Much to the surprise of the EU and the rest of the world, apparently, the Greek rejection of the EU’s current refinancing terms was a shock. As the post is being writing the No’s are over 60% which all but assures the no vote when all the ballots are counted. This level of dissatisfaction was not expected and leaves Brussels with major problems. As I see it there are only six options.
Number one is the EU central bank (the ECB) acquires all the Greek debt in the private sector at a discount level that leaves them all solvent. This would delay the real issues but still precipitate a market collapse on Monday unless they don’t open the exchanges.
Number two is the American Central bank (the FED) acquires all the Greek debt in the private sector at a discount level that leaves them all solvent. This would delay the real issues but avoid a market collapse on Monday and we’d see a drop but probably not a major one.
Number three Greek government could nullify the election and either argue for better terms or agree to the existing terms of the EU. This would delay the real issues but avoid a market collapse on Monday and we’d see a drop but probably not a major one.
Number four the EU could seize all the assets of Greece and take Greece over as a defaulted creditor. Greece would be given the option to capitulate or the EU would occupy Greece.This would delay the real issues but still precipitate a market collapse on Monday unless they don’t open the exchanges
Number five the EU could consider this a rebellion and send in a military contingent to throw out the government and install an occupation government. This would also trigger a market collapse unless the exchanges are closed Monday.
Number six another country could buy the Greek debt held by the EU. This could be Russia China India or the US. This might also mean the need for an occupying force but might not. The market would go down but not as far as either of the other options.
As can be seen for these options there are no good ones for the EU or Greece.— we will know in a few hours what will happen.

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