Posted originally on the CTH on February 4, 2023 | Sundance
The Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) published a jobs report yesterday [DATA LINK] that has stunned the professional financial class. However, those who have followed the BLS data assemblies were laughing – not surprised. Eventually, if this continues, the BLS pretzel logic will start using terms like “eleventy.”
Throughout 2022, the BLS modified the underlying data they used to assemble their jobs reporting. The latest release shows that 517,000 jobs were gained in the labor market, despite every other economic indicator showing we are in an economy of contraction. The question becomes, why the disconnect?
There are two surveys that make up the BLS reporting. The Household survey is conducted by calling people and just asking if they are employed. The Payroll survey is conducted by reviewing large and medium businesses, no small businesses are included, and that plays a role in the disconnect.
Since the spring of last year, the two surveys have completely disconnected from each other. The household survey finds a net gain of 12,000 jobs in the last three quarters; the Payroll survey shows gains of 2.7 million jobs during the same time.
ZeroHedge did a good dive on the issue (SEE HERE), and their analysis reports, “[…] the number of full-time workers in March 2022 was 132.587 million. Fast forward to January 2023 when it was 132.577: that’s right: total US full-time workers declined by 10K over a period of 10 months. Meanwhile, part-time workers soared from 25.908 million to 27.400 million, an increase of 1.492 million! So at least we know where the bulk of the increase in US labor came from in the past year: virtually no full-time jobs, and all part-time.”
Additionally, Forbes dove into the data (SEE HERE) and reached a similar conclusion, the BLS data is all nonsense covered in statistical noise.
Forbes – […] “The Payroll Survey shows employment growth of nearly 2.7 million jobs between March and November. The Household Survey, over the same period, shows 12,000. Something is seriously wrong! The headline number that is broadcast in the media is the Payroll Survey, so if it is incorrect and the Household Survey is accurate, then the “hot” jobs market, which the Fed uses to justify its rate increases, is really a “cold” jobs market.
Looking at the recent past, the two surveys were in sync until March, when the Payroll Survey took off. Some of the issue could revolve around the small business birth/death assumptions. Since the Payroll Survey doesn’t sample small businesses, the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) adds a number based on a time trend, and they even seasonally adjust this data. Over that March to November period, the Birth/Death model added 1.3 million jobs. This appears strange to any observer of economic trends, which tells us that business is contracting, not expanding. Even if the Birth/Death add-on is eliminated, the discrepancy is still 1.36 million jobs between the two surveys.” (read more)
Posted originally on the CTH on February 4, 2023 | Sundance
According to the Associated Press, Joe Biden is planning to shoot down the Chinese ‘surveillance’ balloon possibly later today when it reaches the eastern shore of the Atlantic Ocean.
The mumbling mumbler who mumbles said, “We’re going to take care of it”, when asked about the ongoing issue earlier today. WATCH:
(Via Associated Press) – WASHINGTON (AP) — The Biden administration is considering a plan to shoot down a large Chinese balloon suspected of conducting surveillance on the U.S. military, by bringing it down once it is above the Atlantic Ocean where the remnants could potentially be recovered, according to four U.S. officials.
Two of the officials, who spoke on the condition of anonymity to discuss the sensitive operation, said President Joe Biden had given the go-ahead. In a brief remark Saturday in response to a reporter’s question about the balloon, Biden said: “We’re going to take care of it.”
The balloon was spotted Saturday morning over the Carolinas as it approached the Atlantic coast. In preparation for the operation, the Federal Aviation Administration temporarily closed airspace over the Carolina coastline, including the airports in Charleston and Myrtle Beach, South Carolina, and Wilmington, North Carolina, until at least 2:45 p.m. EST Saturday. The FAA was rerouting air traffic from the area and warned of delays as a result of the flight restrictions.
Officials were aiming to time the operation so they could recover as much of the debris as possible before it sinks into the ocean. The Pentagon had previously estimated that the balloon, flying at about 60,000 feet in the air, was about the size of three school buses and that any debris field would be substantial. (read more)
(AP) In this photo below provided by Brian Branch, a large balloon drifts above the Kingston, N.C. area, with an airplane and its contrail seen below it. The United States says it is a Chinese spy balloon moving east over America at an altitude of about 60,000 feet (18,600 meters), but China insists the balloon is just an errant civilian airship used mainly for meteorological research that went off course due to winds and has only limited “self-steering” capabilities.
Google Disclaimer: Image Above – Not the real balloon
Posted originally on the conservative tree house on February 4, 2023 | Sundance
Let me be very clear, having investigated the Miami-Dade and Broward County school system for over a decade, this is not surprising.
Following the path of Trayvon Martin and the weird school discipline program he was a part of, I ended up spending a lot of time deep in the research of these school systems. Things are not what they appear.
The recent video of a 9-year-old Latina student and her brother being beaten mercilessly by older black students on a school bus is not an isolated incident.
[New York Post] – […] In a statement, the Miami-Dade Schools Police said the offenders have been arrested.
“The safety and wellbeing of our students are of the utmost importance,” it read. “This school district goes to great lengths to promote the values of restraint and respect as well as using social media responsibly. We ask that parents reinforce these principles at home.”
Meanwhile, three female Florida high school students — two 17-year-olds and a 15-year-old — were arrested this week for their role in yet another violent campus melee caught on tape. (read more)
Note, that in all reporting you will find the “Miami-Dade School Police Department” (MDSPD) are involved… NOT, I repeat NOT, the Miami-Dade Police Department. The MDSPD are the gatekeepers for what Miami-Dade and Broward County schools call the ‘Promise Program.’ The MDSPD essentially act like prison wardens to keep violent thugs inside the school system away from regular police units.
In an education system set up by former School Superintendent Alberto Carvalho, a totally separate law enforcement system was put into place for the schools. Any student engaged in criminal conduct was diverted away from the criminal justice system and into a system where MDSPD would handle all criminal activity by students.
The MDSPD turned the intent of the ‘Promise Program’ into a gladiator academy. The program was so poorly thought out, and the unintended consequences so brutally ignored, this was always going to be the outcome.
They are now more than ten years into this system, and there is no possibility of reforming it. Students entering into Miami-Dade and Broward County Schools are cannon fodder for a culturally Marxist, politically correct, social justice, education/political system.
By keeping students out of the criminal justice system, the MDSPD are now essentially groomers with badges assisting and coordinating with violent street gangs and organized crime. Add in the systemic elements of Black -vs- Latino racism, and what you end up with is an entire school system structured like a prison ward with internal gangs and factions of criminal activity inside the schools.
The old concept of sending a child to school to learn math, reading, history, writing and composition skills is totally removed from what remains. Inside the campus buildings housing the “promise” predators and “student” prey, you will find a structurally deficient education system that is more akin to a regional prison system. Outside that system are what you would customarily think of as law and order (police and courts).
However, inside that system is a self-contained gladiator academy mostly abandoned by teachers who focused on education (they left to survive), and the school faculties and administration are now wardens of the social justice system. The wardens (former school principals) and the prison guards (MDSPD), just try to maintain the image of something parents might be familiar with. Yet, it is all just a ruse.
Everyone will deny what I have described above is not what is going on. The stakeholders in the system run from the individual school administrators, the police, the school boards, the local media, all the way up to the Florida Dept of Education and the Florida Governor’s office. All of them will deny the systemic nature of the corrupt and brutal system that exists in both Broward and Miami-Dade counties; however, all the denial in the world doesn’t change the reality.
The Miami Dade School Police Department is a false front. The MDSPD are positioned like the greeters at the Walmart entrance, intended to give the illusion of customer service upon entry to the store, because you won’t find another employee to assist during your visit.
Behind the MDSPD false front is a system of gladiator training under the auspices of “education.” Within this system, apex predator students are groomed and protected by MDSPD to be career criminals. Parents who send younger or weaker students into the system are providing the in-house victims for the gladiators to train on. That is the reality, the non-pretending reality.
If the Miami-Dade School Board wanted to change things (they don’t), they would first need to: (1) build much bigger prisons; (2) disband the MDSPD and instead expand the regular Miami-Dade police department to cover the school district; (3) pull the predators out of the schools; (4) fire the entire school administration and faculty guards of the housing units for the predators; (5) let them all reapply and go through intensive pre-screening for re-employment; (6) hire principals and teachers to replace the “administrators” and “educators.”
If the state of Florida was to conduct a sting operation and put undercover state agents inside the Broward and Miami-Dade school system (acting like students and teachers), Floridians would be stunned at the findings. However, the results of that investigation would never be permitted to reach the public. They would bury it….
Posted originally on the CTH on February 3, 2023 | Sundance
In his customarily subtle way, where ‘subtle’ is like a brick through a window, President Trump delivers advice to Joe Biden about how to deal with Chinese Chairman Xi Jinping’s spy balloon:
“SHOOT DOWN THE BALLOON!”
Personally, I like the added emphasis with the exclamation point. However, now that President Trump has recommended this approach, the Biden team have to take shooting down the balloon off the table – or else they will look like they are following Trump’s advice. lolol
Posted originally on the CTH on February 3, 2023 | Sundance
Not only does the buck not stop with Biden, the installed occupant of the White House refuses to admit the buck even started with him. It did!
During remarks to the press today, even Brian Deese looked stunned as Joe Biden incredulously claimed he didn’t cause the rampant inflation that is crushing middle class Americans. Oh, he started it alright…. He not only started it, but he also created it.
The combination of the January 2021 immediate move to block any domestic energy development, in combination with the April 2021 unneeded explosion of deficit spending triggered both a supply side and demand side inflationary impact; with the former continuing to put massive upward pressure on prices still. WATCH:
The lies from the lying, liar who lies, just flow so easily from his mouth.
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