positions was not a celebration. It was discipline, for it was very hard to cover shorts and flip to a long position emotionally when the entire world says there will be no tomorrow.

 

The entire purpose of the Reversal System is to provide definitive levels in a market that is NOTdependent upon human emotion — mine or yours!

It does not matter if we are looking at 1987, 1998, 2007, or 2020. The numbers are the numbers. In the case of the 2007 ECM, the very day of the panic began on February 27, 2007. I have explained many times that I discovered the frequency from a list of international panics between 1683 and 1907 spanning 224 years with 26 events. The high in 2007 came intraday on October 11, 2007, which was 26.2 intervals of 8.6 days, or in other words it was fractal. However, the highest daily closing was two days before on 10/09, which made it precisely 224 days.

There are people who are so desperate to discredit the Economic Confidence Model and that remains a mystery to me. Are they the Flat Earth types that simply refuse to consider anything? Or are they paid for by “The Club” who are desperate to make money trading against the people and manipulating them at will? I really do not know. All I can do is say, “Hey look at the interesting order!” This proves the world is not just random chaos. There is a Secret Cycle or hidden order behind the curtain.

 

Insofar as the pressure on the Federal Reserve, we can see that pressure has been building in the form of the Repo Crisis into February. There is a Directional Change here with February and we should expect higher volatility in April/May where we have a turning point and a Directional Change. The entire Repo Crisis may begin to cause a severe crisis of confidence by the time we reach May/June.

Yes, this appears to be the beginning of a slingshot move

Corporate Profits to Decline into 2021?


QUESTION: You posted that there should be a recessionary trend starting here in 2020 even in the United States. Does that mean corporate profits will decline which impacts the stock market?

JB

ANSWER: Yes. I warned at the WEC that we were approaching a point where we could see a correction unfold in US equities. Corporate earnings should have peaked after a 19-year rally in 2019. There was a major spike rally into 2018-2019 that has been impacted by the Trump tax cuts and the corporate buy-backs so earnings rise in proportion to outstanding shares. There should be a two-year correction into 2021.

Our correlation models show that since we actually have global cooling, despite all the desperate manipulation of the data to create an average that is rising, temperatures have been declining where people actually live. This is serious for as the real temperature declines, the flu season gets worse. The last major flu epidemic was 1968 and that became a pandemic that killed more than 1 million people. The overreaction to this coronavirus may be an intentional manipulation of the economy as it undermining the economy. Cyclically, this is right on target. We have a Directional Change in 2021 and that is the next turning point. so I would expect we have seen the high in corporate profits and we have that correction unfolding into 2021

How to Redesign Government for the Next Generation post-2032


QUESTION: Hi Martin,
Thank you for your great insights! We are thankful.
Often you have stated that you are happy that you do not have the age of 25, because of the chaos and economic crises coming ahead. Unfortunately, many of us (just like me) are 25 years old at this point in time. What advice do you have for us? How to build up a life? Where to go in life? Especially for those in Europe (for me in the Netherlands) are desperately in need for advice.
Thank you in advance,
Kind regards,
NB

ANSWER: Life used to be simpler I suppose. Governments were perhaps not as aggressive. Everything began to change from the 60s. But today, you can’t get on a plane without ID and you can’t freely take money someplace. The political world has gone insane and the hatred rising up is just astonishing. What is going on in Britain is an example of how Democracy is dead. People simply refuse to accept that their candidate has lost. Merely because a conservative posed with a bag of Yorkshire Tea, people are demanding a boycott of the product. It’s just a reflection as to how society is cascading toward a violent conclusion.

Unfortunately, we are entering a period of dramatic change politically. We are entering the final stages for the collapse of Marxist/Socialism. The year 1989 was the peak of the first 8.6-year wave in this cycle that ends in 2032. The conclusion of this cycle will bring a time for dramatic change where all the old systems are collapsing. The government has never been designed correctly post-World War II. I am trying to get this all out in a book for the average person. This will be a blueprint of how to redesign the government for the next generation when the time comes post-2032.

 

The Rich v Oligarchs


QUESTION: Hello Martin, You have said ‘the rich get richer by investing’; and as well, you’ve said ‘governments are always corrupted’. What history shows (and many of us have learned) is that ‘big money’ is especially adept at manipulating government for its own advantage. Currently, we call this ‘regulatory capture’. (This includes ‘judicial’ capture). The revolving door between corporate and government executive offices is obvious and historical. So I suggest that ‘the rich get richer by investing in corruption’ and suborning every possible corner of the body politic.

You have also said ‘ human nature never changes’. I could dispute that selectively from a religious point of view, but generally, I concur. However, since ‘big money’ understands human nature this is why it bankrolls/sponsors all manner of destructive lusty covetousness among the peoples of the world, (especially including borrowing to speculate) enabling it by easy credit-debt, using force of law, under threat of ‘assassination’, in one form or another, to collect.

You’ve also noted that Moses said “thou shalt not covet” your neighbor’s assets, though, particularly in relation to the principle of ‘socialism/Marxism’. However Moses also renounced, in the name of God, the practice of usury among people of the land, that is, in the body politic.

Also, you’ve mentioned the Mosaic law of the generational debt jubilee for all other kinds of debt in kind. Martin, to my mind, the first way of covetously accumulating capital is through pure force, theft and plunder by conquest, (yet wars must be ‘bankrolled’ too). In times of relative peace the debt-equity swap appears to be the fundamental and intentional principle of accumulation of capital, and, thus, ‘the business cycle’, the inner machinations of which are controlled, as much as possible, by lenders and their ‘legal’ contractual leverage. (Recall, for example, the Jewish ‘Shetar laws’ introduced into England after the conquest by William the Conqueror).

These things being said, and given the prospect of the ‘bankruptcy’ of the current political/economic ‘system’, I am particularly interested if you have any comment upon the super-priority of derivative contracts in business bankruptcy, not to mention, bail-in provisions of bank ‘reconciliation’, as established in various statutes. (Your recent posting of ‘1984 is Here’, and Orwell’s illumination of ‘oligarchical collectivism’ is apropos in exposing the historical link between financial/corporate oligarchy and ‘socialism’, the plantation mentality of mercantilism, etc..

It seems to me the ‘private wave’ is not necessarily something to be looking forward to, either, actually.) Many regards for your work, and thanks for holding fast to a humane heart. FCB, a Socrates subscriber. (By the way, the date of Jesus’ birth has been remarkably addressed in E.L. Martin’s 1991 work “The Star that Astonished the World”)

FB

ANSWER: I think sometimes I am not always specific in what I say because in my mind I have drawn a distinction that I have not articulated in words. As Einstein said, he thought in concepts, not words. That is a very true statement that has been largely ignored by most programmers who try to mimic the brain with neural networks. That is why IBM’s Watson was unable to find cures. As a programmer, I should know better. You really have to break down every single step in an action to be able to code it. How do you move your arm? It begins with a thought which then moves all the various elements for you to raise your hand up in a classroom.

That confession aside, when I speak of the “rich” who do not make money from wages but investments, I am not referring to the corporate organizations that are not single individuals but are honestly bureaucratic private replicas of government. I have attended board meetings of some of the largest public corporations in the world. I find them to be the same in structure as governments. I was called into a major auto company to resolve a $1 billion loss in hedging. They then referred me to a parent company that held stock in their corporation, for they had the same trade. The parent company had made hedging decisions at the board level and because they lost money by second-guessing their hedging decisions, they passed a resolution that once they took a hedging position, they would let it expire. By the end of the fiscal year, the two were merged to hide the $1 billion loss in the parent company.

There is a substantial difference between an individual who runs a small business and a major public corporation which has become bureaucratic. That is why Apple first removed Steve Jobs because he did not comply with bureaucratic procedures. When they then lost all creativity, they begged him to return.

Insofar as “human nature never changes,” once again I am not speaking of an individual but collectively as a society. We each have our own cycle in this journey for knowledge. If we are not complete fools who blame everyone else for their own mistakes (like Hillary), then we mature and learn from our mistakes. As children, parents inevitably warn their child not to place their finger in the flame of a candle. We all still do because we simply must experience that pain before we understand the power of fire and what it does.

I have also explained that there are no degrees you can get in trading. We all must be self-taught. The very concept of supply and demand was born in the mind of John Law (1671-1729). Since he was charged with murder for killing another man in a fair dual that was declared illegal, everyone else took advantage and plagiarized his discovery including Adam Smith. John Law gave birth to the concept of supply and demand because he was a trader on the floor of the first exchange in Amsterdam. There are some things you will NEVER discover unless you actually are involved in the experience.

Therefore, my statement that “human nature never changes” does not refer to an individual, for most intelligent people do not believe what they may have believed when they were a teenager. Mark Twain’s famous quote is spot-on: “When I was a boy of 14, my father was so ignorant I could hardly stand to have the old man around. But when I got to be 21, I was astonished at how much the old man had learned in seven years.” There is even the quote of King Oscar II on how we are all socialists before 25 and become realists after 25 when we have to pay taxes.

You also mention that Moses renounced, in the name of God, as well the practice of usury. I have stated that we had usury laws up until Paul Volcker wanted to raise interest rates using Keynesian Economics to enable him to raise the discount rate to 14% in March 1981. Congress was eliminating usury laws by March 31, 1980. In order to fight inflation using Keynesianism, they never restored usury rates and thus they transferred a huge amount of wealth to bankers as they were now able to charge 20% on credit cards with no problem.

Private waves are inherently more volatile but the usury laws were all abandoned going into the peak of the Public Wave as the government was fighting for control. The government becomes much more aggressive and totalitarian during a Private Wave as they are losing power. But as they lose power, they ultimately turn against the very oligarchs who fed them to rise from the outset. The next financial crisis may not see Goldman Sachs walking on water. Politicians will turn against their benefactors to survive. This is typical during the final stages of the last 8.6-year wave within a Private Wave formation

Your Jetpack Future is Here! Jetman Goes from Earth to 6,000ft in Seconds


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Jetman Dubai passes another milestone in autonomous human flight, launching from the ground and ascending to about 6,000 feet at 150 mph. “It’s Buzz Lightyear with a better paint job.” The men of Right Angle revel in this accomplishment, lifting our eyes to the heavens. A magnificent ship will cruise from the port of Miami in May with Bill Whittle, Scott Ott, Stephen Green, and…YOU aboard. Join us for 3-nights of fun, laughter, and warm fellowship among likeminded people on the way to the Bahamas. Registration period is ending soon. http://bit.ly/StratoCruise2020 Our Members make this show. Join them and find your people at https://BillWhittle.com/register/

Stephen Meyer Shatters The Myth Of The Multiverse (Science Uprising EP4)


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Is our universe just an accident? Or does it display exquisite evidence of fine-tuning and intelligent design? This episode of Science Uprising investigates claims by scientific atheists like Lawrence Krauss and Bill Nye that our universe is nothing special and that the fine-tuning scientists observe can be explained away by the existence of multiple universes. Be sure to visit https://scienceuprising.com/ to find more videos and explore related articles and books. Featured experts include Bijan Nemati, Principal Research Scientist, University of Alabama, Huntsville, and former long-time researcher at NASA’s Jet Propulsion Lab; Frank Tipler, Professor of Mathematical Physics, Tulane University, and co-author of The Anthropic Cosmological Principle; and Stephen Meyer, PhD, Director, Center for Science and Culture, Discovery Institute and author, The Return of the God Hypothesis. Check out our other videos:

 

James Tour On The Riddle Of Life’s Beginnings (Science Uprising EP5)


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Can life spontaneously generate itself from chemicals? Or are detailed instructions required? This episode of Science Uprising investigates the origin of life and claims by scientific materialists like Stephen Hawking that life spontaneously arose from chemicals without any guidance or intelligent design. Be sure to visit https://scienceuprising.com/ to find more videos and explore related articles and books. Experts featured in this episode include James Tour, T.T. and W.F. Chao Professor of Chemistry, Professor of Computer Science, and Professor of Materials Science and NanoEngineering, Rice University; Douglas Axe, Maxwell Visiting Professor of Molecular Biology, Biola University and author, Undeniable: How Biology Confirms Our Intuition that Life Is Designed; and Stephen Meyer, PhD, Director, Center for Science and Culture, Discovery Institute and author, Signature in the Cell: DNA and the Evidence for Intelligent Design. Check out our other videos: Information Enigma: Where does information come from? Information drives the development of life. But what is the source of that information? https://youtu.be/aA-FcnLsF1g Science Uprising Episode 1 – Reality: Real vs. Material Has science proven we are all just matter? Or does reality extend beyond what we can see and touch? https://youtu.be/Fv3c7DWuqpM Unbelievable Myths Neil deGrasse Tyson and Co. Love to Tell https://youtu.be/aJ_YXRA7uyw Check out other videos from this playlist: https://www.youtube.com/playlist?list… Subscribe to our channel: https://www.youtube.com/user/Discover…

Michael Behe Exposes How Mutations Fail To Invent (Science Uprising EP6)


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Are chance mutations really “the key to our evolution” like they claim in the X-Men films? Or are there strict limits to what mutations can accomplish, limits that point to the need for an overarching designer and the failure of Darwinian evolution to create fundamentally new things? Be sure to visit https://scienceuprising.com/ to find more videos and explore related articles and books. In this episode of Science Uprising, we’ll take a look at the real evidence for the supposed powerhouse of evolution. The featured expert is biochemist Michael Behe of Lehigh University, author of the books Darwin’s Black Box, The Edge of Evolution, and Darwin Devolves. Well-known scientists have been preaching a materialistic worldview rather than presenting the public with all the evidence. We are here to change that. The objective scientific evidence does not prove our universe is blind and purposeless. It does not show we are simply meat machines. It does not prove that evolutionary mechanisms can completely account for the diversity of life on earth. This is what THEY want you to think. Think for yourself and make an informed decision. Are you ready? The uprising has begun. In a lecture, Phillip Johnson cited physicist Richard Feynman on a scientist’s obligation to be honest — not only with himself or in other scientific contexts but, not one bit less, when speaking to the lay public. “You should not fool the laymen when you’re talking as a scientist.” That such a thing would need to be said is itself revealing. What’s more, Feynman insisted, you should “bend over backwards to show how you may be wrong.” The comments are taken from a Commencement address by Feynman in 1974 at Caltech. Johnson, a founding father of modern intelligent design, was so moved by this that he said “I wish it could be set to music.” As far as I know it hasn’t been set to music. But the idea is a major theme in the new Science Uprising series. Scientists fool themselves and they fool non-scientists, not about dry technical details with no special significance, but about matters that bear on huge, life-altering world picture issues. One example is the role of mutations in evolution. That is the topic of Episode 6 of Science Uprising, “Mutations: Failure to Invent.” It’s out now; see it here: The Alternative Perspective The idea that random genetic mutations lead to wondrous, creative innovations is so influential that it forms the premise of a movie franchise, X-Men, that has grossed $6 billion worldwide over the past couple of decades. That’s a lot of “fooling the laymen”! The alternative perspective would be open to the possibility of creative evolution requiring intelligence guidance. The producers of the X-Men movies aren’t scientists. However, the science media have done their best to mislead about the work of real scientists, including National Academy of Sciences member Richard Lenski. We’re all victims of that hype, including Hollywood moviemakers. Dismantling the hype about Lenski occupies biochemist Michael Behe for a significant part of his recent book, Darwin Devolves. Super-Challenges Not Super-Powers As Professor Behe explains in Science Uprising, the Long-Term Evolution Experiment conducted by Lenski has demonstrated not the creative power of unguided evolution but the occasional benefits of devolution, of breaking or disabling genes. That’s the opposite lesson from the one drawn by media such as the New York Times in reporting on Lenski’s efforts. “Think about it,” says the masked narrator of Science Uprising, against the backdrop of poignant images of people suffering from genetic illnesses, “significant mutations don’t create superpowers. They create super-challenges. Sometimes those mutations are even life-threatening.”