Jet Stream Exaggerations


 

We have to understand that the Jetstream itself is extremely dynamic. It has been dipping very low and as I reported last winter, it even snowed in Tallahassee in northern Florida for the first time since the Blizzard of 1899. This is causing some very diverse outcomes. In Sweden that had one of the hottest summers on record. I was in Bavaria in August and likewise, it was extremely hot. The buildings generally did not have air conditioning because they never needed it.

On the other hand, in Ukraine where it is usually very hot at that time of year, it remained very cool. In North America, it all depends where you are. Some parts of Canada is warm, and others are unusually cold. The Jet Stream is becoming very exaggerated in its dips. This is why last year the crops froze in Spain creating a shortage of vegetables in Europe. Of course, we have the diehard people who claim just because where they live it is warm so it must be global warming and anyone who disagrees with that are just wrong. They refuse to even look around the world that exists beyond their front doo

The Coming Mini Ice Age & Cyclical Movement of the Tropics Belt Itself


We have the most sophisticated and diverse client base than probably any institution covering more than 100 countries. Our business has been constructed upon one bedrock foundation – unbiased computer analysis. These forecasts are NEVER my personal opinion. There are plenty of people who seek to argue but fail to understand it is NOT ME! Just because someone claims to be a scientist and states for or against Global Warming, really does not add up to a lot for just as when you go visit a doctor, they always tell you to get a second “opinion” because that is all you are getting.

Previously, I have reported that NASA confirmed we are going into a cooling period – not warming. They have put out a forecast of declining sunspot activity. Now NASA has come out confirming what our computer has been forecasting. They have reported that as the sun is experiencing a rapid decline in sunspots, it is also dimming in brightness or energy output. NASA’s Spaceweather station has recorded during 2017, 96 days (27%) of observing the sun have been completely absent of sunspots.

While NASA has now confirmed that the outer atmosphere is getting cooler. In fact, one of the top NASA scientists has broken camp and warned that the surface temperature of the sun has collapsed so much, he fears a new Ice Age is upon us. Meanwhile, this has been the COLDEST Thanksgiving in 150 years! Interestingly, however, is that this sudden sharp decline in the energy output of the sun coincided with the 2015.75 turning point of the Economic Confidence Model.

I have previously warned that if this trend continues during the next winter, then we have exceeded any short-term reactionary trend and the weather appears poised to continue to get colder going into the distant future. Socrates was projecting that the peak on this cycle aligned with the ECM 2015.75. This is a Longitudinal Cycle, not Transverse. That means peak to bottom varies. This short-term wave should be a 13-year decline from 2015 making it 2028 initially. After that, if we see colder winters beyond 2028, then the next low will be with the peak in the ECM 2032. There is a SERIOUS RISK that we are looking at the final low coming in during the period of 2046.

It appears we are plunging now into a deep mini ice age. There is just no way we can reverse this trend no matter how much the government regulates or increases the taxes. For the next 20 years at a minimum it’s going to get colder and colder on average. There is a very HIGH PROBABILITY that we are declining for 31 years from 2015.

What people fail to understand is that the entire weather system of our planet is extremely dynamic. Research has traced the north-south shifts of the northern-most edge of the tropics back 800 years, which was conducted by the University of Arizona-led international team. They have mapped out the fact that the Tropic Belt is also subject to cyclical movement. I have reported that in ancient times, the region we call the Sahara Desert was lush and green and there were cave drawings showing herds of animals in the region. The research has revealed that indeed the Tropic Belt has moved upward and downward over the centuries and the research has documented where it has moved for the last 800 years.

The University of Arizona wrote: “From 1568 to 1634, the tropics expanded to the north, the team found. That time period coincides with severe droughts and other disruptions of human societies, including the collapse of the Ottoman empire in Turkey, the end of the Ming Dynasty in China and near abandonment of the Jamestown Colony in Virginia…”

The Tropic Belt has been gradually moving northward since 1970. There is debate over what is even causing that. The data we hope to also run through our model to see if that also aligns with the future forecasts on climate change our model has been projecting. This too may be yet another confirming link in the outcome we must face.

 

Death Toll from Cold Doubles & Its Not Over Yet


As the fake academics keep pushing the Global Warming scenarios because that justifies more taxes and they are rewarded with endless grants, I have warned that it is Global Cooling we should be concerned about. Particularly the elderly should really try to relocate to warmer territory. The death rate caused by the extreme cold that has been taking place since 2015 is now officially twice that of the year before. In Britai9n, they call it winter deaths and in Wales, the death toll has DOUBLE during 2017-18 – rising from 1,850 the year before to 3,400 and winter is not finished yet.

I cannot stress enough, if we see next year colder than this year’s winter season, get out before it is too late. This is already the sharpest decline in three years on record. If I did not move, perhaps our computers would have figured out a way to call a mover to come to get them on their own. If you have a source of trees and an ax, and the youth required, then good on y

Comets as Omens & Star of Bethlehem


QUESTION: Mr. Armstrong; The ancients seem to have attributed the appearance of a comet to important events like the death of Julius Caesar and the birth of Christ. Did the Romans record comets on their coinage and omens of the future? Was either the famous Haley’s Comet? Some say the Start of Bethlehem was Haley’s Comet.

Thank you and have a Merry Christmas

PD

ANSWER: Yes. The appearance of a comet at the time of Caesar’s death promoted his divinity for political purposes. His nephew Octavian, later to be given the name Augustus by the Senate (27BC-14AD), issued coins with the comet that appeared at the time of Caesar’s death with the legend: DIVVS IVLIVS (Divine Julius). This was self-serving and used as justification of his rule as the first Emperor of Rome beginning the Imperial Era.

Halley’s Comey has been recorded as early as 467BC by the Greeks. The Chinese chroniclers also mention a comet during this year. However, the Chinese astronomer Shiji also recorded its appearance in 240BC. The Babylonians recorded its appearance in of 164BC in two clay tablets in the British Museum. Again, the Babylonians recorded its appearance once more in 87BC. It was this appearance that lasted for about one month was celebrated on the coinage of Tigranes the Great, an Armenian king who is depicted on coins with a crown and a curved tail. It was portrayed as ushering in a New Era of the brilliant King of Kings. Tigranes II the Great issued the earliest coin depicting Haley’s Comet which is represented by the star in his crown.

Haley’s Comet appeared around 12 BC and it was recorded in the Book of Han by Chinese astronomers of the Han Dynasty. They tracked it from August through October during 12BC. According to the Roman historian Cassius Dio, a comet appeared almost suspended over Rome for several days at the time of the death of Marcus Vipsanius Agrippa who was Augustus’ close friend. He issued a coin depicting Agrippa with a comet about his head.

There has been considerable debate about whether Halley’s Comet was also the Star of Bethlehem. The appearance in 12 BC, is not that distant from the conventionally assigned date of the birth of Jesus Christ which has a range of 6AD to 4AD. This is based mostly on the biblical story of Herod the Great. Not long before Herod’s death, which is generally attributed to have occurred in 4BC but even that is in dispute.

Referencing the Haley Comet connection, some theologians and astronomers have also to suggested that this might explain the biblical story of the Star of Bethlehem and provide a more documented confirmation of his birth coinciding with the time of the death of Agrippa. However, there are also records of other comets that appeared closer to the date of Jesus’ birth.  In a 1991 article in the Quarterly Journal of the Royal Astronomical Society, astronomer Colin Humphreys proposed that the fabled star was actually a slow-moving comet, which Chinese observers recorded in 5 BC.

Then there is a third theory put forth in 2008 by the astronomer Dave Reneke who argued that Jesus was born in the summer. The Star of Bethlehem, Reneke argued that the Star of Bethlehem may actually have been not a comet at all by Venus and Jupiter coming together to form a bright light in the sky. He used computer models to determine that this extremely rare event occurred on June 17, in the year 2 BC and would have appeared as a bright star for that one moment. Others have argued that a very similar conjunction took place between Saturn and Jupiter during October of 7 BC. Then we have others who disagree and say that Jesus must have been born during the spring, based on the biblical narrative that shepherds were watching over their flocks in the fields. That, they argue, takes place during the Spring and not winter.

The Jewish historian Josephus tells us:

“So Herod, having survived the slaughter of his son [Antipater] five days, died, having reigned thirty-four years, since he had caused Antigonus to be slain, and obtained his kingdom; but thirty-seven years since he had been made king by the Romans.” [War of the Jews, 1:33:8 (665); cf. Antiquities of the Jews 17:8:1 (191)]

Therefore, Josephus is providing key target dates for Herod’s death correlating three events:

Five days after the execution of his son Antipater.
Thirty-four years after he “obtained his kingdom” referring to his conquest of Jerusalem
Thirty-seven years after “he had been made king by the Romans.”

Now, for more than 100 years, the question of when Herod the Great died has been dominated by a proposal by the German academic Emil Schurer. It was Schurer who argued that Herod died in 4 BC, and this view has remained the accepted date in scholarly circles. Therefore, if we look at Josephus, it would make more sense that Herod died in 1 BC based on the amount of time he served after being appointed king by the Romans. There was also a lunar eclipse that occurred before Passover in 1BC. We can even focus in more specifically, for Herod the Great would have died between January 10, 1 B.C. (the date of the lunar eclipse) and April 11, 1 B.C. (the date of Passover). If we take Josephus’ clue of the conquest of Jerusalem, then we would arrive at either 2BC or 1 BC based on the amount of time he served after his conquest.  I would not assume it likely that Haley’s Comet appeared for the birth of Christ.

As I have stated, December 25th was the fest of Sol which was transformed into Christmas. What we do know is that the oldest existing record of a Christmas celebration is found in a Roman almanac that tells of a Christ’s Nativity festival led by the church of Rome dating back in 336 AD.

EU Demand a 37.5% Reduction in CO2 Output from Cars by 2030


The EU has shocked the auto industry and came out based upon this new round of forecasts that humans will be extinct by 2050. Cars must now become considerably more climate-friendly by 2030. The carbon dioxide emissions of new cars must fall by 37.5% compared to 2021. The negotiators of the EU member states and the European Parliament agreed on this compromise on in Brussels last week.

With regard to light commercial vehicles, a CO2 reduction of 31% was agreed upon. For both vehicle classes, however, they also imposed a reduction of 15% must be achieved by 2025 as the first stage. This agreement actually comes as a surprise to many. The requirements are far more drastic than the car industry and the German government originally wanted. Naturally, Germany was not looking for such a reduction and were hoping to cap it at 30%. But all the extinction forecasts led the alarmist to demand 40% so the 37.5% was a compromise that was substantially above the level German expected.

 

Child of Krakatau kills Hundreds in Indonesia


Anak Krakatau volcano (Child of Krakatau) erupted on Saturday causing a landslide which set off a tsunami that left at least 222 people dead. The search continues. Not much can withstand a tsunami. The activity in this region is what changed the climate and caused the year without a summer in 1816. Once again, volcanic activity increases with solar minimum on a simple correlation grid. The way you do research is to follow the breadcrumbs. You never start with a theory and they try to prove that is correct. You will never discover the answer in that fashion.

The Absurd Theory of Rising Sea Levels is a Child’s Bedtime Story


QUESTION: Marty
I read your daily newsletters as the only source of real news ‘out there’
Fascinated by the report that Canadians are discovering thickening ice cover
How do I convince reporters for the much respected ‘Wired’ magazine and the Popular Mechanics website that their constant refrain of ice melts, rising sea levels et al is – well – bonkers
I just don’t get why they cannot find time to read the evidence: is there cash in it for them too? I started reading them years ago because I thought they were not part of the Deep State or in the pockets of the establishment – whats going on ?

DW

ANSWER: The entire theory is really pathetic. If this is a natural event, then the government needs to spend money to help people. If it is caused by humans, then they get to tax people to curb their behavior and save the world? This is no different than war. We invade Iraq on pretended weapons of mass destruction because it is profitable to Cheney and crew, but we do not invade North Korea who has weapons but nothing to profit from. Let’s see. Which one will I choose to get rich?

These pretend scientists who are as corrupt as Cheney in my opinion, presume that if the ice melts the sea will rise or they use that statement to make money and scare everyone. They cannot point to anything of that nature taking place in history. They also completely ignore the research of real experts on the oceans and how they function. They ignore the fact that there have been ice ages and warming periods. They fail to comprehend that if the ice melts, that is when it gets colder – NOT WARMER!. The Arctic can then begin to evaporate and that returns as snow building the glaciers. That is HOW ice ages form. These people think that if the ice melts the sea will rise and we all die so raise taxes and they will get endless grants. This is just such an absurd theory it reflects truly childish bedtime stories without a pebble of truth to build a foundation. These clowns have NO idea of how to conduct research. You follow the breadcrumbs. You do not start with a conclusion and then try to prove it.

The Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory at Columbia University back in 1956 published A theory of ice ages by Maurice Ewing and William Donn. They were the most influential oceanographers to date, yet the Global Warming people have completely ignored their work and bastardized it for political gain. A warmer Arctic Ocean would mean that water would flow more freely between it and the Atlantic, dissipating the cold making the Atlantic colder. There is the key to an Ice Age. If all the ice melted in the Arctic Ocean leaving open water that was then warmer by mixing with the Atlantic, then a warmer Arctic Ocean surrounded by colder land around it would produce evaporation and that water would then return back to the land in the form of snow. More snow that falls in Greenland and Northern Canada is what makes glaciers grow deeper. When the Arctic Ocean is covered in ice, then there is NO EVAPORATION and thus we do not move into an Ice Age – we get Global Warming which is historically when civilization expands.

It is always the same. There is a natural 13-year cycle in red tides. I simply did 15 minutes of research and asked were there any major fish kills before the United States. Up popped many accounts. So I fail to see how these people think. The first thought that runs in their mind is we caused it. They then claim it must be farmers when there were none in the 17th and 18th centuries using chemicals.

 

Canadian Coast Guard Report Atlantic Ice is Increasing


The Canadian Coast Guard is reporting that the Atlantic Ice in Canada is increasing. The extreme cold temperatures and the high winds have been combining to expand the Arctic ice. There is a natural cycle to this and they have reported that the seasonal “freeze up” is occurring three to four weeks ahead of normal and above the 30-year average. This winter is once again extremely cold. It has only been in the 60/70s here in Tampa and the same is true in Abu Dhabi. If next year 2019/2020 is colder still, this will be the fourth year and at then we would decline at a bare minimum very steeply into 2021/2022, where out models on markets are predicting a shocking event. So while the pundits keep talking about Global Warming and we will all suddenly become extinct, as Todd May is a professor of philosophy at Clemson University wrote in the New York Times:

“I want to suggest, at least tentatively, both that it would be a tragedy and that it might just be a good thing.”

Naples & the Supervolcano


There are a number of Supervolcanoes around the world and perhaps the most recent one to erupt was in Italy. The term Supervolcano has been popularized by the BBC and the Discovery Channel story on Yellowstone back in 2005. According to the United States Geological Survey (USGS), a supervolcano is any volcanic center that has explosively erupted at least 1,000 cubic kilometers (240 cubic miles) of fresh volcanic material in a sudden, violent manner – in a so-called supereruption – often producing a huge depression crater named a caldera. Currently, Italy’s Campi Flegrei volcano has been showing signs for the first time in nearly 400 years that it is still alive and well and capable of making a lot of people experience a very bad day.

Aside from Yellowstone, the largest volcanic eruption in the Northern hemisphere in the past 100,000 years, has been attributed to a Supervolcano which erupted some 39,400 years ago in what is known as the Phlegraean Fields by Naples, Italy. This has been documented from several sources. The ashes from this eruption were distributed over the entire eastern Mediterranean and up to central Russia. This was a huge event that clearly also produced a Volcanic Winter, and that is what is the worst thing for the rest of the world who resides at a safe distance from the actual Supervolcano.

We are beginning to witness a rise in volcanic activity as we enter solar minimum. Hopefully, we are not facing a catastrophic volcanic winter period. But it also does raise some concern about a pole shift can be far more rapid than previously anticipated. I believe that people prefer to assume uniformity rather than a catastrophe. A stalagmite-based paleomagnetic record of the post-Blake excursion reveals details of repeated polarity drifts have occurred during periods of low geomagnetic field intensity at 100 thousand years before present around the time of this Naples eruption. One surprisingly abrupt centennial reversal transition occurred in 144,000 provides unprecedented evidence that raises fundamental questions about the speed of geomagnetic field shifts. Such rapid polarity changes could severely affect satellites and human society in the future if the current geomagnetic field intensity continues to decrease.

We have a pole shift, climate change, and volcanic eruptions seem to be interlinked on a correlated basis. Our correlation models have warned that this is something that needs to be investigated. For the first time, laying out this record produces what appears to be a single geological archive creating a precise chronological order. These types of events can take place in the space of even just a single decade.

The recent events at the Campi Flegrei volcano have, for the first time in nearly 400 years, provided a warning sign. The ground at the center of the caldera has bulged up by 4 meters warning that lava is collecting once again. This uplifting curiously began in 1985 with this ECM wave. Keep in mind that the eruptions at the Supervolcanic level took place around 315,000, 205,000, 157,000 and 18,000 years ago. A minor event is still at the level of Vesuvius. So while we no doubt face a major Supervolcanic event, that level may still be off several thousands years into the future. What is emerging now is more likely to be an important event, but not at the Supervolcanic level.

 

How Shipping Pollutes as Much as all the Cars in the World but they are Exempt


COMMENT: Hi Martin,
Happy Holidays. First of all thank-you, you and Socrates are amazing, I have all the wrong instincts as a trader but since I have been following you I have finally turned that around.
Regarding global warming, I only argument I have found effective when trying discussing this topic is: If it was real, then they would do something about the oil tankers and international ships that create more pollution than all of the cars in the world. They even excluded these ships from the Paris accord, showing that its a tax on the people and that they protect the corporations.

“Countries have committed to reducing their
GHG emissions under the Paris Agreement, which aims to limit global warming to well
below 2°C above pre-industrial levels and to pursue efforts to limit the increase to
1.5°C. Despite international shipping being excluded from the Paris Agreement”
Global-shipping-Pollution
Best Regards,

JL

REPLY: This is a very good point. I see the same strategy that the Democrats use in taxation. They always claim to tax the rich. They are against any flat tax because the more deductions and exceptions encourage political donations for special treatment. Small business pays and the big business escape provided they donate money