Sales of US Treasury Bonds Continue to Try to Stem Dollar Rise


USBonds

China continues to sell US Treasury bonds trying to keep the dollar down to aid the Federal Reserve. Saudi Arabia, however, has been in a different position having to liquidate US Treasury holdings for they are is a serious financial crisis. September shows a modest sale of $46 billion dollars. Private investors sales were $7.9 billion dollars, while the net sales of foreign institutions amounted to $38.7 billion dollars, according to the US Department of Treasury announcement.

Bill Gates – Victim of Propaganda?


Propaganda

QUESTION: Once again Martin your information and explanations are top class. Indian demonetisation, supportive stories in Australian press of ending the $100 bill, Swedish Riksbank investigating digital currency…
You called all this months ago and now mainstream media softening up the masses..
Question – why is Bill Gates supporting this do you think ?
Thanks for all the work you do

Regards

V

ANSWER: Keep in mind that Bill Gates lives within his bubble. I have been shaped rather uniquely by my clients. Having clients around the word and fielding questions from every country, forced me to see the world through everyone’s eyes. So what I see, others may not if they lack international exposure. This in part is why our World Economic Conferences are so popular. They are the ONLY such gathering of sophisticated people from around the world. You get to see the very capital flows in the room. We had people from more than 30 countries at the WEC. They have become fantastic networking meetings, but have risen to virtually like a college reunion.

Without that exposure to see the world through everyone’s eyes and listen, you will never see the trend of the whole. It is not that Bill Gates is evil, stupid, or involved in the conspiracy. He lacks the experience to see the world for what it is rather than be shaped by local propaganda. It sounds entirely reasonable that eliminate cash and you eliminate crime. He is not asking, what else is being eliminated?

Is Trump our Savior or our Destroyer?


trump-limits

While people keep criticizing Trump’s tax plan saying the wealthy will get more back by lowering the top bracket from 39.6% to 33%, all they focus on is class warfare. Trump’s tax plan collapses the seven federal income tax brackets into three, reducing the top marginal rate from 39.6% to 33%, and lowers the corporate tax rate from 35% to 15%, among other things. The criticism is always just the socialist view and never address the vast waste and corruption in government. They say the national debt will explode by $5 trillion if Trump cuts taxes as if $1 trillion deficits under Obama was somehow OK. They also ignore the fact that lowering the corporate rate to 15% matches the best rates overseas and will then encourage them to bring their money home and with that JOBS! There is nearly $3 trillion offshore that will not return because the socialists demand high taxes. So it will not return. Saying the deficit will rise by cutting the tax rate assumes nobody will return home. That same position was taken with the Reagan tax cuts and proved to be DEAD WRONG!

usa-gdp-taxes

Kennedy Revenue Act of 1964 (Pub.L. 88–272), also known as the Tax Reduction Act, was the Kennedy tax cut plan that was signed by President Lyndon Johnson on February 26, 1964. Individual income tax rates were cut across the board by approximately 20%. In addition to individual income tax cuts, the act slightly reduced corporate tax rates and introduced a minimum standard deduction. The economic growth virtually doubled.

The Ronald Reagan tax cuts that the Democrats hated and called “trickle down economics” reduced the top rate from 70% to 28% between 1983 and 1990. The GDP growth soared from -3% to +8%, yet Democrats continue to call this a failure. It was Bush who raised taxes in 1991, but it was the massive tax increase of Bill Clinton jumping the top bracket to 39.6%. The Democrats tried to claim that tax increase “produced the one period of shared prosperity in this past era (since 1980).”

Let’s face the facts. The source of data for the chart above is the Bureau Economic Analysis. So this is the government’s own data. This clearly shows that the Democrats just want to tax people who have more than they do EVEN IF it hurts jobs and lowers the economic growth. This to them is just about punishing people. Their claims that “trickle down” economics did not work is total lies. This is not about letting the rich pay less, this is about EVERYONE enjoying the fruits of their own labor.If you cannot discriminate for race, creed, or gender, then why is it OK to discriminate against anyone because they have more than you or work harder?

With India just cancelling currency, Australia and Sweden probably next, then Europe and Japan, all we have standing in the way is Trump. If he fights against this trend to tax everything in sight and further shrink the world economy, then just maybe we can save the United States from the worst of it. Otherwise, we are going down without a life-jacket to cling to in 2017. At some point, it just pays to quit and not produce anything; Ayn Rand.

What India Did – Other Countries Will Do – BEWARE


500-rs-note

This is the boldest move by any government in recent times. Both the old 500 Rs and 1000 Rs notes have been “probabilistically devalued” meaning that anyone holding large number of notes, the value just has been significantly lowered by approximately 10 to 20% overnight. If you now try to deposit the cash, the money is devalued so in other words you were just taxed up to 90%. This is all claimed to attack the underground economy or black money and corruption.

To understand this bold attempt, let us assume that the ECM €100 and €500 notes are demonetized overnight. The government can ensure that this money is deposited or converted in banks and thus it then becomes your obligation to prove you paid your taxes. They will compare the sum with an individual’s income tax obligations.

The other tax India has imposed is highly dangerous and is known as the wealth tax. Broadly speaking, the wealth tax is determined by your nationality, residential status and location of the asset. If you are an Indian national and resident as per Indian tax laws, you will have to pay wealth tax in India, even on global assets. With the new regulations coming by September 2017 whereby the G20 nations will be sharing information, any assets you have offshore will be reported back to your home country. If you did not report mere ownership of assets, that generates fines, seizure, and taxes.

The intent of the law is to tax assets that do not generate an income. What you would have on deposit in a bank would be exempt since that generates interest, which is taxable. However, in case of some assets that do not generate income such as gold, jewelry, watches, a second property that you own, you will have to pay a wealth tax. You can avoid the wealth tax by generating an income from it, meaning by renting it out for at least 300 days in a financial year.

The repercussions of not filing wealth tax return or filing an incorrect return is harsh. The provisions of regular assessment that apply to income tax also apply to wealth tax. Interest at 1% per month is payable for failure to pay wealth tax on due date. There are also provisions to impose a penalty and/or prosecute an individual for not filing wealth tax returns. Therefore, under this approach, any tangible asset becomes taxable just to possess it on an annual basis.

The New Highs in US Share Market Are they the Prelude to a Crash?


trifecta

1998 SP500 July 20Finally, the Dow made new highs in the face of constant calls for a crash. This past week, in a horse race we would call it a trifecta where the Dow Jones Industrials,  S&P 500,and  the NASDAQ all made new record highs.  This sent a bunch of analysts to look again and began to proclaim that this was the first time that all three major indices have reached new highs on the same day since 1999. They then look at the charts and pronounce that the 1999 rally lasted only until 2000 and then crashed. Of course that was the DOT.COM Bubble and there was a massive wave of retail investor in the market back then compared to today.
There really is nothing similar whatsoever to this latest pronouncement. As always, people will try to reduce everything to turn upon a single reason. Here is a chart of the S&P500 and the crash of 1998, which was the Long-Term Capital Management debacle and the fall of Russian debt.

The market again peaked exactly to the day of the ECM back then. However, the crash was 58 days and then in 32 days the market rebound to the former high. Note that the there were three lows with the last and final low creating a Slingshot move, As I have warned, these type of moves are the most powerful and very necessary to propel any market to new record highs. You simply must trap the majority on the wrong side of the trend,

 

NASDAQ-EURO-1998-2012-WNASDAQ-1998-2012-W

The DOT.COM Bubble was the last great capital inflow from around the world. Both Europeans and Asians were pouring money into the DOT.COM Bubble – it was by no means a local event. This move was the classic Phase Transition. However, when we look at that in terms of the Euro (which we recreated using the same formula extending back in time), we get the same Phase Transition rally

We do not see a stark difference between the patterns in dollars as we see in euros. Hence, this attracted foreign capital creating an explosive rally which we call the Phase Transition.


NASDAC-W Euro 8-13-2016NASDAQ-W 8-13-2016

Now, when we look at the current position of the NASDAQ both in dollars and euros, we see something different. In dollars we made the new highs. However, when looking at this is euros, we do not yet see new highs being made. As always, things are not always as they seem to the local observer.

So the last magic formula going around was the 9 day consecutive decline which was supposed to lead to a crash. OOPS. Here might be another brilliant observation.

The Panic of 1683 Was the First


Panics-168301907

This is the list of panics I discovered in the library at Princeton University. I simply added the period of 224 years from 1683 to 1907 which yield 8.615 as the common frequency dividing that period by the 26 events. I did not expect this to produce events to the day. The mere fact that events would happen precisely to the day as they did in 1981, 1985, 1987, 2001, 2002, and 2007 just to mention a few, beat the odds that this was somehow just coincidence or dumb luck. It has been fascinating discovering how this frequency has dominated history from ancient times to the present.

DecFollis295-348AD

From the collapse of the Roman Monetary System to just 8.6 years or six wave creating 51.6 years intervals like the collapse of the Roman Follis. It is fascinating to say the least that such a calculation has been so powerful throughout nature, humanity, and destiny.

Nevertheless, by dumb luck, this list of Panics was international and not relegated to a single isolated country. With 1683 for a start, that was the financial panic that disrupted Europe for the Ottoman invasion of Europe with the attempt to take the capital of Europe, the seat of the Holy Roman Emperor in Vienna. So where this calculation began, obviously included was as well.

California Will Also Use Radar to Issue Tickets to Bicycles for Speeding


bicycle-kid

Let one government come up with a new idea how to extort money from the public, and it spreads like a contagion. Now California will begin issuing tickets to speeding bicyclists as well. I suppose you will soon need a license and then they can threaten to revoke your riding privileges. Will there be a license now for children to ride a bike? Next we will be looking at speeding tickets for walking because that will cause us to breath more and that might impact global warming. We are living in a war zone where government is out to just extort us for whatever nonsense it can think of next. Just how much more will the people take?

Eliminating Cash – The NEW AGE of Economics


Tax Robbery

QUESTION:

Mr Armstrong, thank you for all that you are doing. I was hoping to get your view on the Indian government banning large denomination bills. What do you think is the reason and why such a small window of time to get them turned in?
PB

ANSWER: Unfortunately, the theory is that cash prevents governments from maintaining negative interest rates. They want to “tax” the mere possession of money. Eliminate cash, and then they think they can stimulate the economy without creating inflation and they will be in total control. They view that the reason Marxist/Keynesian philosophy failed is because of cash. People can hoard money and thus exit the system. They cannot stop that unless they eliminate money.

This is what the NEW AGE of economics is all about. They next level of taxing you for merely having money. Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi has announced that the 500 ($7.60) and 1,000 rupee banknotes will be withdrawn from the financial system overnight. This is all about taxes.

Everyone should pay attention here. Governments can simply cancel a currency overnight. The ECB wants to eliminate the 500 euro note and Larry Summers is arguing to end the $100 bill in the USA. These people want to tax everything and see that interest rates can be negative forever if they get rid of cash. They are totally insane.

Global markets in green despite widely-predicted collapse after Trump win


I do admit I’m surprised by the Big movement up!

President Obama’s Alternate Universe


Obama is also setting up a Foundation, will it be like that of the Clinton’s!