Posted originally on Sep 21, 2025 by Martin Armstrong 

The World According to Martin Armstrong

We’re closing in on 3,000 copies sold — and for good reason. This book has already become an Amazon Bestseller, and it’s the only place you’ll find all of Martin’s major forecasts collected in one volume.

Over the past 14 years, more than 15 of these forecasts have come true — and many are still unfolding right now.

From sovereign debt crises, political upheavals, energy shocks, and the turning points in gold, silver, and equities — it’s all here, straight from the man who built Socrates.

As one reader put it:

“This book is the Rosetta Stone of Martin’s work. To see all the forecasts laid out in one place shows you just how accurate — and how consistent — he’s been.”

Whether you’re a longtime follower or just discovering Armstrong Economics, this is the essential reference to understand the cycles driving our world.

Posted originally on Sep 18, 2025 by Martin Armstrong |  

The Federal Open Market Committee voted to lower rates by 25 bps at the September meeting, citing “that downside risks to employment have risen.” I reported in December 2024 that the computer had forecast a decline in employment during the incoming Trump Administration.

Based on the most recent data, the unemployment rate stands at 4.1%, while the measure of discouraged and underemployed workers remains steady at 7.7%. Per usual, the Bureau of Labor Statistics revised its calculations for previous months. August’s growth whittled down to 78,000, and September’s calculation came in at 223,000, marking a total decline of 112,000 reported jobs in those two months.

Unemployment began to rise during the Biden Administration. In fact, not a single job in the private sector was created during the Biden Administration. People blame Trump’s deportation and DOGE efforts for a declining workforce, but that is certainly not the problem. Data indicates that citizens are beginning to rapidly fill roles once taken by migrants. Tariffs are not the problem either, as companies are not hiring for the short term.

Workforce softness often leads to lower rates as the Fed mistakenly believes that cheaper borrowing costs will ignite business investment, consumer spending, and strengthen businesses to the point that they need additional employees. Borrowing costs are not the reason why companies are not hiring. CONFIDENCE is the problem, as businesses do not foresee expansion in the near-term, as consumers are grappling with massive debt and an increased cost of living.

The number of unemployed Americans now outnumbers available job openings. Data from July show 7.24 million unemployed Americans compared to 7.18 million job openings, marking the first time that the unemployed have outnumbered the number of available jobs since April 2021. Companies are outsourcing work to places like India or places where humans work with automated AI. Rising wages and regulations, topped with inflation and ever-rising taxes, have created an unfavorable business environment.

Companies are not looking to expand when they are working to stay afloat. Businesses are not eager to take on additional debt, albeit at a lower rate, if they do not see a decent ROI in the future.

We have a Directional Change in 2026, which is an important near-term turning point. Look forward, and we see 2032 as a Panic Cycle with Directional Changes. The 2029/2030 period looks to be dominated by turmoil. Based on the model, unemployment will spike in the next year to nearly 7%. We are nowhere near Great Depression levels, but there will be a notable uptick in unemployment, coinciding with Panic Cycles globally in nearly every market.

Posted originally on Sep 4, 2025 by Martin Armstrong |  

China’s military parade was historic in size, spectators, and weaponry. Known as a leader in technology, President Xi used his moment on the world stage to showcase China’s military advancements, which span from land to air and sea.

The Dong Feng 5C is a new intercontinental ballistic missile (ICBM) capable of launching a dozen warheads with a global strike range of over 20,000 kilometers. This is perhaps the most dangerous weapon on display, providing China with the ability to strike any nation in the world with a nuclear explosive.

Hypersonic Missiles (YJ-15, YJ-17, YJ-19, YJ-20, YJ-21 “Carrier Killer”) were also on display. These swiftly maneuverable, high-speed missiles are designed to evade traditional defenses. It is believed that these weapons could evade America’s most advanced aircraft carriers and naval vessels.

The HQ-29 Space Defense System is designed to destroy satellites. This specific weapon is part of China’s broader plan to eventually militarize space.

Extra-large Uncrewed Underwater Vehicles (XLUUVs), especially the AJX002 Sea Drone—an underwater drone designed for reconnaissance missions and spying. The underwater drone can operate fully autonomously and is allegedly not easily detectable by radar systems. Not to be outdone, the JL-1 and JL-3 Air- and Submarine-launched Nuclear Missiles are part of China’s triad nuclear program, capable of striking enemies from any angle.

AI drones and robot dogs were one of the most highly discussed weapons on display. These “robot wolves” come equipped with cameras and guns. They could assist infantry units in battle, carry equipment, or carry out surveillance missions. Think back to the US Navy SEAL raid that allegedly killed bin Laden. Those trained Belgian Malinois played an essential role in taking down the world’s most wanted terrorist. These robot wolves would have the ability to operate even more efficiently and effectively in herds.

AI is at the forefront of modern warfare. Nuclear weapons no longer require strategic positioning to hit a target and cause mass casualties. Unleashing these weapons, using them against fellow humans, would create an unrecognizable planet and permanently alter humanity. Those cheering for warfare underestimate the sheer destruction that modern technology will unleash.