Tag Archives: Forest Management

Sep 9 2019

Advice for Trump – How to Win 2020


Armstrong Economics Blog/Politics

Re-Posted Sep 9, 2019 by Martin Armstrong

The New York Post reported that an American student who could not find a job with their degree was forced to simply leave the country. If I were Trump, I would run on forgiving student loans at least partially and lay the blame where it all belongs – on the Clintons and their deal with the bankers.

I would make it ILLEGAL for bankers to demand a guarantee from a parent when in fact what they did was get the family home exempt from bankruptcy so they could throw families out on the street to collect their money.

It is time this crisis is dealt with. If you want to stimulate the economy, STOP handing blank checks to bankers and hope they do the right thing which will NEVER happen!!!!!!!! And while you are at it, start putting bankers in jail like any other corporate officer and make it ILLEGAL for any bail-in. Let’s really drain the swamp – stop filling it.

 

Sep 9 2019

China Exports “Unexpectedly” Fall in August…


Re-Posted from The Conservative Tree House on September 8, 2019 by 

The South China Morning Post has an interesting article highlighting that July’s export results from China were likely skewed as U.S. companies proactively made purchases to take advantage of Beijing’s currency devaluation in combination with filling inventory ahead of the U.S. holiday needs.

Additionally, August export results from China show an actual drop in exports, falling 16 percent year-over-year from decreased U.S. orders:

SCMP – China’s exports fell unexpectedly in August, as the trade war with the United States continued to hit the world’s second-largest economy.

Shipments fell by 1 per cent in the month after growing 3.3 per cent in July in dollar terms, and below the 2.1 per cent growth expected by analysts in a Bloomberg poll. Imports in the month dropped by 5.6 per cent, leaving a trade surplus of US$34.84 billion, according to China’s General Administration of Customs.

July’s expansion now seems like an anomaly, likely driven by front-loading as new tariffs of 15 per cent on about US$110 billion of Chinese goods that took effect on September 1. American buyers of Chinese goods subject to the new tariffs were likely to have filled their inventories as much as possible before the goods became more expensive to import.

Furthermore, the much-reported 3.8 per cent depreciation of the yuan in August failed to stop the decline in exports – despite Washington’s fears that it was being used to give China’s exporters an unfair advantage. (read more)

From CNBC:

[…] Among its major trade partners, China’s August exports to the United States fell 16% year-on-year, slowing sharply from a decline of 6.5% in July. Imports from America slumped 22.4%.

Many analysts expect export growth to slow further in coming months, as evidenced by worsening export orders in both official and private factory surveys. More U.S. tariff measures will take effect on Oct. 1 and Dec. 15.

“China-U.S. trade friction has led to a sharp decline in China’s exports to the United States,” said Steven Zhang, chief economist and head of research at Morgan Stanley Huaxin Securities.

Exports to Europe, South Korea, Australia, and Southeast Asia also worsened on an annual basis, compared with July, while shipments to Japan and Taiwan posted slightly better growth than the previous month.

Sunday’s data also showed China’s imports shrank for the fourth consecutive month since April. Imports dropped 5.6% on-year in August, slightly less than an expected 6.0% fall and unchanged from July’s 5.6% decline. (read more)

TheLastRefuge@TheLastRefuge2

This dovetails with the report from Germany about China not ordering any industrial goods. https://twitter.com/yohiobaseball/status/1170764474179117058 …

David ShoelessJoe🇺🇸@yohiobaseball

.@TheLastRefuge2 There’s that word ‘Unexpectedly’ 🙄
China’s exports fall unexpectedly in August, as trade war continues to slam industrial economy https://www.scmp.com/economy/china-economy/article/3026211/china-export-fall-unexpectedly-august-trade-war-continues …

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Sep 9 2019

Sunday Talks: Rep Doug Collins -vs- Maria Bartiromo on House Impeachment Plans…


Re-Posted from The Conservative Tree House on September 8, 2019 by 

House Judiciary Committee Chairman Jerry Nadler has announced his intent to proceed with a formal impeachment investigation of President Trump.  Ranking member of the committee, Doug Collins, appears on Fox News to discuss the Nadler plan.

Additionally, Rep Collins discusses the return of the legislative branch from their summer recess and the possibilities for the legislative calendar.

Sep 9 2019

President Trump Tweets Hilarious Media Video Meme….


Re-Posted from The Conservative Tree House on September 8, 2019 by 

It is a metaphor often used to say President Trump’s tweets and media messages are akin to watching a cat chase a red dot controlled by POTUS….   Apparently President Trump also thought it was funny:

Donald J. Trump

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Sep 9 2019

Sunday Talks: White House Trade Advisor Peter Navarro -vs- Maria Bartiromo on China…


Re-Posted from The Conservative Tree house on September 8, 2019 by 

White House Director of Trade and Manufacturing Policy Peter Navarro appears on Fox News to discuss the current status of the U.S-China trade discussions and the USMCA.

Ms. Bartiromo points out how U.S. multinationals are holding back further investment in Asia due to ongoing President Trump tariffs.  Mr. Navarro points out there is no uncertainty if U.S. companies would invest in Main Street USA.

However, the Wall Street multinationals do not want to give up on their Asian investments and bring U.S. manufacturing jobs back to North America.  Hence the conflict between Wall Street/The Big Club and Main Street/President Trump.

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As Navarro noted, the narrative about October talks between the U.S. and China are driven by the collaborative financial interests of Beijing and Wall Street multinationals in an effort to create the image of something that doesn’t exist.  Prepare accordingly.

Sep 9 2019

Sunday Talks – Secretary of State Mike Pompeo -vs- Chris Wallace…


Re-Posted from The Conservative Tree House on September 8, 2019 by 

Secretary of State Mike Pompeo appears on Fox News for an interview with swamp gatekeeper Chris Wallace.  Geopolitical topics include the cancelled Taliban negotiations; the ongoing nuclear ambitions of Iran; and Pompeo’s political career.

Sep 8 2019

Liberty University – One Last Question With the Honorable George & Candace Farmer


Published on Sep 6, 2019

George and Candace Farmer sat down with Pastor David Nasser to discuss their recent marriage for the One Last Question Podcast
Sep 8 2019

Brexit is a Gordian Knot – Who Is The World’s Premier Gordian Knot Cutter?….


Re-Posted from The Conservative Tree House on September 7, 2019 by 

The Gordian Knot of Brexit is based on a Parliamentary ruling class within the U.K. government who will not accept Great Britain leaving the European Union.

The elitist Members of Parliament (MP) have passed a law requiring Prime Minister Boris Johnson to forever stay in the EU until an agreement for terms of exit are reached.  However, the EU doesn’t want the U.K. to exit; so the consequence of the MP law is to ‘remain’ in the EU forever.  This elitist scheme has created the knot; and the majority of the British people -those who voted to ‘leave’- are insufferably bound within it.

In one approach to cutting the knot Prime Minister Boris Johnson has requested a national vote for government leadership on October 15th.  With a scheduled round of talks with the EU set for October 17th, a Boris Johnson election victory would create the needed momentum toward a hard-brexit (no deal) on October 31st.  Britain would, finally, be free.

However, the MP ruling class, those who say they know better than the people they are supposed to serve, know such a popular vote would upend their schemes – and likely lead to many of their alliance being removed from office.  So the elites will not support a national election that would lead to their own defeat. [More knot building].

A second knot-cutting tactic implied by the Prime Minister, is to ignore the insufferable law –recently passed and pending signature– and proceed toward a ‘no-deal’ Brexit on October 31st.

This approach could lead to the British Parliament being forced to vote against the Prime Minister (no confidence); and would set up a replacement election, which Boris Johnson wants anyway.  Actually, no-one is quite sure what will happen on this second knot-cutting avenue… no map available.

Many Americans are watching the part where we see just how ideologically corrupt politicians are within British government; and how much they have lied and conned the British people.

Similar to the republican elitist class (Never Trump) who came out of the shadows against President Donald Trump, the never-Brexit British masks are dropping at an alarming rate.  Trump supporters have a great deal in common with Brexiteers.

However, beyond the domestic politics…. there’s an economic geopolitical aspect only a few smart people (YOU) in the U.S. have been paying attention to.  If you stand back and overlay what you know about the Trumpian global trade reset, there’s a familiar picture.

When it comes to the Trump global trade realignment, Prime Minister Boris Johnson is currently positioned to the EU as Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe was to China.

In early 2017, culminating in November 2017 tour of Asia, President Trump worked with Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe to start the process for southeast Asia countries to think about what could/would happen when the Trump administration triggered the trade reset with China.

In the two years that followed Trump’s visit, the ASEAN nations recognized what those 2017 discussions were all about.  Japan (Abe), South Korea (Moon Jae-in), Malaysia (Mahathir Mohammed), Vietnam (Tran Dai Quang), Philippines (Rodrigo Duterte), and India via Narendra Modi, all realized the China strategy of President Trump was going to provide a significant economic opportunity to replace Chinese manufacturing in Asia.

In the background of the 2019 Brexit mess, Boris Johnson is similarly positioned to where Shinzo Abe was in 2017.  If you take the trade reset strategy and replace China with the EU you can see a possibility for the future.

Economically both China and the EU have been receiving one-side benefits through the manipulation of the U.S. economy at the hands of the multinationals.  Both have exfiltrated massive amounts of U.S. wealth; and both sets of Wall Street lobbying assemblies have paid corrupt U.S. politicians handsomely to continue this indulgence.

President Trump has already hinted at his goal regarding the EU and the trade reset.  The administration objective is free, fair and reciprocal trade; meaning: no tariffs, no non-tariff barriers, no subsidies and no protectionism.  However, the EU group is the most hypocritical and protectionist trade bloc in the world. [Yes, in many ways similar to China sans the overt theft and communist aspect.]

The EU has balked at any request to drop their protectionist policies, and the generational  benefits of the post-WWII Marshal Plan will have to be pried from their cold dead fingers. The EU, with particular emphasis on France and Germany, are not about to allow the U.S. to take away the one-way tariffs they use to indulge their social welfare programs.

All of the indicators are there.  Once the USMCA is booked (North America terms settled), we can see Trump taking a similar approach with the EU as he did with China.

With that in mind, Brexit becomes the leverage Trump needs to force the EU to accept terms.  President Trump has been working with Boris Johnson on the framework of an agreement in principle for a U.S-U.K. trade agreement.

Here’s where it all comes together:

If Johnson delivers Brexit, soon thereafter President Trump announces matching tariffs against the EU equal to the tariffs they currently have on U.S. products.  The EU will again balk at the idea of negotiating new trade terms.  That’s where the U.K. (no longer in the EU) comes in.

North America and the U.K. would have a cross-Atlantic trade super-highway.  EU countries who wish to avoid Trump’s tariffs would have the U.K as a gateway.  EU nations can/will use the UK as an assembly and distribution hub for EU goods.  This would mean massive benefit to the British economy.

The issue that impedes this plan is the current Gordian knot with Brexit.

Don’t be surprised to see the world’s premier Gordian Knot cutter, Donald J Trump, reverse the order of his plan in order to create leverage favorable to Boris Johnson.

Meaning, don’t be surprised to see significant U.S. announcements about tariffs against EU goods, which will have specific focus on French and German products, as President Trump starts applying leverage to support Brexit….

Keep watching.

CNN

Trump’s other trade war could hit European cheeses and olive oil

The steady stream of customers walking into Di Palo’s on a recent afternoon were greeted by giant cheese wheels, meat hanging from the ceiling and bottles of olive oil lined up on the shelves — a…

cnn.com

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Sep 7 2019

Horrific Reports From Bahamas in Dorian Aftermath – A Topography Changed Event…


Re-Posted from The Conservative Tree House on September 6, 2019 by 

Steve Harrigan reports from Abaco Island in the Bahamas as search and rescue efforts continue.  The scale of the devastation is incredible; everything is gone, and worse yet the topography has changed removing the ability of deep water ports to be used in/around most of the northern Bahama islands.  The anticipated death toll is expected to be dramatic. [Disturbing Content]

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The duration of Hurricane Dorian has changed the underwater topography making access to the Island communities even more difficult, if not impossible. The Bahamian National Emergency Management Agency and the Royal Bahamian Defense Force have warned all ocean vessels to stay clear of the Northern Bahama islands.

The equipment needed, and the fuel to make the equipment operational, is not able to reach the Islands because the underwater topography has changed. Deep water channels and port routes need to be remapped.  Most previous ports in/around the Northern Bahamas are no longer feasible for use.  What used to be deep water is now shallow water.

Air crews from the U.S. Coast Guard and U.S. Military are working under the authority granted by the Bahamian National Emergency Management Agency and the Royal Bahamian Defense Force to reach as many island residents as possible.  However, the mass delivery of tonnage is severely limited by the inability to open the airports and use fixed wing carriers.

Large ships cannot port, and hovercrafts are needed to avoid the issues with topography changes. All coastal maps are essentially useless around Abacos and Grand Bahama Island. Near shore navigation is currently impossible for large vessels.

This recovery effort is going to be complex and long duration.

As of Friday at 9 a.m.:

Coast Guard crews have rescued 205 people in the Bahamas since Hurricane Dorian began.

The Coast Guard is conducting air operations based out of Andros Island, Bahamas. Seven MH-60 Jayhawk helicopters and five MH-65 Dolphin helicopters are conducting search and rescue missions, area assessments and providing logistical support.

Port Condition Zulu is in effect for the Port of Savannah and Brunswick, Georgia.

Port Condition Zulu is in effect for the Port of Charleston, South Carolina.

Eight Coast Guard cutters are staged near the Bahamas ready to engage in Hurricane Dorian response efforts.

For their safety, the Coast Guard advises mariners to not attempt voyages into the Northern Bahamas until further notice due to the devastating effects of Hurricane Dorian.

The Government of the Bahamas is currently assessing its northern ports and harbors to determine if they are safe to enter. There is a high risk of debris in the water, sunken vessels, and destroyed or missing aids to navigation and pier facilities. There is also a risk of chemical spills and changes to the topography/hydrology in ports and marinas from the prolonged winds and storm surge of the Category 5 hurricane.

The Coast Guard is supporting the Bahamian National Emergency Management Agency and the Royal Bahamian Defense Force, who are leading search and rescue efforts in the Bahamas.

If you are in a life-threatening situation and need assistance, call 911 or 919 in the Bahamas, or call the Bahamian National Emergency Management Agency at 242-325-9983 or the Bahamian Emergency Operations Center at 242-362-3895 or 242-362-3896.

During Port Condition Zulu, no vessels may enter or transit within ports without permission of the COTP. All vessel movements are prohibited, and all ship-to-shore operations must cease. (link)

Sep 7 2019

AMLO Drops the Hammer on African Migrants in Mexico…


Re-Posted from The Conservative Tree house on September 6, 2019 by 

I am thankful every day that we have a businessman in the White House who brilliantly understands how to leverage U.S. economic power to achieve national security objectives.

While remaining under the threat of punishing U.S. tariffs, Mexican President Andres Manuel Lopez-Obrador (aka AMLO) is strictly enforcing migrant blockades to stop the unlawful travel of Central American migrants to the U.S. border.

(Via AP) […] Foreign Secretary Marcelo Ebrard said he believes Mexico’s strategy of cracking down on illegal migration with a National Guard deployment, investment in Central America and allowing the U.S. to make more asylum seekers wait in Mexico is enough to avert President Donald Trump’s threat to impose tariffs on all Mexican imports.

Ebrard is scheduled to meet with U.S. officials Tuesday at the White House to review the progress.

Mexican President Andres Manuel López Obrador, a leftist who took office Dec. 1 promising better treatment of migrants, instead has embraced the fight against migrant smuggling.

In recent weeks, he has seldom mentioned the U.S. pressure and depicts the crackdown on migrants as a struggle to defend Mexican laws. His administration has taken a tough line against hundreds of African migrants waiting in the southern city of Tapachula for transit visas that Mexico no longer hands out.

“We will not budge,” he said after the Africans protested, “because the recent events in Tapachula aim to make Mexico yield and oblige us to give out certificates so migrants can get into the United States. We cannot do that. It isn’t our job.”

He said migrant caravans once tolerated by Mexico were the work of human traffickers, and effectively ended them.

“All of these people who traffic with migrants’ needs for jobs, safety and welfare, they are committing a crime and they will be punished,” López Obrador said last week. “We are already doing this in Mexico, without violating human rights. We are ensuring there isn’t anarchy, disorder.”

Migrant-rights activists say López Obrador is simply dressing up the fact that he yielded to Trump’s pressure tactics.

[…] Mexico has raided freight trains that migrants ride north, and pulled thousands off buses and out of the freight compartments of trucks. The government has warned bus and taxi drivers they could lose their permits if they transport migrants. (read more)

The Associated Press

✔@AP

Eight-and-a-half-months pregnant and experiencing contractions, a Salvadoran woman who had crossed the Rio Grande and was apprehended by the Border Patrol was forced to go back to Mexico. http://apne.ws/nGSyv9c 

US tells migrant woman 8 months pregnant to wait in Mexico

MATAMOROS, Mexico (AP) — Eight-and-a-half-months pregnant and experiencing contractions, an El Salvadoran woman crossed the Rio Grande — only to be apprehended by the Border Patrol. She was not…

apnews.com

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Hopefully, with continued strategic policy success, we will soon reach a point where American voters will only accept business leaders as presidential candidates.

…”Complicated business folks… Complicated business”….