Centinel2012

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Feb 7 2019

Will Russia’s Economy Exceed Germany’s Anytime Soon?


Armstrong Economics Blog/Russia

Re-Posted Feb 7, 2019 by Martin Armstrong

QUESTION: Mr. Armstrong; Standard Chartered has forecast that Russia will overtake Germany as the world’s fifth largest economy, possibly as early as next year in 2020. Would you care to comment if that is possible?

GP

ANSWER: It is clear that Russia’s economy is not impacted by the stupid US sanctions for going into Ukraine. Historically, Kiev was the original capital of Russia and the Eastern half of Ukraine speak Russian, not Ukrainian. I advocated that the country should have been split along the language line. This is like the Democrats digging their heels in to fight Trump on his wall that is only $5.7 billion compared to one week’s interest expenditures of $6.7 billion. I do not see reason returning to either issue. Nevertheless, Russia has been circumventing the West and turned toward Asia and the Middle East.Imposing sanctions for something any country would do to protect their own ethnic citizens in foreign lands has been the worst idea. And as for Crimea, that historically was always part of Russia — not Ukraine.

The forecast that Russia will surpass the German economy is a stretch to say the least. The Russian economy in GDP expressed in US dollars stands at $1.578 trillion. The German GDP in dollars stands at $3.677 trillion;French GDP in dollars stands at $2.583 trillion; Italy coming in at $1.935 trillion; Spain coming in at $1.311 trillion. When we look at Greece, their GDP in dollars registers in at only $200.3 billion. Behind the former Iron Curtain, Poland has the largest economy posting a GDP in dollars at $524.5 billion.

Will Russia’s economy eventually exceed that of Germany? The answer is yes, just as China will surpass the United States. The West is collapsing. World GDP has been in a bear market since the late 1970s. The economy is moving into a recession as we spiral toward 2020. We will then enter STAGFLATION — rising prices with declining economic growth — between 2020 into 2024 with another hard decline thereafter into 2028.

It does appear that the economic decline will be much more severe with respect to Germany than Russia. Therefore, part of the gains in Russia will be not so much from growth as it will be from Germany declining more significantly because of its export economic model

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By Centinel2012 • Posted in U. S. DC Uni-party • Tagged Amusement Tax, Armstrong Economics, Asset confiscation, Asset diversification, Asset recycling, Assets, assets bubbles, Big Government, bubbles, Business cycle, Cashless society, centinel2012, central bank, Central Planning, Central Planning, Common Reporting Standard, Communism, Credit, CRS, Cryptocurrency, currency manipulation, Curse of Cash, David Pristash, Debt, debt bubbles, Disasters, Dodd-Frank, ECB, ECM, Economic Collapse, Economic Confidence Model, economics, Edelman Trust Barometer, eliminate cash, Eminent Domain, end of liquidity, Euro, FATCA, FED, financial ponzi schemes, Foreign Account Tax Compliance Act, Fraud, Free Market, front running, glazier’s fallacy, Gold, Gold confiscation, Gold Standard, Hedge, Helicopter money, Hoarding Cash, Homeless Tax, housing bubbles, Hunt for Taxes, Hyperinflation, Illinois credit now “Junk”, IMF, IMF Working Paper on Eliminating Cash, Inflation, Interest, Interest rate, Italy, Keynesian Economics, Legal entity identifier, LEI, Marxism, Monetary collapse, Monetary Crisis Cycle, Money laundering, money smuggling, negative interest, new world order, No more Stop-loss, Outlaw Cash, Panics, Passwords, Pension Crises, Pension Fund Insolvency, Pension funds, PINs, police asset forfeiture, policing for profit, Pre-Pay VAT, progressives, Progressivism, QE, Quantitative Easing, Reversals, SDR, Silver, Social welfare, socialism, Sovereign Debt Crisis, special drawing rights, Speculation, Speeding Cameras, spoofing, Student Loans, sustainability, Tax on employees, Tax on Water, Tax the internet, The Forecaster, the Great Depression, Too Big to Bailout, Too big to fail, Too big to Jail, Traffic Cameras, Turkey, Turning Points, Understanding cycles, Unemployed, Unexplained Wealth, Unexplained Wealth Orders, Universal income, usury laws, UWO, VAT, Velocity of Money, Wealth tax
0
Feb 7 2019

Getting Old & Risking Unemployment Thanks to Socialism


Armstrong Economics Blog/Pension Crisis

Re-Posted Feb 7, 2019 by Martin Armstrong

The reality these days are that more than 50% of older workers are pushed out of their longtime jobs before they choose to retire. The major factor in this trend is their pension. Pensions are bankrupting both private and public sectors for the entire idea is showing impractical economic stress. Before FDR and the great New Deal, people would marry and have 4 or 5 kids and the wife stayed home and took care of the family. Back then, those who had no family did not fare very well.

Hence, the Social Security Act was passed in 1935. This is a clip from the Philadelphia Inquirer dated June 19, 1935. It was supposed to be assistance for old age, not the beginning and end to all. It also was amended to allow private pensions, which under the first draft could have been interpreted to prevent companies from offering pension plans. But the idea of pensions was inspired by the Great Depression and then personal income tax entered with the payroll tax. Today, most families cannot afford to allow the wife to stay home and raise the children and they often have only two children or less due to the expense. The women’s liberation won the right to work, but they lost the right to raise their family staying at home. It now requires two salaries to pay for all the taxes where it once was sufficient for one salary to support a family. Of course, economically, with women entering the workforce, the economy has grown to accommodate them. Many younger girls in their 20s comment that they are not interested in having children anymore.

So while the profile of the workforce has changed, many workers over 50 are also experiencing multiple job losses because they are not familiar with the new technologies. Now people in their 30s are already falling behind the technology curve as teens tend to run circles around them. The trend is becoming anti-college. It is increasingly obvious that higher education itself is way behind the technology curve. The old saying, “Those who can’t do teach,” is the same in other fields as those who can’t play sports professionally just teach gym. Google, Apple, and 12 other companies no longer require employees to have a college degree in the United States.

The careers that are rapidly moving into not requiring college degrees are Marketing Designer, Publicity Assistant, Senior Manager of Finance, Production Assistant, Senior Editor, Production Editor, Art Director, & more. Even at IBM they no longer require a college degree for positions as a Financial Blockchain Engineer, Lead Recruiter, Contract & Negotiations Professional, Product Manager, Entry Level System Services Representative, Research Staff Member, Client Solution Executive, & more.

The movie “Vice” showed the rise of Dick Cheney to the effective VP of the United States had no such degree. The examples are endless. They cannot teach entrepreneurship in college. Even being an investor or trader is not something one can learn in college. There are no degrees in Hedge Fund Management. Ernst & Young stopped requiring degrees to be an accountant.

Younger Americans became deeply indebted for a degree, especially after the Clinton’s made student loans non-dischargeable in bankruptcy, and it has profoundly harmed the economy. Many kids are living at home with their parents into their 30s because they cannot buy a house due to their indebtedness for degrees that are becoming hopelessly worthless in many fields. The older workers into their late 40s to 50s are facing an increasingly difficult working life in their later years. Workers are being asked to finance their own retirements, age discrimination laws are blunted by U.S. courts in favor of employers, and the dreams of retirement are evaporating rapidly.

Now 56% of Americans in their 50s working full-time in long-held jobs are getting laid off or pushed out on their way to retirement. Some companies are at least offering a buy out for early retirement to cut costs. Many just find an excuse to lay them off to escape pensions. Only a smaller portion is able to find similar work, but only one in 10 ever make what they did before their employment career. This is where their household incomes show signs of the profound damage even years after the fact. Then we have those who leave due to health or having to take care of a family member. Add all these groups together and we arrive at a frightening number —  almost two-thirds of Americans retire involuntarily.

The reality of the worker today is by no means sailing on a yacht and traveling the world. Most people face nothing of the sort, glued to a TV in their home frustrated by all the commercials and fake news. Then every government, desperate for money, demands taxes from their retirement. California was even going after people who earned a pension in California but moved to Florida where their pension is not taxed.

Socialism has merely converted the government into one giant sucking machine. They pretend to care for the people, but they come first. Their own pensions are destroying the pensions of everyone else. The technology curve is far too great for even universities. Their teachers are also behind the times and incapable of teaching cutting-edge developments. This is why Google & Apple no longer require college degrees.

 

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By Centinel2012 • Posted in Economic Subjects • Tagged Amusement Tax, Armstrong Economics, Asset confiscation, Asset diversification, Asset recycling, Assets, assets bubbles, Big Government, bubbles, Business cycle, Cashless society, centinel2012, central bank, Central Planning, Central Planning, Common Reporting Standard, Communism, Credit, CRS, Cryptocurrency, currency manipulation, Curse of Cash, David Pristash, Debt, debt bubbles, Disasters, Dodd-Frank, ECB, ECM, Economic Collapse, Economic Confidence Model, economics, Edelman Trust Barometer, eliminate cash, Eminent Domain, end of liquidity, Euro, FATCA, FED, financial ponzi schemes, Foreign Account Tax Compliance Act, Fraud, Free Market, front running, glazier’s fallacy, Gold, Gold confiscation, Gold Standard, Hedge, Helicopter money, Hoarding Cash, Homeless Tax, housing bubbles, Hunt for Taxes, Hyperinflation, Illinois credit now “Junk”, IMF, IMF Working Paper on Eliminating Cash, Inflation, Interest, Interest rate, Italy, Keynesian Economics, Legal entity identifier, LEI, Marxism, Monetary collapse, Monetary Crisis Cycle, Money laundering, money smuggling, negative interest, new world order, No more Stop-loss, Outlaw Cash, Panics, Passwords, Pension Crises, Pension Fund Insolvency, Pension funds, PINs, police asset forfeiture, policing for profit, Pre-Pay VAT, progressives, Progressivism, QE, Quantitative Easing, Reversals, SDR, Silver, Social welfare, socialism, Sovereign Debt Crisis, special drawing rights, Speculation, Speeding Cameras, spoofing, Student Loans, sustainability, Tax on employees, Tax on Water, Tax the internet, The Forecaster, the Great Depression, Too Big to Bailout, Too big to fail, Too big to Jail, Traffic Cameras, Turkey, Turning Points, Understanding cycles, Unemployed, Unexplained Wealth, Unexplained Wealth Orders, Universal income, usury laws, UWO, VAT, Velocity of Money, Wealth tax
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Feb 6 2019

New Monetary Theory is Like Sleepwalking


Armstrong Economic Blog/Economics

Re-Posted Feb 6, 2019 by Martin Armstrong

QUESTION: Bernie Sanders was basing his whole economic proposal to just keep spending and make everything free. They seem to be teaching this in school now. This macroeconomic theory whereby a country’s spending is only constrained not by revenue in taxes but by inflation when it creates a sovereign currency. It seems too good to be true, but some economists were teaching this to my son. Would you care to comment on this theory?

JH

ANSWER: The problem with what many call “new” or “modern” monetary theory is that it is like sleepwalking. You walk, creating GDP, while you are also dreaming. It reminds me of Shakespeare:

“To die, to sleep–To sleep–perchance to dream: ay, there’s the rub, for in that sleep of death what dreams may come when we have shuffled off this mortal coil, must give us pause.”

This economic theory is the same old incantation — how to prosper with other people’s money. Rome had no national debt and no central bank. It created money to fund itself. In hard times, they used the law to confiscate the property of people as they are doing today with their civil asset forfeitures.

What is missing in this theory is the question of debt. They assume they can borrow without end and never have to account for what they have done. They fail to understand that concept and try to regulate pension funds, which requires them to obtain government debt that they never pay off.

Yes, you can just create money to fund the government and it is confined by inflation. That is a true statement if taken by itself. However, you cannot then borrow with no intention of paying down the debt because the accumulative interest payments will end up representing 100% of the debt. This theory fails for it ignores dealing with the debt.

This theory that they are now teaching kids is not practical. It is only a theory, not a solution. We must first address the entire social system in place because so many people think they are entitled to something. The system as-is cannot be sustained. We have to go through a monetary system reset in which we deal with the debt.

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By Centinel2012 • Posted in Economic Subjects • Tagged Amusement Tax, Armstrong Economics, Asset confiscation, Asset diversification, Asset recycling, Assets, assets bubbles, Big Government, bubbles, Business cycle, Cashless society, centinel2012, central bank, Central Planning, Central Planning, Common Reporting Standard, Communism, Credit, CRS, Cryptocurrency, currency manipulation, Curse of Cash, David Pristash, Debt, debt bubbles, Disasters, Dodd-Frank, ECB, ECM, Economic Collapse, Economic Confidence Model, economics, Edelman Trust Barometer, eliminate cash, Eminent Domain, end of liquidity, Euro, FATCA, FED, financial ponzi schemes, Foreign Account Tax Compliance Act, Fraud, Free Market, front running, glazier’s fallacy, Gold, Gold confiscation, Gold Standard, Hedge, Helicopter money, Hoarding Cash, Homeless Tax, housing bubbles, Hunt for Taxes, Hyperinflation, Illinois credit now “Junk”, IMF, IMF Working Paper on Eliminating Cash, Inflation, Interest, Interest rate, Italy, Keynesian Economics, Legal entity identifier, LEI, Marxism, Monetary collapse, Monetary Crisis Cycle, Money laundering, money smuggling, negative interest, new world order, No more Stop-loss, Outlaw Cash, Panics, Passwords, Pension Crises, Pension Fund Insolvency, Pension funds, PINs, police asset forfeiture, policing for profit, Pre-Pay VAT, progressives, Progressivism, QE, Quantitative Easing, Reversals, SDR, Silver, Social welfare, socialism, Sovereign Debt Crisis, special drawing rights, Speculation, Speeding Cameras, spoofing, Student Loans, sustainability, Tax on employees, Tax on Water, Tax the internet, The Forecaster, the Great Depression, Too Big to Bailout, Too big to fail, Too big to Jail, Traffic Cameras, Turkey, Turning Points, Understanding cycles, Unemployed, Unexplained Wealth, Unexplained Wealth Orders, Universal income, usury laws, UWO, VAT, Velocity of Money, Wealth tax
0
Feb 5 2019

Mueller & CNN Staged the Arrest of Stone for PR Stunt


Armstrong Economics Blog/Conspiracy

RE-Posted Feb 5, 2019 by Martin Armstrong

 

It very clear that Mueller is acting like any other prosecutor and is using the press for PR stunts. CNN’s reporter David Shortell claimed he had “reporter’s instinct” which led him to get footage of Roger Stone’s pre-dawn arrest, not a tip from the FBI or special counsel’s office. That is about as credible as all the nonsense that CNN is not biased and fake news.  The manner in which this was all staged was outrageous. They stage a show of force and this has always been something very controversial.

Rudy Giuliani’s was highly criticized for staging arrests like this in huge profile perp walks as they were called concerning the non-violent white color people who were unarmed. Giuliani would alter the press and arranged for people to be arrested in dramatic events, and then dropped charges for lack of evidence on high-profile cases rather than going to trial. He would send in agents guns drawn to arrest people in their workplaces with charges later dropped or lessened. This was all for a show as what was done to Stone.  Guiliani deliberately sought to damage the reputations of people he targeted in these “perps”. Guiliani arrested a veteran stock trader Richard Wigton, of Kidder, Peabody & Co., during February 1987 claiming insider trading. He was handcuff and march him through the company’s trading floor, with Wigton in tears. Within just 3 months, Guiliani had to drop the charges against both Wigton for his entire theory of insider trading was wrong. Guiliani made a public statement: “We’re not going to go to trial. We’re just the tip of the iceberg.” No charges were ever made thereafter for there was no iceberg.

A full investigation should now be launched against Mueller and CNN. In my own case, I was not at home show they tried the predawn stuff, but I was not there. I self-surrendered in court and they were trying to just throw me in prison for the weekend. My lawyers convinced the judge that we showed up because the US Attorney told us the time. When it became obvious it was a lie, the court agreed to an emergency hearing after lunch. When I returned, the full press core was there with artists. The prosecutor called everyone. I was granted bail and walked out because of their staged games. They told the judge I would flee to my home in London which was full of art, cars, and all sorts of things. I raised my hand, not being the easily intimidated type, and asked could I please have the address of this home. They immediate said – oh, we had it on good information. They would say anything and lie about everything to win.

There is ABSOLUTELY no way CNN had an “instinct” to be at the rich place at the right time pre-dawn. That is a bald-faced lie for this is standard operational procedure intended to demoralize the people and mentally break them. We have perjury going on here and the phone record should be subpoenaed right now! This proves beyond a shadow of a doubt that the Mueller investigation is all about a political PR campaign.

 

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By Centinel2012 • Posted in U. S. DC Uni-party • Tagged Amusement Tax, Armstrong Economics, Asset confiscation, Asset diversification, Asset recycling, Assets, assets bubbles, Big Government, bubbles, Business cycle, Cashless society, centinel2012, central bank, Central Planning, Central Planning, Common Reporting Standard, Communism, Credit, CRS, Cryptocurrency, currency manipulation, Curse of Cash, David Pristash, Debt, debt bubbles, Disasters, Dodd-Frank, ECB, ECM, Economic Collapse, Economic Confidence Model, economics, Edelman Trust Barometer, eliminate cash, Eminent Domain, end of liquidity, Euro, FATCA, FED, financial ponzi schemes, Foreign Account Tax Compliance Act, Fraud, Free Market, front running, glazier’s fallacy, Gold, Gold confiscation, Gold Standard, Hedge, Helicopter money, Hoarding Cash, Homeless Tax, housing bubbles, Hunt for Taxes, Hyperinflation, Illinois credit now “Junk”, IMF, IMF Working Paper on Eliminating Cash, Inflation, Interest, Interest rate, Italy, Keynesian Economics, Legal entity identifier, LEI, Marxism, Monetary collapse, Monetary Crisis Cycle, Money laundering, money smuggling, negative interest, new world order, No more Stop-loss, Outlaw Cash, Panics, Passwords, Pension Crises, Pension Fund Insolvency, Pension funds, PINs, police asset forfeiture, policing for profit, Pre-Pay VAT, progressives, Progressivism, QE, Quantitative Easing, Reversals, SDR, Silver, Social welfare, socialism, Sovereign Debt Crisis, special drawing rights, Speculation, Speeding Cameras, spoofing, Student Loans, sustainability, Tax on employees, Tax on Water, Tax the internet, The Forecaster, the Great Depression, Too Big to Bailout, Too big to fail, Too big to Jail, Traffic Cameras, Turkey, Turning Points, Understanding cycles, Unemployed, Unexplained Wealth, Unexplained Wealth Orders, Universal income, usury laws, UWO, VAT, Velocity of Money, Wealth tax
0
Feb 5 2019

The Business Cycle & Why They Pretend it Cannot be Forecast


Armstrong Economics Blog/ECM

Re-Posted Feb 5, 2019 by Martin Armstrong

QUESTION: Mr. Armstrong; I have studied you Economic Confidence Model and found it to be extremely accurate in forecasting the business cycle. When I showed it to my professor here at ——— he responded that itis impossible to forecast the business cycle. He would not even engage in a conversation about it. Why are they so intimidated by your work?

Thank you
GM

Summers-Economy-Not-Predictable

Summers-Economy-Not-Predictable

ANSWER: What you have to understand is that IF it is possible to forecast the business cycle, then that means politics have to change. The entire system is based upon the proposition of vote for me and I will reduce unemployment and bring world peace unless I do not like the people. If you listen to Larry Summers, he states that if you could forecast the business cycle, that would be bad because it would become a self-fulfilling prophecy. He also states that the economy is far too complex, like weather, with way too many moving components that make it impossible to forecast. That means the door is open to manipulate the economy, as he suggested with negative interest rates. When that failed, he then discovered there was the zero interest boundary where people would withdraw their cash from banks and defeat his negative interest tool. He has thus advocated eliminating physical paper money to allow his negative interest rate idea to then work — so he maintains. He ignores, of course, the entire pension fund system.

Many governments want our forecasts so they can understand what is happening. However, they would not publicly state that a recession is coming. Yet, the central banks have been warning that another economic crisis is on the horizon. Therefore, we are dealing with a question of political power. Even in the middle of an economic crash, the president will always come out and make some statement declaring the economy is sound. Can you image if he publicly stated we were going to collapse to 10 cents on the dollar? No matter what they may believe, they MUST speak to try to maintain confidence. Hence, I have called this the Economic Confidence Model because it all depends upon confidence at the end of the day.

 

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By Centinel2012 • Posted in Economic Subjects • Tagged Amusement Tax, Armstrong Economics, Asset confiscation, Asset diversification, Asset recycling, Assets, assets bubbles, Big Government, bubbles, Business cycle, Cashless society, centinel2012, central bank, Central Planning, Central Planning, Common Reporting Standard, Communism, Credit, CRS, Cryptocurrency, currency manipulation, Curse of Cash, David Pristash, Debt, debt bubbles, Disasters, Dodd-Frank, ECB, ECM, Economic Collapse, Economic Confidence Model, economics, Edelman Trust Barometer, eliminate cash, Eminent Domain, end of liquidity, Euro, FATCA, FED, financial ponzi schemes, Foreign Account Tax Compliance Act, Fraud, Free Market, front running, glazier’s fallacy, Gold, Gold confiscation, Gold Standard, Hedge, Helicopter money, Hoarding Cash, Homeless Tax, housing bubbles, Hunt for Taxes, Hyperinflation, Illinois credit now “Junk”, IMF, IMF Working Paper on Eliminating Cash, Inflation, Interest, Interest rate, Italy, Keynesian Economics, Legal entity identifier, LEI, Marxism, Monetary collapse, Monetary Crisis Cycle, Money laundering, money smuggling, negative interest, new world order, No more Stop-loss, Outlaw Cash, Panics, Passwords, Pension Crises, Pension Fund Insolvency, Pension funds, PINs, police asset forfeiture, policing for profit, Pre-Pay VAT, progressives, Progressivism, QE, Quantitative Easing, Reversals, SDR, Silver, Social welfare, socialism, Sovereign Debt Crisis, special drawing rights, Speculation, Speeding Cameras, spoofing, Student Loans, sustainability, Tax on employees, Tax on Water, Tax the internet, The Forecaster, the Great Depression, Too Big to Bailout, Too big to fail, Too big to Jail, Traffic Cameras, Turkey, Turning Points, Understanding cycles, Unemployed, Unexplained Wealth, Unexplained Wealth Orders, Universal income, usury laws, UWO, VAT, Velocity of Money, Wealth tax
0
Feb 5 2019

Is the Democratic Socialist Party Going After Corporations?


Armstrong Economics Blog/Gov’t Incompetence

Re-Posted Feb 5, 2019 by Martin Armstrong

 

Corporate America will suddenly discover that the Democrats are moving substantially to the left and will do whatever they can to further that goal. The Democrats are becoming the new party of anti-corporation/business. They embrace the misguided ideas of Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez who has been joined by Bernie Sanders and Elizabeth Warren. This new agenda is being endorsed by Senate Majority Leader Chuck Schumer.

Schumer would like to outlaw corporations from buying back their own shares unless they pay workers at least $15 an hour, offer paid time off, and health benefits. They try to force the minimum wage higher and act as if companies are the sole source of the problem. Why not eliminate taxation, both state and federal, for people under $15 an hour. Governments never take into account the cost of government itself. You have riots in France when government taxation consumes 46% of total GDP. Schumer has come out and said this is all Trump’s fault because he lowered taxes.

So in other words, if Trump never lowered taxes to get companies to bring back money from overseas, then there would not be buybacks. The money would remain overseas instead of being reinvested in America. They buy their own stocks back and the shareholders then reinvest in other companies. They act as if the money vaporizes. They blame Trump for everything as if buybacks just appeared when Trump took office.

So where are the fact checkers on this one? Oh, they only fact check Trump. Sorry. Didn’t understand the one-sided new free press rule that allows them to freely report only what they want to.

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By Centinel2012 • Posted in Economic Subjects • Tagged Amusement Tax, Armstrong Economics, Asset confiscation, Asset diversification, Asset recycling, Assets, assets bubbles, Big Government, bubbles, Business cycle, Cashless society, centinel2012, central bank, Central Planning, Central Planning, Common Reporting Standard, Communism, Credit, CRS, Cryptocurrency, currency manipulation, Curse of Cash, David Pristash, Debt, debt bubbles, Disasters, Dodd-Frank, ECB, ECM, Economic Collapse, Economic Confidence Model, economics, Edelman Trust Barometer, eliminate cash, Eminent Domain, end of liquidity, Euro, FATCA, FED, financial ponzi schemes, Foreign Account Tax Compliance Act, Fraud, Free Market, front running, glazier’s fallacy, Gold, Gold confiscation, Gold Standard, Hedge, Helicopter money, Hoarding Cash, Homeless Tax, housing bubbles, Hunt for Taxes, Hyperinflation, Illinois credit now “Junk”, IMF, IMF Working Paper on Eliminating Cash, Inflation, Interest, Interest rate, Italy, Keynesian Economics, Legal entity identifier, LEI, Marxism, Monetary collapse, Monetary Crisis Cycle, Money laundering, money smuggling, negative interest, new world order, No more Stop-loss, Outlaw Cash, Panics, Passwords, Pension Crises, Pension Fund Insolvency, Pension funds, PINs, police asset forfeiture, policing for profit, Pre-Pay VAT, progressives, Progressivism, QE, Quantitative Easing, Reversals, SDR, Silver, Social welfare, socialism, Sovereign Debt Crisis, special drawing rights, Speculation, Speeding Cameras, spoofing, Student Loans, sustainability, Tax on employees, Tax on Water, Tax the internet, The Forecaster, the Great Depression, Too Big to Bailout, Too big to fail, Too big to Jail, Traffic Cameras, Turkey, Turning Points, Understanding cycles, Unemployed, Unexplained Wealth, Unexplained Wealth Orders, Universal income, usury laws, UWO, VAT, Velocity of Money, Wealth tax
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Feb 4 2019

Passive Aggressive Society & the Cycle of Revolution


Armstrong Economics Blog/The Hunt for Taxes

RE-Posted Feb 4, 2019 by Martin Armstrong

COMMENT: Mr. Armstrong I am currently based in Oklahoma City OK and recently received a citation from the District Attorney’s office, Oklahoma Uninsured Vehicle Enforcement Diversion Program, after a photo of my vehicle’s license plate was snapped while driving on a turnpike thoroughfare. The citation accused me of driving without insurance and attached a hefty fine to be paid within 30 days under threat of additional fines and prison time. Regardless of culpability, the onus is placed on the accused person to defend himself against what I assume are blanket citations issued to all drivers using this turnpike road, as I was fully insured on the date this citation was issued. Failure to respond alone ensures the state receives a minimum of $250.

It leaves me wondering if Oklahoma is now practicing Minority Report style pre-crime procedures to increase revenues for the state. I follow your blog closely and remember you addressing similar practices by other states/municipalities, but generally in the form of asinine taxation. Mine is a less extreme example, but I find it disturbing that we now live in a world where one can be accused of anything leaving the burden of proof on him alone to avoid penalty. It didn’t take the insurance companies much lobbying to get the state to agree to this scheme. Both sides are making a fortune.

I appreciate your perspective on these issues and thank you for enlightening your readers by addressing them publicly.

C

REPLY: I am not a fan of Insurance Companies. It is a crime to lie to them, but it is expected when they lie to you. I have NEVER had an insurance company ever pay what they claimed – NEVER. It is the biggest fraud in American history and they line the pockets of politicians to create such laws that are always one-sided to their benefit.

States are dead broke. This is part of the collapse of government and socialism. Nobody will simply look beyond next week and see that they will constantly be raising taxes to try to keep their corrupt system afloat. You have a better chance of winning the Lottery than winning any tax case against a government in court. Of course, then they will take their pound of taxes out of your winnings any way and then try to pay you out if they can over time making use of the Lottery money to its fullest.

I was given a parking ticket in New Jersey in a private parking lot for being over the space’s white line because the first guy parked crazily forcing everyone else to be over the lines as well, This was in front of Starbucks. Now the ticket was $25. Of course, it was illegal. But they also know you will not take a day off to go argue the legality. So the cost of paying $25 compared to them then suspending your license and racking up thousands in fines to keep driving and probably jail time ensures they know you will pay illegal fines.

As a collective society, we are passive-aggressive which denotes a type of behavior/personality that is characterized by indirect resistance to the demands of others and an avoidance of direct confrontation, as in procrastinating or pouting. The Passive Aggressive Conflict Cycle explains how rational, straightforward, assertive adults can momentarily and unexpectedly depart from their typical personas and erupt. There is some fine line somewhere that when crossed, society will no longer take the corruption and abuse of government. That is when civil unrest rises and this can lead to revolution. Certainly, revolution is NOT possible without their first appearing civil unrest. This is what we have been witnessing in France.


It was Thomas Paine’s Common Sense that lit that fire of Passive-Aggressiveness within the American Colonists. Once his writing appeared, the people were inspired and demanded freedom. We are headed down this road and you can smell it in the air. The hatred building between Democrats and Republicans centered around Trump is incredible. Put on one of his red hats and you will be verbally abused within hours. It has become fashionable to attack Trump supporters. One person wrote in to say in South Carolina, a person’s car was shot up in a parking lot because they had a Trump sticker on it.

This time around, politicians have succeeded in dividing the people and turning them against each other. That is what makes this particular cycle so lethal. Normally, it unfolds as in France, the people against the government. What is Macron doing in response? Blaming the rich and vows to go after them. Of course, even if you confiscate all the assets of the rich, it will NEVER be sufficient to sustain the government. So at some point, the entire system just implodes into Revolution. What Oklahoma is doing is the early stages of this massive hunt for taxes, fines, and penalties. Since government was once supported by lower taxes, their aggressiveness demonstrates their inability to manage society. They keep consuming a greater and greater proportion of the national wealth until the destroy our standard of living. They will not look at the trend for they are desperate to survive. This is why we must wait for the crash and burn. It becomes inevitable.

Categories: The Hunt for Taxes

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By Centinel2012 • Posted in U. S. DC Uni-party • Tagged Amusement Tax, Armstrong Economics, Asset confiscation, Asset diversification, Asset recycling, Assets, assets bubbles, Big Government, bubbles, Business cycle, Cashless society, centinel2012, central bank, Central Planning, Central Planning, Common Reporting Standard, Communism, Credit, CRS, Cryptocurrency, currency manipulation, Curse of Cash, David Pristash, Debt, debt bubbles, Disasters, Dodd-Frank, ECB, ECM, Economic Collapse, Economic Confidence Model, economics, Edelman Trust Barometer, eliminate cash, Eminent Domain, end of liquidity, Euro, FATCA, FED, financial ponzi schemes, Foreign Account Tax Compliance Act, Fraud, Free Market, front running, glazier’s fallacy, Gold, Gold confiscation, Gold Standard, Hedge, Helicopter money, Hoarding Cash, Homeless Tax, housing bubbles, Hunt for Taxes, Hyperinflation, Illinois credit now “Junk”, IMF, IMF Working Paper on Eliminating Cash, Inflation, Interest, Interest rate, Italy, Keynesian Economics, Legal entity identifier, LEI, Marxism, Monetary collapse, Monetary Crisis Cycle, Money laundering, money smuggling, negative interest, new world order, No more Stop-loss, Outlaw Cash, Panics, Passwords, Pension Crises, Pension Fund Insolvency, Pension funds, PINs, police asset forfeiture, policing for profit, Pre-Pay VAT, progressives, Progressivism, QE, Quantitative Easing, Reversals, SDR, Silver, Social welfare, socialism, Sovereign Debt Crisis, special drawing rights, Speculation, Speeding Cameras, spoofing, Student Loans, sustainability, Tax on employees, Tax on Water, Tax the internet, The Forecaster, the Great Depression, Too Big to Bailout, Too big to fail, Too big to Jail, Traffic Cameras, Turkey, Turning Points, Understanding cycles, Unemployed, Unexplained Wealth, Unexplained Wealth Orders, Universal income, usury laws, UWO, VAT, Velocity of Money, Wealth tax
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Feb 2 2019

2019 – The Insane Year for Japan


Armstrong Economics Blog/Japan

Re-Posted Feb 2, 2019 by Martin Armstrong

This new year for Japan is going to be a really crazy and chaotic year. There will be nationwide local elections held in mid-April, which Socrates is already picking up on the horizon. This will then be followed by Emperor Akihito’s historic abdication also at the end of April. Traditionally, this will begin a new “era” in Japanese custom.

Then arrives June, when Japan will host the drinking party known as the Group of 20 Summit in Osaka. This will be a first time ever event for Japan. The event will be followed by political tensions that will really soar during late summer when the Upper House political election is held. After the elections, the Japanese will then be hit with the tax increase in the consumption tax hike, scheduled for October, when it will jump from 8% to 10%. We are approaching the tipping point in Japan — the third most actively traded currency in the world

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By Centinel2012 • Posted in World Economic Form • Tagged Amusement Tax, Armstrong Economics, Asset confiscation, Asset diversification, Asset recycling, Assets, assets bubbles, Big Government, bubbles, Business cycle, Cashless society, centinel2012, central bank, Central Planning, Central Planning, Common Reporting Standard, Communism, Credit, CRS, Cryptocurrency, currency manipulation, Curse of Cash, David Pristash, Debt, debt bubbles, Disasters, Dodd-Frank, ECB, ECM, Economic Collapse, Economic Confidence Model, economics, Edelman Trust Barometer, eliminate cash, Eminent Domain, end of liquidity, Euro, FATCA, FED, financial ponzi schemes, Foreign Account Tax Compliance Act, Fraud, Free Market, front running, glazier’s fallacy, Gold, Gold confiscation, Gold Standard, Hedge, Helicopter money, Hoarding Cash, Homeless Tax, housing bubbles, Hunt for Taxes, Hyperinflation, Illinois credit now “Junk”, IMF, IMF Working Paper on Eliminating Cash, Inflation, Interest, Interest rate, Italy, Keynesian Economics, Legal entity identifier, LEI, Marxism, Monetary collapse, Monetary Crisis Cycle, Money laundering, money smuggling, negative interest, new world order, No more Stop-loss, Outlaw Cash, Panics, Passwords, Pension Crises, Pension Fund Insolvency, Pension funds, PINs, police asset forfeiture, policing for profit, Pre-Pay VAT, progressives, Progressivism, QE, Quantitative Easing, Reversals, SDR, Silver, Social welfare, socialism, Sovereign Debt Crisis, special drawing rights, Speculation, Speeding Cameras, spoofing, Student Loans, sustainability, Tax on employees, Tax on Water, Tax the internet, The Forecaster, the Great Depression, Too Big to Bailout, Too big to fail, Too big to Jail, Traffic Cameras, Turkey, Turning Points, Understanding cycles, Unemployed, Unexplained Wealth, Unexplained Wealth Orders, Universal income, usury laws, UWO, VAT, Velocity of Money, Wealth tax
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Feb 2 2019

Revolution – Why it is Always Inevitable?


Armstrong Economics Blog/Civil Unrest

Re-Posted Feb 2, 2019 by Martin Armstrong

 

COMMENT: Mr. Armstrong, I just went to see Les Miserables with my wife. I was really moved for it was indeed how history repeats. It just seems we always end up in the same position because government never changes.

PB

ANSWER: Unfortunately, socialistic governments pretend that they are taking your money for your own benefit. The excuses are endless. Nevertheless, they constantly oppress the people by taking an ever increasing portion of their net disposable income, crushing them into the dust. The motives seem to change, but the end is always the same. This is why the Founding Fathers forbid direct taxation. That was such a critical deterrent to prevent revolution. The governments followed Marx at the beginning of the 20th century, and then convinced themselves that they were doing it to care for the people. In the process, they paid themselves pensions that no one else could possibly attain. Forbidding direct taxation was the only possible way to prevent the recurrence of revolution.

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By Centinel2012 • Posted in Economic Subjects • Tagged Amusement Tax, Armstrong Economics, Asset confiscation, Asset diversification, Asset recycling, Assets, assets bubbles, Big Government, bubbles, Business cycle, Cashless society, centinel2012, central bank, Central Planning, Central Planning, Common Reporting Standard, Communism, Credit, CRS, Cryptocurrency, currency manipulation, Curse of Cash, David Pristash, Debt, debt bubbles, Disasters, Dodd-Frank, ECB, ECM, Economic Collapse, Economic Confidence Model, economics, Edelman Trust Barometer, eliminate cash, Eminent Domain, end of liquidity, Euro, FATCA, FED, financial ponzi schemes, Foreign Account Tax Compliance Act, Fraud, Free Market, front running, glazier’s fallacy, Gold, Gold confiscation, Gold Standard, Hedge, Helicopter money, Hoarding Cash, Homeless Tax, housing bubbles, Hunt for Taxes, Hyperinflation, Illinois credit now “Junk”, IMF, IMF Working Paper on Eliminating Cash, Inflation, Interest, Interest rate, Italy, Keynesian Economics, Legal entity identifier, LEI, Marxism, Monetary collapse, Monetary Crisis Cycle, Money laundering, money smuggling, negative interest, new world order, No more Stop-loss, Outlaw Cash, Panics, Passwords, Pension Crises, Pension Fund Insolvency, Pension funds, PINs, police asset forfeiture, policing for profit, Pre-Pay VAT, progressives, Progressivism, QE, Quantitative Easing, Reversals, SDR, Silver, Social welfare, socialism, Sovereign Debt Crisis, special drawing rights, Speculation, Speeding Cameras, spoofing, Student Loans, sustainability, Tax on employees, Tax on Water, Tax the internet, The Forecaster, the Great Depression, Too Big to Bailout, Too big to fail, Too big to Jail, Traffic Cameras, Turkey, Turning Points, Understanding cycles, Unemployed, Unexplained Wealth, Unexplained Wealth Orders, Universal income, usury laws, UWO, VAT, Velocity of Money, Wealth tax
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Jan 29 2019

Private v Public Pension Funds & Who MUST Own Govt Bonds


Armstrong Economics Blog/Pension Crisis

RE-Posted Jan 29, 2019 by Martin Armstrong

QUESTION:  Martin.
Do you give credence to the work of … ?
Can’t government pension funds be privatised or sent to open market?
Thank you.

NM

ANSWER: No, I do not. The problem is far more complicated. First, you clearly have tremendous losses already. If you privatized the various government pension funds, you then have many laws that have to be altered. You would have to take away the political playground of politicians. In California, for example, the politicians directed the pension fund to INVEST in “green” companies for the environment. They lost a ton on money on that one.

Secondly, we have governments who have directed that a percentage of pensions MUST be “conservative,” and that they EXCLUSIVELY own government bonds. Even the Social Security system is 100% invested in government bonds. While no OECD countries impose a ceiling on investment in government bonds, there are actually four countries applying minimum floors that require they own government debt. In Austria, for example, pension funds are required to invest at least 35% of their assets in mortgage bonds, government bonds, and euro denominated debentures. French pension funds must invest a minimum of 50% in EU government bonds. In Denmark, pension funds must invest a minimum of 60% of their portfolio in domestic debt. Finally, in Mexico, pension funds must invest at least 51% of fund assets in inflation-linked or inflation-protected securities, and at least 65% in securities that either have a maturity shorter than 183 days or floating rate notes whose rate is revised in less than 183 days

As far as PRIVATE PENSION funds, keep in mind that many can invest in what they want in North America. The following table is a list of restrictions on pension funds and their investments in selected asset classes. There are only SEVEN nations that do not regulate the mix of private investments in a pension fund — USA, Australia, Ireland, Japan, Luxembourg, Netherlands, and New Zealand (which the new socialists want to change).

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By Centinel2012 • Posted in U. S. DC Uni-party • Tagged Amusement Tax, Armstrong Economics, Asset confiscation, Asset diversification, Asset recycling, Assets, assets bubbles, Big Government, bubbles, Business cycle, Cashless society, centinel2012, central bank, Central Planning, Central Planning, Common Reporting Standard, Communism, Credit, CRS, Cryptocurrency, currency manipulation, Curse of Cash, David Pristash, Debt, debt bubbles, Disasters, Dodd-Frank, ECB, ECM, Economic Collapse, Economic Confidence Model, economics, Edelman Trust Barometer, eliminate cash, Eminent Domain, end of liquidity, Euro, FATCA, FED, financial ponzi schemes, Foreign Account Tax Compliance Act, Fraud, Free Market, front running, glazier’s fallacy, Gold, Gold confiscation, Gold Standard, Hedge, Helicopter money, Hoarding Cash, Homeless Tax, housing bubbles, Hunt for Taxes, Hyperinflation, Illinois credit now “Junk”, IMF, IMF Working Paper on Eliminating Cash, Inflation, Interest, Interest rate, Italy, Keynesian Economics, Legal entity identifier, LEI, Marxism, Monetary collapse, Money laundering, money smuggling, negative interest, new world order, No more Stop-loss, Outlaw Cash, Panics, Passwords, Pension Crises, Pension Fund Insolvency, Pension funds, PINs, police asset forfeiture, policing for profit, Pre-Pay VAT, progressives, Progressivism, QE, Quantitative Easing, Reversals, SDR, Silver, Social welfare, socialism, Sovereign Debt Crisis, special drawing rights, Speculation, Speeding Cameras, spoofing, Student Loans, sustainability, Tax on employees, Tax on Water, Tax the internet, The Forecaster, the Great Depression, Too Big to Bailout, Too big to fail, Too big to Jail, Traffic Cameras, Turkey, Turning Points, Understanding cycles, Unemployed, Unexplained Wealth, Unexplained Wealth Orders, Universal income, usury laws, UWO, VAT, Velocity of Money, Wealth tax
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Centinel2012

Centinel2012

Semi-retired ex-military, ex-businessman, ex-inventor, ex-engineer and now full time member of the Tea Party. My current goal in life is to make sure that the truth is known to all with an open mind.

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